Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the establishment of a national unified electricity market evaluation system aimed at enhancing the efficiency and regulation of the electricity market in China, aligning with the country's broader economic and energy reform goals [2][3]. Group 1: Overall Requirements - The evaluation system is guided by Xi Jinping's thoughts and aims to create a scientific, systematic, and dynamic evaluation framework that balances safety, green transition, and economic efficiency [3]. - The system will provide a decision-making basis for electricity market construction and regulation, promoting scientific and precise regulatory work [3]. Group 2: Market Operation Effect Evaluation - The evaluation will assess the progress of market construction, including the establishment of a complete set of basic rules and the implementation of local regulations [5]. - It will also evaluate the technical standards and operational foundations of the electricity market, ensuring timely and accurate information disclosure and effective market management [5]. - The effectiveness of the regulatory framework will be assessed, focusing on the establishment of a unified regulatory system and the application of digital tools to enhance regulatory efficiency [5]. Group 3: Market Function Evaluation - The evaluation will measure the efficiency of electricity factor circulation across regions, the safety benefits of energy supply, and the environmental benefits of promoting renewable energy [6][7]. - Economic benefits will be assessed by analyzing the overall economic impact of the electricity market, including dynamic pricing and resource allocation [7]. Group 4: Sustainable Development of Operating Entities - The evaluation will focus on the operational status of electricity enterprises, ensuring cost recovery and sustainable development [8]. - It will also assess the market's ability to foster new business models and enhance participation from private enterprises [8]. Group 5: Market Competition Adequacy Evaluation - The evaluation will analyze the competitive behavior of market participants and the effectiveness of mechanisms to prevent unfair competition [9]. - It will monitor market concentration levels to ensure they remain within reasonable limits, thereby managing risks associated with supply and price fluctuations [9]. Group 6: Evaluation Methods - A comprehensive evaluation indicator system will be established, focusing on practicality and representativeness [10]. - The evaluation will combine qualitative and quantitative analyses, as well as horizontal and vertical comparisons to assess market performance over time [11][12]. - Digital technologies will be leveraged to enhance the timeliness and responsiveness of market evaluations [13]. Group 7: Implementation and Application - The evaluation will commence in 2026, with local adaptations encouraged to address specific regional needs [14]. - Results from the evaluations will be compiled into reports for reference by government departments and market operators, emphasizing the importance of applying these findings for continuous improvement [15]. - The evaluation process will be organized collaboratively by relevant national and local authorities, ensuring a comprehensive and objective assessment [16].

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustments in the market have provided investors with opportunities to strategically position themselves for the upcoming "cross-year" market trends, particularly focusing on growth and dividend styles [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of December 22, 2025, the Shanghai 180 Index (000010) increased by 0.65%, with notable gains from stocks such as Tuojing Technology (688072) up by 6.39%, China Duty Free Group (601888) up by 6.27%, and Zijin Mining (601899) up by 4.95% [1]. - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund (530280) rose by 0.58%, with the latest price reported at 1.21 yuan [1]. Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC) suggests focusing on three main investment themes: 1. **Growth in AI Technology**: The AI sector is expected to transition into industrial applications, with opportunities in computing power, optical modules, and cloud computing infrastructure, particularly favoring domestic companies. Applications to watch include robotics, consumer electronics, smart driving, and software [2]. 2. **External Demand**: Companies with overseas expansion strategies are seen as reliable growth opportunities, particularly in sectors like home appliances, engineering machinery, commercial buses, power grid equipment, gaming, and non-ferrous metals [2]. 3. **Cyclical Reversal**: Attention is recommended on sectors nearing improvement in supply-demand dynamics or benefiting from policy support, such as chemicals, aquaculture, and new energy [2]. Group 3: Seasonal Trends and Market Catalysts - According to Huatai Securities, the upcoming spring market is anticipated to show positive momentum, driven by potential catalysts such as foreign capital position adjustments post-Christmas, the dense disclosure period for annual reports starting mid-January, and possible reserve requirement ratio cuts in January [3]. - The Shanghai 180 ETF closely tracks the Shanghai 180 Index, which comprises 180 large-cap, liquid stocks from the Shanghai market, reflecting the overall performance of core listed companies [3].

Core Insights - The rapid expansion of AI computing power has led to a significant increase in global electricity demand, highlighting the interconnection between AI and energy sectors [1] - The launch of the "Electricity ETF Huabao (159146)" by Huabao Fund aims to capitalize on energy opportunities related to AI, tracking the CSI All Share Electric Utility Index [1][2] Group 1: ETF Overview - The Electricity ETF Huabao (159146) will track the CSI All Share Electric Utility Index, which includes a diverse range of electricity sources: 43% thermal power, 21% green energy, 24% hydropower, and 12% nuclear power [2][3] - As of November 30, 2025, the index comprises 55 constituent stocks, with the top ten stocks accounting for 54.21% of the index weight, featuring major players like Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power [2][3] Group 2: Market Trends - The electricity sector is experiencing a new growth phase driven by the increasing demand for power from AI-driven data centers, leading to a tightening of electricity supply and a surge in electricity demand [4][7] - Reports indicate that AI is expected to create a global electricity supercycle, with significant opportunities arising from the integration of renewable energy into the power system [7][8] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The electricity sector is characterized by stable earnings and low valuations, making it attractive to investors seeking a safe haven during market fluctuations [8][9] - The CSI All Share Electric Utility Index is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of approximately 17, which is below the historical average, indicating a potential investment opportunity [9]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The focus is on the public utility and environmental protection sectors, particularly in the context of coal-fired power, renewable energy, and waste-to-energy industries [1][6][10]. Core Insights and Arguments Coal-Fired Power Sector - In 2025, the coal-fired power sector is expected to perform well with a growth rate of approximately 13.3%, primarily due to declining coal prices [2]. - The flexibility and scarcity value of coal-fired power are highlighted, especially in regions with a high proportion of renewable energy [2][3]. - By 2026, the power supply-demand relationship is anticipated to shift towards structural looseness, leading to pressure on coal-fired utilization hours and market prices [1][3]. - New coal-fired power units are projected to peak in 2025-2026, with an annual addition of about 70 GW, increasing revenue pressure due to rising renewable energy installations [3]. Investment Strategies - Investment strategies should focus on companies with controllable electricity price declines, new quality asset additions, or high dividend yields, such as Inner Mongolia Huadian and Huaneng International [1][3]. - Recommended stocks include national players like Huaneng International, Datang Power, and local companies like Inner Mongolia Haitan and Shaanxi Energy [3]. Renewable Energy Sector - The renewable energy sector is characterized by low valuations among Hong Kong-listed wind power operators, benefiting from reduced capital expenditure expectations and accelerated government subsidy recoveries [1][4]. - The cancellation of VAT refund policies in 2025 is expected to lead to more cautious capital expenditures among renewable energy operators [16]. - The sector is projected to see a significant increase in installed capacity, with annual additions expected to be between 150-200 GW over the next decade [16]. Waste-to-Energy and Biomass Diesel - The waste-to-energy sector is highlighted as a key emerging area for 2026, with significant growth potential and policy support [1][5]. - The industry has seen a substantial increase in the number of waste incineration facilities, with capacity rising from 25.59 million tons/day in 2016 to 115 million tons/day by 2024 [8]. - The sector's capital expenditure peaked in 2020 at 22.3 billion yuan, declining to 10.742 billion yuan by 2024, while free cash flow turned positive for the first time in 2024 [8]. Financial Performance and Market Dynamics - The public utility sector overall saw a 3.6% increase in 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 12.8 percentage points, while the environmental sector rose by 16.1% [6]. - Concerns regarding subsidy delays and accounts receivable are gradually easing, with companies exploring new business models to enhance profitability [7][10]. Other Important Insights - The SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) industry is entering a growth phase, with demand expected to rise significantly due to EU regulations [21][22]. - The supply of Yoko (waste cooking oil) is limited, but its price has stabilized, and demand is expected to increase, benefiting companies with expansion plans [23]. - The waste-to-energy sector is also exploring international opportunities, such as projects in Indonesia, which could provide significant growth avenues for Chinese companies [9]. Recommended Companies - Key companies to watch include: - Waste-to-energy: Weiming Environmental, Huaneng International, and Longyuan Power [10][24]. - Gas sector: Hong Kong gas companies like Towngas and integrated gas companies in A-shares [13][24]. - Biomass diesel: Companies with scarce Yoko resources like Shanhai Environmental and Jiaao Environmental [24].

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 22 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 SAC：S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 戴映炘 SAC：S1350524080002 daiyingxin@huayuanstock.com 秦雨茁 qinyuzhuo@huayuanstock.com 投资评级： 看好（维持） 2026 年能源工作会议召开，北美 AI 缺电持续演绎 ——大能源行业 2025 年第 51 周周报（20251221） 投资要点： 电力：2026 年全国能源工作会议召开 多省"十五五"能源建设方向明确 全国能源工作会议召开，2026 年新增新能源装机 2 亿千瓦以上。12 月 15 日，2026 年全国能源工作会议在北京召开。会议肯定了 2025 年的能源保供成绩，预期以火电 为主的调节性电源在"十五五"期间仍将受到重 ...

Group 1 - The rapid development of AI technology is driving explosive growth in data center construction, which significantly increases electricity consumption and becomes a core growth engine for electricity demand [1][9] - Data centers are identified as a major reason for the electricity supply gap, highlighting the interdependence between electricity and computational power development [1][9] Group 2 - The targeted index includes various power generation methods: thermal power (42.99%), hydropower (24.21%), wind power (13.18%), nuclear power (12.17%), and photovoltaic power (6.01%), showcasing both dividend and growth attributes [3][10] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include leading companies in the power industry, such as Changjiang Electric Power, China Nuclear Power, and Three Gorges Energy, with a combined weight of 54.21% [5][11]

告别2025迎接2026的钟声即将响起，盘点过去一年，人工智能领域始料未及之处竟是：AI算力的迅猛 扩张带来了全球电力需求持续攀升的格局。"AI竞争的尽头是能源/电力？" 新趋势、新格局迅速吸引了 资本市场的注意，"电力"成为一道光，从AI延伸而来，又与新能源的崛起紧密相依，并呼应红利/股息 的温暖召唤。 自12月22日（周一）起，千亿ETF大厂*华宝基金开始发行重磅新品"电力ETF华宝（159146）"，指向十 分明确——把握AI相关能源机遇，为AI发"电"！该ETF将跟踪中证全指电力公用事业指数 （H30199.CSI），通过成份股"火、水、风、核、光"的多态电力配置，助力投资者在AI大时代战略性地 实现"全电布局，攻守兼备"。 注：根据沪深交易所、Wind、银河证券数据，截至2025年11月30日，华宝基金旗下权益类ETF资产管理 规模已达1296亿元，在全行业排名第9位。 龙头荟萃，全电布局 从中证全指电力公用事业指数的成份股构成，可以对电力ETF华宝（159146）"龙头荟萃、电力十足"的 特点有所感知。 整体来看，中证全指电力公用事业指数定位于"公用事业-电力"领域，它的样本空间为中证全指指数样 ...

Group 1 - The core logic for investing in the power industry is driven by demand, with AI catalyzing new opportunities as data centers experience explosive growth in electricity consumption, becoming a key growth engine for power demand [3][10] - The policy dividend from ongoing electricity market reforms in China is creating a transformation opportunity, with new energy sources participating in market transactions and price mechanisms being established [3][10] Group 2 - "Electricity ETF Huabao" passively tracks the CSI All Share Power Utility Index (H30199), which was established on December 31, 2004, and published on July 15, 2013, with its first issuance on December 22 [1][16] - The index comprises 55 constituent stocks as of November 30, 2025, with a maximum weight limit of 10% for any single sample [1][16] Group 3 - The CSI All Share Power Utility Index features a balanced allocation among thermal power, green energy (wind and solar), hydropower, and nuclear power, with respective weights of 43%, 21%, 24%, and 12%, combining both dividend and growth attributes [20][22] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include leading companies such as Yangtze Power, China Nuclear Power, and Three Gorges Energy, collectively accounting for 21% of the index weight [5][19] Group 4 - The current valuation of the CSI All Share Power Utility Index is at a historically low level, with a price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of approximately 17 times as of November 30, 2025, indicating a certain safety margin [7][22] - The index has achieved an annualized return of 4.79% since 2023, outperforming similar power indices [10][24] Group 5 - The manager of "Electricity ETF Huabao" is Huabao Fund Management Co., Ltd., which is one of the earliest public fund companies to focus on industry ETFs, with a total equity ETF scale exceeding 120 billion yuan as of the end of Q3 2025 [26][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the utility sector [4] Core Views - The growth rate of electricity generation is slowing down, while coal prices continue to decline [2] - The utility sector is seen as a defensive asset with low valuations, making it attractive for investment [7] - The report emphasizes the need for further market-oriented pricing reforms to support the integration of renewable energy [7] Summary by Sections Electricity Generation - In November 2025, the electricity generation of large-scale power plants increased by 2.7% year-on-year, but the growth rate decreased by 5.2 percentage points compared to October 2025 [10] - The growth of renewable energy generation significantly improved, with wind power increasing by 22.0% and solar power by 23.4% year-on-year [10] - The report notes that the growth of hydropower decreased but remained high, while thermal power generation turned negative with a decline of 4.2% [10] Coal Prices - Port coal prices have been declining, with the Qinhuangdao port's Q5500 coal price at 703 RMB/ton, down 5.6% week-on-week [16] - The report indicates that high coal inventories and low demand from downstream power plants are contributing to the price drop [7] - The report anticipates that the decline in spot coal prices may gradually narrow due to improved acceptance from power plants [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on utility stocks, particularly in thermal power, hydropower, and nuclear power sectors, highlighting specific companies such as Huadian International and China General Nuclear Power [7] - It recommends investing in high-quality hydropower companies due to their low cost per kilowatt-hour and stable business models [7] - The report also notes the potential for growth in wind and solar sectors under carbon neutrality expectations [7] Market Performance - The utility sector index fell by 0.6%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.3 percentage points [41] - Among sub-sectors, hydropower, thermal power, and wind power saw declines, while solar power showed a slight increase of 0.9% [43]

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|公用事业 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 公用事业行业深度跟踪 风光贡献全部发电增量，关注板块低配高股息 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2025-12-21 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 12/24 03/25 05/25 07/25 10/25 12/25 公用事业 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]郭鹏 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260514030003 | | SFC CE No. BNX688 | | 021-38003655 | | guopeng@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 许子怡 | | SAC 执证号：S0260524010002 | | 021-38003618 | | xuziyi@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 郝兆升 | | SAC 执证号：S0260524070001 | | 0755-82557403 | | haozhaosheng@ ...