Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [8]. Core Viewpoints - The past two years have seen lackluster performance for the company, but the current fundamentals suggest a potential turnaround, particularly in wind energy projects and natural gas sales [2][5]. - The company is focusing on its core wind energy business, having announced the divestment of its solar assets to concentrate on wind power, which is expected to drive growth [6][54]. - The natural gas segment is anticipated to recover despite short-term challenges, supported by the strategic importance of the Tangshan LNG project [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading clean energy enterprise in North China, primarily engaged in wind and natural gas power generation, with natural gas accounting for over 60% of its revenue [5][14]. - The company has a total installed capacity of 6.96 million kilowatts, with wind power making up 95% of this capacity [6][54]. Wind Power - The company has a strategic focus on wind power, with a significant portion of its projects located in North China. The company plans to enhance its wind power capacity, particularly through high-quality offshore wind projects [6][54]. - The implementation of the 136 document policy is expected to stabilize revenue expectations for existing projects, providing a clearer outlook for profitability in the wind sector [40][53]. Natural Gas Business - The natural gas segment includes the operation of natural gas transmission and distribution facilities, with a projected sales volume of 5.89 billion cubic meters in 2024, reflecting a 15.13% year-on-year increase [7]. - Despite short-term pressures from warm winter conditions affecting sales, the long-term growth trend for natural gas remains strong, supported by the strategic importance of the Tangshan LNG project [7][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights the company's stable investment value, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.52, 0.58, and 0.62 yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 7.74, 6.87, and 6.44 respectively [8]. - The company is expected to maintain a dividend payout ratio above 50%, enhancing shareholder returns [25][31].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7]. Core Views - In August, the company delivered 57,066 vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 88.3% and a month-on-month growth of 13.8%. Cumulatively, from January to August, the total sales reached 329,000 vehicles, up 136.4% year-on-year. The company is expected to continue benefiting from a strong new car cycle domestically and a partnership with Stellantis for overseas expansion, which will enhance global sales potential [2][10]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The company achieved record sales in August with 57,066 vehicles delivered, marking an 88.3% increase year-on-year and a 13.8% increase month-on-month. Cumulative sales for the first eight months of 2025 reached 329,000 vehicles, reflecting a 136.4% year-on-year growth [2][5][10]. Future Outlook - The company is set to launch the B10 model in Europe, with plans for its debut at the Munich International Motor Show on September 8. This move is part of the company's global strategy to enhance its market presence. The strong demand for new vehicles and an expanding product lineup are expected to drive continued sales and revenue growth [10]. Product Strategy - The company plans to introduce 2-3 new products globally each year over the next three years. The B10 and B01 models have already been launched in 2025, with another B-series model expected to be introduced at a price range of 100,000 to 150,000 RMB [10]. Distribution Network - As of June 30, 2025, the company has established 806 sales outlets in China, including 315 core stores and 491 experience centers, covering 286 cities. Internationally, the company exported 25,000 vehicles from January to July and has over 600 sales and service points across more than 24 countries [10]. Technological Investment - The company is increasing its investment in intelligent driving technology, with a nearly 100% increase in team size and computational resources in the first half of 2025. The goal is to achieve city NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) capabilities by the end of 2025 [10].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 8 Sep 2025 澳博控股 SJM Holdings (880 HK) 25Q2 盈利能力及市场份额小幅下滑 Profitability and Market Share Slightly Declined in 25Q2 寇媛媛 Yuanyuan Kou 骆雅丽 Yali Luo yy.kou@htisec.com yl.luo@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件： 澳博控股发布 25H1 业绩，公司实现净收益 146.4 亿港元，同比提升 6.1%；经调整 EBITDA 达 16.5 亿港元， 同比下滑 5.1%，对应经调整 EBITDA 利润率为 11.2%，同比下滑 1.3 个百分点。其中，25Q2 公司净收益达 71.6 亿港 元，同比提升 4.0%；经调整 EBITDA 达 6.9 亿港元，同比下滑 20.9%，对应经调整 EBITDA 利润率为 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Sinofert Holdings, with a target price of HKD 1.67 based on a PE of 5.3x for 2025 [5][13]. Core Insights - In 2025H1, the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 5.04% year-on-year, with total revenue reaching CNY 14.715 billion, a 7.56% increase [15]. - The company is actively promoting its "Bio+" strategy, focusing on R&D capabilities and innovation, resulting in the development of four new bio-products and a 14% increase in scientific research achievement conversion [2][12]. - The basic business division's profit increased by 53% year-on-year, driven by enhanced supply capabilities and a 12% increase in average sales price [4][15]. - The growth business segment's profit rose by 5.4% year-on-year, with differentiated compound fertilizers sales increasing by 6% and "Bio+" A-class compound fertilizers sales up by 51% [4][15]. - The production business division saw a profit decrease of 16% year-on-year, primarily due to challenges faced by specific subsidiaries [4][15]. Financial Summary - The projected net profits for Sinofert Holdings are CNY 2.056 billion, CNY 2.297 billion, and CNY 2.636 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][13]. - The company expects a revenue increase of 25% in 2025, followed by 13% and 14% in the subsequent years [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be CNY 0.29 in 2025, with a P/E ratio decreasing from 7.43 in 2024 to 4.43 in 2025 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [4][13]. Core Views - The company demonstrated stable performance with an 8% increase in net profit and a 14% increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 25.1 billion yuan and net profit of 1.1 billion yuan [1][7]. - Despite a 3% decrease in sales area, the company achieved a 20% increase in sales amount, reaching 53.4 billion yuan, marking its entry into the top ten of the industry [1][9]. - The company has strategically acquired 16 quality projects with a total land cost of 49.2 billion yuan, all located in first- and second-tier cities, with significant investments in Beijing and Shanghai [1][9]. Financial Performance - The company has successfully reduced costs, with sales, management, and financial expenses decreasing by 15%, 5%, and 4% respectively [2][11]. - The average financing cost for new domestic and foreign financing in the first half of 2025 was 2.7%, significantly lower than at the end of 2024 [2][11]. - The company’s financial status remains robust, with a total unsold value of approximately 320 billion yuan, 69% of which is concentrated in economically developed regions [1][9]. Earnings Forecast and Financial Metrics - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 56 billion yuan and net profits of 1.1 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding EPS of 0.08 yuan and PE ratios of 17.7 [2][14]. - The report outlines a gradual recovery in revenue and profit margins, with expected EBIT margins of 6.5% in 2025 and a net asset return (ROE) of 2% [3][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Trading Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 5% to 15% from the current price [5][9]. Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue decline of 7% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching RMB 41.57 billion and a net profit of RMB 2.05 billion, down 16.4% year-on-year [5][8]. - The gross margin improved by 1.4 percentage points to 41.7%, while the operating profit margin increased by 1.5 percentage points to 8.5% [5][8]. - The report anticipates a recovery in revenue in the third quarter due to seasonal effects from the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with specific product categories like fresh milk and cheese expected to perform well [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the food and beverage industry, with a current stock price of HKD 15.02 and a target price of HKD 17 [1][5]. - Major shareholder is COFCO Corporation, holding 24.24% of shares [1]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, liquid milk revenue was approximately RMB 32.2 billion, down 11.2% year-on-year, while ice cream revenue increased by 15% to RMB 3.88 billion [8]. - The company expects net profits of RMB 3.92 billion, RMB 4.695 billion, and RMB 5.206 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with significant growth anticipated in 2025 due to a low base from the previous year [7][8]. Market Position - The company maintains a leading market share in the liquid milk segment, with strong performance in low-temperature and fresh milk products [8]. - The report highlights the importance of refined management practices that have contributed to improved efficiency and cost control [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][10]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 decreased by 8% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in income from BOT water service construction projects. However, significant savings in financial expenses and effective cost control were noted [2][10]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.522 billion, 1.603 billion, and 1.672 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.15, 0.16, and 0.17 RMB [10][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue (million RMB): - 2023A: 24,519 - 2024A: 24,270 - 2025E: 24,257 - 2026E: 25,003 - 2027E: 26,122 - Net profit (million RMB): - 2023A: 1,896 - 2024A: 1,678 - 2025E: 1,522 - 2026E: 1,603 - 2027E: 1,672 - The report indicates a gross profit margin improvement of 1.98 percentage points to 39.95% due to an increase in high-margin water treatment service revenue [4][10]. Revenue Composition - Revenue contributions from various segments for the first half of 2025: - Sewage treatment: 43% - Water supply: 14% - Urban resource services: 29% - Construction and technical service equipment sales: 14% [10]. Cost Management - Management expenses decreased by 8% to 1.157 billion RMB, and financial expenses reduced by 31% to 0.958 billion RMB, reflecting effective cost control measures [10][11]. Dividend and Capital Expenditure - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.0735 HKD per share, a 5% increase year-on-year. Capital expenditure for the first half of 2025 decreased by 40% to 0.943 billion RMB [10][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for NIO-SW (09866.HK) is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The sales momentum for the second half of 2025 is expected to reverse, with a need to track the sustainability of sales and cost control progress. The revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 have been raised from 876/934 billion to 888/1180 billion, with a new forecast for 2027 at 1536 billion, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 35%/33%/30% [5][6] - The Non-GAAP net profit estimates for 2025-2026 have been adjusted from -158/-145 billion to -157/-89 billion, with a new forecast for 2027 at -54 billion. The current market capitalization corresponds to 1.1/0.8/0.7 times price-to-sales (PS) for 2025-2027 [5][6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue (in million) for the years 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 55,618, 65,719, 88,776, 118,020, and 153,630 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.9%, 18.2%, 35.1%, 32.9%, and 30.2% [9] - Non-GAAP net profit (in million) for the same years are -18,475, -20,585, -15,670, -8,867, and -5,383, with year-on-year changes of -54.2%, -11.4%, 23.9%, -43.4%, and 0.0% [9] - Gross margin percentages are projected to be 5.5%, 9.9%, 10.7%, 12.0%, and 13.0% for the respective years [9] - The diluted EPS (in yuan) is forecasted to be -10.9, -10.0, -7.0, -3.9, and -2.3 for the years 2023A to 2027E [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][8]. Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with revenue of 19.2 billion RMB (+33%) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.65 billion RMB (+60%) [4]. - The company is expected to achieve strong growth in volume, price, and profit in 2025, with a significant increase in net profit forecasted for 2025 and 2026 [8]. Revenue Summary - The company's revenue from electric bicycles, electric scooters, batteries, and chargers in the first half of 2025 was 9.3 billion RMB, 3.8 billion RMB, and 5.7 billion RMB respectively, showing growth rates of +49%, +7%, and +41% [5]. - The total sales volume of electric two-wheelers reached 8.79 million units (+38%) in the first half of 2025, driven by national subsidies and a higher proportion of mid-to-high-end models [5]. Profit Summary - The company's gross margin in the first half of 2025 was 19.6% (+1.6 percentage points), and the net profit margin was 8.6% (+1.4 percentage points), both reaching record highs [7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders per unit sold was 188 RMB (+16%) [7]. Financial Forecast - The company’s revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are 30 billion RMB and 33 billion RMB respectively, reflecting growth rates of +135% and +11% [8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are 0.96 RMB and 1.07 RMB respectively [3][12].

九方智投控股（09636.HK）深度报告 To C 流量精准转化与科技赋能下的高成长性 2025 年 09 月 08 日 ➢ 九方智投控股：凭借科技驱动的智能化投顾服务，在中国在线投资决策解决 方案市场中占据领先地位。公司深耕证券投资咨询领域，通过 AI 技术、大数据 分析、智能化投顾体系及 MCN 流量运营，形成了独特的商业模式。近年来，公 司积极推动业务模式升级，深化 To C 端流量精准转化，并通过科技赋能优化投 资者体验。公司股东结构稳定，管理团队经验丰富，为企业长期发展奠定了坚实 基础。同时，公司持续加大在投研、科技、流量运营等关键领域的投入，提升市 场竞争力。 ➢ 公司业务规模持续扩张，盈利能力在市场环境影响下有所波动，但成本优化 和现金流管理成效显著。公司营业收入快速增长，2019 至 2023 年复合增长率 达 63.7%，2024 年全年收入达 23.0 亿元，同比增长 17.4%。受市场活跃度变 化影响，公司净利润呈周期性波动，2023 年归母净利润为 1.9 亿元，同比下降 58.5%，2024 年回升至 2.7 亿元，同比增长 42.4%；2025H1 归母净利润进一 步回升至 8.7 ...