Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (1164.HK) with a target price of HKD 2.25 [1][4]. Core Views - The third quarter operational performance met expectations, with a uranium production of 692.6 tons, achieving a completion rate of 97.2%. The report anticipates increased demand for natural uranium due to renewed focus on nuclear power in both China and the U.S. [1][2]. - The report forecasts net profits for the years 2024 to 2026 to be HKD 420.8 million, HKD 849.2 million, and HKD 1 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.055, HKD 0.112, and HKD 0.137 [2][3]. Summary by Sections Production and Sales Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a uranium production of 692.6 tons, with individual mines showing completion rates of 99.4% and 101.6% for specific operations [2]. - New procurement orders signed in Q3 totaled 1,179 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 47.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9%. The sales orders were 1,288 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 43.2% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44.9% [2]. Financial Performance - The report projects sales revenue to grow from HKD 3.65 billion in FY2022 to HKD 11.92 billion in FY2026, with a growth rate of 101.8% in FY2023 [3]. - The net profit is expected to decline slightly in FY2024 to HKD 420.8 million, before increasing significantly in the following years [3]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a PE ratio forecast of 32.51 for FY2024, decreasing to 13.09 by FY2026, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [3]. - The projected PB ratio is expected to decline from 32.4 in FY2024 to 2.39 in FY2026, suggesting a more favorable valuation over time [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that Q3 revenue was 167.19 billion (YoY +8.1%, QoQ +3.8%), slightly below consensus expectations [2] - Gross profit reached 88.83 billion (YoY +16.1%, QoQ +3.4%), also slightly below consensus [2] - Net profit was 53.23 billion (YoY +47.1%, QoQ +11.8%), exceeding consensus by 17.4% [2] - The report emphasizes stable growth in domestic long-term games and incremental growth from overseas games, with domestic game revenue at 37.3 billion (YoY +14%) driven by titles like "Valorant" and "Honor of Kings" [2] - Marketing business revenue was 30 billion (YoY +16.6%), surpassing consensus expectations [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 revenue was 167.19 billion, slightly missing consensus by 0.4% [2] - Gross profit was 88.83 billion, missing consensus by 0.8% [2] - Net profit was 53.23 billion, beating consensus by 17.4% [2] - The company expects net profits (Non-IFRS) for 2024/25/26 to be 220.80 billion, 238.91 billion, and 260.27 billion respectively [2] Business Segments - Value-added services (VAS) showed a gross margin of 57.5%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus of 56.7% due to growth in gaming revenue [2] - Marketing business gross margin was 53%, below Bloomberg consensus of 56% [2] - Financial technology revenue was 53.1 billion (YoY +2%), slightly below consensus of 54.06 billion [2] Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in gaming and advertising, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on the company's long-term competitive advantages [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for NetEase-S (09999 HK) [2][5][28] Core Views - NetEase's PC gaming revenue showed strong growth, while mobile gaming revenue declined due to a high base effect [3][19] - The company's gaming business is stabilizing, with key focus on the upcoming game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" [3][21] - NetEase's old games like "Fantasy Westward Journey" remain stable, while "Identity V" and "Naraka: Bladepoint" continue to perform well [3][21] - The company's game development capabilities and pipeline are strong, with multiple new games set to launch [5][21] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, NetEase reported revenue of RMB 26 2 billion, down 4% YoY, with Non-GAAP net profit of RMB 7 5 billion, down 13% YoY [2][10] - The company's gaming revenue was RMB 20 2 billion, down 1% YoY, with PC gaming revenue up 29% YoY to RMB 5 9 billion [3][19] - NetEase's deferred revenue grew 10% YoY to RMB 15 5 billion [3][20] - Youdao's revenue increased 2% YoY to RMB 1 6 billion, with advertising revenue up 46% YoY [4][22] - NetEase Cloud Music's revenue grew 1% YoY to RMB 2 billion, with gross margin improving 5 6 percentage points to 32 8% [4][26] Business Segments Gaming - PC gaming revenue growth was driven by the return of "World of Warcraft" and the strong performance of "Naraka: Bladepoint" [3][19] - "World of Warcraft" saw a 50% increase in daily active users compared to pre-shutdown levels, while "Hearthstone" saw a 150% increase in active users [3][21] - New games like "Marvel Rivals" and "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" are set to launch in December 2024 [3][21] Youdao - Youdao's learning services revenue declined 19% YoY to RMB 770 million due to business restructuring and optimization [4][22] - Smart device revenue grew 25% YoY to RMB 320 million, driven by new product launches [4][22] - Advertising revenue increased 46% YoY to RMB 490 million, supported by the application of AI technology [4][22] NetEase Cloud Music - NetEase Cloud Music's gross margin improved significantly, reaching 32 8% in Q3 2024, up 5 6 percentage points YoY [4][26] - The improvement was attributed to increased music subscription revenue and better cost control [4][26] Valuation and Forecast - The report revised down NetEase's profit forecasts for 2024-2026, with adjusted net profit estimates of RMB 32 billion, RMB 36 1 billion, and RMB 38 billion, respectively [5][28] - The target price was adjusted to HKD 157-181, representing a 22% reduction [5][28] - The valuation is based on a 13-15x PE ratio for 2025 [5][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Alibaba-W (9988 HK) with a target price of 121 HKD for FY2025 [2] Core Views - Alibaba's Take Rate has stabilized due to service fees and full-site promotion, with continued investments in supply chain and user experience improvement [1][2] - Cloud Intelligence segment's profitability significantly exceeded expectations, with multiple businesses showing substantial reductions in losses [1][2] - The company's share repurchase program is progressing steadily, with a 24% YoY increase in repurchase amount to $4.1 billion in the quarter [2] Financial Performance - Alibaba's FY2025E-FY2027E revenue is forecasted at 10218/11234/12049 billion RMB, with adjusted net profit of 1441/1825/1905 billion RMB [2] - Taobao and Tmall Group's revenue reached 990 billion RMB in CY24Q3, a 1% YoY increase, with customer management revenue up 2% to 704 billion RMB [2] - Cloud Intelligence revenue grew 7% YoY to 296 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA surging 89% to 26.6 billion RMB [2] Business Segment Analysis Taobao and Tmall Group - Revenue increased 1% YoY to 990 billion RMB in CY24Q3, driven by double-digit order growth and 88VIP membership reaching 46 million [2] - Take Rate remained stable YoY, with a 0.6% service fee introduced in September expected to contribute fully in CY24Q4 [2] Cloud Intelligence Group - AI-related revenue has maintained triple-digit growth for five consecutive quarters [2] - The group reduced Tongyi Qianwen API prices while advancing scale effects and technological advantages [2] International Commerce - Revenue grew 29% YoY, primarily driven by strong growth in Choice [2] - Adjusted EBITA improved significantly to -29 billion RMB, better than the expected -36 billion RMB [2] Local Services and Digital Media - Local services revenue increased 14% YoY to 177 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA margin improving by 14 percentage points to -2% [21] - Digital media and entertainment revenue decreased 1% YoY to 57 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA margin improving by 0.4 percentage points to -3.1% [25] Share Repurchase - The company repurchased $4.1 billion worth of shares in the quarter, a $2.4 billion YoY increase [2] - FY2025 cumulative net share reduction reached 4.4%, with $22 billion remaining in the repurchase program [2] Valuation - The sum-of-the-parts valuation for FY25E stands at 2696 billion RMB, with a 20% holding discount applied [28] - The target price for US-listed BABA is $125, while the HK-listed 9988 HK target is 121 HKD [28]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The gaming business has exceeded expectations, with a focus on new game launches at the end of the year [2] - The company achieved revenue of 26.21 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 3.9% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 2.8% [2] - The gaming and related value-added services outperformed expectations with 20.9 billion yuan compared to the 20.7 billion yuan consensus [2] - The company’s long-term games continue to perform well, with significant contributions from titles like "Identity V" and "Naraka: Bladepoint" [2] - New games expected to launch in December, including Marvel IP licensed titles, are anticipated to drive revenue growth [2] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 gross profit was 16.48 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 62.9%, showing a year-over-year decrease of 2.9% [2] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 2024 was 7.5 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 13.3% [2] - The company forecasts adjusted net profits for CY 2024/25/26 to be 31.82 billion, 34.94 billion, and 38.32 billion yuan respectively [2][4] - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected at 2.2% for 2024, 7.1% for 2025, and 6.0% for 2026 [4][8] Key Financial Indicators - The company’s operating income for 2023 is projected at 103.47 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 7.2% [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 25% in 2023 to 21% by 2026 [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 16.1 in 2023 to 10.5 by 2026 [4][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 27.35 per share based on a 2024 PE valuation of 12X [5][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit, with a 172.3% rise to USD 150 million in Q3 2024, driven by a 12.5% increase in total revenue to USD 2.06 billion [2][13]. - Manufacturing revenue grew by 23.1% year-on-year, while the gross profit margin (GPM) increased by 0.6 percentage points to 24.1% [2][14]. - The company achieved a 9M return on invested capital (ROIC) and return on assets (ROA) of 10.8% and 6.5%, respectively, marking a 7-year high [2][13]. Financial Performance - Q3 manufacturing capacity utilization reached 95%, the highest in nine quarters, with a 9M GPM at a 7-year high [3][14]. - The average selling price (ASP) for products decreased by 4.9% year-on-year to USD 20.73, but the decline in prices narrowed each quarter [4][15]. - The retail segment saw Baosheng revenue decline by 10.8% to RMB 4 billion, but the gross profit margin improved to 33.5% [5][16]. Revenue Forecast - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be USD 470 million, USD 520 million, and USD 570 million, respectively, reflecting a positive growth outlook [5][17]. - The dividend payout ratio is projected to be around 70% in 2024, leading to an expected dividend yield of 10.0% based on the closing price on November 15 [5][17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid revenue and profit growth in Q3 2024, driven by technological innovation and customer acquisition, leading to a maintained "Buy" rating [2] - The revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached $1.055 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.0%, with adjusted net profit of $19.164 million, up 37.4% year-on-year [2] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of $416 million, a year-on-year increase of 54.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.6%, with adjusted net profit of $10.668 million, up 162.4% year-on-year [2] Revenue and Profitability Summary - The programmatic advertising platform Mintegral saw accelerated revenue growth, achieving $403 million in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 57.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.7% [3] - The gaming category generated $295 million in revenue in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 46.5%, while non-gaming categories reached $108 million, up 98.5% year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 21.1%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 2.4%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year [3] Future Growth Drivers - The company is leveraging AI to enhance the Mintegral platform, with the D7 Target ROAS feature launched in October 2024 to improve marketing ROI for clients [4] - The ongoing iteration of ROAS technology is expected to drive long-term growth by accumulating rich marketing data [4] - The company has expanded its client base in non-gaming categories, indicating the effectiveness of its multi-vertical strategy [3][4] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of $40 million, $72 million, and $88 million for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding EPS of $0.03, $0.05, and $0.06 [2][5] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 25.2, 14.0, and 11.4 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD com Inc -SW (09618) with a 6-month target price of 132 6 HKD [1] Core Views - JD com s Q3 2024 performance showed significant improvement in profitability with a 23 9% YoY increase in Non-GAAP net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders reaching 13 2 billion RMB [1] - The company s revenue for Q3 2024 reached 260 4 billion RMB a 5 1% YoY growth with service revenue growing 6 5% YoY to 55 8 billion RMB [1] - JD com initiated a $5 billion share repurchase plan with $3 6 billion already repurchased by September 30 2024 representing 8 1% of its outstanding shares as of December 31 2023 [1] Operational Highlights - JD com benefited from the "trade-in" policy with 3C and home appliance categories showing accelerated growth and double-digit increases in active users and shopping frequency for three consecutive quarters [1] - During the 11 11 shopping festival JD com s user count increased by over 20% YoY [1] - JD Retail achieved a 6 1% YoY revenue growth to 225 billion RMB with operating profit increasing 5 5% YoY to 11 608 billion RMB [1] - The electronics and home appliance category grew 2 7% YoY to 122 56 billion RMB while daily necessities and groceries grew 8 0% YoY to 82 053 billion RMB [1] - Third-party merchant orders grew over 30% YoY with user count increasing over 20% YoY [1] JD Logistics Performance - JD Logistics revenue grew 6 6% YoY to 44 4 billion RMB with operating profit reaching 2 086 billion RMB significantly exceeding market expectations of 1 265 billion RMB [1] - JD Logistics expanded its overseas supply chain network opening new self-operated warehouses in the US and Malaysia and planning to increase global self-operated warehouse area by over 100% by the end of 2025 [1] Strategic Initiatives - JD com is focusing on building a second growth curve in categories like daily necessities and apparel with apparel category showing double-digit growth [1] - The company is increasing marketing resources for JD Supermarket aiming for over 30% share of content marketing resources within JD and a 30% increase in external marketing investments [1] - JD Logistics is advancing its "Global Weaving Plan" to enhance its global supply chain network and support Chinese brands in going global [1] Financial Projections - The report adjusts JD com s 2024-2026 revenue forecasts to 11 357/12 335/12 652 billion RMB with YoY growth rates of 4 7%/8 6%/2 6% [1] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 is projected at 44 9/49 5/50 8 billion RMB [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tianli International Holdings (01773) with a 6-month target price [1] Core Views - FY24 revenue is expected to reach approximately RMB 3.3 billion, a 43% YoY increase, while adjusted net profit is projected at RMB 577 million, up 56% YoY [1] - Financial performance improvement is driven by steady growth in the number of customers for comprehensive education services and a significant increase in product sales revenue through online campus mall operations and supply chain integration [1] Business Expansion - Tianli has signed a new high school hosting project in Nanjing, covering an area of approximately 100 mu, with operations expected to commence on September 1, 2026 [1] - The company has entered into a service agreement with a middle school in Quanzhou, Fujian, to provide subject competition course training services [1] - KID STAR, a wholly-owned brand of Tianli, successfully won the bid for the first public-private partnership inclusive childcare project in Huangpu District, Guangzhou [1] Financial Forecasts - FY24-26 revenue forecasts are adjusted to RMB 3.3 billion, RMB 4.6 billion, and RMB 6.2 billion respectively [1] - Adjusted net profit for FY24-26 is projected at RMB 580 million, RMB 800 million, and RMB 1.1 billion respectively [1] - FY24-26 EPS is expected to be RMB 0.27, RMB 0.38, and RMB 0.5 per share, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14X, 11X, and 8X [1]

2024 年 11 月 18 日 公司研究 FY25Q2 业绩超预期，AI 赋能各业务板块稳健成长 ——联想集团（0992.HK）FY25Q2 业绩点评报告 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------|----------------------------------|------------------ ...