Investment Rating - The report assigns a 12-month rating of "Sell" for Estun Automation with a price target of Rmb10.30, while the current price is Rmb19.38 [4][23]. Core Insights - Estun Automation has set net income targets of Rmb100 million, Rmb120 million, and Rmb140 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, which may bolster investor confidence regarding its recovery from previous net losses [3]. - The company is planning an H-share listing as part of its globalization strategy and to enhance business development [2][3]. Financial Metrics - The company’s market capitalization is Rmb16.9 billion (approximately US$2.34 billion) with 870 million shares outstanding [4]. - Revenue projections show growth from Rmb4.918 billion in 2024E to Rmb8.108 billion by 2028E [6]. - Net earnings are expected to improve from Rmb8 million in 2024E to Rmb332 million by 2028E [6]. - The average daily trading volume is approximately 28,889 thousand shares, with an average daily value of Rmb626.3 million [4]. Profitability and Valuation - The EBIT margin is projected to increase from 1.8% in 2024E to 6.0% by 2028E, indicating improving profitability [6]. - The company’s net debt to EBITDA ratio is forecasted to be 10.4x in 2024E, suggesting a high level of leverage [4]. - The P/E ratio is expected to decrease from a non-measurable (NM) status in 2024E to 50.8x by 2028E [6]. Company Overview - Estun Automation, founded in 1993, specializes in CNC systems, AC servos, industrial robots, and intelligent manufacturing, positioning itself as a leading domestic manufacturer in high-end intelligent equipment [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Naver Corp with a 12-month price target of Won290,000 [5][6]. Core Insights - Naver is navigating challenges posed by generative AI in non-commercial search categories, where it holds a significant market share in commercial searches [2]. - The company is shifting its eCommerce strategy to focus on a seller-centric model, enhancing logistics competitiveness and reducing seller costs by 20-25% [4]. - Ad revenue growth is expected to normalize to mid-single digits in the long term due to market saturation [3]. Financial Performance - Naver's revenue is projected to grow from Won10,738 billion in 2024 to Won12,021 billion in 2025, with net earnings increasing from Won1,923 billion to Won2,174 billion in the same period [8]. - The company's diluted EPS is expected to rise from Won12,914 in 2024 to Won14,599 in 2025 [8]. Market Position - Naver maintains an 80% market share in commercial searches, while Google dominates non-commercial queries with approximately 60% [2]. - The company is adapting to the competitive landscape by prioritizing its Plus Store and enhancing its logistics capabilities [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a forecast price appreciation of 55.5% and a forecast dividend yield of 0.8%, leading to an overall forecast stock return of 56.3% [9]. - Naver's market capitalization is noted at Won28,207 billion (approximately US$20.5 billion) [6]. Revenue Segmentation - In 2024, Naver's major revenue segments are expected to be Search Platform (37%), Commerce (27%), Fintech (14%), Content (17%), and Cloud (5%) [10].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of IDP Education to "Buy" from "Neutral" with a 12-month price target of A$4.95, down from A$12.00 [5][15]. Core Views - The report indicates that very low expectations are currently priced into IDP Education's stock, suggesting that the business is not fundamentally broken despite challenging market conditions [1]. - There is a recognition of ongoing uncertainty surrounding government policies affecting international students, particularly in the UK, which is expected to impact revenues in the second half of FY25 [1]. - The report highlights potential positive catalysts, including the approval of IELTS by the Chinese government and a favorable outcome from the Home Office English Language Test tender [1][10]. Financial Performance Summary - FY25 EBIT guidance (excluding customer contract amortization) is projected to be between A$115 million and A$125 million, which is a 30% miss compared to previous estimates of A$171 million [2]. - Expected volume declines for FY25 are approximately 28-30% year-over-year for Student Placement and 18-20% for Language Testing [2]. - The report anticipates a significant EBIT decline of 10% year-over-year for FY26, with a forecast of A$113 million [1][16]. Valuation Metrics - The price target of A$4.95 reflects a significant reduction due to conservative forecast revisions, with EPS estimates downgraded by 37% to 53% for FY25-28 [3][15]. - IDP Education is currently trading at a FY26E PE of 19x, which is 47% below its pre-COVID average [11]. - The report notes that the valuation does not appear expensive, with a projected 3-year EPS CAGR of +20% [10]. Revenue and Earnings Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for FY25 are expected to decline to A$866 million, down 16.5% from the previous year, with a gradual recovery projected in subsequent years [16]. - The report projects a recovery in revenues starting in FY27, with an estimated growth of 4.5% in volume and 3.5% in pricing [1][9]. - The forecast for net earnings in FY25 is A$65 million, a significant drop from A$154 million in FY23 [16]. Market Position and Outlook - IDP Education is recognized as a high-quality business operating in a challenging environment, with a strong track record in market share gains within the fragmented student placement sector [10]. - The report suggests that the current operating environment is closer to trough conditions, indicating potential for recovery as market conditions improve [1][10]. - The long-term outlook for IELTS revenue is projected to deliver a +9% revenue CAGR over FY26-30E, while Student Placement is expected to achieve an +8% revenue CAGR over the same period [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Qifu Technology with a 12-month price target of US$58.50, while the current price is US$42.94 [5][25]. Core Insights - Qifu Technology is experiencing stable operating trends in Q2 2025, with a modest quarter-over-quarter decline in loan volume expected due to a strong Q1 and a soft start in Q2 [2]. - The company reaffirms its 2025 net take rate target of 5.2-5.3%, indicating a positive outlook for loan volume growth of 6-7% [3]. - Regulatory risks are considered manageable, with expectations for better clarity on new loan facilitation regulations before October [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Qifu Technology's revenues are projected to grow from Rmb16,939 million in 2024 to Rmb18,793 million in 2025, with net earnings expected to increase from Rmb6,264 million in 2024 to Rmb6,857 million in 2025 [8]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from Rmb42.38 in 2024 to Rmb53.52 in 2025 [6]. Market Position - The company is a leading loan facilitation platform in China, focusing on consumer loans and utilizing both credit-driven and platform service models [10]. - The market capitalization of Qifu Technology is approximately US$5.96 billion, with a free float of 79% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a P/E ratio of 5.8 for 2025 and a P/BV ratio of 1.6, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [8]. - Forecast returns include a price appreciation of 36.2% and a dividend yield of 3.4%, leading to an overall forecast stock return of 39.7% [9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to China Merchants Port (CMPort) and Qingdao Port International (QPIC), while Daqin Railway is rated as "Sell" [63]. Core Insights - The transport infrastructure outlook has been revised positively due to the reduction of reciprocal tariff rates between the US and China, leading to improved volume growth forecasts for 2025 [2]. - Passenger volume is expected to outperform freight volume in 2025, with railway passenger volume projected to grow by 6% YoY and highway freight volume by 4% YoY [4][5]. - Container throughput at key Chinese ports has shown resilience, with a 5% YoY increase in May and a 9% increase YTD, although a decline is expected in 2025 and 2026 [3][8]. Summary by Sections Ports - Container throughput growth at major Chinese ports is forecasted to decrease by 1% to 2% YoY in 2025 and 2026, following a strong performance in early 2025 [3][8]. - Key ports like CMPort and Shanghai International Port Group (SIPG) have had their earnings estimates fine-tuned by 2-3% due to expected deceleration in throughput growth [3]. Toll Roads - Highway freight volume is projected to grow by 4% YoY in 2025, while passenger volume is expected to see minimal growth of 1% YoY [4][20]. - The expressway truck traffic is anticipated to grow by 2% YoY in 2025, with similar flat growth expected in 2026 [22]. Railways - Rail passenger volume is expected to grow by 6% YoY in 2025, with freight volume stable at a 2% growth rate [5][28]. - The number of rail services has increased by 11% YoY in May, indicating strong demand for rail travel [5]. Earnings and Price Target Revisions - CMPort's price target has been raised from HK$14.80 to HK$16.90, reflecting a 3% increase in earnings estimates for 2025-2027 due to better-than-expected container volume [35]. - QPIC's price target has been slightly increased from HK$7.30 to HK$7.50, based on new container throughput forecasts and a higher-than-expected profit contribution from associates [38]. - SIPG's price target has been raised from Rmb5.50 to Rmb5.80, maintaining a Neutral rating while reflecting better-than-expected container volume growth [41].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a 12-month rating of "Buy" for Mainfreight with a price target of NZ$82.00 based on current market conditions [10][28]. Core Insights - Mainfreight's FY25 results slightly exceeded UBS estimates and market consensus, primarily driven by performance in Australia, although the outlook is mixed due to tariff impacts [2][7]. - The company reported revenue of $5.24 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, and underlying EBITDAR of $792 million, a 6% increase year-over-year [3][4]. - Underlying NPAT decreased by 1% year-over-year to $274 million, which was still above UBS estimates and market consensus [3][4]. Financial Performance - Key financial metrics include: - Revenue: $5.24 billion (+11% YoY) vs. UBS estimate of $5.10 billion - Underlying EBITDAR: $792 million (+6% YoY) vs. UBS estimate of $737 million - Underlying NPAT: $274 million (-1% YoY) vs. UBS estimate of $267 million [3][4]. - The company experienced mixed performance across regions, with notable declines in the US and Asia, while Australia showed strong growth [4][7]. Valuation - The valuation is based on a 12-month price target of NZ$82, derived from an average of P/E (26x) and DCF valuations [5][10]. - The current market cap is NZ$6.70 billion (approximately US$4.00 billion) with a free cash flow of $163 million [10][3]. Guidance and Outlook - No specific guidance was provided, but trading in April and May was described as "disappointing" due to short trading weeks and initial US tariff disruptions [6][7]. - The outlook for US operations indicates potential improvement in A&O and Warehousing earnings in FY26, despite current challenges [7][6]. Company Overview - Mainfreight, established in 1978, has evolved into a global freight forwarder with operations in 20 countries and a workforce of over 6,000 employees [13]. - Approximately 75% of its revenue is generated outside New Zealand, with a comprehensive service offering that includes domestic distribution, warehousing, and international freight services [13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Thai Oil with a 12-month price target of Bt32.00, while the current price is Bt30.00 [5][26]. Core Insights - Thai Oil is focused on maintaining the budget and timeline for its Clean Fuel Project (CFP), with an investment budget of US$1.8 billion and a completion target by Q328 [2]. - The company is actively communicating with credit rating agencies to address concerns regarding the execution of the CFP, debt management, and support from its parent company, PTT [3]. - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) from 2025 to 2029 will primarily be allocated to the CFP, with expected cash flows from operations between US$1.2 billion to US$1.7 billion [4]. Financial Metrics - Revenue projections show a decline from Bt529.6 billion in 2022 to an estimated Bt372.9 billion in 2025, followed by a gradual increase to Bt588.3 billion by 2029 [8]. - The estimated diluted EPS for 2025 is Bt4.81, with a slight decrease to Bt4.65 in 2026, and a recovery to Bt4.78 in 2027 [6]. - The net debt to EBITDA ratio is projected to be 5.8x for 2025, indicating a high level of leverage [5]. Market Performance - The average daily trading volume is approximately 23.6 million shares, with a market capitalization of Bt67.0 billion (US$2.05 billion) [5]. - The forecasted stock return is 10.7%, combining a price appreciation of 6.7% and a dividend yield of 4.0% [9]. Company Overview - Thai Oil operates a refinery with a capacity of 275,000 barrels per day, accounting for 25% of Thailand's total refining capacity, and has a high upgrading capacity-to-refining capacity ratio of 56% [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for WEB Travel Group Limited with a 12-month price target of A$6.20, slightly up from the previous target of A$6.15 [5][3]. Core Insights - WEB Travel Group Limited has shown resilience in a challenging macro environment, with a strong exit from FY25 and an acceleration into FY26 driven by its conversion strategy [1]. - The company reported a total transaction value (TTV) of A$4.9 billion for FY25, reflecting a 22% year-over-year increase, and a revenue/TTV margin of 6.7% [2][8]. - Despite a marginal EBITDA miss at A$121 million, the underlying performance was stronger than expected, with improved revenue composition [2][8]. - The company is targeting a long-term TTV of A$10 billion by FY30E with an EBITDA margin of approximately 50% [2][3]. Financial Performance - FY25 TTV was A$4.9 billion, up 22% year-over-year, with a revenue of A$328.4 million, slightly above expectations [2][8]. - EBITDA for FY25 was A$121 million, down 13% year-over-year, but 1% above consensus estimates [2][8]. - Cash flow conversion was reported at 73%, lower than the expected 80% [2]. - Bookings for FY26 year-to-date have increased by 29%, with TTV growth of 37% [2]. Forecasts and Valuation - The report forecasts a TTV of A$5.97 billion for FY26, with a revenue target of A$389.2 million [9]. - EBITDA margins are expected to improve to 44-47% in FY26 and reach 50% by FY27 [2][9]. - The valuation metrics indicate WEB is trading at a forward cash-adjusted PE of 17.5x, with a projected 3-year EPS CAGR of over 15% [1][3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Ryman Healthcare with a 12-month price target of NZ$4.70, while the current price is NZ$2.41 [10][27]. Core Insights - Ryman Healthcare's sales volumes and free cash flow (FCF) exceeded UBS estimates, but the FY26E sales guidance is below consensus expectations [2][7]. - The company achieved a total build rate of 950 units, slightly above UBS estimates of 937, and sold 416 new units, a 7% year-over-year increase [4][7]. - The average new unit price increased by 4% year-over-year to NZ$974k, while the average resale price rose by 1% to NZ$735k [4][7]. - Ryman Healthcare's net debt decreased to NZ$1.67 billion from NZ$2.51 billion in FY24, and the net tangible assets (NTA) per share fell to NZ$4.18 from NZ$5.01 in FY24 [4][7]. Financial Performance - Care and village fees reached NZ$571 million, a 12% increase year-over-year, surpassing UBS estimates of NZ$559 million [3]. - Deferred Management Fees were NZ$155 million, an 11% increase year-over-year, compared to UBS estimates of NZ$138 million [3]. - Operating expenses rose by 6% year-over-year to NZ$751 million, exceeding UBS estimates of NZ$700 million [3]. - The FCF for FY25 was -NZ$94 million, an improvement from -NZ$187 million in FY24, and better than UBS's estimate of -NZ$101 million [3][7]. Guidance - For FY26E, Ryman Healthcare projects total ORA sales between 1,100 and 1,300 units, significantly below UBS's estimate of 1,592 and consensus of 1,489 [6][7]. - The total build rate for FY26E is expected to be between 226 and 330 units, again below UBS's estimate of 252 and consensus of 302 [6][7]. Valuation - The price target of NZ$4.70 is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis and sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a 12-month rating of "Sell" for Mitsubishi Electric with a price target of ¥1,700, indicating a potential decline from the current price of ¥2,901 [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights concerns regarding the FA (Factory Automation) business, which has seen a significant decline in operating profit margins, dropping from nearly 20% in the past to 6.1% in FY3/25 [2][3]. - The company is undergoing restructuring, particularly in the FA business, with plans to make decisions regarding operations worth approximately ¥0.8 trillion by FY3/26 [1][3]. - Despite some positive opinions on the restructuring, the overall sentiment remains bearish due to the company's slow response to market share losses in China and the gradual implementation of cost-cutting measures [3][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections show a slight decline from ¥5,521.7 billion in FY3/25 to an estimated ¥5,470.0 billion in FY3/26, with a forecasted operating profit of ¥350.0 billion [7][8]. - The report estimates that the operating profit guidance for FY3/26 includes a one-off profit of over ¥30 billion, suggesting that the underlying performance may be weaker than it appears [4]. - The forecast for EPS (Earnings Per Share) is projected to decrease from ¥156.2 in FY3/25 to ¥129.1 in FY3/26, reflecting a significant drop of 17.3% [6][9]. Valuation Metrics - The report uses an EV/EBITDA multiple of 5x for valuation, leading to a price target of ¥1,700 [4][12]. - Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 22.5 for FY3/26 and a projected dividend yield of 1.7% [9][10]. - The company's market capitalization is reported at ¥6,021 billion, with a free float of 67% [5][8]. Market Position and Outlook - Mitsubishi Electric operates in various sectors, including cyclical and non-cyclical fields, maintaining a strong and stable position within the industry [11]. - The report indicates a bearish outlook for the company's stock, with a forecasted total stock return of -39.7% over the next year [10].