Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price over the next six months [11]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated resilience in growth despite a volatile environment, with a 12.4% year-on-year increase in revenue to $1.23 billion in H1 2025 and a 16.8% increase in net profit to $100 million [2][3]. - The company is expanding its production capacity to meet growing orders, hiring an additional 4,000 employees in H1 2025 and planning further capacity expansion in Europe [3]. - Profitability is steadily improving, with a gross margin increase of 0.2 percentage points to 19.7% in H1 2025, driven by enhanced production efficiency [4]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue growth by product category in H1 2025: Leisure (11.4%), Outdoor (12.4%), Denim (10.3%), Underwear (9.5%), and Sweaters (29.2%) [3]. - Revenue growth by region: Asia-Pacific (14.5%), North America (11.7%), Europe (9.7%), and other regions (14.9%) [3]. Financial Projections - Expected net profit growth for 2025-2027: 13.5% in 2025, 18.8% in 2026, and 17.4% in 2027, reaching $227.55 million, $270.37 million, and $317.30 million respectively [5]. - Projected revenue for 2025 is $2.77 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 12.33% [5]. Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 16.3 Hong Kong cents per share, with a payout ratio of 60%, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10][4] Core Views - The manufacturing business shows resilience with a 6.2% year-on-year revenue growth in H1 2025, reaching $2.8 billion. The outdoor sports shoes and casual shoes segments grew by 4.9% and 29.2% respectively, while the overall footwear shipment volume increased by 5% to 130 million pairs [1][2] - The retail business faces pressure, with a revenue decline of 8.3% in H1 2025, totaling 9.16 billion yuan. Physical store sales dropped by 14%, and same-store sales fell by 10% to 20% [2][3] - The company expects revenue growth of 2.5%, 6%, and 5.4% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profit growth of 0.8%, 10.2%, and 6.9% during the same period [3][9] Financial Summary - H1 2025 revenue reached $4.06 billion, a 1.1% increase year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 7.2% to $170 million. Q2 revenue slightly declined by 0.4% to $2.03 billion, but net profit increased by 13% to $100 million [1][2] - The manufacturing business's gross margin decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 17.7% in H1 2025, primarily due to uneven capacity utilization and rising labor costs [2][3] - The retail business's gross margin fell by 0.7 percentage points to 33.5% in H1 2025, attributed to increased discounts amid fluctuating consumer demand [3][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (0388.HK) [2][9]. Core Views - The report highlights that the Hong Kong Exchanges has shown strong performance across various business segments, achieving record high mid-year results for 2025. The company reported revenue and other income of HKD 140.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 85.19 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year [6][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 140.76 billion, representing a 32.53% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 85.19 billion, reflecting a 39.1% year-on-year growth [6][9]. - Revenue breakdown by fee types shows significant growth: trading and trading system usage fees increased by 49.12%, listing fees by 12.55%, settlement and clearing fees by 48.47%, and market data fees by 14.04% [6][9]. Market Activity - The report notes a substantial increase in trading activity across various markets. The average daily turnover for stock securities rose by 122.1%, with the Stock Connect programs showing increases of 31.6% and 196.0% respectively [6][9]. - The derivatives market also saw growth, with trading fees increasing by 13.8% due to heightened activity in stock options and warrants [6][9]. Future Projections - The report projects that from 2025 to 2027, the company will achieve revenues of HKD 283.44 billion, HKD 303.43 billion, and HKD 322.26 billion respectively, with net profits of HKD 176.18 billion, HKD 188.76 billion, and HKD 200.46 billion [2][10]. - The expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these years are 31.75, 29.63, and 27.90 respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation [2][10].

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月21日 友邦保险（01299.HK） 优于大市 利润持续兑现，股东回报稳健 多项核心指标实现双位数增长，利润增速进展顺利。截至 2025 年中期，友邦 保险实现税后营运溢利 36.09 亿美元，每股增加 12%，显示出集团在盈利质量 上的持续改善。上半年，公司产生的基本自由盈余每股上升 10%，达到 35.69 亿美元，反映出集团强劲的现金生成能力。管理层重申 2023 年至 2026 年每股 税后营运溢利复合年增长率 9%至 11%的目标，目前进展顺利。 上半年，公司实现新业务价值 28.38 亿美元，按固定汇率计算同比增长 14%。 公司在亚洲多个市场的业务拓展成效显著。中国内地市场在计入经济假设变动 后新业务价值略有下滑 4%，但若剔除该因素，基本增长达 10%，第二季度增速 加快至 15%，显示出业务韧性和复苏动力。香港、泰国、新加坡等主要市场均 录得显著增长，其中泰国市场因行业规则变动前的短期销售推动，新业务价值 大幅提升 35%。此外，集团的新业务价值利润率提升 3.4 个百分点至 57.7%， 体现出产品组合优化和定价策略的有效性。 "最优秀代理"渠道新业务价值 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for ZhongAn Online (6060.HK) with a current price of HKD 18.77 [1] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, ZhongAn Online achieved a significant increase in net profit, driven by improved underwriting profits and the banking segment turning profitable for the first time [4][8] - The company reported a net profit of HKD 6.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1103.5%, primarily due to enhanced insurance business profits and a turnaround in ZA Bank [4] - The insurance segment's underwriting profit improved significantly, with a total premium income of HKD 166.6 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, ZhongAn Online's operating revenue was HKD 161.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, while insurance service revenue was HKD 150.4 billion, down 0.3% [4] - The annualized net investment return rate was 2.0%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, and the total investment return rate was 3.4%, up 0.6 percentage points [4] Underwriting and Premiums - The company achieved an underwriting profit of HKD 6.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 109.1%, benefiting from improved loss ratios [5] - The comprehensive cost ratio improved by 2.3 percentage points to 95.6%, with the loss ratio decreasing by 6.0 percentage points to 54.7% [5] Segment Performance - The health ecosystem saw premium income of HKD 62.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 38.3%, becoming the largest segment [6] - The digital life ecosystem's premium income decreased by 16.3% to HKD 62.1 billion, while the consumption finance ecosystem grew by 23.6% to HKD 27.0 billion [6][7] - The automotive ecosystem benefited from increased domestic car sales, with premium income rising by 34.2% to HKD 14.8 billion [7] Technology Segment - The technology segment reduced its losses by 32.2% to HKD 0.6 billion, with a focus on AI, blockchain, and cloud computing [8] - R&D investment was HKD 4.0 billion, a decrease of 14.2% year-on-year, while technology output revenue reached HKD 5.0 billion, up 12.2% [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to HKD 8.2 billion, HKD 8.5 billion, and HKD 9.7 billion respectively [8] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 1.36 for 2025, 1.33 for 2026, and 1.29 for 2027, maintaining a "Buy" rating [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group (1810 HK) with a target price adjusted to HKD 60.00, indicating a potential upside of 14.2% from the current closing price of HKD 52.55 [6][12][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights strong performance in the automotive sector for Q2 2025, with a revenue increase of 40% year-on-year and a record gross margin of 26.4%. The smartphone business showed a slight revenue decline of 2% year-on-year, primarily due to the impact of the REDMI A5 release on overseas average selling prices (ASP) [2][6]. - The management has set a sales target of 350,000 vehicles for the year, with Q2 2025 deliveries reaching 81,000 units and an ASP increase of 6.7% to RMB 254,000. The adjusted net loss for the automotive segment has narrowed to RMB 300 million, with expectations of achieving profitability in a single quarter or month within the year [6][7]. - The report projects revenue growth for Xiaomi, estimating revenues of RMB 483.02 billion for 2025 and RMB 605.82 billion for 2026, with corresponding net profits of RMB 45.98 billion and RMB 55.37 billion respectively [5][13]. Financial Overview - For Q2 2025, Xiaomi reported revenues of RMB 115.96 billion, a 30.5% increase year-on-year, and an adjusted net profit of RMB 10.83 billion, reflecting a 75.4% increase year-on-year. The gross margin for the quarter was 22.5%, up from 20.7% in Q2 2024 [7][6]. - The report includes revised financial forecasts, with 2025 revenue estimates reduced by 4% to RMB 483.02 billion and adjusted EPS lowered to RMB 1.67, down from RMB 1.80 [8][6]. - The report anticipates a continued focus on high-end smartphone models, projecting a recovery in smartphone gross margins in Q4 2025 as new high-end models are launched [6][7]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation for 2026, estimating total revenues of RMB 605.82 billion, with the mobile and AIoT segment contributing RMB 423.84 billion and the automotive segment contributing RMB 181.98 billion [9][6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the mobile and AIoT segment is projected at 25 times, while the automotive segment is valued at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.2 times [9][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 439 million CNY for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.9% to 63 million CNY [1]. - The tutoring business showed strong growth, with revenues increasing by 58.7% to 52 million CNY, and the number of enrolled students rising by 56.6% to 23,000 [1][3]. - The company is expanding its presence in the Guangzhou market, with a significant increase in the number of learning centers, while facing challenges in the Shenzhen market due to intensified competition and management adjustments [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's gross margin was 34.3%, down 10.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high initial costs associated with new learning centers in Guangzhou [2]. - The adjusted net profit for the same period was 81 million CNY, a decrease of 13.1% year-on-year [1][2]. Market Expansion - The company plans to continue expanding in the Guangdong province, with new learning centers in Guangzhou performing well and future plans for operations in Dongguan, Foshan, and other cities by 2028 [3][4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been revised downwards to 159 million CNY, 209 million CNY, and 271 million CNY, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 25%, 28%, and 29% [4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.28 CNY, 0.37 CNY, and 0.48 CNY, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 9x, 7x, and 6x [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7][16] Core Views - The company demonstrated robust resilience in the first half of 2025, with a revenue of RMB 23.94 billion (+0.8% YoY) and a net profit of RMB 5.79 billion (+23.0% YoY) [4][13] - The beer business achieved volume and price growth, leading the industry in premiumization, with beer revenue of RMB 23.16 billion (+2.6% YoY) and sales volume of 6.487 million kiloliters (+2.2% YoY) [5][14] - The baijiu business is undergoing significant adjustments, with revenue declining to RMB 780 million (-33.7% YoY), prompting a strategic restructuring [6][15] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a gross margin of 48.9% (+2.0 percentage points YoY) and a net margin of 24.2% (+4.4 percentage points YoY) in 1H25 [4][13] - Core EBIT reached RMB 7.11 billion (+11.3% YoY), with an EBITDA margin improvement of 3.1 percentage points to 34.8% [4][13] - The forecasted EPS for 2025-2027 is RMB 1.72, RMB 1.80, and RMB 1.91 respectively, with a target price maintained at HK$36 [2][16] Business Segment Analysis - The beer segment showed strong performance with a price per ton of RMB 3,570 (+0.4% YoY) and a significant increase in premium product sales [5][14] - The baijiu segment faced challenges due to government consumption restrictions, leading to a strategic shift towards more flexible pricing and product strategy adjustments [6][15] Market Position and Valuation - The company is positioned as the largest beer enterprise in China, with significant advantages in channels, costs, and brand recognition [7][16] - The current P/E ratio of 15 is below the industry average, indicating substantial valuation recovery potential [7][16]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported stable performance with a focus on global game expansion, achieving revenue of 27.99 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.4% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 3.2% [3][4] - The gross profit for Q2 was 18.05 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 64.7%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-over-year [3][4] - The adjusted net profit reached 9.53 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 32.0% and a net margin of 34.2%, up 3.5 percentage points year-over-year [3][4] Game Business Performance - The revenue from games and related services in Q2 was 22.8 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 13.7% [4] - Several games celebrated anniversary updates, achieving high rankings on various sales charts, including "Marvel Contest" reaching the top of the global Steam sales chart [4] - The company continues to deepen its overseas expansion with multiple new game launches and ongoing development of international versions of existing titles [4] Youdao Business Strategy - Youdao's revenue for Q2 was 1.42 billion yuan, exceeding consensus estimates, with a year-over-year growth of 7.2% and a gross margin of 43.0% [5] - The "production-model integration" strategy is driving the application of AI innovations in education, including new AI learning assistants and virtual speaking coaches [5] Cloud Music Operations - Cloud Music generated 1.97 billion yuan in revenue for Q2, with a gross margin of 36.1%, an increase of 4 percentage points year-over-year [6] - The company is focused on building a music ecosystem, enhancing user experience through innovative features [6] Financial Projections - The company expects revenues of 114.73 billion yuan, 119.65 billion yuan, and 124.39 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] - The projected adjusted net profits for the same years are 39.41 billion yuan, 40.85 billion yuan, and 42.59 billion yuan [7] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on these projections [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (stock code: 1810.HK) [1][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 227.25 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.2%, and a net profit (NON-GAAP) of 21.51 billion yuan, up 69.8% year-on-year [3]. - The automotive business reached a record high in revenue and sales, with Q2 revenue of 21.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 233.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.4% [3]. - The company plans to enter the European market by 2027, leveraging over 95% brand recognition to replicate its domestic success [3]. - The smartphone business showed strong performance in overseas markets, with Q2 shipments in Southeast Asia ranking first, and market share in Europe rising to 23.4% [3]. - R&D expenses increased by 35.8% year-on-year to 14.48 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a commitment to core technology development [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported an operating profit of 26.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 177.5% [3]. - The automotive business's gross margin improved to 26.4% in Q2, up 11.0 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company forecasts revenues of 497.73 billion yuan, 630.36 billion yuan, and 724.57 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 41.72 billion yuan, 55.71 billion yuan, and 66.79 billion yuan [4][6].