Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 53.89, down from a previous target of HKD 58.35, indicating a potential upside of 35.7% from the current price of HKD 39.70 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to disappointing sales during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, primarily attributed to the underperformance of the "Dabo" sales channel. This reflects both strategic channel adjustments by the company and overall competitive pressures in the industry [6]. - Management remains committed to maintaining pricing stability and enhancing consumer experience, which is expected to lay a foundation for long-term growth. The company plans to launch several key new products next year to drive a new growth cycle [6]. - The company has been approved to repurchase up to 104 million shares, representing 10% of its total share capital, demonstrating confidence in its long-term development [6]. Financial Summary - For FY23A, the company reported sales revenue of RMB 3,524 million, with a year-on-year growth of 49.0%. Projections for FY25E and FY26E show expected revenues of RMB 5,347 million and RMB 6,075 million, respectively, with growth rates of -3.5% and 13.6% [2][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for FY23A was RMB 1,452 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 44.9%. The forecast for FY25E and FY26E is RMB 1,903 million and RMB 2,126 million, with growth rates of -7.7% and 11.7% [2][11]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 24.0 for FY23A, decreasing to 15.2 by FY27E, indicating a potential increase in valuation as earnings grow [2][11]. Sales Performance - During the "Double Eleven" event, the company's online GMV for "Kefumei" declined approximately 30% year-on-year, with Tmall GMV down about 20% due to the company's decision to avoid aggressive price wars. However, the self-operated and mid-tier influencer channels showed resilience [6]. - The "Keli Jin" brand experienced double-digit growth in online GMV during the same period, particularly strong in the Douyin channel, indicating a successful strategy in diversifying sales channels [6]. Product Strategy - The company is actively cultivating a second tier of products to optimize its product structure, with expectations for significant revenue growth from new product launches in 2025 and 2026 [6]. - The medical beauty product line is set to expand, with the first injectable recombinant collagen product approved and plans for rapid terminal coverage expansion in 2026, which is anticipated to become a significant growth driver with higher profit margins than cosmetics [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for ZTO Express, with a target price of 195.99 HKD based on a projected P/E of 15x for 2025 [9][10]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, ZTO Express experienced a slowdown in parcel volume growth, with revenue reaching 11.86 billion RMB, up 11.1% YoY, and total parcel volume at 9.57 billion, up 9.8% YoY. The growth deceleration is attributed to seasonal factors and price increases affecting demand for small and low-priced parcels [10][11]. - The net profit for Q3 was 2.54 billion RMB, reflecting a 6.7% YoY increase, driven by regulatory measures that boosted prices and optimized business structure, with a notable 50% YoY increase in loose parcel volume [10][11]. - Cost efficiency continues to improve, with the per parcel cost at 0.91 RMB, up 0.09 RMB YoY. The transport cost per parcel decreased by 11.5% YoY to 0.34 RMB, benefiting from economies of scale and efficient route planning [11][12]. - The market share for ZTO Express in Q3 2025 was 19.37%, showing a slight decline but still maintaining its leadership position in the industry. Regulatory measures are expected to shift competition towards quality, benefiting established players [12]. Financial Summary - Projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 9.57 billion, 10.63 billion, and 11.93 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 11.89, 13.22, and 14.83 RMB [9][10]. - Revenue forecasts for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 38.42 billion, 44.28 billion, 47.11 billion, 51.69 billion, and 57.71 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 9%, 15%, 6%, 10%, and 12% [4][5]. - The projected P/E ratios for the same years are 14.96, 13.82, 12.51, 11.26, and 10.03, indicating a downward trend as earnings are expected to grow [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Sunyu Optical Technology (2382.HK), marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - Sunyu Optical Technology is positioned as a global leader in optical components and products, focusing on high-end product development and value extraction, leading to structural improvements in profitability [6][10]. - The company is transitioning from a manufacturer of optical products to a provider of intelligent optical system solutions, enhancing its international presence and digital transformation efforts [6][33]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Sunyu Optical Technology has established a strong technological barrier and competitive advantage through a multi-faceted strategy, achieving rapid growth [6]. - The company has a comprehensive optical industry chain layout, emphasizing technological innovation and high-end product iterations, maintaining a 25% share of high-end mobile phone lenses [6][32]. Mobile Business - The mobile product segment remains the core revenue driver, with a focus on high-end market penetration despite a stable global smartphone market [7][37]. - The company has maintained its leading position in the smartphone lens market, with revenue growth driven by product structure optimization [7][37]. Automotive Business - The automotive market is experiencing robust growth, with advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) driving demand for vehicle-mounted cameras [8][10]. - Sunyu Optical Technology holds a leading position in the automotive lens market, with a 32.3% market share and significant growth potential in module development [8][10]. Other Businesses - The company is expanding into various sectors, including security, microscopy, robotics, XR, and industrial and medical testing, with a notable growth trajectory in the XR market [9][10]. - The integration of AI and technology reuse is expected to drive both short-term and long-term growth potential in these segments [9][10]. Financial Analysis - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 426.03 billion, 475.03 billion, and 526.88 billion yuan, with net profits of 36.74 billion, 43.68 billion, and 51.12 billion yuan respectively [10][12]. - The company is expected to maintain a P/E ratio that reflects its strong market position and growth prospects, with a forecasted average P/E of 15.4x for 2025-2027 [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao with a target price of HK$20.40, representing a potential upside of 45% from the current price of HK$14.07 [3][9]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit are expected to show a mid-single-digit growth for the full year 2025, despite a projected decline in profit due to a significant drop in the first half of the year [5][6][9]. - The operational performance is anticipated to improve in the second half of 2025, with a gradual recovery in customer traffic and table turnover rates, particularly during the peak season in December [5][6][9]. - The investment logic for Haidilao has shifted from focusing on earnings to prioritizing dividends, with a high dividend payout ratio expected to continue [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the estimated revenue is projected to be RMB 44.15 billion, with a net profit of RMB 4.84 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.3% and 2.7% respectively [7][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at RMB 0.87, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.9 [8][9]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout, with a dividend of HK$0.338 per share in the first half of 2025, indicating a payout ratio of 95% [6][9].

相关研究 - 上 市 公 司 社会服务 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 报告原因：强调原有的投资评级 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 12 月 01 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 0.99 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9172.84 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 1.48/0.76 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 19.52 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 1,971.94 | | 汇率（港币/人民币） | 0.9099 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -2% 48% 98% 12/02 01/02 02/02 03/02 04/02 05/02 06/02 07/02 08/02 09/02 10/02 11/02 HSCEI 新高教集团 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 黄哲 A0230513030001 huangzhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 2025 年 12 月 02 日 新高教集团 (02001) ——成本高峰已过，盈利能力即将反弹 投资要点： 新高教集团公布 25 财年年报，全年收入 26 亿元，同 ...

执业证书号： S0010525070001 邮箱： zhaoliang@hazq.com 阿里巴巴[Table_StockNameRptType] -SW（9988.HK） 公司点评 FY26Q2 业绩点评：云业务加速增长，即时零售有望迎来 UE 改善 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-12-02 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（港元） | 154.90 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（港元） 185.1/76.1 | | | 总股本（百万股） | 19,089 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 19,089 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿港元） | 29,568 | | 流通市值（亿港元） | 25,568 | [公司价格与恒生综指走势比较 Table_Chart] [Table_Author] 分析师：金荣 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 24/05 24/08 24/11 25/02 25/05 阿里巴巴-W 恒生指数 -20% 30% 80% 130% ...

Charles Zhuang 庄怀超 SFC CE: BTE209 微信: zhuangcharles; 电话: (852) 9748 7114; 02 Dec 2025 环球富盛理财有限公司 中国罕王 China Hanking Holdings (3788.HK) ➢ 邱博士及 Cygnet Gold 少数股东对罕王黄金增资。基于对 Cygnet 金矿项目及罕王黄金未来发展的信心，邱博士及 Cygnet Gold 少数股东拟认购罕王黄金的新发行股份。 2025 年 10 月 27 日，公司附属公司罕王黄金与 Qiu Family 及 Golden Resource（均由邱博士控制）订立认购协议，据此，罕王黄金同意配发及发行，而 Qiu Family 及 Golden Resource 同意以每股 2.62 港元的认购价认购 8,700,000 股罕王黄金股 份（邱博士认购增资），此认购价与公司于 2025 年 9 月 30 日所公布与六名认购人订立的认购协议所载认购价相同。 同日，罕王黄金与 Cygnet Gold 的少数股东 订立认购协议，据此，罕王黄金同意配发及发行，而 Cygnet Gold 的少数 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings is "Buy" [7] Core Insights - The company's gaming business is expected to grow robustly driven by a new product cycle, while the video account advertising business remains highly prosperous, likely becoming a major source of revenue growth [1][2] - In Q3 2025, Tencent's online gaming revenue (excluding social) reached 636 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23%. Domestic market revenue was 428 billion yuan, up 15%, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 423 billion yuan, primarily due to the contribution from "Delta Operation" and continued revenue growth from existing games [1] - International market revenue was 208 billion yuan, a 43% year-on-year increase, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 181 billion yuan, driven by record highs in daily active users and revenue for "Clash Royale" and growth from "PUBG: MOBILE" [1] - The introduction of a 15% commission agreement between Apple and Tencent regarding WeChat mini-game payments is expected to open up payment opportunities in the long term, despite short-term challenges in commission avoidance methods [3] - The company's marketing services revenue in Q3 2025 was 362 billion yuan, a 20.8% year-on-year increase, driven by improvements in eCPM and expansion of advertising inventory [4] Financial Forecasts - Projected revenues for Tencent from 2025 to 2027 are 748.76 billion yuan, 835.25 billion yuan, and 921.90 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 13%, 12%, and 10% respectively [5] - Adjusted net profits for the same period are forecasted to be 266.16 billion yuan, 293.21 billion yuan, and 321.51 billion yuan, with growth rates of 20%, 10%, and 10% respectively [5] - The valuation method applied suggests a target price of 794.73 HKD per share for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 30% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HK$41.40, representing a potential upside of 27% from the current price of HK$32.58 [1][7][10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve profitability in Q4 2025, with significant sales growth anticipated in the following year. The revenue for Q3 2025 was reported at RMB 407 million, with a decline of 10.6% quarter-on-quarter [5][8]. - The EM platform has gained market recognition, and the potential for Robotaxi is substantial, with expectations of increased demand for lidar units [6][10]. - The report projects a significant increase in radar sales, with estimates of 2.3 million units in 2026 and 3.1 million units in 2027, driven by the growth in the robotics sector [7][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 2,204 million in 2025, RMB 3,126 million in 2026, and RMB 4,038 million in 2027, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.6% in 2025 and 41.8% in 2026 [8][9]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to improve significantly, with estimates of RMB -83 million in 2025, RMB 230 million in 2026, and RMB 533 million in 2027 [9][10]. - The company anticipates a gross margin of 27.3% in 2025, increasing to 30.2% in 2026 and 31.2% in 2027 [9][10].

网龙（00777.HK） AI 赋能游戏教育，多元投资增厚业绩 2025 年 12 月 02 日 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,101 | 6,047 | 4,641 | 4,932 | 5,267 | | 同比(%) | (9.73) | (14.84) | (23.25) | 6.27 | 6.79 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 550.00 | 311.00 | 401.28 | 674.49 | 682.41 | | 同比(%) | (34.05) | (43.45) | 29.03 | 68.09 | 1.17 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.04 | 0.59 | 0.76 | 1.27 | 1.28 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 9.89 | 17.50 | 13.56 | 8.07 | 7.97 | 证券研究报告·海外公司深度·软件服务(HS) [Ta ...