生意社02月26日讯 节后钴价震荡上涨 据生意社商品钴行情分析系统：2月26日钴价440100元/吨，较2月14日钴价425300元/吨震荡上涨，涨幅 3.48%；较2月1日钴价444800元/吨先跌后涨，跌幅1.06%。春节过后，新能源汽车销量恢复，钴市需求 上涨，加之钴市供给减少，节后钴价震荡上涨。 生意社数据分析师认为，新能源汽车产销量增长缓慢，钴市需求预期下滑，马达加斯加钴矿停产，钴市 供给减少，加之春节后国内下游客户库存补库，钴市需求短暂上涨。综合来说，需求支撑加之供给减 少，后市钴价震荡上涨。 相关的上市公司：华友钴业(603799)、寒锐钴业(300618)、洛阳钼业(603993)。 【大宗商品公式定价原理】 生意社基准价是基于价格大数据与生意社价格模型产生的交易指导价，又称生意社价格。可用于确定以 下两种需求的交易结算价： 1、指定日期的结算价 2、指定周期的平均结算价 定价公式：结算价 = 生意社基准价×K＋C K：调整系数，包括账期成本等因素。 钴市供给行情 日本住友公司2月18日表示，其位于马达加斯加的安巴托维镍钴项目因热带气旋盖扎尼上周袭击该岛， 造成设施损坏而关闭。安巴托维由住友拥 ...

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is a significant player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the extraction and processing of various metals, including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, with a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2][7]. Company Overview - The company is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer, and a leading copper producer [2]. - Luoyang Molybdenum is also the second-largest phosphate fertilizer producer in Brazil, holding 100% indirect equity in the CIL phosphate mine, covering the entire phosphate industry chain [3]. Production and Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the company reported a revenue of 145.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.28 billion yuan [8]. - The company has been expanding its gold production, with a projected increase in gold equity output from 16,000 ounces in 2022 to between 25,000 and 27,000 ounces in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 56% to 69% [2]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, reflecting a rise of 28.08% [8]. - The stock's average trading cost is 19.12 yuan, with the current price near a support level of 22.70 yuan, indicating potential volatility if this support is breached [6]. Market Position and Trends - The company is ranked 45th in terms of market popularity within the A-share market [1]. - Recent trading activity shows a net outflow of 6.54 billion yuan, with no significant trends in the main capital flow [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of main funds from various stocks, with notable amounts in the energy, materials, and financial sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Outflows - The stock with the highest outflow is 阳光电源, with a total of -20.02 billion yuan [1][2] - 宁德时代 follows closely with an outflow of -18.87 billion yuan [1][2] - Other significant outflows include 北方稀土 at -14.76 billion yuan and 兆易创新 at -11.52 billion yuan [1][2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The electric equipment sector shows substantial outflows, with 阳光电源 and 宁德时代 leading [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector is also impacted, with 北方稀土 and 紫金矿业 experiencing notable outflows [2][3] - The financial sector, represented by 中国平安 and 中信证券, also shows significant fund outflows [2][3] Group 3: Additional Notable Stocks - 贵州茅台 has an outflow of -9.42 billion yuan, indicating a decline in investor interest [1][3] - 立讯精密 and 恩捷股份 also report outflows of -8.23 billion yuan and -6.35 billion yuan respectively, reflecting trends in the electronics and energy sectors [1][3] - 比亚迪, a key player in the automotive sector, shows an outflow of -5.95 billion yuan, suggesting potential shifts in market sentiment [1][3]

消息面上，2026年2月14日，官方宣布自5月1日起，对非洲53个建交国家原产的商品实施100%税目零关 税，同步升级通关绿色通道。非洲是我国铜、钴、铝土矿、锂矿石等战略矿产资源的重要来源地，此次 政策将直接降低国内有色企业原材料进口税费负担，提升通关效率，长期有利于企业扩大海外资源布 局、提升资源自给率，对在非洲有重资产布局的龙头企业形成持续利润增厚支撑。 2月25日，津巴布韦矿业部发布锂矿出口禁令，宣布立即暂停所有原矿及锂精矿出口（含在途货物）， 未来仅持有效采矿权及获批选矿厂的企业具备出口资格，禁止代理及第三方贸易商出口。旨在加强矿产 监管，推动矿产品深加工发展。2025年中国19%的进口锂精矿来自津巴布韦，预计2026年津巴布韦锂资 源产量占全球12%，该国的锂矿出口禁令将导致碳酸锂短期供应愈发紧缺，有望推动锂价大幅上涨。 中信证券表示，2025年金属行业供应端扰动的频度和烈度加剧，钴、锡、锂、铜、镍等品种受扰动影响 价格显著上涨。需求侧，电网投资、储能电池、AI服务器等领域需求有望延续高景气，结构性的需求 韧性依然较强。且贸易争端下的囤货诉求也带来了需求的放大效应，铜、锂、稀土等品种有望受益于需 求 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huabao Nonferrous ETF (159876), which opened with a gain of 0.41% at 1.221 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Huabao Nonferrous ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 0.66%, and Ganfeng Lithium, which increased by 4.44% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Index return, with a total return of 142.70% since its establishment on March 12, 2021, and a one-month return of 1.98% [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by Huabao Fund Management Co., Ltd., with Chen Jianhua as the fund manager [1] - Other notable stock performances include Luoyang Molybdenum rising by 1.19%, China Aluminum increasing by 1.63%, and Northern Rare Earth decreasing by 0.12% [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, reflecting the current trends in the nonferrous metals sector [1]

有色ETF鹏华（159880）业绩比较基准为国证有色金属行业指数收益率，管理人为鹏华基金管理有限公 司，基金经理为闫冬，成立（2021-03-08）以来回报为138.66%，近一个月回报为3.18%。 2月26日，有色ETF鹏华（159880）开盘涨1.30%，报2.416元。有色ETF鹏华（159880）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨0.66%，洛阳钼业涨1.19%，北方稀土跌0.12%，华友钴业涨3.39%，中国铝业涨1.63%，赣 锋锂业涨4.44%，云铝股份涨1.08%，山东黄金涨0.00%，中金黄金跌0.60%，天齐锂业涨5.91%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with the non-ferrous sector showing mixed performance, particularly influenced by recent geopolitical tensions and policy changes affecting lithium exports from Zimbabwe [1][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 26, the A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index retreat, with the non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) down by 0.74% [1]. - The non-ferrous ETF's key components showed varied performance, with small metals and lithium stocks leading gains, while major players like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum experienced pullbacks [1][2]. Group 2: Lithium Market Impact - Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines announced an immediate ban on all lithium ore and concentrate exports, significantly impacting global lithium supply dynamics [5][6]. - This ban is expected to drive lithium prices up, as Zimbabwe accounted for approximately 12% of global lithium production in 2026, with China being a primary importer [6][7]. Group 3: Precious Metals Outlook - Precious metals, including gold and silver, saw price increases due to heightened geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations, with Morgan Stanley projecting gold prices to reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026 [3]. - The recent rise in lithium stocks in the U.S. market reflects the immediate market reaction to Zimbabwe's export ban, with lithium carbonate futures surging over 4% [3][5]. Group 4: Strategic Metal Policies - The trend of resource nationalism is likely to continue, with countries implementing stricter export controls on strategic metals like lithium, cobalt, and nickel, which may lead to further supply disruptions [7]. - Analysts suggest that the recent policy changes in Zimbabwe are part of a broader strategy to enhance local processing capabilities and retain more value from mineral resources [5][6]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous sector is viewed as having significant investment potential, driven by macroeconomic factors, supply constraints, and emerging demand from new industries such as AI and renewable energy [8][10]. - The Huatai-PineBridge non-ferrous ETF is highlighted for its comprehensive exposure to various metal sectors, including gold, copper, aluminum, and lithium, making it a favorable investment vehicle [10][12].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced a stock price fluctuation with a recent decline, despite a year-to-date increase of 14.85% and significant growth over the past 60 days [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of February 26, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price was 22.97 CNY per share, down 2.05% during the trading session [1]. - The company has seen a 14.85% increase in stock price year-to-date, with a 1.03% decline over the last five trading days and a 1.12% decline over the last 20 days [2]. - Over the past 60 days, the stock price has increased by 49.64% [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 145.485 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, reflecting a growth of 28.08% [2]. - The largest institutional shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holds 669.5 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Other notable institutional shareholders include Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3].

Group 1 - Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines announced an immediate suspension of all raw mineral and lithium concentrate exports, including in-transit goods, to strengthen mineral regulation and promote deep processing of mineral products [1] - By 2025, 19% of China's imported lithium concentrates are expected to come from Zimbabwe, with projections indicating that Zimbabwe's lithium resource output will account for 12% of global supply by 2026 [1] - The export ban on Zimbabwean lithium is anticipated to exacerbate the short-term supply shortage of lithium carbonate in China, potentially driving lithium prices significantly higher [1] Group 2 - As of February 25, 2026, the rare metal ETF fund has seen a net inflow of funds on 9 out of the last 17 trading days, totaling 22.89 million yuan [2] - The rare metal ETF fund (561800) serves as an excellent investment tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the rare metals industry [2] Group 3 - The MACD golden cross signal has formed, indicating a positive trend for certain stocks [3]

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月26日，有色矿业ETF招商（159690）开盘涨0.78%，报2.444元。有色矿业ETF招商（159690）重仓股 方面，紫金矿业开盘涨0.66%，洛阳钼业涨1.19%，北方稀土跌0.12%，华友钴业涨3.39%，中国铝业涨 1.63%，赣锋锂业涨4.44%，山东黄金涨0.00%，云铝股份涨1.08%，中金黄金跌0.60%，中矿资源涨 0.04%。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）业绩比较基准为中证有色金属矿业主题指数收益率，管理人为招商基金管 理有限公司，基金经理为王宁远，成立（2023-06-21）以来回报为142.14%，近一个月回报为2.55%。 ...