证券研究报告 据猫眼专业版，26 年春节档（廿八至初七共 9 天，其中初七为预估）总票 房将达 57.37 亿元，同比 25 年春节档（除夕至初七共 8 天，同比口径下同） 下降 39.7%，较 24 年春节档（初一至初八共 8 天）下降 28.4%；观影人次 约 1.19 亿，同降 36.2%；平均票价约 48.1 元，同降 5.3%。26 年春节档《飞 驰人生 3》以绝对优势领跑票房，其余影片票房分化较大，"口碑为王"趋 势下行业需继续提升品控和工业化水准。标的上，关注热门电影出品方和院 线龙头公司，包括大麦娱乐、万达电影。产业链标的还有博纳影业、猫眼娱 乐。 传媒 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 23 日│中国内地 专题研究 26 年春节档票房同降约 40%，观影人次疲弱 观影人次、均价双降，或因高基数、假期出游增加、内容匹配度不足 春节档票房遇冷，观影人次疲弱 根据猫眼专业版，26 年春节档观影人次较 25 年同降 36.2%；平均票价（含 服务费）较 25 年同降 5.3%。我们认为观影人次和平均票价下降的主要原因 包括：1）25 年春节档大 IP 加持下票房创新高形成高基数；2）26 年春节 假期 ...

A股市场春节后第一个交易日，喜提开门红！沪指半日涨1.17%，深成指涨1.82%，创业板指涨1.76%。 贵金属、煤炭、半导体、化工、电力、基本金属板块涨幅居前，沪深京三市上涨个股超4200只。 10股纷纷涨停。值得注意的是，上交所欧线集运主力合约盘初一度暴涨超13%。 化工板块爆发，美邦股份4连板，金牛化工7天4板，澄星股份、金浦钛业涨停。玻纤概念反复活跃，国 际复材涨超4天2板，续创历史新高。 芯片股大涨，北京君正大涨近14%，兆易创新、赛微电子、晶方科技涨4%左右；港股兆易创新早盘也 一度涨约8%。光刻机指数盘中涨3%，炬光科技大涨14.23%。 光模块概念走强，天孚通信、盛科通信涨超10%，华工科技涨停。 下跌方面，算力租赁概念盘中持续调整，seedance、短剧游戏、DeepSeek等ai应用类题材大幅回调。传 媒股大面积跌停，其中光线传媒20cm跌停，幸福蓝海、中文在线跌超10%，博纳影业、横店影视、掌 阅科技、金逸影视、中国电影等集体跌停。港股影视股也同步下跌，猫眼娱乐跌超7%。消息面上， 2026年春节档收官，总票房为57.52亿元，不及此前市场预期。 国际黄金白银震荡加剧，现货黄金、白银冲高 ...

| 行情 | 资金净流入 | 涨跌分布 | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 科创综指 | | 4129.78 | 14356.88 | 1810.53 | | +47.71 +1.17% +256.69 +1.82% | | +1.35 +0.07% | | 万得全A | 创业板指 | 北证50 | | 6851.92 | 3333.62 | 1544.00 | | +95.12 +1.41% +57.66 +1.76% | | +14.23 +0.93% | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4722.51 | 8429.52 | 5931.51 | | +62.10 +1.33% | +129.94 +1.57% | +90.79 +1.55% | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 8340.82 | 5912.64 | 5764.33 | | +135.99 +1.66% | +112.95 +1.95% | +96.11 +1.70% | | 万得全A涨跌分布 | | | | 跌1131 | | 涨4275 | | ...

Market Overview - On the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.17%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.82%, and ChiNext Index up by 1.76% [2] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 15,210 billion yuan, an increase of 3,074 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] - Over 4,200 stocks in the market experienced gains [2] Resource and Technology Stocks - Resource cyclical stocks, including oil, natural gas, gold, and chemicals, saw significant increases, with companies like Zhongman Petroleum and Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit [2] - AI-driven demand led to a surge in stocks related to optical fibers, CPO, PCB, and MLCC, with Longfei Optical Fiber hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high [2] - The glass fiber sector was notably active, with Shandong Glass Fiber hitting the daily limit within two minutes of opening [5][6] Glass Fiber Sector - On February 24, multiple glass fiber stocks surged, with International Composite hitting the daily limit with a 20% increase, setting a new historical high [6] - Shandong Glass Fiber opened with a rapid increase, and other companies like Changhai Co., China Jushi, Honghe Technology, and China National Materials also saw significant gains [6] - Due to a shortage of specialty glass fiber cloth, manufacturers are adjusting their product structures, leading to a supply gap in traditional electronic cloth [9] MLCC Sector - The MLCC sector experienced a collective rise, with Fenghua High-Tech hitting the daily limit and Dali Kaipu reaching a "20cm" limit [10] - The demand for high-end MLCCs surged due to increased orders from AI server needs, with Murata Manufacturing facing capacity shortages [10] - TrendForce reported that major manufacturers like Murata, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and Taiyo Yuden are operating at over 80% capacity due to high demand [10][11] Film Industry - The film sector saw a collective decline, with major companies like Light Media and Bona Film Group hitting the daily limit down [12][13] - The 2026 Spring Festival box office revenue dropped significantly, with a total of 5.752 billion yuan, and the average ticket price decreased by 6% year-on-year [17] - Despite a record number of screenings, the overall attendance rate was only 22.5%, indicating a mismatch between supply and demand in the film market [17]

Market Overview - The market opened higher on February 24, with all three major indices rising over 1%: Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.17%, Shenzhen Component Index by 1.82%, and ChiNext Index by 1.76% [1] - Over 4,200 stocks in the market experienced gains, with sectors such as non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, optical fiber, and chemicals leading the increases [1] Sector Performance - Oil and gas stocks surged, with companies like Zhun Oil Co., Shandong Molong, Intercontinental Oil & Gas, and Zhongman Petroleum hitting the daily limit [2] - The chemical sector saw significant growth, with Meibang Co. achieving four consecutive trading limit increases, and Jinniu Chemical recording four limits in seven days [2] - The glass fiber concept remained active, with International Composites rising over 4% and achieving a historical high [2] Geopolitical Impact - The escalation of tensions between the U.S. and Iran during the A-share market's holiday period heightened concerns over potential disruptions in oil supply, contributing to price increases in non-ferrous and chemical products [2] - Precious metals also saw a rise, with Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit and several other gold-related stocks following suit. During the holiday period, global precious metal prices fluctuated, with gold rising over 7% and silver nearly 20% from February 18 to February 23 [2] Declines in Specific Sectors - The film and cinema sector faced a collective downturn, with companies like Hengdian Film, Bona Film, and China Film hitting the daily limit down [2][3][4] - Notable declines included Light Media down 18.99%, Happiness Blue Sea down 17.04%, and Bona Film down 10.02% [3][4] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.93% and the Hang Seng Technology Index by 2.36%. Major companies like Meituan, Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba also saw significant drops [5][6] - The total trading volume in the Hong Kong market was 138.68 billion, with net outflows of 1.22 billion from southbound funds [5]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong opening on the first trading day, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1% and over 4,200 stocks increasing in value, resulting in a net capital inflow of 10.4 billion yuan [1][4]. Sector Performance - The oil and chemical sectors led the gains, with 13 stocks in the chemical sector and 12 in the oil sector hitting the daily limit [4][5]. - Other sectors with notable performances included communication equipment and electrical equipment, each with 6 stocks hitting the limit, while construction and building materials had 5 stocks each [4]. Conceptual Trends - The "Belt and Road" initiative saw 17 stocks hitting the limit, while natural gas had 16, and sectors like energy storage, hydrogen energy, and photovoltaics each had 12 stocks hitting the limit, indicating a strong focus on new energy [4][6]. Media and Entertainment Sector - The media and entertainment sector faced a decline of 5.26%, with no stocks hitting the limit. Notable declines included Light Media at a 20% drop and Happiness Blue Sea at an 18.42% drop [6][7]. - Analysts had previously warned of potential risks in this sector, citing lower-than-expected box office revenues and high valuations, which may have contributed to the sector's poor performance [7]. Geopolitical Influences - The rise in oil and chemical stocks may be linked to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran, which have led to increased oil prices surpassing $70 per barrel [8]. - Historical trends suggest that geopolitical conflicts often lead to an initial spike in oil prices driven by market sentiment, followed by a correction based on fundamental factors [8].

2月24日，早盘影视板块持续调整，光线传媒、中国电影、金逸影视、横店影视、博纳影业跌停，幸福 蓝海跌超15%，万达电影、上海电影、欢瑞世纪等跟跌。 异动驱动因素分析 春节档票房创新高后，市场情绪出现分化。光线传媒作为《飞驰人生3》等多部头部影片的出品方，节 前股价累计涨幅较大，节后首日部分资金选择兑现收益。 资金面短期承压明显。内部专业金融数据库显示，截至2月24日，光线传媒主力资金累计净流出514.47 万元，主力流出占比达29%，反映短期筹码松动。同时，大盘指数上涨背景下，板块资金分流加剧了个 股波动。 长期价值支撑逻辑 行业复苏趋势为长期估值提供基础。2026年春节档总票房突破56亿元，刷新场次纪录，印证国内电影市 场韧性。光线传媒深耕内容制作，参与多部系列化影片，如《飞驰人生》系列，具备持续产出爆款的潜 力。大麦娱乐灯塔专业版分析师陈晋表示，优质内容的口碑效应有望延长票房生命周期。 技术变革推动降本增效。AI工具在影视制作环节的普及，有望降低内容生产成本，提升盈利空间。公 司作为行业龙头，若能持续优化内容与运营效率，长期业绩弹性可期。需关注政策对文化产业的扶持力 度及消费者偏好的演变。 ...

股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：山上 A股市场影视动漫股跌幅进一步扩大，其中，光线传媒20CM跌停，幸福蓝海跌近18%，博纳影业、横店影 视、中国电影、金逸影视10CM跌停，上海电影、万达电影逼近跌停，欢瑞世纪、捷成股份跌超7%，华策 影视跌超5%。 | | | | | 影视动漫板块个股 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | 1 | 300251 | 光线传媒 | 1 | -19.99 | 639亿 | 32.97 | | 2 | 300528 | 幸福临海 | Î | -17.89 | 75.23 Z | -2.89 | | 3 | 001330 | 博纳影业 | 1 | -10.02 | 158亿 | 51.18 | | 4 | 603103 | 横店影视 | 1 | -10.00 | 199亿 | 89.45 | | 5 | 002905 | 金逸影视 | 演 | -9.98 | 41.73亿 | -1.86 | | 6 | 60 ...

早盘影视板块持续调整， 光线传媒、 中国电影、 金逸影视、 横店影视、 博纳影业跌停， 幸福蓝海跌 超15%， 万达电影、 上海电影、 欢瑞世纪等跟跌。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，2月24日，影视院线板块盘初走弱，中国电影、横店影视、博纳影业触及跌停，光线传 媒、幸福蓝海跌超15%，金逸影视、万达电影、上海电影、欢瑞世纪、华策影视跟跌。 ...