华润电力（00836） 证券研究报告 2024 年 09 月 01 日 投资评级 行业 公用事业/公用事业 6 个月评级 买入（维持评级） 当前价格 21.2 港元 目标价格 港元 火电盈利大幅改善，清洁能源转型持续推进 事件： H1 并网风光装机 0.93GW，6 月底风光在建权益装机 15.54GW 上半年，公司风电和光伏新增并网装机合计约 930 兆瓦；新投产的风电和 光伏项目权益装机容量分别为 504 兆瓦和 1560 兆瓦。截至 6 月底，公司 风电运营权益装机容量为 19.12GW，在建权益装机容量为 7.53GW；光伏 运营权益装机容量为 5GW，在建权益装机容量为 8.01GW。全年来看，公 司计划新增风电和光伏项目并网容量 10GW，其中大批项目将于今年下半 年并网；下半年预计投产的火电机组权益装机容量约 399 兆瓦。 火电盈利大幅改善，对应度电约 0.038 港元 成本端，受标煤单价同比下降 10.6%等综合影响，上半年燃料成本同比下 降 11.0%至 247.48 亿港元；折旧与摊销为 80.53 亿港元，同比增长 10.5%， 主要系新项目投产及新并购项目带来折旧成本增加影响。叠加收 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company achieved a revenue of 22.173 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.24 billion yuan, also up by 8.0% [1][3] - The report emphasizes the company's strong growth potential and profitability in the beverage industry, driven by its dual-engine development strategy of water and beverages, and its commitment to innovation and health [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - The company's packaging water revenue faced a significant decline of 18.3% year-on-year in H1 2024, totaling 8.531 billion yuan, primarily due to negative impacts from online public opinion [2] - Tea beverage revenue surged by 59.5% year-on-year to 8.430 billion yuan in H1 2024, attributed to the health-conscious and low-sugar consumption trends [2] - Juice beverage revenue increased by 25.4% year-on-year to 2.114 billion yuan, benefiting from product upgrades and new flavor launches [2] - The overall gross margin for H1 2024 was 58.8%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by promotional activities for new products [3] Earnings Forecast - The report projects the company's EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 1.10 yuan, 1.24 yuan, and 1.38 yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24, 21, and 19 times based on the closing price of 28.4 HKD per share on August 30, 2024 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9]. Core Views - The company has reported a dual increase in revenue and profit, with a steady growth in managed area and a robust project reserve, indicating promising future resource delivery [2]. - The expansion into hard decoration services has led to a significant increase in 5S value-added service revenue, which is expected to become a new profit growth point [2]. - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 583 million, 702 million, and 829 million yuan for 2024-2026, with corresponding EPS of 2.11, 2.54, and 3.00 yuan [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.7%, and a net profit of 265 million yuan, up 14.9% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin and net margin were 25.6% and 16.5%, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 1.1 percentage points and 3.5 percentage points [2]. - The interim dividend declared is 0.63 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 60% [2]. Property Management Revenue - Property management revenue reached 905 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.9%, accounting for 54.9% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 19.7% [2]. - The managed area increased to 63 million square meters, a year-on-year growth of 29.6%, with residential properties making up 81.7% [2]. - The company has raised property management fees 64 times since 2015, with an average fee of 4.17 yuan per square meter per month [2]. Value-Added Services - Non-owner value-added service revenue decreased by 10.3% year-on-year to 251 million yuan, primarily due to a reduction in pre-delivery service revenue [2]. - The 5S value-added service revenue surged by 158.5% year-on-year to 494 million yuan, with significant contributions from parking and storage services [2]. - The gross margin for value-added services decreased to 27.4%, down 7.4 percentage points year-on-year, due to the dilution effect from hard decoration services [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Mengniu Dairy (2319.HK) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a focus on potential recovery and growth in the second half of the year [2]. Core Views - The report highlights that Mengniu Dairy's revenue for the first half of 2024 was RMB 44.671 billion, a decrease of 12.6% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.446 billion, down 19.0% year-on-year [2]. - The report emphasizes that the overall demand in the dairy product industry was below expectations, leading to increased channel inventory and pressure on revenue across various business segments [2]. - Despite the challenges, the report notes operational improvements and a commitment to enhancing shareholder returns, including a share buyback plan of up to HKD 2 billion and an increase in cash dividend payout [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, revenue from liquid milk, ice cream, milk powder, and cheese was RMB 41.640 billion, RMB 4.309 billion, RMB 1.894 billion, and RMB 2.256 billion, reflecting year-on-year declines of 12.9%, 21.8%, 13.7%, and 6.3% respectively [2]. - The gross margin improved to 40.3%, an increase of 1.99 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower raw milk prices [2]. - The operating profit margin met initial expectations, expanding by 0.6 percentage points to 7.0% [2]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profits for Mengniu Dairy to be RMB 4.279 billion, RMB 4.723 billion, and RMB 5.549 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 12, 11, and 9 times [3]. - The company is expected to gradually restore revenue and profit growth in the second half of the year as channel inventory returns to reasonable levels [2]. Key Financial Metrics - The projected revenue for 2024 is RMB 91.353 billion, a decrease of 7.37% year-on-year, with a projected net profit margin of 4.68% [4][6]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 39.01% in 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.83% [4][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be RMB 1.09 for 2024, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.21 [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China TravelSky Holding Company (0696 HK) [2] Core Views - Domestic civil aviation passenger market continues steady recovery, benefiting from intelligent transformation of aviation industry [1] - Company revenue reached RMB 13 67 billion in H1 2024, up 13 9% YoY [2] - Net profit attributable to parent company reached RMB 9 69 billion, with current stock price at HK$9 69 [2] - All business segments achieved YoY revenue growth in H1 2024 [2] Business Performance - Airline IT services revenue increased 24 0% YoY to RMB 22 65 billion due to higher system processing volume [2] - Settlement and clearing revenue grew 19 8% YoY to RMB 6 80 billion [2] - System integration service revenue surged 111 9% YoY to RMB 2 16 billion [2] - Data network revenue rose 7 3% YoY, while other business revenue declined 15 1% [2] Market Trends - Domestic passenger scale showed steady growth, exceeding 2019 levels [2] - International civil aviation market showed stable recovery [2] - ETD system processed 3 52 billion passenger trips in H1 2024, up 24 0% YoY [2] - Domestic segment processing volume increased 15 8% YoY, while international segment surged 193 4% [2] Financial Projections - 2024E revenue forecast at RMB 8 325 billion, with 19 2% YoY growth [3] - 2024E net profit forecast at RMB 1 954 billion, with EPS of RMB 0 67 [3] - 2025E revenue expected to reach RMB 10 509 billion, with 12 1% YoY growth [3] - 2025E net profit projected at RMB 2 491 billion, with EPS of RMB 0 85 [3] Balance Sheet - Total assets expected to grow from RMB 25 236 billion in 2022 to RMB 32 970 billion in 2026E [4] - Cash and short-term investments projected to increase from RMB 7 577 billion in 2022 to RMB 14 660 billion in 2026E [4] - Shareholders' equity forecast to rise from RMB 19 741 billion in 2022 to RMB 27 017 billion in 2026E [4] Cash Flow - Operating cash flow projected to increase from RMB 1 336 billion in 2022 to RMB 3 513 billion in 2026E [5] - Free cash flow expected to grow from RMB 1 678 billion in 2022 to RMB 1 746 billion in 2026E [5] - Net cash flow forecast to rise from RMB 1 136 billion in 2022 to RMB 2 221 billion in 2026E [5]

证券分析师 周新明 资格编号：S0120524060001 邮箱：zhouxm＠tebon.com.cn 李霁阳 资格编号：S0120523080003 邮箱：lijy7＠tebon.com.cn 市场表现 -29% -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 57% 康方生物 恒生指数 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------|----------------|--------------|-------| | 2023-09 \n恒 生 指 数 对 比 | 2024-01 \n1M | 2024-05 \n2M | 3M | | 绝对涨幅 (%) | 16.08 | 30.07 | 11.59 | | 相对涨幅 (%) | 12.36 | 28.54 | 12.09 | | 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 | | | | 相关研究 1.《康方生物(9926.HK)：AK112 获批 +击败 K 药，创新药龙头价值当被重 估》，2024.7.19 2.《康方生物(9926.HK)：管线矩阵丰 富，多个产品将获批，收入有望继续高 增》， ...

[Table_StockNameRptType] 美团-W（03690） 公司点评 2Q24 业绩点评：利润超预期，经营效率持续提升 | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 回购彰显信心，运营具备韧性 24H1 收入同增 13.8%，归母净利润同增 17% 公司发布半年报，24H1 收入 337 亿同增 13.8%，分品牌，安踏收入 160.8 亿同增 13.5%，FILA 收入 130.6 亿同增 6.8%，所有其他品牌收入 46 亿同增 41.8%。 24H1 集团实现归母净利润 61.6 亿同增 17%，若考虑 Amer Sports 上市带来 的非现金会计利得影响，公司 24H1 归母净利 77.2 亿同增 62.6%。 董事会宣派中期股息每股普通股港币 118 分，同比增长 43.9%，股息合计 占公司归母净利 50.1%（不考虑 Amer 上市对归母净利的贡献）。此外，公 司拟在未来 18 个月内，以现有现金储备回购不超过 100 亿港币的股份，且 购回股份将予以注销，加强股东回馈提振信心。 盈利能力优化，奥运大年费控优秀 24H1 公司整体毛利率 64.1%，同增 0.8pct。分品牌看，安踏毛利率 56.6%， 同增 0.8pct；FILA 毛利率 70.2%，同增 1pct；所有其他品牌毛利率 72.7%， 同减 0.7pct。 公司 ...

到店酒旅将持续受益于线上渗透率提升：2 季度到店酒旅订单量同比增超 60%， 年交易用户（同比增 35%）及年活跃商户数创新高，受益于上线团购产品、打通 神会员体系等。拆分 GTV，休闲娱乐/丽人&医美 GTV 同比增 60%+/50%+，低线 城市 GTV 增速强劲，到店 GTV 增速仍快于酒旅。我们认为，线上渗透率提升是 到店酒旅业务的中长期增长动力，竞争格局趋于稳定，投入更加注重效率，美团 在商户侧的沉淀也利好满足用户侧需求，同时神会员体系利好交叉销售率提升。 王婷 (0755) 8168 2753 wangting9@essence.com.cn 2 图表 8:2Q24 经营活动现金流 250 亿元 规范性披露 投资评级： xx 买入 xx 图表 3: 核心本地商业收入结构 13 14 15 15 14 16 20 20 17 20.4 23.0 21.9 21.1 23.0 10 12 13 13 12 12 16 15 16 18.4 21.0 19.4 20.0 22.1 6 7 8 8 7 7 9 8 8 10.2 11.4 10.9 10.3 12.3 28.7 33.7 37.2 37.0 ...

Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price adjustment to HKD 2.20, corresponding to 5x PS for 2024 [3] Core Views - Revenue growth and gross margin improvement driven by quality and diversified customer acquisition [3] - Acquisition of Baite Technology to enhance services for core enterprise and financial institution clients [3] - Continuous share buybacks demonstrate confidence in the company's future [3] Financial Performance - 2024 H1 revenue reached RMB 413 million, a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [3] - Gross margin improved from 60.8% in 2023 to 70.9% in 2024 H1 [3] - Adjusted net loss of RMB 204 million in 2024 H1, with impairment losses of RMB 162 million due to the real estate sector's pressure [3] - Core enterprise cloud supply chain financing scale increased by 40% to RMB 123.7 billion, driving core enterprise cloud revenue to RMB 230 million, up 29% year-on-year [3] Customer and Market Expansion - Number of core enterprise and financial institution clients increased by 16% to 856 in 2024 H1 [3] - Further coverage expansion in state-owned enterprises among core clients [3] Strategic Initiatives - Proposed acquisition of Baite Technology to enter the treasury management market, offering comprehensive solutions from internal group treasury management systems to supply chain financing systems [3] - Approved a share buyback plan of up to USD 100 million in March 2024, with HKD 278 million repurchased in H1 2024 [3] Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 adjusted to RMB 918 million, RMB 1.049 billion, and RMB 1.149 billion, respectively [3] - Earnings per share forecasted at RMB 0.40, RMB 0.46, and RMB 0.50 for 2024-2026 [3] Market Data - Current stock price: HKD 1.53 [4] - 52-week price range: HKD 1.09 to HKD 2.17 [4] - Current market capitalization: HKD 3,496,025 thousand [4] Historical Financial Summary - Revenue growth rates: 47.0% in 2020, 16.5% in 2021, -22.9% in 2022, -6.1% in 2023, and projected 5.8% in 2024, 14.2% in 2025, and 9.6% in 2026 [5] - Gross profit: RMB 630.378 million in 2020, RMB 927.250 million in 2021, RMB 774.535 million in 2022, RMB 526.515 million in 2023, and projected RMB 642.495 million in 2024, RMB 734.004 million in 2025, and RMB 804.166 million in 2026 [5] - Adjusted net profit: RMB 192.482 million in 2020, RMB 289.440 million in 2021, RMB 196.015 million in 2022, RMB -286.267 million in 2023, and projected RMB -292.720 million in 2024, RMB 58.931 million in 2025, and RMB 111.256 million in 2026 [5]