Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,776 points, down 2.2%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 2.5% to 9,080 points[1] - Total turnover in the Hong Kong stock market was HKD 347.9 billion, a 15.4% increase from HKD 301.6 billion last Friday[1] - The materials, energy, and healthcare indices dropped by 6.0%, 4.0%, and 3.5% respectively, while consumer staples, utilities, and financials saw smaller declines of 0.2%, 1.1%, and 1.6%[1] Stock Performance - Sands China (1928 HK) and Lenovo Group (992 HK) led the blue-chip gainers, rising by 4.1% and 1.8% respectively[1] - BYD Company (1211 HK) and China Unicom (762 HK) were the biggest losers, falling by 6.9% and 6.3% respectively[1] Commodity Prices - Oil prices decreased from USD 65 to approximately USD 62, while gold prices fell from USD 5,400 to around USD 4,700[2] - The decline in commodity prices is attributed to reduced geopolitical risks and expectations of limited interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve[2] Economic Indicators - The ISM Manufacturing PMI for January in the U.S. was reported at 52.6, exceeding December's 47.9 and the market forecast of 48.3[3] - In mainland China, the transaction volume of new homes in 30 major cities reached 1.48 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 983.8% due to last year's Spring Festival holiday[3] Industry Insights - Macau's gaming revenue for January was AUD 22.63 billion, up 24.0% year-on-year and 8% month-on-month, exceeding market expectations[4] - The healthcare index in Hong Kong fell by 3.5%, with Rongchang Bio (9995 HK) expecting a revenue increase of 89% to RMB 3.25 billion, significantly above market expectations[4] Energy Sector - The energy sector, particularly thermal power and electrical equipment stocks, saw significant declines, with Huaneng International (902 HK) down 6.8%[5] - Recent policy changes by the National Development and Reform Commission regarding electricity pricing have raised concerns in the market, despite potential long-term benefits[5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, which includes an increase in the coal power capacity price recovery ratio and the inclusion of new energy storage, gas power, and pumped storage in the capacity compensation framework [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Highlights - The coal power capacity recovery ratio is set to increase from approximately 30% in 2024-2025 to no less than 50% [2]. - The average capacity fee revenue for coal power is expected to rise from 0.027 yuan/kWh to 0.040 yuan/kWh by 2026 due to the increased recovery ratio [2]. - Local governments are encouraged to adjust the lower limit of medium- and long-term trading prices for coal power and to relax the signing ratio requirements for medium- and long-term contracts, promoting flexible pricing mechanisms [2]. Group 2: Capacity Compensation Mechanism Expansion - A new independent capacity price mechanism for grid-side energy storage has been established, which will be compensated based on local coal power standards [3]. - The pumped storage capacity price mechanism will adopt a "new and old distinction" principle, allowing for market-based cost recovery [3]. - A capacity price mechanism for gas power generation may be established by provincial pricing authorities, determining capacity prices based on a fixed cost recovery ratio [3]. Group 3: Reliable Capacity Compensation Mechanism - A reliable capacity is defined as the capacity that can provide stable power supply during peak demand periods [4]. - A reliable capacity compensation mechanism will be established to replace the original capacity price, focusing on compensating for the fixed costs not recovered by marginal units [4]. - The compensation scope will include coal power, gas power, and independent new energy storage, gradually expanding to pumped storage [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Operators of coal power, gas power, and pumped storage will benefit from the increased fixed cost recovery ratio and market revenue sharing mechanisms [4]. - The implementation of capacity prices will significantly improve the revenue model for independent energy storage stations, favoring high-quality storage asset operations [4]. - The regulatory resources will support the construction of new power systems and facilitate the absorption of renewable energy [4]. Recommended companies include Huaneng International (600011), Huadian International (600027), and Longyuan Power (001289) [4].

Group 1 - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council approved the "Modern Capital Metropolitan Area Spatial Collaborative Planning (2023-2035)" [1] - On February 2, the expected cross-regional personnel flow is 187.91 million trips, an increase of 13% compared to the same period in 2025 [2] - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments issued the "2026 'Buy New Spring' Special Activity Plan," encouraging localities to increase subsidies for replacing old consumer goods during the Spring Festival and enhance support for offline retail [2] - Tsinghua University's Integrated Circuit Institute, in collaboration with Peking University and other institutions, developed the world's first large-scale flexible digital computing chip "FLEXI," achieving a breakthrough in flexible electronics and edge AI hardware [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation, along with ten departments, released the "Low-altitude Economy Standard System Construction Guide (2025 Edition)," focusing on five core areas: low-altitude aircraft, infrastructure, air traffic management, safety supervision, and application scenarios [2] - China Huaneng announced that the first batch of wind turbines for the 300,000 kW wind power project in Aheqi County, the highest altitude wind power project in Northwest China, has successfully connected to the grid [2] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange adjusted the margin levels and price fluctuation limits for silver futures contracts due to significant price volatility [2] Group 2 - In January, the national price index for "vegetable basket" products remained stable, with vegetable prices showing a slight decrease month-on-month [3] - On February 2, the South Korean stock market experienced a sharp decline, with the KOSPI index dropping over 5%, triggering a trading halt for five minutes [3] - On February 2, international oil prices fell significantly, with NYMEX light crude oil futures dropping below $63 per barrel and Brent crude oil futures falling below $67 per barrel, both down over 3% [3] - February 2 is World Wetlands Day; China has been strengthening wetland ecological protection and restoration, with its wetland area ranking first in Asia and fourth in the world [3] - The National Healthcare Security Administration announced that in 2026, it will continue to increase the intensity of flying inspections, covering all provinces and various stakeholders in health insurance [3] - On February 2, China Eastern Airlines' domestically produced C919 aircraft began regular commercial flights from Shanghai Hongqiao to Zhuhai, with a total of 14 C919 aircraft operating 18 routes [3]

Core Viewpoint - The successful grid connection of the first batch of wind turbines at the Huaneng Aheqi County 300,000 kW wind power project marks a significant milestone as it is the highest altitude wind power project in Northwest China, located at 3,700 meters above sea level [1]. Group 1 - The Huaneng Aheqi County wind power project is set to install 45 wind turbines, each with a capacity of 6.7 megawatts, along with a 30 MW/60 MWh electrochemical energy storage station [1]. - Once fully operational, the project is expected to generate an average annual electricity output of 610 million kilowatt-hours, which can meet the annual electricity needs of 20,000 households [2]. - The project is projected to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 500,000 tons annually, thereby enhancing local energy security and promoting green low-carbon development [2].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 完善发电侧容量电价机制，2025 年新增光伏 /风电装机 315/119GW 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2026 年 02 月 02 日 执业证书：S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《寒潮退潮，美气价格高位回落；欧 洲&国内气价相对平稳》 2026-02-02 《关注火箭可回收路径中稀缺耗材， 九丰能源推进剂特气份额&价值量提 升，全国冬季用电负荷首破 14 亿千 瓦》 证券分析师 袁理 2026-01-27 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点：1）《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》发布。国 家发展改革 ...

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·公用事业 公用事业行业点评报告 发电侧容量电价机制完善，容量机制扩围提 比，调节性资产价值重塑 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 执业证书：S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《关注火箭可回收路径中稀缺耗材， 九丰能源推进剂特气份额&价值量提 升，全国冬季用电负荷首破 14 亿千 瓦》 2026-01-27 《供暖需求+供应中断担忧，全球气价 上涨；关注商业航天可回收路径中稀 缺耗材，九丰能源推进剂特气份额& 价值量提升》 2026-01-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 2 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 事件：国家发展改革委、国家能源 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the successful grid connection of the first batch of wind turbines in the Huaneng Aheqi County 300,000 kW wind power project, which is the highest altitude wind power project in Northwest China, located at an elevation of 3,700 meters [2] - The project plans to install 45 wind turbines, each with a capacity of 6.7 MW, and will include a 30 MW/60 MWh electrochemical energy storage station [2] - Once fully operational, the project is expected to generate an average annual electricity output of 610 million kWh, sufficient to meet the annual electricity needs of 20,000 households, and will reduce carbon dioxide emissions by over 500,000 tons annually, enhancing local energy security and promoting green low-carbon development [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the release of a notification regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, increasing the coal power recovery ratio to 50%, enhancing revenue certainty [4] - It forecasts an addition of 315 GW of solar and 119 GW of wind power capacity in 2025, with a total installed capacity of 3.89 billion kW by the end of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.1% [4] - The average electricity purchase price in January 2026 decreased by 8% year-on-year [4] - The report emphasizes the need for investment in green energy, coal power, hydropower, nuclear power, and solar assets, recommending specific companies for investment [4] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report notes a stable growth in electricity consumption, with a total of 9.46 trillion kWh from January to November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.2% [13] - Cumulative power generation in 2025 reached 9.72 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year growth of 2.2% [23] - The report tracks the average electricity purchase price, which was 374 RMB/MWh in January 2026, down 8% from the previous year [38] Power Generation - The report indicates that coal prices at Qinhuangdao port were 692 RMB/ton as of January 30, 2026, showing a year-on-year decrease of 8.1% [44] - The inflow and outflow rates at the Three Gorges Reservoir were 7460 m³/s and 9230 m³/s respectively, with year-on-year increases of 65.8% and 11.7% [51] - The report highlights the significant growth in renewable energy, with solar and wind power installations increasing by 315 GW and 119 GW respectively in 2025 [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on green energy investments, with specific recommendations for companies such as Longyuan Power, China Nuclear Power, and others in the renewable sector [4] - It also emphasizes the transformation potential in coal power and the benefits of hydropower due to low costs and strong cash flow [4]

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Province has made significant strides in transitioning to green energy, with non-fossil energy power generation capacity reaching 139 million kilowatts by 2025, increasing its share from 31% to 54%, surpassing coal power for the first time [2][3]. Group 1: Energy Transition Achievements - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, Shandong's energy consumption intensity decreased by 22%, and carbon emission intensity fell by 20.5% [2][3]. - The proportion of days with good air quality reached 77.8%, and Shandong has consistently received high marks in central pollution prevention assessments [2][3]. - The province has closed 10.9427 million kilowatts of small coal-fired power units, with over 87% of operational coal power units being large-scale [6][5]. Group 2: Industrial Transformation - Shandong's industrial focus has shifted from heavy industries like steel and petrochemicals, which heavily relied on coal, to cleaner energy sources [5][6]. - The province has implemented measures to reduce carbon emissions in high-energy-consuming industries, including relocating steel production to coastal areas and closing high-energy-consuming production capacities [5][6]. - The integration of smaller refineries and the establishment of world-class refining and chemical projects have improved energy efficiency and product value [6] . Group 3: Green Energy Development - Shandong has actively expanded external green electricity supply channels and coordinated the construction of new energy stations within the province [10][11]. - The "External Electricity into Shandong" strategy has successfully delivered over 1 trillion kilowatt-hours of external power to the province over the past 20 years [10][11]. - By 2025, Shandong's distributed photovoltaic projects have become a major force in new energy station construction, with a total installed capacity of over 115 million kilowatts, accounting for 48.3% of total power generation capacity [11][12]. Group 4: Policy and Market Innovations - Shandong has pioneered several market reforms in the electricity sector, including the introduction of capacity compensation systems and retail price caps to stabilize electricity prices [14][15]. - The province is also a leader in the development of an electricity spot market, which enhances resource allocation and price signals [13][14]. - New energy mechanism price bidding results have indicated a shift towards wind power and energy storage development, with significant investments expected in these areas [15][16]. Group 5: Future Goals and Initiatives - The Shandong government aims to establish 20 provincial-level zero-carbon parks and explore integrated models for energy sources, networks, loads, and storage [18][19]. - The zero-carbon parks are designed to achieve net-zero carbon emissions through various technological and management measures, promoting sustainable development [19][20]. - The province plans to continue optimizing its energy structure by advancing nuclear power and large-scale clean coal projects [16][20].

数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国核能发电量产量为446亿千瓦时，同比增长3.1%；2025年1- 12月中国核能发电量累计产量为4811.8亿千瓦时，累计增长7.7%。 2020-2025年中国核能发电量产量统计图 上市企业：中国广核（003816）,中国核电（601985）,申能股份（600642）,浙能电力（600023）,湖北能 源（000883）,华能国际（600011）,大唐发电（601991）,江苏国信（002608）,中核科技（000777）,福 能股份（600483） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国核电行业市场发展规模及投资机会分析报告》 ...