Q1 净利率提升，看好估值重估机会 证券研究报告 潮宏基 (002345 CH) 华泰研究 年报点评 2025 年 4 月 29 日│中国内地 零售 潮宏基公布年报及一季报：2024 年收入 65.2 亿元（同比+10.5%），归母净 利润 1.94 亿元（同比-41.9%），主要系女包业务计提商誉减值拖累，剔除该 影响后归母净利润 3.5 亿元，同比-5.1%；1Q25 收入 22.52 亿元（同比 +25.4%），归母净利润 1.89 亿元（同比+44.4%），业绩表现亮眼。同时， 公司拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 2.5 元（含税），叠加半年度分红， 全年累计分红比例为 160.59%。潮宏基品牌定位年轻时尚，凭借非遗工艺 和时尚设计形成差异化产品矩阵，我们看好潮宏基产品力提升的趋势，有望 带动估值体系由渠道商向品牌商转型。维持"买入"评级。 产品结构变化致毛利率小幅下降，经营杠杆优化下 1Q25 净利率提升 2024 年公司潮宏基珠宝品牌收入/营业利润同比分别+13.3%/12.8%，快于 黄金首饰市场规模 9.8%的增速（据中国珠宝玉石首饰行业协会）；尤其是 4Q24 增长提速，潮宏基品牌收 ...

证券研究报告 格科微 (688728 CH) 2024 年：手机驱动收入增长，市场竞争激烈利润率下滑 2024 年分产品看，公司手机 CIS 产品收入 36 亿（yoy +60%，占比 56%）， 毛利率 21%（yoy-10.40pct，主要系 2/5/8M 低像素手机 CIS 市场竞争激烈）； 非手机 CIS 产品收入 14 亿元（yoy +18%，占比 22%）,毛利率 35.6%（yoy +0.32pct），显示驱动芯片收入 13.6 亿元（yoy+9.5%，占比 21%），毛利率 14%（yoy-6.4pct）。公司 24 年末存货达到 59.6 亿元，1Q25 达到 62.2 亿 元，主因手机 CIS 产品自有晶圆厂的生产备货。 25 年：预计 50M 高像素产品将逐渐在自有晶圆工厂量产 1Q25 公司实现营收 15.2 亿（yoy+18%，qoq-17%），归母净亏损 5,173 万， 毛利率 20.9%（yoy-4.4pct，qoq-0.6pct），我们预计 50M 产品实现约 1 亿 元收入，25 年全年 0.8um/0.7um/0.61um/1.0um 产品逐渐进入量产，或实 现超过 10 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 2.585 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.44%. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 169 million RMB, up 75.41% year-on-year [1]. - The domestic AI application market is experiencing robust growth, which is expected to accelerate the intelligent upgrade of terminal products, providing new opportunities for the company [1]. - The company has improved its profitability, with Q1 2025 gross margin and net profit margin at 19.53% and 6.55%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.68 and 1.68 percentage points [3]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - The home appliance segment generated 6.094 billion RMB in revenue for 2024, up 33.08% year-on-year, driven by stable demand from overseas clients [2]. - The automotive electronics segment saw a revenue increase of 47.97%, reaching 816 million RMB, supported by expanding delivery scales to Tier 1 customers and rapid growth in self-developed product lines [2]. - The intelligent business segment achieved 1.22 billion RMB in revenue, a 26.29% increase, benefiting from the acceleration of intelligent upgrades in the AI era [2]. Profitability and Efficiency - The company’s focus on high-value clients and cost control has led to improved operational efficiency, with a decrease in expense ratios [3]. - The subsidiary Chengchang Technology turned a profit in Q1 2025, contributing positively to the overall financial performance [1][3]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 704 million, 904 million, and 1.204 billion RMB, respectively, with upward adjustments of 2% for 2025 and 2026 [4]. - The report estimates a target market capitalization of 21.47 billion RMB, with a target price of 23.19 RMB per share, reflecting a significant increase from the previous target of 17.50 RMB [4][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.002 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.75%, and a net profit of 185 million RMB, up 41.67% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 357 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 30.40%, with a net profit of 96 million RMB, which is a significant increase of 148.29% [2]. - The company is expanding its product categories beyond inflatable mattresses to include bags and water sports products, optimizing its product structure [2][3]. - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was reported at 33.72% and 38.83%, respectively, showing a stable increase [3]. - The company is leveraging its overseas production capabilities in Vietnam and Cambodia to enhance market share in waterproof bags and other categories [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - The company demonstrated strong growth in both 2024 and Q1 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net profit [2]. - Revenue breakdown for 2024 includes inflatable mattresses (586 million RMB), bags (204 million RMB), and other products, all showing positive growth rates [2]. Operational Analysis - The company is focusing on multi-category expansion, with notable growth in inflatable mattresses, bags, and cushions [2]. - The international market is a key growth area, with revenue from overseas markets reaching 800 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 23.07% [2]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.94, 2.68, and 3.32 RMB, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13, 9, and 7, indicating a favorable valuation [4]. - The report anticipates continued strong performance driven by effective management and product innovation [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a current price of 57.45 CNY and a fair value of 66.13 CNY [3]. Core Insights - The company is currently in a strategic investment phase focusing on multi-platform development and AI integration, awaiting a performance turning point [1][7]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.44 billion CNY, a year-over-year decrease of 2.8%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 163 million CNY, marking a shift from profit to loss [8][9]. - The company is experiencing high costs and goodwill impairment, primarily due to increased operating costs, R&D, and sales expenses, alongside a significant rise in server costs related to AI functionality development [7][9]. - The AI commercialization process is showing initial success, with over 500 million AI server calls and a 100% year-over-year increase in AI native application revenue, reaching approximately 67 million CNY [10][11]. - Despite short-term pressures, the long-term outlook remains positive due to ongoing multi-platform advancements and AI product commercialization, with expectations of a performance turnaround as mobile product engagement and B2B market orders increase [11][27]. Financial Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 1.60 billion CNY, 1.81 billion CNY, and 2.10 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 11.0%, 13.3%, and 16.1% [2][27]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover to 61 million CNY, 129 million CNY, and 206 million CNY over the same period, with growth rates of 137.2%, 111.9%, and 59.9% [2][27]. - The report highlights the company's strong position in the domestic digital creative sector and suggests a valuation of 8X PS for 2025, leading to a fair value estimate of 66.13 CNY per share [27].

证券研究报告 迈克生物 (300463 CH) 主业收入平稳增长，仪器装机积极提升 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 医疗器械 | 公司 24 年实现收入/归母净利/扣非归母净利 25.49/1.27/1.38 亿元 （yoy-12.0%/-59.4%/-56.2%），符合业绩预告预期。公司 24 年业绩下滑主 因行业政策短期扰动、公司代理业务持续调整，叠加公司计提商誉减值。公 司 24 年自主产品收入 19.13 亿元（yoy+1.8%），核心主业收入平稳增长。 公 司 1Q25 实 现收入 /归母净利 /扣 非归母净 利 5.10/0.24/0.40 亿 元 （yoy-17.2%/-80.1%/-66.2%），公司 1Q25 业绩下滑主因公司行业政策短期 扰动、公司持续推进直销转分销工作，叠加积极强化销售推广投入。考虑公 司持续调整产品结构及销售模式，叠加国内外市场推广持续加强，看好公司 核心自主业务持续提升竞争力并实现中长期向好发展。维持"买入"。 化学发光：24 年收入稳健增长，看好 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price over the next six months [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to low prices in the industrial silicon and organic silicon markets, with a projected revenue of 26.692 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.41% year-on-year, but a significant decline in net profit by 33.64% to 1.740 billion yuan [1][3]. - The industrial silicon sector shows strong production and sales performance, with a production increase of over 25% to 4.71 million tons in 2024, despite low pricing, which has decreased by 16.36% year-on-year to an average selling price of 11,174 yuan per ton [2]. - The organic silicon market is stabilizing, with demand supported by sectors like new energy and home appliances, while the supply side is expected to improve as new capacity releases slow down [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 26.692 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.740 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 33.64% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 5.228 billion yuan, down 3.47% year-on-year, and a net profit of 260 million yuan, a decrease of 50.81% year-on-year [1]. Industrial Silicon - The industrial silicon market is characterized by increased production and sales, with a total output of 471,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of over 25% [2]. - Exports of industrial silicon rose by 27% to 720,000 tons, driven by recovering overseas demand [2]. - The average selling price for industrial silicon has decreased significantly, impacting overall profitability [2]. Organic Silicon - The organic silicon sector is expected to see improved supply-demand dynamics as new capacity additions slow down, despite current pricing pressures leading to losses in the industry [3]. - Demand remains stable, particularly in the new energy and home appliance sectors, although the real estate sector shows weakness [3]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 projected at 1.744 billion, 2.394 billion, and 3.284 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a recovery trend [3].

2025 年 4 月 29 日 公司研究 PX 景气下行 Q4 业绩承压，新材料项目建设稳步推进 ——荣盛石化（002493.SZ）2024 年年报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：8.19 元 作者 分析师：赵乃迪 执业证书编号：S0930517050005 010-57378026 zhaond@ebscn.com 分析师：蔡嘉豪 执业证书编号：S0930523070003 021-52523800 caijiahao@ebscn.com 市场数据 | 总股本(亿股) | 101.26 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(亿元)： | 829.28 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 7.71/11.60 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 12.25% | -29% -16% -4% 9% 21% 04/24 07/24 10/24 01/25 荣盛石化 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | % | 1M | 3M | 1Y | | 相对 | -2.57 | -7.81 | -33.37 | | 绝对 | -5.46 | -8.33 | -29. ...

2025 年 4 月 29 日 ——科锐国际（300662.SZ）2024 年年报与 25 年一季报点评 要点 事件：科锐国际发布2024年年报与25年一季报，24年公司实现营收117.88亿元， 同比+20.5%；实现归母净利润2.05亿元，同比+2.4%。25Q1实现营收33.03亿 元，同比+25.1%；实现归母净利润0.58亿元，同比+42.1%。 灵活用工业务表现较好，中国大陆营收持续增长。分业务：24 年公司灵活用工/ 中高端人才访寻/招聘流程外包/技术服务/其他的营收分别为 111.37/ 3.75/ 0.55/0.63/1.58 亿元，营收分别同比+22.4%/ -11.6%/ -18.3%/ +44.2%/ +8.1%， 受市场招聘需求影响，公司的中高端人才访寻、招聘流程外包业务的营收同比增 速下滑。公司灵活用工业务营收增长主要是因 IT 研发岗需求增长，截至 24 年末， 公司灵活用工业务岗位外包人数为 45500 余人，全年净增约 10000 人，其中技 术与研发类岗位的在职结构占比提升至 68.24%，同比+6.67pcts。截至 25 年 3 月末，外包人数增至 47400 人，其中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Chengdu Bank (601838.SH) with a current price of 17.74 CNY [1]. Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue for 2024 reached 23 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.9 billion CNY, up 10.2% year-on-year [3]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) for 2024 was 1.66%, showing a narrowing decline compared to previous periods, indicating a stabilization in interest income [8]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.66% at the end of 2024, maintaining a low level [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Chengdu Bank achieved operating income of 230 billion CNY, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 129 billion CNY, reflecting a 10.2% growth [3]. - For Q1 2025, the bank reported operating income of 58 billion CNY, up 3.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 30 billion CNY, a 5.6% increase [3]. Revenue Composition - The growth rates for net interest income and non-interest income in 2024 were 4.6% and 11.7%, respectively, with a notable decline in non-interest income growth in Q1 2025 [4][9]. - Non-interest income accounted for 17.4% of total revenue in Q1 2025, down 2.3 percentage points from 2024 [9]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.66% at the end of 2024, with a coverage ratio of 456% [10][11]. - The bank's credit impairment losses for Q1 2025 were 8.6 billion CNY, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous year [10]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the core tier 1 capital ratio was 8.8%, with a risk-weighted asset (RWA) growth rate of 16.1% [11][33]. - The bank's capital structure has been strengthened through the conversion of convertible bonds, increasing the total share capital [11]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 3.16, 3.27, and 3.35 CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 5.61, 5.42, and 5.30 [12][34].