公 司 研 究 / 纺 织 服 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 新澳股份（603889）深度研究 宽带战略助力品类及海外扩张，毛价上 升周期或迎新机遇 2026 年 01 月 27 日 【投资要点】 挖掘价值 投资成长 增持（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：赵树理 证书编号：S1160524090003 联系人：金叶羽 相对指数表现 《25H1 业绩相对稳定，新产能陆续释放》 2025.08.31 《24 年羊绒表现亮眼，整体盈利能力稳 定》 2025.04.28 告 毛纺纱线龙头，羊毛及羊绒业务双驱动。公司深耕毛纺行业 30 余年， 前期以毛纺产品为主，2019 年后再切入羊绒纱线领域，目前主要产品 包括羊毛纱线、羊绒纱线及羊毛毛条，同时配套有改性、染整等完整 产业链。2019 年至今，公司借助可持续宽带战略与全球化布局，支撑 新成长，近年多个新产能项目陆续投产，后续仍有新产能待释放。2024 年公司营收/归母净利润分别 48.4/4.3 亿元，同比+9.1%/+6.0%， 2021-2024 年公司营收/归母净利润 CAGR 分别达+12.0%/+12.8%。 2025Q1-Q3 公司营收/归母净利润 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - December orders for sports footwear and apparel showed a month-on-month decline, indicating that the overall industry has not yet reached an inflection point. Retail performance in the US and UK remains resilient, while demand in other regions is stagnant. The decline in the US consumer confidence index has not yet impacted brand and upstream performance, primarily due to growth being driven by high-end consumption, with mass apparel consumption still expected to recover [2][4][21] - Vietnam's footwear and apparel exports improved significantly in December, while China continues to face pressure. The upstream manufacturing sector is expected to have stronger earnings certainty in the first half of 2026, with a clear direction for recovery in the downstream sports supply chain. Brand apparel revenues are expected to fluctuate in Q4 2025, with profitability anticipated to recover in 2026 [2][5][29] Summary by Sections Manufacturing Performance - In December, the revenue performance of footwear manufacturers showed a year-on-year decline, with specific companies reporting: - Yuanyuan Group: -3.7% YoY, -1.3 percentage points MoM - Fengtai: -0.6% YoY, +11.2 percentage points MoM - Zhijiang International: -2.8% YoY, -5.9% MoM - Yuchi-KY: -2.2% YoY, -8.8% MoM - For apparel manufacturers: - Ruhong: -3.6% YoY, -5.1% MoM - Juyang Industrial: -9.2% YoY, -9.7% MoM - Guangyue: +9.7% YoY, -22.1% MoM [4][16][29] Demand Analysis - Retail performance in December showed resilience in the US and UK, while other regions experienced stagnation. The US consumer confidence index continues to decline, which has not yet reflected in brand and upstream performance. The growth is mainly driven by high-end consumption, with mass apparel consumption still expected to recover [2][21][26] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on upstream manufacturing, as the performance in the first half of 2026 is expected to be more certain. The recovery direction of the sports supply chain is clear. Key recommended stocks include: - New Australia Holdings, Crystal International, Shenzhou International, and Yuanyuan Group - Attention should also be given to high-elasticity stocks like Nobon and Jeya, as well as undervalued stocks with strong safety margins like Taihua New Materials and Lutai A [5][29][30]

上市企业：华茂股份（000850），新澳股份（603889），华孚时尚（002042），富春染织（605189）， 金春股份（300877），ST贵人（603555），鲁泰Ａ（000726），联发股份（002394），嘉欣丝绸 （002404） 2020-2025年中国纱产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《中国产业用纺织品行业市场全景调研及产业前景研判报告（2026版）》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国纱产量为213万吨，同比下降1.1%；2025年中国纱累计产量 为2215.8万吨，累计下降0.1%。 ...

上市企业：华茂股份（000850），新澳股份（603889），华孚时尚（002042），富春染织（605189）， 金春股份（300877），云中马（603130），ST贵人（603555），歌力思（603808），航民股份 （600987），美尔雅（600107） 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《中国产业用纺织品行业市场全景调研及产业前景研判报告（2026版）》 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2020-2025年中国布产量统计图 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国布产量为30.1亿米，同比增长3.8%；2025年中国布累计产量 为306.7亿米，累计增长0.2%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting the potential for growth in high-performance outdoor brands and the non-woven fabric sector [21]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 4.5% from January 19 to January 23, 2026, surpassing the SW All A index by 2.7 percentage points [3][4]. - The report anticipates a recovery in domestic demand in 2026, with a focus on high-growth areas such as high-performance outdoor brands and discount retail [16]. - The report notes a divergence in brand performance, with high-end outdoor and niche sports brands showing strong potential, while overall industry growth is expected to slow due to warm winter temperatures and delayed Spring Festival [10][12]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - The report indicates that the demand for Australian wool is expected to rise due to a decrease in supply and an increase in demand for sports wool apparel, with prices reaching 1137 cents per kilogram, a 54% year-on-year increase [9][15]. - The non-woven fabric industry is projected to benefit from quality upgrades and expanding demand, with companies like Sturdy, Yanjiang, and Nuobang expected to maintain rapid growth [12][14]. Apparel Sector - Anta and Xtep reported their Q4 2025 operational data, with Anta's main brand experiencing a slight decline in retail sales, while FILA showed mid-single-digit growth, exceeding expectations [10][18]. - The report highlights that the overall apparel sector is facing challenges due to warm weather and the timing of the Spring Festival, but anticipates improved sales as temperatures drop and the holiday extends [10][11]. Industry Performance - The report provides insights into the overall performance of the textile and apparel industry, noting a 3.9% year-on-year increase in total retail sales of consumer goods in 2025, with the apparel and textile category growing by 3.2% [33]. - Exports of textiles and apparel saw a decline of 2.6% year-on-year, with December exports dropping by 7.4%, indicating a need for strategic adjustments in response to global market conditions [39]. Company-Specific Insights - Anta's overall revenue is expected to achieve double-digit growth, driven by a strong multi-brand strategy, despite some challenges in its main brand performance [21][18]. - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the women's apparel segment, with brands like Ge Li Si and Di Su showing signs of improvement after a period of adjustment [11][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the textile and apparel industry, highlighting strong growth potential in specific segments such as high-performance outdoor brands and non-woven fabric manufacturing [24]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector outperformed the market, with the SW textile and apparel index rising by 4.5% from January 19 to January 23, 2026, surpassing the SW All A index by 2.7 percentage points [4][5]. - The report anticipates a recovery in domestic demand in 2026, with a focus on high-growth consumption areas, including high-performance outdoor brands and discount retail [19]. - The Australian wool price has reached a new high, driven by increased demand for sports wool apparel, which is expected to translate into revenue growth for companies in the supply chain [10][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The textile and apparel sector showed strong performance, with the SW apparel and home textiles index increasing by 4.4% and the SW textile manufacturing index rising by 2.1% during the same period [5]. - Retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles totaled 15.215 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.2% [14]. Market Trends - The report notes a divergence in brand performance, with high-end outdoor and niche sports brands showing significant growth potential, while overall demand growth has slowed due to warmer winter temperatures and delayed holidays [11][14]. - The non-woven fabric industry is expected to benefit from quality upgrades and expanding demand, with companies like Sturdy, Yanjiang, and Nuobang projected to maintain rapid growth [16]. Company Insights - Anta Sports reported a slight decline in retail sales for its main brand in Q4 2025, but overall revenue growth for the group was in the double digits, driven by strong performance from other brands [21]. - The FILA brand achieved mid-single-digit growth in Q4 2025, indicating a positive trend for the brand moving into 2026 [22]. - The report highlights the potential for a rebound in the women's apparel sector, with companies like Ge Li Si and Di Su Shi showing signs of recovery after a period of adjustment [12]. Price Trends - The Australian wool price index reached 1137 cents per kilogram as of January 21, 2026, marking a year-on-year increase of 54.3% [52]. - Domestic cotton prices also saw a slight increase, with the national cotton price B index reported at 15,869 yuan per ton, up 0.6% week-on-week [49].

Core Viewpoint - The textile industry in China is experiencing a decline in export value, with a reported decrease in both monthly and cumulative export figures for 2025 compared to the previous year [1]. Industry Summary - As of December 2025, the total export value of the textile industry in China reached 24.86 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1% [1]. - The cumulative export value for the entire year of 2025 was 259.52 billion, showing a slight decline of 0.9% year-on-year [1]. - A statistical chart detailing the export value of the textile industry from 2019 to 2025 has been compiled based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics [1]. Company Summary - Listed companies in the textile sector include Fengzhu Textile (600493), Jiangnan High Fiber (600527), Hangmin Co., Ltd. (600987), Bailong Oriental (601339), and others [1]. - The report by Zhiyan Consulting provides an in-depth analysis of the market landscape and future prospects for the industrial textile sector in China, indicating a focus on comprehensive industry solutions for investment decisions [1].

Core Viewpoint - The textile and apparel industry in China is experiencing a decline in export value, with significant year-on-year decreases reported for 2025 [1] Industry Summary - In December 2025, the total export value of the textile, apparel, and accessories industry in China was 25.55 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 7.6% [1] - The cumulative export value for the entire year of 2025 reached 276.44 billion, showing a cumulative year-on-year decline of 5.1% [1] - A statistical chart detailing the export value of the textile, apparel, and accessories industry from 2019 to 2025 is provided, indicating a downward trend [1] Company Summary - Listed companies in the textile sector include Fengzhu Textile (600493), Jiangnan High Fiber (600527), Hangmin Co., Ltd. (600987), and others, indicating a broad representation of the industry [1] - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the market dynamics and investment potential in the textile and apparel industry from 2026 to 2032, suggesting a focus on future opportunities despite current challenges [1]

Core Viewpoint - The retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles in China for the year 2025 reached 1.52 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, with a slowdown in demand observed in Q4 2025 due to warmer winter temperatures affecting winter clothing sales [1][2] Domestic Demand - In 2025, the retail sales of clothing, shoes, and textiles amounted to 1.52 trillion yuan, with monthly growth rates of 6.3%, 3.5%, and 0.6% for October, November, and December respectively, indicating a slowdown in Q4 due to higher winter temperatures [1] - The performance of women's clothing brands is expected to show signs of recovery, with companies like Xinhe and Ge Li Si projected to achieve revenue growth in Q4 2025 [4] External Demand - China's textile and apparel exports totaled $293.8 billion in 2025, down 2.6% year-on-year, with textile exports at $142.6 billion (up 0.4%) and apparel at $151.2 billion (down 5.2%) [2] - Vietnam's textile exports grew by 7.0% to $39.6 billion, indicating a shift in the textile supply chain and highlighting the competitive pressures faced by Chinese exporters [2] Industry Performance - The overall sales in Q4 2025 were impacted by weak winter clothing consumption, but high-end outdoor and niche sports brands are expected to maintain strong growth, with brands like FILA and 361 Degrees projected to see significant revenue increases [3] - The home textile sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with companies like Luolai and Water Mercury showing stable growth, while Fuanna is still in a destocking phase [5] Non-woven Fabric Industry - The non-woven fabric sector is benefiting from quality upgrades and expanding demand, with companies like Wanjia and Nuo Bang expected to see revenue growth of 10% to 20% in Q4 2025 [6] Textile Manufacturing - The performance of the textile manufacturing chain is under pressure due to fluctuations in brand orders, particularly from Nike and Converse, while the Australian wool industry is expected to benefit from rising demand and price increases [7] Investment Insights - Looking ahead to 2026, domestic demand is anticipated to gradually recover, with potential investment opportunities in high-performance outdoor brands and discount retail sectors [9] - The global tariff negotiations are stabilizing, which may not affect the core manufacturing competitiveness of the industry [9]

澳毛周期、无纺布制造可期 涨跌 (%) IKA ta 今日重点推荐 2026 年 01 月 22 日 纺织服装行业点评：2025 年报业绩前瞻，品牌服饰表现分化, 行业观点与投资分析意见： 展望 26 年内需有望逐步回暖,挖掘新消费高景气方向：①高性能户外:波 司登、安踏、滔搏、361 度，建议关注伯希和（已递交招股书）、李宁、特 步；②折扣零售：海澜之家（旗下京东奥莱）；③个护清洁：诺邦股份、稳 健医疗、洁雅股份；④睡眠经济：罗莱生活、水星家纺。 全球关税博弈变量逐步落定,不改核心制造全球竞争力:①运动制造产业链: 申洲国际、华利集团、裕元集团、伟星股份、百隆东方；②澳毛涨价周期： 新澳股份;③卫材升级产业链:延江股份。 风险提示：消费恢复低于预期；行业竞争加剧；存货减值风险；原材料成 本上涨。 (详见正文) (联系人：王立平/朱本伦) 海外利率上行引发全球震荡,后续推演与影响 -- -- 全球资产配 置风险系列报告之二 上 周 以 美 日 为 代 表 的 发 达 国 家 长 端 利 率 再 度 上 行 (20260101~20260120，30 年日债利率上行 41bp，30 年美债利率上 行 7bp), ...