Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (OW) rating for Zhejiang Supor with a price target (PT) of Rmb61, revised down from Rmb63 [2][20][21]. Core Insights - Supor's 1Q25 sales and earnings increased by 7.6% and 5.8% year-over-year, respectively, aligning with market expectations. The company is expected to outperform peers due to lower US sales exposure, a diversified production base, and fixed profit margins for OEM orders from Groupe SEB [2][10][20]. - The small appliance industry in China is anticipated to face uncertainties in both domestic and overseas demand in 2025. However, Supor's sales and earnings growth is forecasted to be 3.9% and 5.8% year-over-year, respectively, for 2025 [2][10][20][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Supor's 1Q25 results showed domestic sales growth of approximately 3% year-over-year, driven by an extended trade-in policy for small appliances. Export sales increased by 16% year-over-year due to front-loaded orders ahead of US tariff increases [7]. - The gross profit margin improved by 0.1 percentage points year-over-year to 23.9%, while the operating profit margin increased by 0.4 percentage points to 9.9% [7][9]. 2025 Outlook - Supor aims for positive growth in both revenue and earnings in 2025, targeting a stable net margin despite weak domestic consumption demand. The company anticipates a slowdown in export sales growth starting from 2Q25, maintaining a full-year growth target of around 5% [7][10]. - The impact of US tariffs is expected to be limited, as most products exported to the US are now produced in Vietnam, which benefits from a 90-day waiver period for tariff hikes [7][10]. Valuation - The report employs a DCF model to derive a price target of Rmb61, implying an 18x forward P/E ratio, with an assumed WACC of 8.0% and a terminal growth rate of 1.0% [11][21][22]. - Supor's strong cash-generating capability and low capital expenditure requirements (<1% of sales) support a high dividend payout ratio, estimated to be over 90% for 2025-26, translating to a 5% dividend yield [10][20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ming Yang Smart Energy is Overweight, with an industry view classified as Attractive [6]. Core Insights - The financial results for 2024 showed a net profit of Rmb346 million, representing an 8.1% year-over-year decline, primarily due to gross profit margin pressure, lower-than-expected wind turbine generator (WTG) shipments, and reduced wind farm sales [2][4]. - The guidance for 2025 includes total shipments expected to reach 20GW, with 16GW onshore and 4GW offshore, alongside a projected recovery in WTG gross profit margin by 5-10 percentage points due to improved average selling prices (ASP) and cost reductions [4][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the gross profit margin (GPM) was 7.5%, down 0.5 percentage points year-over-year, with recurring net profit decreasing by 14.3% to Rmb175 million [2]. - Revenue for 2024 was Rmb27.2 billion, down 3.4% year-over-year, while total WTG shipments were 10.8GW, which was below guidance [2][8]. - The net loss for the fourth quarter of 2024 was Rmb462 million, compared to a net profit of Rmb148 million in the third quarter of 2024 [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates new orders to exceed the 2024 level of 27GW, with offshore projects accounting for 20% and overseas projects for 40% [4][8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at Rmb2.36, with revenue forecasted to increase to Rmb76.244 billion [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Luzhou Lao Jiao Co. Ltd is Equal-weight [5] Core Insights - The company reported 1.8% sales growth and 0.4% net profit growth year-over-year in 1Q25, which aligns with estimates [8] - The dividend payout ratio increased to 65% in 2024 from 60% in 2023, with targets of 70% and 75% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [8] - The company aims for steady revenue growth in 2025, despite a challenging market environment [8] Revenue and Profitability - Mid-high end liquor sales rose 3% year-over-year, accounting for 88.4% of total liquor sales, while low-end liquor sales increased by 6% in 2024 [2] - Operating profit margin (OPM) declined by 1.0 percentage points year-over-year in 1Q25, with a narrowed gross profit margin (GPM) due to a lower product mix [2] - In 2024, OPM contracted by 0.7 percentage points, driven by a 2.8 percentage point decrease in GPM, partially offset by savings in operating expenses [2] Financial Position - Customer advances were Rmb3.1 billion in 1Q25, down from Rmb4.0 billion in 4Q24 and Rmb2.5 billion in 1Q24 [3] - The net cash position improved to Rmb31.4 billion in 1Q25 from Rmb29.0 billion in 4Q24 and Rmb21.4 billion in 1Q24 [3] - Cash from selling products decreased by 7% year-over-year in 1Q25 to Rmb9.9 billion [3] Future Projections - The company projects net profit growth of 1.7% year-over-year in 2024, which is 4% below consensus estimates [8] - The price target for the stock is set at Rmb122.00, indicating a downside of 3% from the closing price of Rmb125.36 on April 25, 2025 [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the fiscal years ending in 2024, 2025, and 2026 are Rmb9.58, Rmb10.10, and Rmb10.74 respectively [5]

J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 27 April 2025 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. Wuliangye - A 2024 sales up 7.1% yoy at expense of relaxing credit & rising rebates to distributors; 2025 sales target of c5% (in line with GDP growth) ...

Investment Rating - The report rates Yonyou Network as Neutral with a price target of Rmb12.00 for December 2025, down from a previous target of Rmb13.00, indicating a potential downside of 12% from the current share price [2][12][13]. Core Insights - Yonyou experienced another earnings shock in Q1 2025, reporting a 21% year-over-year revenue decline, the worst in over 30 years, and a net loss of Rmb736 million, resulting in a net profit margin of -53% [8][11]. - Despite the poor financial results, Yonyou's share price has increased by 35% year-to-date and 17% over the past 12 months, contrasting with the SHCOMP index performance [8]. - The company has been adjusting its workforce, reducing staff by 25% over two years, with current employment at 19,600 [8]. - The report suggests that Yonyou's aggressive R&D capitalization policy, which exceeds 50% of total spending, raises concerns about the quality of its earnings [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Estimates - Adjusted EPS for FY25 is revised down to -Rmb0.34 from -Rmb0.22, and for FY26 to -Rmb0.12 from Rmb0.01 [3]. - Revenue forecasts for FY25-26 have been reduced by approximately 4% [8]. Quarterly Forecasts - The adjusted EPS for FY24 is projected at -Rmb0.62, with expectations of gradual improvement leading to a positive EPS of Rmb0.07 by FY27 [4][10]. Performance Metrics - Yonyou's revenue for FY24 is estimated at Rmb9,153 million, with a projected growth of 2.9% in FY25 and 7.5% in FY26 [10]. - The company reported a significant decline in gross profit margin to 39.1% in Q1 2025, down from 41.5% in the previous year [18]. Market Position - Yonyou holds a mid-30% market share in the ERP sector in China, primarily serving state-owned enterprises and government organizations [11]. - The report recommends considering rival Kingdee for ERP investments due to better execution and growth metrics [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Chongqing Changan Automobile is Overweight [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights a resilient performance in Q1 2025, with a net profit after tax (NPAT) of Rmb1.35 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.8%, despite a revenue decline of 7.7% to Rmb34.1 billion [1][2]. - The report anticipates a notable narrowing of losses in the NEV (New Energy Vehicle) segment, as indicated by a reduction in minority interest losses [1]. - Gross margin improved modestly by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 13.9%, although it remains below the previous year's margin of 14.9%, suggesting ongoing pricing pressures [2]. - The investment thesis is strengthened by the visibility of profit growth driven by advancements in NEV technology [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 NPAT: Rmb1.35 billion, YoY growth of 16.8% [1]. - Revenue decreased by 7.7% to Rmb34.1 billion [1]. - Gross margin increased by 1.1 percentage points YoY to 13.9% [2]. NEV Business Outlook - Expected significant reduction in losses related to the NEV business, with minority interest losses decreasing from Rmb302 million in Q1 2024 to Rmb137 million in Q1 2025 [1]. - The report emphasizes improving profit growth visibility into 2025 due to NEV advancements [2]. Market Position - The price target for Chongqing Changan Automobile is set at Rmb17.90, indicating a potential upside of 45% from the current price of Rmb12.35 [7]. - The company has a market capitalization of Rmb105.43 billion [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Pharmaron is Equal-weight [4] Core Insights - The industry view is considered Attractive, with a price target set at Rmb27.40, indicating a 3% upside from the current price of Rmb26.61 [4] - In 1Q25, Pharmaron reported revenue of Rmb3,099 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth, aligning with the 2025 guidance of 10-15% growth [7] - The revenue streams from North America, EU, and China showed year-over-year growth of 16.8%, 26.6%, and 13.1%, respectively, contributing approximately 65%, 18%, and 15% to total revenue [2] - The customer base saw revenue from the top 20 pharmaceutical customers grow by 29% year-over-year, while other customers grew by 14% [2] - Adjusted non-IFRS net profit for 1Q25 was Rmb349 million, a 3.1% increase year-over-year, with softer growth attributed to depreciation and amortization costs from biologics capacity launch [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 revenue was Rmb3,099 million, up 16% year-over-year, consistent with the guidance for 2025 [7] - Net operating cash flow increased by 14.4% to Rmb853 million, with capital expenditures of Rmb556 million, up 11.4% year-over-year [2] Customer and Market Dynamics - Revenue from the top 20 pharma customers increased by 29% year-over-year, while other customers saw a 14% growth [2] - New order growth for both Lab services and CMC was over 10%, although it decelerated from over 20% in 2024 due to a higher order base in 1Q24 [7] Valuation Metrics - The company has a market capitalization of Rmb29,328.6 million and an enterprise value of Rmb33,234.4 million [4] - The projected EPS for the fiscal years ending in 2024, 2025, and 2026 are Rmb0.97, Rmb1.26, and Rmb1.00, respectively [4]

China TransInfo Technology (002373.SZ) Quick Take: Mixed 1Q25 Print – Op. Profit Miss but Earnings Beat on Investment Income CITI'S TAKE Flash | Transinfo reported 1Q25 results with 1Q25 revenue edging up 2% YoY to Rmb1.6bn, 18% ahead BBGe, and 1Q25 GM expanded 0.6ppts YoY to 29.7%, 4.6ppts below BBGe. 1Q25 opex stood at Rmb555mn (flat YoY), 34% higher than BBGe, thus the 1Q25 operating loss came in at Rmb77mn. Helped by the gain from a fair value change in investment of Rmb302mn, 1Q25 net profit was Rmb221 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD with a target price of HKD 491.00 [6][21][19] Core Insights - BYD reported a revenue of CNY 170 billion in 1Q25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 38% due to a shipment of 1 million NEVs, which is a 60% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The gross profit margin (GPM) for BYD in 1Q25 was 20.1%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing fierce competition in the market [1][8] - Operating profit for BYD was CNY 5.6 billion, a 39% increase year-on-year, while net profit reached CNY 9.2 billion, doubling year-on-year [1][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 1Q25 was CNY 170.36 billion, a 36% increase year-on-year but a 38% decrease quarter-on-quarter [8] - Operating profit was CNY 5.6 billion, up 39% year-on-year, while net profit was CNY 9.2 billion, reflecting a 100% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The GPM was 20.1%, down from 20.7% in 1Q24, indicating a decline in profitability due to competitive pressures [1][8] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that BYD continues to benefit from its business scale despite a competitive environment, with sales and marketing expenses growing at a slower pace than revenue [1][4] - Recent government policies tightening smart driving function promotions have affected order volumes across the industry, prompting a shift in focus towards pricing strategies [2][3] Strategic Initiatives - BYD has initiated time-limited promotions with price cuts of 8-17% on select models to stimulate demand [4] - The company aims to improve liquidity through a proposed distribution of bonus shares, increasing the total number of shares from 3,039 million to 9,117 million [5][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Aluminum Corp of China (Chalco) H/A shares, with target prices adjusted to HKD6.10 for H-shares and RMB9.80 for A-shares, implying upside potentials of approximately 42% and 48% respectively [5][40]. Core Insights - Chalco reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) of approximately RMB3.5 billion in 1Q25, reflecting a 5% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 59% year-on-year increase, attributed to better-than-expected sales volume and average selling prices (ASP) for aluminum and alumina [1][9]. - The company expects capital expenditures of RMB14.8 billion in 2025, focusing on wind power projects and new alumina production sites, while aiming to increase green power usage from 47% in 2024 to 55% in 2025 [2][9]. - Despite solid fundamentals for aluminum, earnings are expected to decline by approximately 12% in 2025 due to lower alumina prices, with the alumina price already below breakeven levels [3][9]. Financial Performance - In 1Q25, Chalco's sales volumes for self-produced aluminum decreased by 5% quarter-on-quarter, while alumina sales increased by 6% quarter-on-quarter. However, revenue and gross profits fell by 12% and 29% quarter-on-quarter respectively due to a significant drop in alumina prices [1][31]. - The company recorded a decrease in selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses by 6% year-on-year and 66% quarter-on-quarter, indicating effective cost control [1][31]. - Investment income rose by RMB0.37 billion in 1Q25, driven by higher alumina prices year-on-year and gains from hedging [36]. Production and Operational Strategy - Chalco's aluminum production operating rate reached 95% in China, supported by demand from electric vehicles, batteries, and solar products [3][9]. - The company plans to relocate alumina production from inland to coastal provinces to reduce transportation costs and expects to close down 1-2 million tons of alumina production in 2025 [2][34]. - Chalco aims to optimize its alumina capacity of 25 million tons by utilizing lower-cost imported bauxite, which may lead to some impairment losses [34]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates steady aluminum prices in 2025, supported by robust demand from the "New Three" sectors, while alumina prices are expected to have limited downside due to their current low levels [3][9]. - The coal price and electricity costs remained weak in 1Q25, which may benefit Chalco's operational costs [3][9].