晨会纪要 证券研究报告 2026 年 03 月 02 日 核心结论 分析师 【电子】2026 年电子年度策略：端云算力同频共振，自主可控步履铿锵 AI 硬件：国产 AI 芯片发展迅速，算力高景气度下，PCB、存储等供不应求。 半导体：全球资本开支重回增长轨道，晶圆扩产驱动设备国产化与先进封装 高景气。 端侧：AI 重塑终端形态，硬件升级与新兴品类开启新一轮创新周期。 【航海装备Ⅱ】船舶行业系列报告之二：船舶：摘取皇冠明珠，国产 LNG 船扬帆起航 LNG 运输船是现代造船工业皇冠上璀璨的明珠，其技术壁垒较高，是中国 造船业一直想要突破的高端船舶产品。2008 年 4 月 3 日，中国首制 14.7 万 立方米系列 LNG 船"大鹏昊"成功交付，打破了西方垄断 LNG 船市场的局 面，成功实现了"国轮国造"。 【计算机】英伟达 LPU 方案印证专用推理芯片的可行性 我们认为：英伟达将 LPU 整合进自身 AI 芯片体系，展现了专用推理芯片 （ASIC/DSA）在生成式 AI 推理计算中的重要性。这或将印证国产 AI 芯片 通过专业推理架构，在 AI 推理侧实现性能突破的可能性。AI 推理芯片的高 速迭代，或将推 ...

Core Insights - The next five years in the new energy battery sector will be dominated by solid-state batteries, which are set to redefine the entire battery supply chain and present significant investment opportunities [1] - China has established itself in the leading tier of the global race for solid-state battery technology, with a surge in patents, supportive policies, and strategic corporate positioning [1] Industry Overview - Solid-state batteries are recognized for their ability to achieve energy densities exceeding 400Wh/kg, making them a focal point for global investment and technological advancement [1] - The period from 2025 to 2027 is identified as a critical window for industrialization, with major automotive and battery companies expected to complete pilot production lines and begin vehicle testing [1] Material Innovations - The electrolyte is considered the "heart" of solid-state batteries, with the sulfide route being the mainstream choice due to its superior ionic conductivity [3] - Lithium sulfide, the core raw material for sulfide electrolytes, presents significant production challenges, and companies that can achieve mass production and cost reduction will gain a competitive edge [4] Anode and Cathode Developments - The anode materials directly influence battery energy density, with pure lithium metal anodes being the ultimate goal due to their potential for nearly tenfold capacity improvement [5] - Silicon-carbon anodes are seen as a transitional solution, with advancements in technology addressing previous challenges related to expansion and consistency [6] - Cathode materials are evolving towards "high nickel + lithium-rich manganese" routes, with the latter being a new opportunity presented by solid-state technology [7] Supporting Materials and Equipment - Auxiliary materials and current collectors, while smaller segments, present substantial market opportunities, with significant demand for single-walled carbon nanotubes and other essential materials [8] - The transition to solid-state batteries necessitates a comprehensive upgrade of production equipment, with 60%-70% of existing machinery requiring replacement or modification [8] - Dry processing equipment is highlighted as a key area for innovation, enhancing battery density and energy efficiency while reducing operational costs [8][9] New Market Opportunities - Isostatic pressing equipment, previously unused in the lithium battery sector, is expected to create new market demands due to its role in enhancing battery density [9] - Leading companies are accelerating the development of complete solid-state battery production lines, indicating a shift towards more integrated manufacturing solutions [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Changsha Economic Development Zone has launched 18 major projects with a total investment of 25.195 billion yuan, emphasizing the importance of project-driven economic growth and development in the region [1][3]. Group 1: Project Launch and Investment - A total of 18 major projects have officially commenced construction, with a combined investment of 25.195 billion yuan [1]. - In 2025, the zone plans to initiate 56 major projects and has already completed investments of 14.364 billion yuan, exceeding the annual target by 23.39% [1]. - The zone has 39 major projects included in the municipal development and reform commission's assessment, with a planned total investment of 63.694 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Industry Focus and Development - The newly launched projects span various sectors, including engineering machinery, automotive parts, high-end equipment, electrical equipment, new energy, electronic information, new materials, and medical devices [3]. - The Changsha Economic Development Zone is home to two trillion-level industrial clusters in engineering machinery and automotive parts, with leading companies like SANY Group and CRRC maintaining strong global rankings [3]. Group 3: Innovation and Research - The zone is establishing a high-energy innovation platform matrix, attracting international and domestic research institutions, including the global R&D center of Megmeet and the Bosch electric drive system R&D center [4]. - As of January, the zone has accumulated 388 various innovation platforms, including 29 national-level platforms, forming a comprehensive innovation system [4]. - The Megmeet smart industrial base project, with an investment of 5.16 billion yuan, will focus on intelligent production lines and R&D testing platforms for various high-tech products [6].

从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，东方阿尔法基金旗下1只基金位居宏工科技十大流通股东。东方阿尔法产业先锋混合A （011704）三季度新进十大流通股东，持有股数47.34万股，占流通股的比例为3%。根据测算，今日浮 盈赚取约407.11万元。 东方阿尔法产业先锋混合A（011704）成立日期2021年7月21日，最新规模7.26亿。今年以来收益 9.66%，同类排名2001/8889；近一年收益47.98%，同类排名1403/8136；成立以来亏损30.51%。 东方阿尔法产业先锋混合A（011704）基金经理为周谧。 截至发稿，周谧累计任职时间7年360天，现任基金资产总规模53.02亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 112.22%， 任职期间最差基金回报14.11%。 2月25日，宏工科技涨5.16%，截至发稿，报175.40元/股，成交1.26亿元，换手率4.47%，总市值140.32 亿元。 资料显示，宏工科技股份有限公司位于广东省东莞市桥头镇桥新西二路10号10号楼108室，成立日期 2008年8月14日，上市日期2025年4月17日，公司主营业务涉及粉料、粒料、液料、浆料等散装物料的自 动化处理产线及设备 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a dual trend of rapid growth in energy storage and a shift towards solid-state technology for power batteries, leading to increased production capacity and rising material prices, which may impact profit margins for battery manufacturers [2]. Group 1 - The energy storage sector is thriving, with major battery manufacturers receiving numerous orders and calling for expansion [2]. - The transition towards solid-state technology is becoming a focal point for leading manufacturers, while the global pace of electrification is slowing down, creating a cautious atmosphere in the industry [2]. - The rebound in upstream material prices is causing profit growth for battery companies to lag behind the increase in shipment volumes [2]. Group 2 - The new year is seen as a pivotal moment for the lithium battery industry, with expectations for technological advancements and a focus on high-quality manufacturing [4][12]. - Companies are emphasizing the importance of innovation and collaboration to navigate the challenges and opportunities presented by the evolving market landscape [8][20]. - The industry is poised for a significant transformation, with a collective goal of achieving high-quality development and contributing to global energy transition efforts [18][59].

Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading enterprise in material processing equipment focused on lithium batteries, having entered the lithium battery anode and cathode materials industry in 2015 and serving major clients such as CATL, BYD, and others. The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to the lithium battery cycle, with a revenue of 1.04 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, down 29.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30 million yuan, down 73.5% year-on-year. The company forecasts a net profit of 70-85 million yuan for 2025, a decline of 59.09%-66.31% year-on-year, with Q4 2025 expected to see a net profit of 48.5 million yuan, down 49.48% year-on-year, indicating a narrowing decline compared to Q1-Q3 2025 [1] Group 1 - The company focuses on lithium battery upstream material processing and is expected to benefit from the recovery of the lithium battery cycle, as the industry has begun to emerge from a downturn. Key factors include stable growth in demand for power batteries and the potential for energy storage batteries to become a core demand driver, along with improvements in operational metrics for downstream battery manufacturers and a restart of capital expenditures by leading firms [1] Group 2 - Leveraging its advantages in powder processing, the company is transitioning from liquid to solid-state technologies. In the solid-state battery sector, the company is focusing on dry electrode process equipment, including material feeding, transportation, mixing, and homogenization. A joint venture with Qingyan Electronics has been established to develop automated solutions for the dry electrode front-end processes, resulting in the development of various equipment suitable for solid-state batteries [2] Group 3 - Profit forecasts indicate that the company is expected to achieve net profits of 76 million yuan, 274 million yuan, and 546 million yuan from 2025 to 2027. Considering the company's benefits from the expansion of lithium battery production driven by energy storage demand and the trends brought by new solid-state battery technologies, a 60 times PE valuation for the company's 2026 net profit is suggested, corresponding to a reasonable value of 205.19 yuan per share, with an initial "buy" rating [2]

Summary of Solid-State Battery Conference and Mid-Term Review Industry Overview - Focus on the solid-state battery industry, particularly the outcomes of the solid-state battery academic and industrial conference held on February 7-8, 2026, and the results of the second mid-term review [1][2] Key Conclusions from the Conference - The conference is seen as a turning point for solid-state batteries transitioning from laboratory to production lines - Four main conclusions were drawn: - Sulfide materials are becoming the mainstream technology - Key industry timelines are set for 2027 for demonstration vehicles and 2030 for mass production - Significant challenges remain in process costs and industry chain collaboration - Clear advancements in lithium metal anodes and composite cathode technologies [1][2] Mid-Term Review Results - The second round of mid-term evaluations showed significant improvements over the first round, with leading manufacturers nearing commercialization thresholds - Key performance metrics include: - Cycle life target of 300 cycles or more, with leading manufacturers achieving close to this threshold with a decay rate of ≤10% - Energy density metrics reached 350-360 Wh/kg, the highest among all tested companies - Fast charging capabilities of 1C and peak performance of 2C, comparable to current ternary power batteries - The "no anode" (self-generating anode) approach is highlighted as a core innovation, offering significant improvements in energy density and potentially extending cycle life [3] Key Information from the Conference - High-profile attendees included the Minister of Industry and Information Technology and various battery and automotive companies - The overall industry pace is set for 2026 to be the year of solid-state batteries, with a ramp-up phase from 2028 to 2030 - The preference for sulfide electrolytes is confirmed, with leading manufacturers opting for the no-anode solution while others choose silicon-based or artificial graphite anodes [4] Catalysts and Industry Progress - The positive results from the mid-term review, combined with manufacturers' goals for near-term production, are boosting confidence in the industry - Rapid advancements in the construction of solid-state battery production lines are underway, with equipment tenders for various processes already initiated - Upcoming tenders for dry dispersion and dry film processes are expected to commence shortly, with further equipment tenders planned for early 2026 [5] Investment Recommendations - Recommendations focus on three main areas: materials, equipment, and electrolytes, aligning with mainstream technologies such as no anode, sulfide electrolytes, and dry processing - Specific investment targets include: - **No Anode Materials**: Top recommendation is Zhongyi Technology, a key supplier benefiting from lithium battery expansion, with expected revenues exceeding 250 million in 2026 - **Equipment**: Recommended companies include Lingge Technology and Huazi Technology, which are positioned to benefit from the expansion of solid-state electrolyte production - **Electrolytes**: Strong recommendation for Xiamen Tungsten New Energy, a core supplier for leading electronic manufacturers, with potential to dominate in the lithium sulfide sector [6][7]

1. 汇报核心背景与整体结论 本次汇报聚焦固态电池产学研年会（2 月 7-8 日）、中期评审二测结果、投资观点与标的三大核心。 年会被认定为。 团队梳理出固态电池领域四大核心结论：。 行业时间节点明确为。 工艺成本、产业链协同仍存诸多待突破问题。 锂金属 1. 汇报核心背景与整体结论 本次汇报聚焦固态电池产学研年会（2 月 7-8 日）、中期评审二测结果、投资观点与标的三大核心。 年会被认定为。 团队梳理出固态电池领域四大核心结论：。 行业时间节点明确为。 工艺成本、产业链协同仍存诸多待突破问题。 锂金属负极、复合正极技术取得明确进展。 同时确定固态电池相关标的推荐顺序为。 2. 中期评审第二次测评核心成果 固态电池中期评审第一轮送样（2025 年 10 月下旬）各厂商表现不佳。 第二次送样如期完成且结果，头部厂商性能指标。 循环寿命上，中期目标为 300 圈及以上，头部厂商在衰减≤10% 时循环寿命已接近 300 圈。 其通过微调配方、适当降低内部能量密度标准，顺利达到。 能量密度方面，头部厂商在指标微调后仍达，为所有送检企业中最高。 倍率性能上，快充可达 1C、峰值 2C，放电倍率与现行三元动力电池接近。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Honggong Technology (301662), is focusing on expanding its overseas market as a strategic development direction while supporting domestic battery clients' overseas expansion plans [1] Group 1: Strategic Direction - The company emphasizes the importance of developing relationships with leading overseas clients in markets such as Europe, the United States, South Korea, and India [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Honggong Technology (301662.SZ), has reported that major domestic battery clients are conducting small and medium trials using its hybrid homogenization integrated machine, with some applications lasting over a year [1] Group 1 - The hybrid homogenization integrated machine has been positively received by clients, demonstrating good process adaptability [1] - The company has iteratively optimized its equipment based on actual application feedback to meet diverse process requirements from clients [1]