Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that listed companies are gradually overcoming operational difficulties and experiencing performance recovery, driven by initiatives such as "anti-involution," "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement," and "digital transformation" [1] Group 1: Performance Recovery - Nearly 1,250 companies that disclosed performance forecasts are expected to achieve a total net profit of over 173 billion yuan in 2025, with a nearly 100% increase compared to the previous year, marking the highest growth rate in the past five years [1] - The proactive disclosure of orders by listed companies aims to stabilize market expectations, boost investor confidence, and showcase growth potential, leading to a virtuous cycle of performance improvement and market confidence recovery [1] Group 2: Order-Driven Performance - Approximately 60 companies have reported increased orders, which are driving sustained growth or turning losses into profits, primarily in sectors such as electronics, machinery, power equipment, and biomedicine [3] - Among the companies benefiting from order increases, over half are expected to see net profit growth exceeding 100% in 2025, with notable examples including Tongda Co., which anticipates a net profit increase of over 610%, and Shengnuo Biotech, expecting over 280% growth [3][4] - Conversely, around 40 companies are facing revenue declines or losses due to reduced orders, with examples like Duolun Technology and Qinglong Pipe Industry reporting significant drops in revenue [4] Group 3: Market Performance of Order-Driven Companies - Companies driven by order growth have attracted significant market interest, with an average stock price increase of nearly 84% in 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [6] - Specifically, companies with expected profit increases have shown an average stock price rise of over 90% in 2025, while loss-turning companies have seen average increases of over 75% [6] Group 4: Order Fulfillment and Future Growth - As of January 27, nearly 50 companies have reported sufficient orders, indicating a solid operational foundation for the year, covering industries such as electronics, defense, power equipment, and automotive [9] - Approximately 60% of these companies are projected to achieve net profit growth or significantly reduced losses in 2025, with 16 companies expected to maintain net profit growth exceeding 10% from 2025 to 2027 [9] - Companies like Shenghong Technology and Bai'ao Intelligent are expected to see substantial net profit growth in the coming years due to their strong order backlogs [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The latest report indicates a mixed performance among the top ten holdings of the ChiNext 50 ETF (159949), with significant fluctuations in stock prices, reflecting the current market dynamics [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of midday, the performance of the top ten holdings varied: Ningde Times fell by 0.89%, Zhongji Xuchuang rose by 5.61%, Xinyi Sheng increased by 4.28%, Dongfang Wealth dropped by 1.63%, and others showed similar fluctuations [1][3]. - The holdings and their respective market values are as follows: Ningde Times at approximately 6.59 billion yuan, Zhongji Xuchuang at about 3.65 billion yuan, and Xinyi Sheng at around 2.68 billion yuan, among others [1]. Group 2: Institutional Insights - China Galaxy Securities highlights that the demand for AI computing power, the upward cycle of storage chips, and the penetration of advanced packaging technology are driving the demand for semiconductor equipment, with strong growth expectations for the semiconductor equipment market by 2026 [1][3]. - Huaxi Securities suggests that, from a medium to long-term perspective, the current market is still in the middle of a "slow bull" trend, with recommendations to focus on sectors such as technology, chemicals, and high-growth industries like electronics and pharmaceuticals [1][3]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159949) has provided a return of 35.67% over the past three years, outperforming its benchmark and ranking 528th among 1,633 similar products [2][4]. - The ETF is accessible for trading through stock accounts and linked funds, with recommendations for investors to adopt a systematic investment approach to mitigate short-term volatility [2][4].

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月27日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260127 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.药品零售新政出台，赋能行业高质量发展——医药生物行业周报（2026/01/19- 2026/01/25） ➢ 2.2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超28%，AI相关芯片涨价持续——电子行业周报 2026/1/19-2025/1/25 ➢ 1.商务部：将优化实施消费品以旧换新，促进家电等大宗耐用商品消费 ➢ 2.上期所调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额 ➢ 3.香港特别行政区行 ...

流动性方面，大湾区ETF盘中换手0.16%，成交14.21万元。拉长时间看，截至1月26日，大湾区ETF近1月日均成交92.05万元。 截至2026年1月23日，大湾区ETF近1年夏普比率为1.76。 回撤方面，截至2026年1月26日，大湾区ETF今年以来最大回撤1.84%，相对基准回撤0.02%。 截至2026年1月26日 15:00，中证粤港澳大湾区发展主题指数(931000)下跌1.22%。成分股方面涨跌互现，明阳智能领涨10.02%，沃尔核材上涨6.04%，越秀资 本上涨5.03%；信维通信领跌10.05%，海格通信下跌10.02%，广东宏大下跌8.37%。大湾区ETF(512970)多空胶着，最新报价1.56元。拉长时间看，截至2026 年1月26日，大湾区ETF本月以来累计上涨1.17%。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 涨跌幅 | 权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601318 | 中国平安 | 0.38% | 8.31% | | 002475 | 立讯精密 | -2.54% | 6.59% | | 002594 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The PCB (Printed Circuit Board) industry is expected to experience significant growth in performance due to the AI wave, driven by increased demand for AI computing infrastructure and consumer electronics upgrades [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Guangzhou Haozhi Electromechanical Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 128 million to 165 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.40% to 99.03% [1]. - Shenghong Technology (Huizhou) Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 260.35% to 295% [2]. - Shenzhen Dazhu CNC Technology Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 785 million to 885 million yuan for 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of 160.64% to 193.84% [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for AI computing power is driving a structural boom in the PCB industry, with expectations that the AI-related PCB market will reach 10 billion USD by 2026 [3]. - The expansion of AI infrastructure is leading to a significant increase in both volume and price in the PCB sector, particularly for high-end PCBs, which will support sustained profitability for companies [3][4]. - Companies are ramping up production to seize market opportunities, with examples such as Hushi Electronics starting a high-end PCB expansion project in June 2025, expected to begin trial production in the second half of 2026 [3]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - PCB-related companies should focus on technological research and development to tackle challenges in high-frequency, high-layer boards and upgrade high-end production capacity to meet customized AI computing demands [4]. - Companies are encouraged to deeply integrate with leading chip and server manufacturers during the early stages of product development to create dual barriers of technology and supply chain, thereby avoiding low-end price competition and solidifying their high-end market advantage [4].

转自：证券时报 | | | | 部分海外机构调研股 | H | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | i前杯 | 外资机构 | 2025年度归母净 | 年初以来融 | 总市值 | | | | 调研家数 | 利润预计同比增 | 资净买入 | (亿元) | | | | | 长下限 (%) | (亿元) | | | 002373 | 干方科技 | 1 | 扭亏 | 1.15 | 201.95 | | 688521 | 芯原股份 | 14 | 減5 | 4.86 | 1166.41 | | 605358 | 立昂微 | 2 | 減5 | 1.12 | 287.42 | | 688525 | 佰维存储 | 2 | 427.19 | 11.05 | 843.64 | | 300476 | 胜宏科技 | 2 | 260.35 | 0.83 | 2310.78 | | 600983 | 惠而浦 | 1 | 150.00 | 0.00 | 83.39 | | 688213 | 思特威-W | 26 | 149.00 | 2.06 | 404.20 | | 301035 | ...

Victory Giant (300476.SZ): PCB Factory Tour: AI infrastructure and specification migration drive growth ahead; Capacity and Customers in We hosted Victory Giant management and visited its Huizhou factory during our China PCB Tour on Jan 23. Key discussions focused on (1) competition landscape; (2) capacity expansion; and (3) clients expansion. Overall, management is positive on the rising demand across GPU and ASIC AI sever clients, considering the specification upgrade towards more complicated architecture ...

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index, has shown a slight increase of 0.03% as of January 23, 2026, with notable stock performances including Jiejia Weichuang up by 20.00% and Xunwei Communication up by 15.43% [1] - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) has increased by 0.26%, with a latest price of 1.56 yuan, and has accumulated a rise of 0.64% over the past two weeks [1] - The trading liquidity of the Greater Bay Area ETF was 3.75% during the session, with a total transaction volume of 3.33 million yuan, and an average daily transaction of 990,200 yuan over the past month [1] Group 2 - The tracking error of the Greater Bay Area ETF over the past six months is reported at 0.026%, indicating a close alignment with the underlying index [2] - The CSI Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index includes a maximum of 50 Hong Kong stocks, 300 companies from the Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen market, and 100 mainland market securities, all selected based on their relevance to the Greater Bay Area development theme [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 46.96% of the total index weight, with major companies including China Ping An, Luxshare Precision, and BYD [2] Group 3 - The top ten stocks by weight in the index have shown varied performance, with China Ping An down by 1.39% and Luxshare Precision down by 1.61%, while Mindray Medical has increased by 1.04% [4] - The weight distribution of the top ten stocks includes China Ping An at 8.31%, Luxshare Precision at 6.59%, and BYD at 6.05%, among others [4]

Core Viewpoint - The PCB sector is experiencing significant performance growth driven by AI demand, with several key investment themes identified for 2023 [1][2]. Investment Themes - **PCB Upgrade Trend**: The commercialization of CoWoP technology is accelerating, leading to a new round of upgrades in AI PCB products. mSAP capacity, equipment, and technical capabilities will become higher competitive thresholds for PCB manufacturers, presenting investment opportunities across the mSAP supply chain [1][2]. - **CCL Upgrade from M8 to M9**: The transition from M8 to M9 CCL is a definitive trend, with an increasing number of GPUs, ASIC servers, and 1.6T switches adopting M9 CCL. The usage of Q fabric, HVLP 3-4, and hydrocarbon resins will continue to rise rapidly [1][2]. - **Upstream Material Price Increases**: The price of upstream materials is still in an upward cycle, which is expected to further improve profitability [1][3]. - **Rising Demand for Substrates**: Demand for BT substrates is increasing, with continuous price hikes, while ABF substrate demand is beginning to overflow to domestic manufacturers [1][4]. Market Performance - The PCB sector's performance has exceeded market expectations, particularly in the upstream materials and equipment segments, driven by global AI PCB capacity expansion. Companies like Jin'an Guoji and Huazheng New Materials in the CCL segment, and Dazhu CNC and Chipbase in the equipment segment, have shown significant excess returns [2]. Price Trends - The CCL industry average price has increased by 20%-30% in 2025, with expectations for further price hikes in 2026 potentially exceeding those of 2025 due to supply-demand dynamics and raw material price trends [3]. Demand Dynamics - The global AI data center's storage demand is robust, with TSMC's capital expenditure for 2026 projected at $52-56 billion, significantly above market expectations. This indicates a strong upward trend in storage chip demand, leading to continuous price increases for BT substrates and the overflow of ABF substrate demand to domestic suppliers [4].

Core Insights - Chen Tao has successfully transformed Shenghong Technology from a PCB player to a leader in the AI supply chain, demonstrating keen business acumen and strategic foresight [1][6] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan in 2025, marking a 40-fold increase compared to the year before its IPO in 2014 [1][7] - Shenghong Technology's market capitalization has reached 230 billion yuan, reflecting its significant growth in the AI computing market [1][7] Group 1: Company Background and Development - Chen Tao began his career in the PCB industry in a Taiwanese factory, quickly rising to a management position by securing significant orders [2][3] - In 2003, he founded Shenghua Electronics, focusing on double-sided PCB production, despite facing challenges such as a lack of technical talent [2][3] - The company adopted aggressive service commitments, such as 48-hour prototyping and 7-day delivery, which helped it gain traction in the market [3] Group 2: Strategic Decisions and Market Positioning - In 2006, Shenghong Technology was established with a focus on multi-layer boards, marking a strategic shift away from low-end PCB production [3][4] - The company invested heavily in R&D and infrastructure, achieving significant technological advancements, including increasing multi-layer board capabilities from 8 to 24 layers [3][4] - By 2014, Shenghong Technology's revenue surpassed 1 billion yuan, leading to its listing on the Growth Enterprise Market [4] Group 3: AI Market Expansion - Recognizing the potential of the AI market, Chen Tao initiated a major expansion in 2017, investing heavily in high-end production lines and establishing a smart factory [6][7] - The company successfully entered NVIDIA's supply chain in 2020, providing high-end graphics card PCBs, and became a Tier 1 supplier by 2023 [7][8] - In 2025, Shenghong Technology is projected to benefit significantly from AI server demand, with over 70% of its orders linked to NVIDIA, leading to a projected profit increase of 260.35% to 295% compared to 2024 [7][8] Group 4: Financial Growth and Future Prospects - Chen Tao's personal wealth is expected to rise from 9 billion yuan in 2024 to 65 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting the company's success [1][8] - Shenghong Technology plans to acquire SPMY, a company in the photovoltaic manufacturing sector, to enhance its overseas production capacity [8]