机械设备 2025 年 12 月 01 日 相关研究报告 《人形机器人：情绪向左，产业向右 —行业点评报告》-2025.11.20 《人形机器人的 2026："1-10"时刻开 启》-2025.11.5 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 《特斯拉首次公开明确 Optimus 量产 时间点，2026 年 Q1 前 V3 有望亮相— 行业点评报告》-2025.10.28 人形机器人：量产临界点已至，入场布局正当时 ——行业点评报告 孟鹏飞（分析师） 黄雄（分析师） mengpengfei@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522060001 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 机械设备 沪深300 huangxiong@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525070005 人形机器人板块持续反弹，布局窗口开启 近期人形机器人板块指数及龙头个股呈现显著反弹态势，资金回流明显，板块整 体步入上行通道。上周（11 月 24 日-28 日，全文同）大盘整体上行，沪深 300 与科创 50 指数分别上涨 1.64%、3.21%；人形机器 ...

传媒 2025 年 11 月 30 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 传媒 沪深300 相关研究报告 《模型和 Agent 交相辉映，加码布局 AI 应用—行业周报》-2025.11.23 《继续布局游戏、AI 应用，关注动漫 IP 内容上新—行业周报》-2025.11.16 《坚定布局游戏、AI 漫剧及 AI 广告 —行业周报》-2025.11.9 继续布局游戏等 AI 应用，积极关注电影市场回暖 ——行业周报 方光照（分析师） fangguangzhao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030004 新游储备蓄势，AI 眼镜/玩具等硬件频发，继续布局游戏及端侧 AI 应用 11 月 27 日，国家新闻出版署发布 11 月共 178 款国产游戏及 6 款进口游戏版号 获批信息，包括哔哩哔哩《闪耀吧！噜咪》、恺英网络《冰雪王者》、完美世界 《梦幻新诛仙：轻享》、吉比特《再世仙途》等，11 月国产游戏版号数量创年 内单月新高，2025 年累计已下发国产游戏版号 1532 个，丰富的 ...

2025 年 12 月 01 日 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 数据来源：聚源 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 行业名称 涨跌幅(%) 钢铁 1.589 农林牧渔 1.586 商贸零售 1.461 有色金属 1.444 国防军工 1.406 数据来源：聚源 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 行业名称 涨跌幅(%) 银行 -0.828 煤炭 -0.139 美容护理 0.068 通信 0.121 医药生物 0.137 数据来源：聚源 开源晨会 1201 ——晨会纪要 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【宏观经济】制造业和建筑业低位回升，服务业转弱——兼评 11 月 PMI 数据 -20251130 【宏观经济】利润增速转负，新质生产力效益增势向好——兼评 10 月企业利润数 据-20251127 【策略】提前布局春季躁动——投资策略周报-20251130 【策略】招商中证 2000 增强策略 ETF（159552.OF）的核心投资价值——见证小 巨人成长——投资策略专题-20251128 【策略】开源金股，12 月推荐——投资策略专题-20251128 ...

2025 年 11 月 30 日 中小盘研究团队 控制权交易浪潮迭起，关注明星企业和产业资本买家 ——中小盘周报 | 周佳（分析师） | 张越（分析师） | 赵晨旭（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhoujia@kysec.cn | zhangyue1@kysec.cn | zhaochenxu@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523070004 | 证书编号：S0790524090003 | 证书编号：S0790124120019 | 本周观点：控制权交易浪潮迭起，关注一级明星企业和大型产业资本买家 整体情况："并购六条"后控制权交易活跃度提升，近四成交易已完成。从整体 市场活跃度看，截至 2025 年 9 月 24 日，"并购六条"落地一年以来累计新披露 控制权交易已达 118 起，数量较"并购六条"前一年实现翻倍以上增长。从交易 进展看，截至 2025 年 9 月 24 日，"并购六条"一年来交易性控制权交易中已完 成的共 46 家次，占比近 4 成。 参与主体：卖方方面，30 亿以下市值公司占比超四成，科创板控制权交易日益 活跃。从市值、板块和企业属性看，标的 ...

北交所策略专题报告 2025 年 11 月 30 日 我国氢能行业进入关键发展阶段，关注北交所氢能产业链相关标的 北交所研究团队 ——北交所策略专题报告 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 我国氢能行业发展进入关键阶段，关注北交所氢能相关公司 我国氢能产业在"十四五"夯实基础后，正进入从"试点探索"向"示范应用" 迈进的关键阶段。"十五五"期间有望迎来破局，预计将呈现"市场竞争加剧、 技术创新加速、应用场景加大、商业模式加快"的"四加"格局，全产业链成本 有望显著下降，行业可能迎来拐点；氢能下游应用呈现"多点开花"态势，示范 应用扩展至交通、化工、冶金、电力(储能)、建筑等多个领域。燃料电池是氢能 源下游重要的应用发展方向，市场规模以及应用场景都呈现出不断扩大的趋势。 2019-2023 年我国氢燃料电池市场规模由 16.3 亿元增长至 39.3 亿元，年复合增长 率达 24.61%。预计 2024 年我国氢燃料电池市场规模达 59.9 亿元，同比增长 52.4%。 截至 2025 年 11 月 28 日，北交所有多家氢能相关公司，覆盖制、储、运、电 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The infrastructure REITs are expected to expand further, promoting high-quality development in the REITs market. The National Development and Reform Commission has announced plans to broaden the scope of infrastructure REITs to include urban renewal facilities, hotels, sports venues, and commercial office facilities [5][13] - The REITs market is experiencing a decline in trading volume and value, with a significant year-on-year decrease of 19.83% in trading volume and 5.86% in trading value [27][29] - Despite recent declines, the REITs sector is anticipated to benefit from lower bond market interest rates and increased policy support, enhancing its attractiveness as a high-dividend, low-risk asset class [4][6] Summary by Sections Market Review - The CSI REITs closing index for week 48 of 2025 was 809.07, up 6.07% year-on-year but down 0.14% month-on-month. The CSI REITs total return index was 1040.34, up 12.01% year-on-year but down 0.08% month-on-month [6][15][20] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs closing index has increased by 6.96%, while the CSI 300 index has risen by 31.93%, resulting in an excess return of -24.97% [15][20] Weekly Performance - In week 48, the weekly performance of various REITs sectors showed that affordable housing REITs increased by 1.04%, while other sectors like environmental, highway, industrial park, warehousing logistics, energy, and consumer REITs experienced declines [37][54] - Monthly performance for affordable housing REITs showed a decrease of 0.88%, with other sectors also reporting negative changes [37] Primary Tracking - There are currently 13 REITs funds awaiting listing, indicating an active issuance market. Notable funds include Ping An Xi'an High-tech Industrial Park and Dongfang Hong Tunnel Intelligent Operation Highway REITs, which have submitted their initial applications [7][54] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the industry, suggesting that the REITs sector presents good investment opportunities amid ongoing policy support and market dynamics [4][5][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The HFCs industry is operating steadily, with unchanged trends and clear opportunities [4] - The fluorochemical index increased by 4.59%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.19% [6][28] - The fluorochemical industry is entering a long prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across various segments, including fluorinated materials and fine chemicals [24][25] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Market Overview - As of November 28, the average market price for 97% wet fluorite is 3,346 CNY/ton, down 0.65% from the previous week [20][37] - The average price for November is 3,398 CNY/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 7.76% [20][37] - The average price for 2025 is projected at 3,498 CNY/ton, down 1.34% from 2024 [20][37] 2. Refrigerant Market Trends - As of November 28, the prices for various refrigerants are as follows: R32 at 63,000 CNY/ton, R125 at 45,500 CNY/ton, R134a at 55,500 CNY/ton, R410a at 53,500 CNY/ton, and R22 at 16,000 CNY/ton [22] - The market for R134a is supported by centralized procurement, with prices expected to rise [9][23] - R125 is experiencing tight supply due to limited remaining quotas, maintaining prices around 46,000 CNY/ton [9][23] 3. Beneficiary Companies - Recommended stocks include: Jinshi Resources (fluorite), Juhua Co. (refrigerants, fluororesins), Sanmei Co. (refrigerants), and Haohua Technology (refrigerants, fluororesins, fine fluorochemicals) [11][25] - Other beneficiary companies include Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhou Bang [11][25] 4. Recent Industry Developments - A safety incident at a U.S. R134a plant may impact future production [10] - Haohua Technology has successfully launched its trifluoride nitrogen project [10]

zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 2025 年前三季度北交所机构参与度环比高增，配置风格向多元化的转变 11 家北交所主题基金在 2025 年至今取得平均 52.12%的回报收益，随着后续主题 基金二年定开产品打开申购赎回，有望推动北交所投资者结构多元化升级以及机 构参与度提高。从 2025Q3 基金持仓变动来看，配置风格向多元化的转变，从过 去传统的北交所"机构偏好"票向代表新质生产力新兴产业赛道进行配置，特别 是北交所拥有一批具备高稀缺性和专精特新小巨人，在新质生产力产业链中涵盖 了智能网联新能源汽车、商业航天、低空经济、机器人等产业链。从公募机构在 北交所配置家数来看，2025 年 Q3 公募机构在北交所配置家数稳步环比增长， 2024 年末共计 29 家公募机构配置北交所股票，同比增长 31.82%，2025 前三季 度公募基金重仓北交所企业的数量分别为 34 家、39 家、41 家。从公募机构在北 交所重仓配置金额角度来看， 2025 年前三季度公募机构在北交所重仓配置金额 分别为 67.43 亿元、98.92 亿元、103.07 亿元，重仓配置占比达 0 ...

提前布局春季躁动 策略研究团队 ——投资策略周报 韦冀星（分析师） 耿驰政（联系人） weijixing@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524030002 2025 年 11 月 30 日 gengchizheng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790125050007 市场调整告一段落，12 月是重要宏观窗口，建议提前布局春季躁动 近期市场出现了一定的调整，但我们认为当下已经可以更加积极。12 月将召开 政治局会议和中央经济工作会议，这两个会议为 2026 年的经济发展定调，具备 较强的指引作用，市场可能有所反应，同时春节较往常偏晚，春季躁动可能前 置，建议提前布局。11 月开始的调整主要由宏观上无法形成强预期、地缘政治 紧张和海外流动性风险传导引发。与 4 月类似，海外流动性风险传导加速了近期 的调整，但调整幅度较小，且已经有所修复。而本轮牛市的核心驱动力没有发生 改变：流动性还处在宽松的阶段，而基本面也在温和修复的阶段。且政策呼吁提 振资本市场以及长钱入市的基础下制度牛的大背景没有改变。此外，参考我们 8 月底发布的报告《证券化率看牛市》，证券化率可以作为判断指数牛空间的标志。 而目前证券化率 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal price has successfully crossed the fourth target, and the logic for price stability remains intact. The current dynamics are influenced by supply contraction and a surge in demand due to seasonal heating needs [3][4] - The report indicates that both thermal coal and coking coal prices are at a turning point, with thermal coal being a policy-driven commodity. The price recovery process involves several stages, including the restoration of long-term contracts and achieving a balance in profitability between coal and power companies [4][13] - The report highlights that the current coal prices are still at historical lows, providing room for a rebound, especially with the onset of the heating season and supply-side policies [5][14] Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "Positive" [1] Price Trends - As of November 28, the price of Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal is 816 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease from the previous week. The price at Guangzhou Port is 855 CNY/ton, having reached the target of 750 CNY for coal-power profitability [3][4] - Coking coal prices have also seen significant rebounds, with the price at Jing Tang Port reaching 1670 CNY/ton, up from 1230 CNY/ton in July, marking a 48.4% increase [3][4] Investment Logic - The report outlines that the price of thermal coal will follow a recovery process involving the restoration of long-term contracts and achieving a profitability balance for coal and power companies, with an ideal target price of around 750 CNY for 2025 [4][13] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by market dynamics, with target prices based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices, indicating potential target prices of 1608 CNY to 2064 CNY depending on market conditions [4][13] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a dual logic for coal stocks: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends. It identifies four main lines for stock selection: cyclical logic, dividend logic, diversified aluminum elasticity, and growth logic [5][14] - Specific companies recommended include Jin控煤业, 兖矿能源 for cyclical logic, 中国神华, 中煤能源 for dividend logic, 神火股份, 电投能源 for diversified aluminum elasticity, and 新集能源, 广汇能源 for growth logic [5][14]