股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年2月28日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 粤海投資有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年3月3日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 不適用 | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00270 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 6,537,821,440 | | 0 | | 6,537,821,440 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 6, ...

必用意亦 券研究报 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 博浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 算力对区域电力影响更大 地缘ł 短期气价或再现高波动 申万公用环保周报(26/2/23~26/2/27) 2026 年 03 月 02 日 版》 中文 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 电力：中国发电供给充裕，煤电托底高度匹配算力需求。截至 2025 年底，全国发电装机容量 389134 万千瓦，同比增长 16.1%。其中火电装机占比 40%，太阳能发电和风电装机容量分别同比增加 35.4%、22.9%，在风光的快速增长下，清 洁能源的占比大幅提高。发电量 2025 年 1-12 月份，规上工业发电量 97159 亿千瓦时，同 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and environmental sectors, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for companies involved in these industries [1]. Core Insights - The power supply in China is abundant, with a projected installed capacity of 389,134 MW by the end of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.1%. The share of coal power is 40%, while solar and wind power capacities have increased by 35.4% and 22.9% respectively [2][6]. - The "East Data West Computing" project aims to establish a new computing network system, enhancing electricity demand in key provinces [8]. - Natural gas prices are expected to rise globally by 2025, influenced by geopolitical factors and supply-demand dynamics [2][40]. - The report highlights the significant role of coal power in stabilizing electricity supply, particularly for high-energy-consuming digital infrastructure [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - The installed capacity of power generation in China is projected to reach 389,134 MW by the end of 2025, with a 16.1% increase year-on-year. Coal power accounts for 40% of this capacity, while solar and wind power are rapidly growing [2][6]. - The overall clean energy share is increasing, with coal power contributing 65% of the total electricity generation [6][7]. - The "East Data West Computing" initiative is expected to drive higher electricity consumption in provinces like Guizhou, Zhejiang, and Hebei, with growth rates of 7.7%, 7.2%, and 7.1% respectively [8]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - Global natural gas prices are anticipated to rise by 2025, with the US Henry Hub spot price expected to average $3.51 per million British thermal units, a 59.7% increase year-on-year [40]. - The report notes that geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could lead to increased volatility in gas prices [2][20]. - The report recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies and those benefiting from lower costs and improved supply dynamics [41]. 3. Environmental Sector - The report discusses the introduction of subsidies for green hydrogen projects in Yunnan, which could accelerate the development of the hydrogen and ammonia industry [2]. - Companies such as CIMC Enric and others are recommended for their potential benefits from these developments [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of zero-carbon parks in enhancing green electricity consumption and reducing energy costs for computing enterprises [16].

该行在香港公用股中最看好粤海投资(00270)，因股息收益率逾6%。该行亦看好长江基建集团(01038)及 电能实业(00006)，因出售英国电网带来的庞大出售收益可用于未来并购。 花旗发布研报称，将中电控股(00002)评级由"买入"下调至"中性"，因其海外业务盈利前景面对澳洲批发 电价走弱及中国市场化电价下调的挑战，不过该行认为不应予中电"沽售"评级，因其股息在香港业务支 持下仍具可持续性。该行将中电2026至28年净利润预测下调5%至7%，以反映澳洲及中国业务的下行因 素。基于预期美国减息，该行采用较低的加权平均资本成本，目标价上调2.6%至78港元，并料2026年 股息收益率为4.4%，水平合理。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，花旗发布研报称，将中电控股(00002)评级由"买入"下调至"中性"，因其海外业务盈 利前景面对澳洲批发电价走弱及中国市场化电价下调的挑战，不过该行认为不应予中电"沽售"评级，因 其股息在香港业务支持下仍具可持续性。该行将中电2026至28年净利润预测下调5%至7%，以反映澳洲 及中国业务的下行因素。基于预期美国减息，该行采用较低的加权平均资本成本，目标价上调2.6%至 78港元，并料2026年股息收益率为4.4%，水平合理。 该行在香港公用股中最看好粤海投资(00270)，因股息收益率逾6%。该行亦看好长江基建集团(01038)及 电能实业(00006)，因出售英国电网带来的庞大出售收益可用于未来并购。 ...

Group 1 - Citigroup downgraded the rating of CLP Holdings from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to challenges in the profitability outlook of its overseas business [1] - Despite the downgrade, Citigroup does not recommend a "Sell" rating for CLP, as its dividends remain sustainable supported by its Hong Kong operations [1] - The net profit forecast for CLP for the years 2026 to 2028 has been reduced by 5% to 7%, reflecting expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut and a lower weighted average cost of capital [1] Group 2 - Citigroup raised the target price for CLP by 2.6% to HKD 78, anticipating a dividend yield of 4.4% in 2026, which is considered reasonable [1] - Among Hong Kong utility stocks, Citigroup is most optimistic about China Resources Power, which has a dividend yield exceeding 6% [1] - Citigroup also favors Cheung Kong Infrastructure and Power Assets Holdings, as the substantial proceeds from the sale of the UK electricity grid can be utilized for future acquisitions [1]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint indicates that recent liquidity shocks in overseas markets, driven by concerns over the AI software bubble and subsequent momentum selling, have led to significant volatility in equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. It suggests that some assets may have been "wrongly killed" due to these liquidity shocks, as the macroeconomic fundamentals and broad liquidity environment have not changed significantly [1][13] - The report anticipates that the upcoming U.S. non-farm employment and CPI data for January may present upward risks, potentially reversing the slight increase in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts observed this week [1][13] Financial Products - The report highlights that overseas market liquidity shows signs of stabilization, which may improve market sentiment. It predicts a positive outlook for the A-share market in February, with a historical probability of 78.57% for an increase following a macro timing model score of 0 [1][16] - Fund allocation recommendations suggest a balanced ETF configuration due to expected short-term market fluctuations, with a focus on sectors like chemicals and electric grid equipment, which continue to see increasing fund sizes [1][16] Commodity Market - The report discusses the impact of liquidity shocks on commodity prices, noting that certain commodities, which rely on supply-demand improvements, have been "wrongly hurt" but may return to fundamental pricing logic as market conditions stabilize [2][17] - It emphasizes that the recent volatility in silver and other precious metals indicates a potential end to the liquidity shock, with silver becoming a key indicator of market sentiment [2][17] Environmental Industry - The report stresses the importance of advancing the national carbon market and outlines investment recommendations in clean energy, energy conservation, and recycling sectors. It highlights specific companies such as Longjing Environmental and others involved in renewable energy and waste management [6][10] Non-Banking Financial Sector - The report notes a recovery in the IPO and refinancing market, with significant year-on-year growth in both areas. It indicates that the capital market reforms and increased market activity are expected to benefit brokerage firms' investment banking revenues [9] AI Industry and Bond Financing - The report focuses on the AI industry, highlighting the need for a diversified financing system to support technology companies, particularly private firms with high growth potential. It reviews case studies of leading tech companies' bond financing paths to assess the feasibility of similar strategies in China [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the carbon trading market and related sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for companies involved in power generation and environmental protection [2][9]. Core Insights - The carbon market in China is expanding, with a cumulative trading volume of 865 million tons and a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan as of December 31, 2025. The trading volume for the year increased by approximately 24% year-on-year, although the average transaction price fell by 19.23% to 62.36 yuan per ton [2][6]. - The report highlights the government's commitment to carbon reduction, transitioning from energy control to carbon control, which is expected to create investment opportunities in the environmental sector [9]. - Natural gas prices have decreased due to a combination of supply-demand dynamics and seasonal factors, with significant price drops observed in various markets, including a 39.20% decrease in the Henry Hub spot price [2][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - The carbon trading market is projected to continue expanding, with key emission units increasing awareness of carbon reduction. The number of units under management reached 3,378, with significant representation from the power, steel, cement, and aluminum industries [2][6]. - Recommendations for investment include companies with stable revenue sources such as Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng, which benefit from diversified income streams [9][11]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - Natural gas prices have seen a significant decline, with the Henry Hub spot price at $4.37/mmBtu, reflecting a 39.20% week-on-week drop. The report notes that the supply-demand balance is improving, contributing to this price decrease [2][12]. - Investment recommendations include companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, which are expected to benefit from lower upstream resource costs and improved sales volumes [34][35]. 3. Market Performance Review - The report indicates that the power equipment and gas sectors outperformed the broader market during the review period from February 2 to February 6, 2026 [37]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent regulatory updates include the National Development and Reform Commission's notification on improving the capacity pricing mechanism for coal and gas power generation, which aims to enhance revenue recovery for power plants [39][40]. - Key company announcements include performance forecasts from major players like Datang Power and Shanghai Electric, indicating significant year-on-year profit growth [41]. 5. Valuation Tables - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the utility sector, with several companies rated as "Buy," indicating strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [43][44].

FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00270 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 6,537,821,440 | | 0 | | 6,537,821,440 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 6,537,821,440 | | 0 | | 6,537,821,440 | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 粤海投資有限公司 | ...

Investment Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Longjing Environmental Protection, High Energy Environment, Sains, Hanlan Environment, Green Power Environmental Protection, and others [1] Companies to Watch - Companies suggested for attention include Dayu Water Saving, Lian Tai Environmental Protection, Wang Neng Environment, and others [2] Company Tracking - Jingjin Equipment is a leader in filter press with a market share of over 40%, and its new energy revenue is expected to grow as the lithium battery market recovers [3] - Longjing Environmental Protection has begun delivering pure electric mining trucks, with a projected domestic sales volume of 2,500 units in 2024 [3] - Sains is benefiting from rising rhenium prices driven by aerospace demand, with a rhenium price of 39.26 million yuan/ton expected by January 2026 [3] - High Energy Environment's performance exceeded expectations, driven by improvements in resource recycling profitability and strategic expansion into upstream mining [3] Event Tracking - The Shanghai Old Port Eco-Environmental Base has launched green methanol, marking a significant advancement in carbon utilization technology [4] Strategic Outlook for 2026 - The strategy emphasizes value and growth resonance, focusing on marketization and efficiency improvements in the solid waste sector [5] - Key recommendations include Hanlan Environment, Green Power, and others for their potential in dividend growth and operational efficiency [5] Industry Tracking - The sanitation equipment sector is seeing significant growth, with a 150% increase in unmanned sanitation project bids and a 71% increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles [7] - The market for biofuels remains stable, with prices for kitchen waste oil increasing by 100 yuan/ton [8] - Lithium battery recycling is experiencing price fluctuations, with carbonated lithium prices down by 6.2% as of January 30, 2026 [8]