股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國南方航空股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01055 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 4,643,997,308 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 4,643,997,308 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 4,643,997,308 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 4,643,997,308 | | 2. ...

Investment Rating - The report gives an "Overweight" rating for the aviation industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance compared to the overall market [8]. Core Insights - The National Day holiday data for the aviation industry exceeded expectations, signaling an upcoming golden era for airlines. The domestic aviation market showed stable performance despite adverse weather conditions, with daily passenger transport volume averaging approximately 2.15 million, a 31% increase compared to 2019 and a 4% increase compared to 2024 [2]. - The growth in passenger volume is primarily dependent on the increase in aircraft numbers, and a low growth rate in passenger volume amidst high load factors is seen as a positive indicator for profitability. If fleet size does not grow, passenger volume may stagnate or decline, leading to potential supply-demand mismatches and price fluctuations [2]. - The report highlights two misconceptions in the market: first, the belief that the recovery of Boeing and Airbus production capacity will reverse the aging trend of aircraft; second, the notion that lower ticket prices will negatively impact airline profitability. The report argues that many domestic airlines have already surpassed 2019 levels in international market recovery, and as long as the reduction in unit costs exceeds the decline in unit revenues, airline profitability will improve [2]. - The Chinese civil aviation sector is entering a golden age, expected to last 5-10 years, driven by supply chain improvements. Short-term indicators include record profits for major airlines during the National Day holiday, while medium-term expectations include a transition from losses to profitability for airlines [2]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on the aviation sector, with a strong supply-side logic and elastic demand. Airlines such as China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and China Southern Airlines are highlighted as potential investment opportunities, along with global aircraft leasing companies and airport sectors showing continuous recovery [2][3]. Summary by Sections - **Passenger Transport Data**: Daily domestic passenger transport volume reached approximately 2.15 million, with a 31% increase from 2019 and a 4% increase from 2024. Daily domestic flight volume averaged about 14,500 flights, a 19% increase from 2019 and a 2% increase from 2024 [2]. - **International Market Performance**: Daily international passenger transport volume averaged around 380,000, a 13% decrease from 2019 but an 11% increase from 2024. The average ticket price for international flights decreased by 12% compared to 2024 [2]. - **Company Valuation Table**: Key companies in the aviation sector, such as China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines, have been rated as "Outperform" or "Buy," with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth indicating strong future performance [3].

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a rise of 0.82% on October 9, with Southern Airlines leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.32% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.17, up by 1.98% with a trading volume of 1.2 million shares and a transaction value of 724 million yuan [1]. - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.22, up by 1.69% with a trading volume of 2.3 million shares and a transaction value of 941 million yuan [1]. - Hainan Airlines (600221) closed at 1.64, up by 1.23% with a trading volume of 4.6 million shares and a transaction value of 752 million yuan [1]. - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 14.37, down by 0.62% with a trading volume of 19,700 shares and a transaction value of 28.2 million yuan [2]. - Baiyun Airport (600004) closed at 9.44, down by 0.42% with a trading volume of 201,000 shares and a transaction value of 18.9 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 119 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 27.67 million yuan [2]. - China National Airlines (601111) had a net inflow of 33.72 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 36.14 million yuan from retail investors [3]. - Hainan Airlines (600221) experienced a net inflow of 22.03 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 231,800 yuan [3].

航空股早盘普遍反弹，截至发稿， 涨7.87%，报4.11港元； 涨5.72%，报5.73港元。 编辑/wendey 消息面上，据中国交通运输部，10月1日至8日（国庆中秋假期），累计全社会跨区域人员流动量预计达到 24.32亿人次，创历史同期新高。另外，中金指出，航司数据方面，根据Wind，10.1-10.7日国内航司日均客 流量同比增长3%，平均单价同比减少4%，对比五一假期（客运量同比增长13%，平均单价下滑9%）客运 量同比增速收窄。 招商证券日前研报指出，近期民航多次强调"反内卷"，7月22日，2025年全国民航年中工作电视电话会议 上，围绕扎实做好2025年下半年民航工作，宋志勇提出九点要求，其中第三点要求加快构建民航领域统一 大市场，综合整治行业"内卷式"竞争。今年以来板块总体走势较弱，关注Q4低基数下供需修复、"反内 卷"政策及原油增产等对股价的催化作用。 ...

每经AI快讯，10月9日，港股航空股早盘普遍反弹，截至发稿，南方航空(01055.HK)涨5.77%，报4.03港 元；中国国航(00753.HK)涨4.24%，报5.65港元；东方航空(00670.HK)涨3.97%，报3.14港元。 ...

Core Insights - The upcoming extended National Day holiday is expected to set new records for travel indicators, with a projected 219 million railway passengers and 139,000 flights in the civil aviation sector, marking a 7.5% and 5.7% year-on-year increase respectively [1] - The tourism sector is anticipated to enter a peak period for travel and consumption, as indicated by significant growth in traveler numbers on various platforms [1] - The performance of tourism stocks has shown a divergent trend since September, with Ctrip Group leading in both market capitalization and net profit among major companies [1] Industry Performance - The stock price changes of various tourism-related companies since September show a mixed performance, with some airlines and travel agencies experiencing declines, while Ctrip Group stands out positively [4] - The overall net profit for the tourism industry in the first half of 2025 indicates a significant disparity, with online travel agencies (OTAs) capturing the largest share of the industry's net profit [5] - Ctrip Group has consistently outperformed its competitors in terms of revenue across various segments, including accommodation booking and transportation ticketing [7] Market Trends - The OTA market in China is experiencing steady growth, with the market size projected to increase significantly over the coming years [9] - Ctrip has maintained a leading position in monthly active users among travel apps, indicating strong consumer engagement [10] - China's OTA penetration rate is higher than the global average, reflecting a robust adoption of online travel services [11]

航空股早盘普遍反弹，截至发稿，南方航空（600029）(01055)涨5.77%，报4.03港元；中国国航 （601111）(00753)涨4.24%，报5.65港元；东方航空(00670)涨3.97%，报3.14港元。 消息面上，据中国交通运输部，10月1日至8日（国庆中秋假期），累计全社会跨区域人员流动量预计达 到24.32亿人次，创历史同期新高。另外，中金指出，航司数据方面，10.1-10.7日国内航司日均客流量 同比增长3%，平均单价同比减少4%，对比五一假期（客运量同比增长13%，平均单价下滑9%）客运量 同比增速收窄。 招商证券日前研报指出，近期民航多次强调"反内卷"，7月22日，2025年全国民航年中工作电视电话会 议上，围绕扎实做好2025年下半年民航工作，宋志勇提出九点要求，其中第三点要求加快构建民航领域 统一大市场，综合整治行业"内卷式"竞争。今年以来板块总体走势较弱，关注Q4低基数下供需修 复、"反内卷"政策及原油增产等对股价的催化作用。 ...

消息面上，据中国交通运输部，10月1日至8日（国庆中秋假期），累计全社会跨区域人员流动量预计达 到24.32亿人次，创历史同期新高。另外，中金指出，航司数据方面，根据Wind，10.1-10.7日国内航司 日均客流量同比增长3%，平均单价同比减少4%，对比五一假期（客运量同比增长13%，平均单价下滑 9%）客运量同比增速收窄。 智通财经APP获悉，航空股早盘普遍反弹，截至发稿，南方航空(01055)涨5.77%，报4.03港元；中国国 航(00753)涨4.24%，报5.65港元；东方航空(00670)涨3.97%，报3.14港元。 招商证券日前研报指出，近期民航多次强调"反内卷"，7月22日，2025年全国民航年中工作电视电话会 议上，围绕扎实做好2025年下半年民航工作，宋志勇提出九点要求，其中第三点要求加快构建民航领域 统一大市场，综合整治行业"内卷式"竞争。今年以来板块总体走势较弱，关注Q4低基数下供需修 复、"反内卷"政策及原油增产等对股价的催化作用。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights that the cloud service business has turned profitable, driving overall profit growth for the company in the first half of 2025 [3][4] - The company reported a revenue of 4.343 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.88%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 183 million yuan, up 73.26% year-on-year [3][4] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 improved significantly to 23.37%, an increase of 1.35 percentage points year-on-year, primarily driven by the rapid growth of the cloud service business [4] Group 2 - The cloud service revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.274 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.96%, while the management software and IoT solutions reported revenues of 1.198 billion yuan and 1.872 billion yuan, showing slight declines of 0.34% and 4.46% respectively [4] - The operating profit from the cloud service business was 20 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a turnaround from a loss of 71 million yuan in the same period last year [4] - The company has launched the Haiyue Model V3.0, which enhances the intelligence of cloud service products and has been applied in various enterprises, including Beijing Tongrentang [6][7] Group 3 - The company has signed contracts with major state-owned enterprises for its management software, indicating a successful penetration into the market [8] - The IoT solutions focus on equipment manufacturing, smart manufacturing, and communication information, with significant projects signed in these areas [9] - The company forecasts revenues of 9.076 billion yuan, 10.022 billion yuan, and 10.996 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 541 million yuan, 653 million yuan, and 893 million yuan [9]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommended" investment rating, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance relative to the benchmark index [3]. Core Insights - The overall supply and demand growth in the aviation industry continues to slow down, with record high passenger load factors during peak seasons. Domestic growth remains low, while international routes are experiencing a gradual normalization effect from last year's base [1][7]. - Key performance indicators for August 2025 show significant year-on-year increases in passenger turnover and flight operations, with domestic routes showing stronger growth compared to international routes [7][23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of addressing "involution" within the industry, highlighting recent calls for a unified market and reduced competition pressures [7]. Summary by Sections Industry Monthly Review - In August 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 10.3%, while the aviation index increased by 5.9%, underperforming the broader market by 4.4% [11]. - Most aviation stocks saw gains, with the largest increase being 11.5% for a specific stock, while the largest decline was 3.1% for another [11]. Key Data Tracking - Passenger turnover for August 2025 reached 136.5 billion passenger-kilometers, up 25.4% from 2019 and 5.8% from 2024. Domestic routes accounted for 104.7 billion passenger-kilometers, reflecting a 35.6% increase from 2019 [7][24]. - The available seat kilometers (ASK) for August 2025 were 156.1 billion, a 24.1% increase from 2019, with a passenger load factor of 87.5%, up 0.9 percentage points from 2019 [7][24]. - The report notes a decline in domestic ticket prices, with full ticket prices down 6.4% year-on-year [7][24]. Recent Reports - The report references several recent industry analyses, including insights on the recovery of international flights and the performance of major airlines [6][93].