A股硬科技赛道迎来强势回暖行情，半导体设备板块成为领涨先锋，其中半导体设备ETF（159516）盘中大幅拉升，单日涨幅突破5%，成交额显著放大，资 金入场迹象明显。这一轮强势反弹并非短期情绪推动，而是行业周期复苏、AI算力爆发、国产替代加速与政策资金共振的结果，背后蕴藏着清晰且扎实的 产业逻辑。 再者，AI算力、先进封装、存储芯片涨价等多重催化不断，行业景气度持续上行，设备企业业绩兑现能力强，盈利确定性不断提升。 最后，机构配置需求旺盛，半导体设备具备高壁垒、高景气、高成长特征，是公募、社保等长期资金重点配置方向，资金面支撑强劲，为板块长期走势提供 坚实保障。对于普通投资者而言，半导体设备赛道技术壁垒高、个股研究难度大、波动风险较高，直接投资个股容易面临选股难题与踩雷风险，而通过ETF 布局则是更为高效、稳健的选择。 半导体设备ETF（159516）紧密跟踪中证半导体材料设备主题指数（931743），精准聚焦半导体设备与材料两大核心赛道，覆盖刻蚀、薄膜沉积、量测、清 洗、硅片、特种气体、光刻胶等芯片上游关键环节，是布局半导体设备赛道的核心工具。该ETF持仓纯度极高，一键打包北方华创、中微公司、拓荆科技、 华海 ...

Core Insights - The semiconductor equipment and materials sector is experiencing a strong V-shaped rebound, with significant increases in ETF values and individual stock performances [1] - SK Hynix has indicated a shift in the global memory chip market to a seller's market, with low inventory levels and strong demand leading to price increases expected through 2026 [3] - A widespread price increase is occurring across the semiconductor industry, driven by AI demand and supply constraints, affecting all segments from wafer manufacturing to end products [4] Market Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has seen a net inflow of over 9.2 million in the previous trading day, with a current trading volume exceeding 1.14 billion [1] - As of February 24, 2026, the semiconductor industry index has increased by 277% since 2020, outperforming other semiconductor indices [6][7] Industry Trends - The AI-driven semiconductor cycle is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with domestic wafer manufacturers operating at full capacity and price increases being reported by various companies [4] - The demand for AI servers has led to a significant shortage in packaging and testing capacity, prompting price hikes from manufacturers like Silan Micro, Infineon, and China Resources Microelectronics [4] Future Outlook - The semiconductor equipment market is projected to grow significantly due to sustained demand for AI computing power and the upward cycle of memory chips, with a strong expectation for continued growth in 2026 [5][6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Quality ETF Zhongjin (515910), which rose by 1.35% to 0.678 yuan with a trading volume of 1.0338 million yuan as of the midday close [1] - The top holdings of the Quality ETF Zhongjin include companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, which increased by 2.17%, Zijin Mining up by 2.19%, and Xinyi Technology rising by 3.38% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the MSCI China A-Shares International Quality Index, managed by Zhongjin Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of -33.12% since its inception on January 21, 2021, and a return of 1.24% over the past month [1]

Core Signal - SK Hynix has indicated a significant shift in the global memory chip industry, stating it has transitioned to a seller's market with DRAM and NAND flash inventory levels at historical lows of approximately 4 weeks, leading to unmet demand from all customers [3] - The company's high bandwidth memory (HBM) capacity for 2026 is fully sold out, and the supply of standard DRAM remains tight, enhancing the bargaining power of manufacturers [3] - Due to the rigid demand from AI infrastructure and supply constraints, SK Hynix predicts a quarterly price increase for memory chips starting in 2026 [3] Industry Transmission - The semiconductor cycle is expected to rise from 2025 to 2026, driven by AI, with domestic wafer fabs operating at full capacity and price increases already observed in certain process nodes [4] - The surge in demand for AI servers has led to a severe shortage in packaging and testing capacity, prompting manufacturers to raise prices [4] - A systemic price increase is occurring across the entire semiconductor industry, affecting upstream wafer manufacturing, packaging, testing, and downstream products like storage chips and power semiconductors [4] High Rebound Sharpness - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor industry index, with over 90% weight in upstream sectors, and the top ten constituent stocks accounting for about 75% [6] - As of February 24, the ETF has a total size of 3.516 billion, with a net inflow of 9.21 million on that day [6] - Since 2020, the CSI semiconductor index has increased by 277%, significantly outperforming other semiconductor indices, indicating a stronger rebound and potential resilience in the upcoming semiconductor cycle [6][7]

Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF (159813) opened with a slight increase of 0.16%, priced at 1.246 yuan [1] - Key holdings in the semiconductor ETF include: - SMIC up 1.02% - Haiguang Information up 0.75% - Cambrian up 0.79% - Northern Huachuang up 0.23% - Zhaoyi Innovation down 2.18% - Zhongwei Company down 0.20% - Lanke Technology up 0.01% - OmniVision up 0.01% - Tuojing Technology up 0.82% - Changdian Technology up 1.52% [1] - The performance benchmark for the semiconductor ETF is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return rate, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - Since its establishment on April 17, 2020, the semiconductor ETF has achieved a return of 86.69% [1] - The ETF has experienced a return of -4.87% over the past month [1]

Market Overview - The stock market saw significant activity with deep South Circuit's strong performance, closing at the daily limit with institutional purchases totaling 96.32 million and a deep stock connection buying 413 million [1][12] - Oil and gas stocks led the market, with Tongyuan Petroleum hitting the daily limit and attracting a total of 154 million from three major institutional investors [1][13] Trading Volume - The total trading volume for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 145.275 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect reached 171.886 billion [2] Top Stocks by Trading Volume - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the top traded stocks included Zijin Mining at 2.045 billion, followed by Zhaoyi Innovation at 2.035 billion and Kweichow Moutai at 1.766 billion [3] - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the leading stocks were CATL at 4.838 billion, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang at 4.631 billion and Tianfu Communication at 3.209 billion [3] Sector Performance - The oil and gas, precious metals, cultivated diamonds, and chemical sectors showed the highest gains, while the film and television, AI applications, and other sectors experienced declines [4] Fund Flow Analysis - The non-ferrous metals sector saw the highest net inflow of funds, while the computer sector experienced the largest net outflow, totaling -12.407 billion [6] - The top stocks with net inflows included Zhongji Xuchuang at 2.218 billion and Huagong Technology at 1.33 billion [7] - Conversely, the stocks with the highest net outflows included Huasheng Tiancai at -1.638 billion and Dazhi Technology at -1.532 billion [8] ETF Trading - The top ETFs by trading volume included A500 ETF Fund at 8.3719 billion, Gold ETF at 8.2416 billion, and A500 ETF Huatai at 7.9285 billion [9] - The ETFs with the highest growth in trading volume compared to the previous trading day included S&P Oil and Gas ETF at 1.5465 billion, showing a 367.86% increase [10] Futures Market - In the futures market, the main contracts for IH, IF, and IC saw both long and short positions decrease, while the IM contract saw an increase in short positions [11]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 金融产品周报 20260207 海外市场流动性有企稳迹象，情绪或会好转 【勘误版】 [Table_Summary] 基金规模统计：（2026.2.2-2026.2.6） 市场行情展望：（2026.2.9-2026.2.13） 基金配置建议： 2026 年 02 月 24 日 《商品流动性冲击之后，哪些品种被 "错杀"？》 2026-02-04 《黄金 ETF，2026 年 1 月复盘与 2 月 证券分析师 芦哲 展望》 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 2026-02-03 执业证书：S0600524120016 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] ◼ 权益类 ETF 基金规模变化统计：规模变化排名前三名的权益类 ETF 类 型分别为：规模指数 ETF（154.06 亿元），跨境行业指数 ETF（66.24 亿 元），策略指数 ETF（53.71 亿元）；基金规模变化排名后三名的权益 类 ETF 类型分别为：跨境规模 ...

Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF (159813) opened with a gain of 1.53%, priced at 1.260 yuan [1] - Key holdings in the semiconductor ETF include: - SMIC up 0.94% - Haiguang Information up 3.00% - Cambricon up 1.39% - Northern Huachuang up 1.17% - Zhaoyi Innovation up 2.85% - Zhongwei Company up 1.26% - Lanke Technology up 3.27% - OmniVision up 1.02% - Tuojing Technology up 0.92% - Changdian Technology up 1.67% [1] - The performance benchmark for the semiconductor ETF is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return rate [1] Group 2 - The ETF is managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd., with the fund manager being Luo Yingyu [1] - Since its establishment on April 17, 2020, the ETF has achieved a return of 86.00%, with a return of 3.62% over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Tianhong Chip ETF (159310), which opened with a gain of 1.12% at 2.342 yuan on February 24 [1] - The major holdings of the Tianhong Chip ETF include companies such as Cambricon, which rose by 1.39%, SMIC with a 0.94% increase, and Haiguang Information, which saw a 3.00% rise [1] - The Tianhong Chip ETF has a performance benchmark of the CSI Chip Industry Index return rate, managed by Tianhong Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 131.72% since its establishment on April 18, 2024, and a 3.46% return over the past month [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the storage device industry, particularly highlighting the performance of major companies such as SK Hynix and Samsung, as well as semiconductor equipment leaders like ASML, AMAT, LAM, and Teradyne [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Performance**: During the Spring Festival holiday, overseas indices saw widespread gains, with many European and East Asian indices reaching new highs [1]. - **Strong Demand in Storage Sector**: The storage sector has shown robust performance, with SK Hynix and Samsung's stock prices hitting new highs. The optimism is driven by a surge in real demand due to AI advancements and disciplined capacity expansion by manufacturers, alongside cleanroom limitations leading to supply imbalances [1][2]. - **Valuation Shift**: The global storage market is currently priced as a typical cyclical asset. However, there is an expectation that it will transition to a growth phase, with valuations potentially increasing from 5X-6X to 10X, 15X, or even 20X [1]. Additional Important Content - **Domestic Expansion**: The expansion of domestic storage capabilities in China is expected to resonate with both market conditions and domestic substitution. Companies like Jin Hua are projected to have expansion plans exceeding one million units, significantly outpacing overseas competitors [2]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Suggested investments include: - Front-end equipment: Precision Electronics, Tuo Jing Technology, Northern Huachuang, Jingyi Equipment, Zhongke Feicai, and Zhongwei Company. - Back-end testing equipment and materials were also mentioned, although specific companies were not detailed in the provided text [2].