赛特新材(688398):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:收入增速回升、毛利率承压拖累利润
东吴证券· 2025-04-28 06:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue growth is recovering, driven primarily by its main business of vacuum insulation panels, which achieved a revenue of 915 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.4% [8] - The gross profit margin is under pressure due to a decrease in export sales and rising costs, with the overall gross margin for 2024 at 29.1%, down 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is actively expanding production capacity and optimizing product processes, with significant investments in fixed and intangible assets [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 933.54 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.16% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to be 77.16 million yuan, a decrease of 27.27% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 0.46 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.43 [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow to 1,138.94 million yuan by 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 22% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to recover to 97.92 million yuan in 2025, representing a growth of 26.90% [1] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.58 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 24.76 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 14.45 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 2,424.91 million yuan [5] - The stock has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.35 [5] Operational Insights - The company is focusing on new application development, particularly in the field of battery insulation, which is expected to drive future growth [8] - The company is also working on the installation and debugging of new production equipment, aiming for trial production in the first half of 2025 [8]
泸州老窖(000568):24年报&25Q1点评:稳中求进,静待修复
华安证券· 2025-04-28 06:48
泸州老窖( [Table_StockNameRptType] 000568) 公司点评 稳中求进,静待修复 ——泸州老窖 24 年报&25Q1 点评 | 投资评级:买入(维持) [Table_Rank] | | --- | | 报告日期: 2025-04-28 | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价(元) | 125.36 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低(元) 186.79/97.77 | | | 总股本(百万股) | 1,472 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 1,469 | | 流通股比例(%) | 99.82 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,845 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,842 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -55% -35% -14% 7% 27% 4/24 7/24 10/24 1/25 泸州老窖 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师:邓欣 执业证书号:S0010524010001 邮箱:dengxin@hazq.com 执业证书号:S0010124040001 主要观点: ⚫ 利润:结构扰动 ⚫ 报 ...
老白干酒(600559):24Q4阶段性降速去库,25Q1业绩符合预期
天风证券· 2025-04-28 06:46
24Q4 阶段性降速去库,25Q1 业绩符合预期 【业绩】24 年公司营业收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润分别为 53.58/ 7.87/7.38 亿元(yoy:+1.91%/+18.19%/+20.12%)。 2024Q4 公司营业收入/归母净 利润/扣非 归母净利润 分别为 12.70/ 2.31/2.20 亿元(yoy:-10.03%/-6.79%/-3.79%)。2025Q1 公司营业收入/归母 净利润 / 扣非归母净利润分别为 11.68/ 1.52/1.42 亿 元 (yoy:+3.36%/+11.91%/+13.22%)。 公司报告 | 年报点评报告 老白干酒(600559) 证券研究报告 25Q1 结构升级延续,次高端后续或持续发力。24Q4 公司 100 元以上/100 元以下产品收入分别为 6.60/6.03 亿元(yoy:-17.66%/+3.08%);占比分别同 比变动-5.55/+5.55pct 至 52.28%/47.72%。我们认为公司 100 元以上产品占 比阶段性下降或主因公司 24Q4 为春节档备货物,整体结构较低。公司 24Q4+25Q1 100 元以上/100 元以下产 ...
宋城演艺(300144):新项目爬坡迅速,关注轻资产扩张与存量项目优化
中银国际· 2025-04-28 06:46
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 2.417 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.049 billion, marking a turnaround from a loss [3][8] - The growth in 2024 was primarily due to a low base from the previous year, with existing projects under pressure, necessitating ongoing attention to optimization [3][8] - New projects are ramping up quickly and showing excellent performance, with stable progress in light-asset contracts, indicating promising growth potential [3][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 2.417 billion, up 25.49% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 1.049 billion, recovering from a loss [8] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of RMB 2 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 525 million, with a payout ratio of 50% [8] Project Performance - Existing projects showed mixed results, with most under pressure; however, new projects are performing well, such as the Guangdong Foshan project, which became profitable in its first year [8] - The company has signed a cooperation agreement for the "Silk Road Eternal Love" project, with expected service fees of RMB 50 million, set to open in July 2026 [8] Earnings Forecast - The company expects EPS of RMB 0.45, 0.50, and 0.55 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.3, 19.3, and 17.5 [5][7] - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at RMB 2.686 billion, with a growth rate of 11.1% [7]
北方国际(000065):Q1业绩承压下滑,继续看好一带一路工程+运营项目发展
天风证券· 2025-04-28 06:46
公司报告 | 季报点评 北方国际(000065) 证券研究报告 Q1 业绩承压下滑,继续看好一带一路工程+运营项目 发展 Q1 受煤价下行影响业绩承压,继续看好公司投建营一体化业务发展前景 公司发布 2025 年一季报,一季度公司实现营收 36.5 亿元,同比-27.22%, 归母净利润 1.77 亿元,同比-32.97%,扣非归母净利润 1.75 亿元,同比 -32.45%。本期归母净利润大幅下滑主要系蒙古矿山工程一体化项目毛利与 去年同期相比有所下降所致。公司主要运营项目稳中向好,在建项目中孟 加拉燃煤火电站项目预计今年开始贡献运营收益,持续看好公司投建营一 体化业务发展前景,预计 25-27 年公司归母净利润为 11.2、12.4、14 亿, 维持"买入"评级。 毛利率大幅提高,费用率水平仍有改善空间 2025 年一季度公司综合毛利率为 13.03%,同比+3.41pct。公司期间费用率 为 7.84%,同比+4.53pct,销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为 3.18%、2.99%、 0.46%、1.22%,同比分别变动+0.89、+1.14、+0.12、+2.39pct,其中,汇 率波动导致本期财务 ...
安徽建工(600502):一季度收入、订单稳健增长,关注后续订单结转速度
天风证券· 2025-04-28 06:46
安徽建工(600502) 证券研究报告 一季度收入&订单稳健增长,关注后续订单结转速度 Q1 收入业绩稳健增长,基建订单快速放量 公司发布 25 年一季报,25Q1 公司实现营业收入 145.42 亿元,同比+7.42%, 实现归母净利润 3.11 亿元,同比+0.31%,扣非归母净利润 2.71 亿元,同 -4.86%。从订单层面来看,25Q1 合计新签订单 408.48 亿元,同比+3.76%, 其中基建、房建分别新签 292.12、105.73 亿元,同比分别+11.91%、-17.88%, 基建业务订单持续扩容主要依托公路桥梁订单的增加,细分项目中,25Q1 公路桥梁、市政工程、水利工程、港航工程新签订单分别为 237.9、36.09、 12.69、5.44 亿元,同比分别+318.25%、-74.79%、-78.98%、+736.92%。此 外,公司其他业务(含智能制造、检测、设计咨询等业务)快速放量,新 签合同金额 10.63 亿元,同比增长 172.94%。 盈利能力小幅下滑,控费能力有所提升 25Q1 公司毛利率为 12.4%,同比-0.55pct,期间费用率为 9.13%,同比 -0.34p ...
珠江啤酒(002461):扣非利润高增,销量、成本改善
天风证券· 2025-04-28 06:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6][18]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in non-recurring profit, with Q1 2025 revenue at 1.227 billion yuan, up 10.69% year-on-year, and net profit at 157 million yuan, up 29.83% year-on-year [1]. - Q1 2025 sales volume increased by 11.66% to 294,600 tons, with expectations for the 97 Pure Draft product to continue growing by around 30% [2]. - The gross margin improved significantly, with a 2.9 percentage point increase, and a decrease in cost per ton by 5.8% year-on-year [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.212 billion yuan, 6.662 billion yuan, and 7.130 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 8%, 7%, and 7% [3]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 976.8 million yuan, 1.105 billion yuan, and 1.241 billion yuan, with growth rates of 20.55%, 13.12%, and 12.32% [3]. - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 24X, 21X, and 19X for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 5.378 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 9.13% [5]. - The EBITDA for 2025 is estimated at 1.370 billion yuan, with a steady increase in subsequent years [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is projected at 976.8 million yuan, with an EPS of 0.44 yuan [12].
甘源食品(002991):短期业绩承压,静待后续逐季改善
中邮证券· 2025-04-28 06:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but is expected to improve gradually on a quarterly basis. The revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.257 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.18% [4][9] - The company is focusing on stabilizing its existing products while expanding its new product offerings to enhance market presence and channel compatibility [5][8] Company Overview - Latest closing price: 74.53 yuan - Total shares: 0.93 billion, circulating shares: 0.50 billion - Total market value: 6.9 billion yuan, circulating market value: 3.7 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 93.52/47.85 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 24.5% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 18.00 [3] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 2.257 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 376 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit of 341 million yuan, with respective year-on-year changes of 22.18%, 14.32%, and 16.91% [4] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 652 million yuan, net profit of 99 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit of 93 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of 22.05%, -13.91%, and -10.4% [4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 504 million yuan, net profit of 53 million yuan, and non-recurring net profit of 46 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -13.99%, -42.21%, and -45.14% [4] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from various product segments was as follows: mixed nuts and beans (705 million yuan, +39.80%), green peas (524 million yuan, +12.56%), sunflower seeds (302 million yuan, +10.48%), and others [5] - Revenue from different sales models showed growth: distribution model (1.927 billion yuan, +22.58%), e-commerce (239 million yuan, +10.75%), and others (81 million yuan, +65.45%) [5] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 35.46% and 16.67%, respectively, showing slight declines year-on-year [6] - The decline in profitability is attributed to rising raw material costs, increased expenses for overseas markets and brand investments, and tax base differences in Q4 2024 [6][8] Future Outlook - The company plans to expand into Southeast Asian markets such as Indonesia and Malaysia in 2025, focusing on local product design and trademark applications [7] - The strategy includes deepening cooperation with major retail channels and enhancing e-commerce partnerships to drive growth [8] - Profitability is expected to recover as raw material costs stabilize and scale effects are realized [8] Earnings Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are adjusted to 2.677 billion yuan and 3.102 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18.61% and 15.86% [9] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are adjusted to 401.99 million yuan and 495.83 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 6.86% and 23.34% [9] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are 4.31 yuan and 5.32 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17 and 14 [9]
秋乐种业(831087):2024年报、2025一季报点评:盈利短期承压,2025年有望恢复增长
东吴证券· 2025-04-28 06:43
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·种植业 秋乐种业(831087) 2024年报&2025一季报点评:盈利短期承压, 2025 年有望恢复增长 增持(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 534.24 | 391.21 | 437.15 | 512.98 | 602.34 | | 同比(%) | 22.10 | (26.77) | 11.74 | 17.35 | 17.42 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 79.42 | 50.44 | 52.83 | 60.17 | 69.61 | | 同比(%) | 28.68 | (36.49) | 4.74 | 13.89 | 15.69 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.42 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 37.63 | 59.25 | 56.57 | 49.67 | 42.93 | [Table ...
中国神华(601088):公司2025年一季报点评报告:煤电量价齐跌致业绩回落,高分红中长期价值凸显
开源证券· 2025-04-28 06:43
Investment Rating - Investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's performance has declined due to falling coal and electricity prices, but its high dividend yield highlights long-term investment value [3][4] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 69.59 billion yuan, down 21.1% year-on-year and 17.6% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 11.95 billion yuan, down 18% year-on-year and 5.1% quarter-on-quarter [3][4] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 54.88 billion, 55.59 billion, and 56.27 billion yuan respectively, with an expected EPS of 2.76, 2.80, and 2.83 yuan [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company produced 8.25 million tons of coal, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, and sold 9.93 million tons, down 15.3% year-on-year [4] - The average selling price of coal was 506 yuan per ton, down 11.7% year-on-year, while the cost was 353 yuan per ton, down 13.1% year-on-year [4] - The company's electricity generation was 50.42 billion kWh, down 10.7% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 0.4393 yuan per kWh, down 4.5% year-on-year [4] Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio to 76.53% in 2024, up 1.31 percentage points from 2023, resulting in a current dividend yield of 5.8% [5] - A shareholder return plan for 2025-2027 aims to increase the minimum cash dividend payout ratio by 5 percentage points to 65% [5] Growth Potential - The company has three major coal mines under construction, expected to add significant production capacity by 2028 [5] - The stable profitability and high dividend yield position the company as a benchmark in the industry [3][5]