Group 1 - The report highlights that the macroeconomic environment is shifting towards a new growth paradigm, focusing on productivity enhancement, moderate inflation, and currency appreciation, which will lead to a systematic revaluation of equity markets [8][9] - The report indicates that the profitability of companies is expected to improve due to policies aimed at enhancing nominal GDP, which will directly translate into increased revenues and profits for listed companies [8][9] - The report notes that the relative attractiveness of various asset classes is changing, with equities showing significant potential for growth compared to bonds and real estate, which are under pressure [9] Group 2 - The report discusses the performance of the U.S. stock market, noting that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced declines of 1.9% and 2.7% respectively, with most sectors under pressure [28][30] - The report mentions that the semiconductor sector saw a significant upward revision in earnings expectations, indicating a positive outlook despite recent market volatility [30] - The report highlights that the Hong Kong stock market faced significant pressure, with the Hang Seng Index declining by 5.1%, reflecting a broader trend of market pullbacks across various styles and sectors [28][30] Group 3 - The report emphasizes that the lithium battery industry is progressing steadily towards solid-state battery commercialization, despite ongoing internal competition [3] - The report notes that the wind power gearbox manufacturer, Delijia, is benefiting from industry prosperity and is experiencing high growth in performance [3] - The report indicates that the agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming industry, is undergoing orderly progress in reversing internal competition, with a positive outlook for the broader livestock cycle [3] Group 4 - The report highlights that the AI-driven growth in companies like Kuaishou and Baidu is significant, with Kuaishou's revenue exceeding 300 million RMB in a single quarter, and Baidu's new AI business revenue growing over 50% year-on-year [3] - The report discusses the recovery of recruitment demand in BOSS Zhipin, with stable growth in profit margins, indicating a healthy labor market [3] - The report mentions that the financial engineering sector is seeing substantial inflows into U.S. stock ETFs, with net inflows exceeding 100 billion USD, reflecting strong investor interest [3] Group 5 - The report indicates that the REITs market is experiencing a general decline, with the index down 1.0% for the week, although it remains relatively stable compared to equity assets [17] - The report notes that the infrastructure REITs are gaining traction, with significant support from government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption through REITs [19] - The report highlights that the turnover rate for REITs has decreased, indicating a potential slowdown in trading activity within this sector [17] Group 6 - The report discusses the performance of the convertible bond market, which has shown resilience amid stock market declines, with the index only down 1% compared to larger drops in equities [20] - The report highlights that certain convertible bonds are exhibiting strong defensive characteristics, particularly those with underlying stocks that are experiencing downward pressure [20] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the supply-demand dynamics in the convertible bond market, which could provide opportunities for investors [20]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 农产品研究跟踪系列报告（183） 优于大市 生猪行业反内卷有序推进，看好海内外牧业大周期反转 周度农产品跟踪：牛价有望持续上涨，反内卷支撑中长期生猪价格。 生猪：行业反内卷有望支撑猪价中长期表现。11 月 21 日生猪价格 11.67 元/ 公斤，周环比-0.4%；15kg 仔猪价格约 318 元/头，周环比+0.5%。 原奶：Q4 奶牛去化有望加速，原奶价格年底或迎拐点。11 月 13 日，国内主 产区原奶均价为 3.02 元/kg，周度环比维持，同比-3.2%。 豆粕：短期到港供给宽松，中长期供需支撑走强。11 月 21 日，国内大豆现 货价为4015 元/吨，周环比+0.08%，豆粕现货价为3070 元/吨，周环比-0.90%。 玉米：国内供需平衡趋于收紧，价格有望维持温和上涨。11 月 21 日国内玉 米现货价 2227 元/吨，周环比+0.72%。 橡胶：短期价格预计趋稳，中期看好景气向上。11 月 21 日，天然橡胶现货 价为 14800 元/吨，周环比+0.0%。 白鸡：供给小幅增加，关注旺季消费修复。11 月 21 日，鸡苗价格 3.48 元/ 羽，周 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Baidu Group is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Insights - Baidu Group reported a total revenue of 31.2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7%. The adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.8 billion yuan, down 36% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 12% [1][10] - The company faced a significant impairment loss of approximately 16 billion yuan due to the rapid enhancement of high-performance computing capabilities, which is expected to mark a low point for profit margins, with future improvements anticipated [1][10] - Advertising revenue continued to be under pressure, declining 18% year-on-year to 15.3 billion yuan, accounting for 62% of Baidu's core revenue. The company is accelerating its transition to AI search, with 70% of search result pages now containing AI-generated content [2][16] - AI new business revenue reached 10 billion yuan, with subscription revenue from AI high-performance computing facilities growing by 128% year-on-year. The AI business is divided into three segments: intelligent cloud infrastructure, AI applications, and AI-native marketing services [3][25] Financial Performance and Forecast - For the fiscal years 2025 to 2027, the adjusted net profit is projected to be 19.6 billion yuan, 21.6 billion yuan, and 24.6 billion yuan, respectively, with downward adjustments of 7%, 11%, and 12% [29] - The company expects to see a gradual improvement in profit margins as resource utilization increases [3][25] - The financial forecast indicates a slight decline in revenue for 2025, with an estimated total revenue of 130.4 billion yuan, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [5][33]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 BOSS 直聘（BZ.O） 优于大市 招聘需求健康恢复，利润率稳健增长 收入同比增长 13%，经调整利润率达 46%。25Q3，公司营业收入 21.6 亿元， 同比+13%，环比+3%，达到公司 25Q2 业绩会的指引上限。其中来自网络招聘 服务 21.5 亿元。现金账单收入为 20.7 亿元，同比+14%，环比+0.1%，同比 增速加速（25Q1/Q2 增速为 6.3%/5.7%），低基数+企业招聘意愿恢复综合带 动。本季度毛利率为 85.8%，同比+2pct，环比+0.4pct。本季度销售费用继 续控制良好，25Q3 公司销售费用 3.9 亿元，同比-25%；销售费率 18%，同比 -9.1pct，环比-1.8pct。25Q3 公司经调整净利润 9.9 亿元，同比+34%。经调 整净利润率 46%，同比+7pct，环比+1pct。在经营杠杆下，公司预计 26 年利 润率继续提升。 商业化：付费企业数同比增长 13%，招聘需求保持恢复态势。2025Q3，平台 MAU 6380 万，同比+10%，环比 0.3%。B 端来看，累计 12 个月付费企业数 680 万，同比 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 基金周报 ETF 简称统一规范正式落地，非货基"T+0.5"赎回时代来临 核心观点 金融工程周报 上周市场回顾。上周A股市场主要宽基指数全线下跌，沪深 300、上证综 指、中小板指指数收益靠前，收益分别为-3.77%、-3.90%、-5.10%， 创业板指、中证 1000、中证 500 指数收益靠后，收益分别为-6.15%、 -5.80%、-5.78%。 从成交额来看，上周主要宽基指数成交额均有所下降。行业方面，上周 银行、食品饮料、传媒收益靠前，收益分别为-0.87%、-1.36%、-1.39%， 综合、电力设备及新能源、基础化工收益靠后，收益分别为-9.47%、 -9.41%、-8.24%。 截至上周五，央行逆回购净投放资金 5540 亿元，逆回购到期 11220 亿 元，净公开市场投放 16760 亿元。除 5 年期和 10 年期外，不同期限的 国债利率均有所下行，利差扩大 1.22BP。 上周共上报 54 只基金，较上上周申报数量下降。申报的产品包括 1 只 REITs，3 只FOF，上证科创板芯片ETF、中证科创创业人工智能ETF、 易方达中证港股通信息技术 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 锂电产业链双周评（11月第2期） 锂电行业持续反内卷，固态电池产业化稳步推进 行业研究 · 行业周报 电力设备新能源 · 锂电池 投资评级：优于大市（维持） 证券分析师：王蔚祺 010-88005313 wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn S0980520080003 证券分析师：徐文辉 021-60375426 xuwenhui@guosen.com.cn S0980524030001 证券分析师：李全 021-60375434 liquan2@guosen.com.cn S0980524070002 联系人：王喆萱 wangzhexuan@guosen.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 投资建议 【行业动态】 【新能源车产业链数据】 【锂电材料及锂电池价格】 • 锂盐价格走高，电芯报价上行。本周末碳酸锂价格为9.23万元/吨，较两周前上涨1.19万元/吨。相较两周前，三元正极、磷酸铁锂正极、负极、六氟磷酸锂、电解液、湿法隔膜报价均上 涨。本周方形三元动力电芯/铁锂动力电芯/储能用100Ah电芯/储能用280Ah电芯报价为0. ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - Last week (from November 17 to November 21, 2025), the median weekly return of stock - type ETFs was -4.57%. Among broad - based ETFs, the Shanghai 50 ETF had the smallest decline; among sector ETFs, the large - finance ETF had the smallest decline; among hot - topic ETFs, the bank ETF had the smallest decline [1][12][59]. - Last week, stock - type ETFs had a net subscription of 49.12 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the GEM - type ETF had the largest net subscription; among sector ETFs, the technology ETF had the largest net subscription; among theme ETFs, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription [2][59]. - As of last Friday, Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai - Peregrine were the top three fund companies in terms of the total scale of listed non - monetary ETFs. This week, GF CSI All - Index Food ETF and GF CSI A50 ETF will be issued [5][59]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs ETF Performance - Stock - type ETFs had a median weekly return of -4.57%. The median returns of Shanghai 50, CSI 300, A500, CSI 500, CSI 1000, Sci - tech Innovation Board, and GEM - type ETFs were -2.69%, -3.72%, -4.24%, -5.71%, -5.77%, -5.77%, and -6.01% respectively. The median returns of money - type, bond - type, commodity - type, and cross - border ETFs were 0.01%, 0.01%, -2.50%, and -4.87% respectively [12]. - Among sectors, the median returns of large - finance, technology, consumption, and cyclical sector ETFs were -4.42%, -4.43%, -5.31%, and -5.32% respectively. Among hot - topics, bank, liquor, and AI ETFs had median returns of -0.91%, -2.39%, and -2.53% respectively, showing relatively strong performance, while photovoltaic, new energy vehicle, and pharmaceutical ETFs had median returns of -11.19%, -8.28%, and -6.12% respectively, with relatively weak performance [15]. ETF Scale Change and Net Redemption/Subscription - As of last Friday, the scales of stock - type, cross - border, and bond - type ETFs were 3550.6 billion yuan, 921 billion yuan, and 718.8 billion yuan respectively. The scales of commodity - type and money - type ETFs were relatively small, at 230.5 billion yuan and 176.7 billion yuan respectively [17]. - Among broad - based ETFs, the CSI 300 and Sci - tech Innovation Board ETFs had relatively large scales of 1148.2 billion yuan and 201.8 billion yuan respectively. The scales of A500, Shanghai 50, CSI 500, GEM - type, and CSI 1000 ETFs were relatively small, at 189.4 billion yuan, 184.6 billion yuan, 171.4 billion yuan, 170.3 billion yuan, and 163.7 billion yuan respectively [17][20]. - Among sectors, the technology sector ETF had a scale of 404.9 billion yuan, followed by the cyclical sector ETF with a scale of 210.9 billion yuan. The large - finance and consumption ETFs had relatively small scales of 203.5 billion yuan and 186.9 billion yuan respectively. Among hot - topics, chip, securities, and pharmaceutical ETFs had the highest scales of 145.6 billion yuan, 139.4 billion yuan, and 102.1 billion yuan respectively [24]. - Last week, stock - type ETFs had a net subscription of 49.12 billion yuan and a total scale decrease of 115.443 billion yuan; money - type ETFs had a net subscription of 7.923 billion yuan and a total scale increase of 7.938 billion yuan. Among broad - based ETFs, the GEM - type ETF had the largest net subscription of 6.729 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 4.125 billion yuan; the Shanghai 50 ETF had the smallest net subscription of 0.316 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 4.83 billion yuan [27][28]. - Among sectors, the technology ETF had the largest net subscription of 5.694 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 14.492 billion yuan; the large - finance ETF had the largest net redemption of 0.172 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 8.739 billion yuan. Among hot - topics, the pharmaceutical ETF had the largest net subscription of 2.21 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 3.886 billion yuan; the bank ETF had the largest net redemption of 1.849 billion yuan, and its scale decreased by 2.17 billion yuan [32]. ETF Benchmark Index Valuation - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, GEM - type, and A500 ETFs were at the 84.67%, 80.38%, 94.64%, 93.90%, 54.82%, and 83.67% quantile levels respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 66.20%, 62.90%, 92.00%, 51.11%, 46.83%, and 83.09% quantile levels respectively. Since December 31, 2019, the price - to - earnings and price - to - book ratios of Sci - tech Innovation Board - type ETFs are currently at the 83.51% and 67.19% quantile levels respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of A500 and CSI 300 ETFs decreased significantly [35]. - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings ratios of cyclical, large - finance, consumption, and technology sector ETFs were at the 69.33%, 35.53%, 19.62%, and 88.79% quantile levels respectively, and the price - to - book ratios were at the 65.79%, 58.78%, 21.60%, and 75.19% quantile levels respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of large - finance, cyclical, and consumption ETFs decreased significantly [38]. - As of last Friday, the price - to - earnings quantiles of bank, dividend, and military - industry ETFs were relatively high, at 99.84%, 99.26%, and 93.16% respectively; the price - to - book quantiles of dividend, AI, and robot ETFs were relatively high, at 96.54%, 94.39%, and 89.78% respectively. Compared with the previous week, the valuation quantiles of pharmaceutical and new energy vehicle ETFs decreased significantly [39]. - Overall, among broad - based ETFs, the GEM - type ETF had relatively low valuation quantiles; among sectors, the consumption and large - finance ETFs had relatively moderate valuation quantiles; among sub - topics, the liquor ETF had relatively low valuation quantiles [40]. ETF Margin Trading - As of last Thursday, the margin trading balance of stock - type ETFs increased from 47.328 billion yuan in the previous week to 48.368 billion yuan, and the short - selling volume decreased from 2.681 billion shares in the previous week to 2.608 billion shares [44]. - Among the top 10 ETFs with the highest average daily margin trading purchase amount from last Monday to Thursday, the Sci - tech Innovation Board ETF and GEM - type ETF had relatively high average daily margin trading purchase amounts. Among the top 10 ETFs with the highest average daily short - selling volume, the A500 ETF and CSI 300 ETF had relatively high average daily short - selling volumes [45][49][52]. ETF Managers - As of last Friday, Huaxia Fund ranked first in the total scale of listed non - monetary ETFs, and had a relatively high management scale in multiple sub - fields such as scale index ETFs, theme, style, and strategy index ETFs, and cross - border ETFs. E Fund ranked second, with a relatively high management scale in scale index ETFs and cross - border ETFs. Huatai - Peregrine Fund ranked third, with a relatively high management scale in scale index ETFs and theme, style, and strategy index ETFs [53]. - Last week, 8 new ETFs were established, and this week, GF CSI All - Index Food ETF and GF CSI A50 ETF will be issued [56].

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 基金周报 ETF 简称统一规范正式落地，非货基"T+0.5"赎回时代来临 核心观点 金融工程周报 上周市场回顾。上周A股市场主要宽基指数全线下跌，沪深 300、上证综 指、中小板指指数收益靠前，收益分别为-3.77%、-3.90%、-5.10%， 创业板指、中证 1000、中证 500 指数收益靠后，收益分别为-6.15%、 -5.80%、-5.78%。 从成交额来看，上周主要宽基指数成交额均有所下降。行业方面，上周 银行、食品饮料、传媒收益靠前，收益分别为-0.87%、-1.36%、-1.39%， 综合、电力设备及新能源、基础化工收益靠后，收益分别为-9.47%、 -9.41%、-8.24%。 截至上周五，央行逆回购净投放资金 5540 亿元，逆回购到期 11220 亿 元，净公开市场投放 16760 亿元。除 5 年期和 10 年期外，不同期限的 国债利率均有所下行，利差扩大 1.22BP。 上周共上报 54 只基金，较上上周申报数量下降。申报的产品包括 1 只 REITs，3 只FOF，上证科创板芯片ETF、中证科创创业人工智能ETF、 易方达中证港股通信息技术 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 超长债周报 超长债收益率小幅上行 核心观点 固定收益周报 超长债复盘：上周税期资金面偏紧，A 股大跌，债市窄幅震荡收益率略微 上行，超长债小跌。成交方面，上周超长债交投活跃度小幅上升，交投 非常活跃。利差方面，上周超长债期限利差走平，品种利差缩窄。 超长债投资展望： 30 年国债：截至 11 月 21 日，30 年国债和 10 年国债利差为 34BP，处于 历史较低水平。从国内经济数据来看，10 月经济下行压力继续增加。我 们测算的 10 月国内 GDP 同比增速约 4.2%，增速较 9 月回落 1.1%。通胀 方面，10 月 CPI 为 0.2%，PPI 为-2.1%，通缩风险依存。我们认为，当 前债市反弹概率更大。一方面，去年四季度以来的经济企稳，主要来自 于中央加杠杆的托底。考虑到今年四季度增发国债的概率较低，预计四 季度政府债券融资增速继续回落，四季度国内经济依然承压。另一方面， 央行恢复国债买卖，年底投资者抢跑开门红，投资者情绪较好。考虑到 30-10 利差仍在偏高水平，预计伴随债市的反弹，30-10 利差会阶段性 压缩。 20 年国开债：截至 11 月 2 ...

"黑色星期五"亚太普跌，成长股脆弱性凸显。全球资本市场 2025 年以来 高相关性的特征延续，近一周全球风险资产遭遇同步抛售，市场恐慌情绪有 所升温。全周跌幅榜前列几乎被亚太市场包揽，其中 A 股市场北证 50、创业 板指全周分别回撤 9.04%、6.15%，远超发达国家权益市场回撤幅度。在全球 风险偏好收缩时，新兴市场及高贝塔属性的市场面临的抛售压力更大。电解 液、锂电、存储、光伏、稀土等成长板块整体压力较大，涨跌家数比和个股 收益率中位数均收敛至年内次低点。 本次下跌是全球流动性预期摇摆、AI 泡沫担忧和国内交投情绪降温共同导 证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 策略周思考 回撤何时休？"小登"何时再支棱？ 核心结论：①亚太市场同步演绎"黑色星期五"，下跌原因主要有两点：一 是全球流动性预期摇摆，二是以杠杆资金为观测口径下的情绪大幅降温；② 牛市中跌破 60 日线的情况不多，破位后平均需要 10 天左右"收复失地"， 如果需要"以时间换空间"，历史上最多再忍受 15%左右回撤，当前和历史 环境有所差异；③ 复盘近一轮牛市 2.5 倍以上涨幅的细分行业，"对数均 线偏离度"达到-1.5%是较好的介入时 ...