去年底，山东最大民营企业、电解铝及纺织巨头魏桥创业集团结束了26年孤网供电接入大电网。 就在中国结束自备电厂的时代，大洋彼岸却要科技巨头大量兴建自备电厂。 据新华社援引外媒报道，美国多家技术巨头企业代表拟前往白宫面见美国总统特朗普，其间将签署书面 文件，承诺自行供应或购买人工智能(AI)数据中心所需电力。不过，美国一些民主党籍议员和清洁能源 组织认为，这类措施无法解决美国电网"技术过时"等真正问题。 这一举措意在回应大量居民对电价上涨提出的不满，但特朗普并未透露协议的具体内容。 美用电成本增高，影响外溢 据新华社报道，白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯表示此举"致力于确保美国在人工智能领域的主导地位，同时降 低工薪家庭生活成本"。不过，美国一些民主党籍议员和清洁能源组织认为，这类措施无法解决美国电 网"技术过时"等真正问题。 美国政府一直大力扶持本国人工智能产业，将其视为经济增长的引擎和美国国家安全的支柱，但当地电 力供给却成为增长瓶颈。 极端天气、基础设施老化、投资积极性不足等问题导致美国电力设施频频出现差错，甚至出现了寒冬里 大片居民断电的现象。根据国际能源署(IEA)的统计，2024年美国数据中心耗电量已达183T ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in energy supply dynamics in the U.S., particularly in relation to the growing demand for electricity from AI data centers and the challenges posed by aging infrastructure and extreme weather conditions. It highlights the response from tech giants and the government to address these issues while emphasizing the need for a more robust energy infrastructure. Group 1: U.S. Energy Supply Challenges - Extreme weather, aging infrastructure, and insufficient investment have led to frequent failures in U.S. power facilities, resulting in significant outages during winter [2] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that electricity consumption by data centers in the U.S. will reach 183 TWh in 2024, accounting for approximately 4% of total electricity use, and is expected to double to 426 TWh by 2030, potentially exceeding 12% [2] - The capacity auction held by PJM, the largest regional grid operator in the U.S., saw prices reach $333.44 per megawatt, indicating that demand from data centers far exceeds new supply [3] Group 2: Government and Tech Giants' Response - The U.S. government is pushing tech giants to transition from being mere energy consumers to defining and owning energy infrastructure, with a focus on nuclear, gas turbine, and diversified storage technologies [5] - The Trump administration has set a goal to start construction on 10 new nuclear reactors by 2030, marking the largest nuclear power expansion in 30 years, with a strategic partnership worth $80 billion with Westinghouse Electric [6] - Google has announced significant partnerships for clean energy projects, including a 1.9 GW clean energy project utilizing a 100-hour long-duration storage solution, aiming to set a benchmark for the industry [6] Group 3: Market Implications and Opportunities - The energy infrastructure boom in the U.S. is creating opportunities for high-end manufacturing companies, including Chinese firms, as demand for gas turbines and energy storage equipment rises [7] - The U.S. AI data center energy market is projected to exceed $100 billion, presenting a significant market share opportunity for companies in the gas turbine and storage sectors [7] - China is also facing similar challenges with rising power demands due to AI developments, and is working on optimizing its electricity market mechanisms to better accommodate new load demands [8]

Group 1 - AIDC construction is entering a high growth phase, with projected CAGR of approximately 55% for power capacity demand in the US from AI needs between 2025-2028, leading to a cumulative demand exceeding 150GW in the next three years [2][33] - The current electricity shortage in North America is prompting a trend towards self-built power sources, with gas turbines being favored due to their rapid response, high power adaptability, lower generation costs, and high reliability [2][3][35] - The global gas turbine market is experiencing a significant supply-demand mismatch, with leading companies having order backlogs that exceed current production capacity, leading to opportunities for domestic gas turbine manufacturers and core component suppliers [4][36] Group 2 - The demand side of AIDC construction is driving the need for supporting equipment, with AI model parameter increases necessitating higher computing power, thus accelerating the growth of the AIDC market [3][34] - Major AI companies are accelerating their investments in self-built power sources due to the electricity shortage in North America, with companies like xAI, Google, and Meta ordering gas turbines for AIDC power construction [3][35] - The domestic gas turbine industry is transitioning from long-term reliance on imports to self-research and commercialization, with a focus on filling supply gaps in aviation and marine fuel applications [5][36] Group 3 - The AIDC power revolution is officially underway, with four key areas of investment opportunity identified: power supply units (PSU), energy storage, power semiconductors, and core components [8][40] - The trend towards high power, high voltage, and direct current in AIDC power supply is being driven by the continuous increase in power requirements for AI chips and computing cabinets [40][42] - Energy storage is becoming a critical solution for addressing the electricity capacity gap in North America, with projections indicating a need for 18-73GWh of new storage capacity from 2026 to 2028 [21][53]

分享 reface 前⾔ at if our AI bullishness continues to be right...and what if that's actually bearish? 果我们的对 AI 的乐观持续正确……而这反而成了利空，会怎样？ at follows is a scenario, not a prediction. This isn't bear porn or AI doomer fan-fiction. e sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that's been relatively underexplored. Our nd Alap Shah posed the question, and together we brainstormed the answer. We wrote this t, and he's written two others you can find here. 下情景为设想，而非预测。这并非唱空轰动或人工智能末日主义同人文。本文唯一 的，是对一个相对较少被探讨的情景进行建模。我 ...

Let's get back to tech. Got to talk about software and more. Hotam diabs with me, managing partner at Gerber Kawasiaki Wealth Investment Management.It is great to see you. I haven't seen you in a long time. Um, look what's going on with IGV, the software stock selloff.Are there names in here that you just wouldn't touch anymore. >> Yeah, it's really good to see you on Nicole as well. Um, absolutely.I mean, it's been a reckoning for for software names. uh IGV I think down 30% was only down 13% just in one da ...

证券研究报告/宏观利率研究 2026 年 02 月 25 日 节前资金面宽松 十债利率站稳 1.8%下方 宏观利率周报（20260209-20260213） 研报摘要 ⚫ 核心观点：本周资金面平稳，A 股震荡、海外权益调整，不构成债市压制，市场震 荡偏强。1 月 PPI 同比稳步回升，但债市对"反内卷"计价已相对充分，降息降准靴子 落地前实际影响仍偏边际。社融数据同比多增幅度不大，开门后力度弱于去年同期，债 市多头思维或阶段延续。政策方面，四季度货币政策执行报告中有关货币财政协同、 "存款搬家"、国债买卖操作等阐述，均有利于利率筑顶。年初以来，债市呈现的"小 阳春"行情，主要由配置型资金主导推动，叠加交易盘对降准降息政策的乐观预期形成 接力效应，节后持续性仍有待观察。2 月份属于政策、经济数据空窗期，时处生产淡季， 且年初配置力量偏强、资金面宽松，整体对债市有利。在"降准降息"靴子落地前，配 置盘主导的行情或仍将延续，但空间或受限，提示 10 年国债活跃券收益率（1.78%） 向下赔率不高，建议适当把握节奏。 ⚫ 行情回顾：（1）资金面：本周临近春节长假，央行操作"呵护"意图较强，公开 市场操作净投放过万亿。 ...

| | 2000 Cycle | 2025 Cycle | | --- | --- | --- | | | Speculative: Market deregulation led investors | Concrete demand: Real-time electricity demand most | | Primary Demand Driver | to build power plants without guaranteed | notably Data Centers, but also underlying electricity | | | buyers. | consumption growth (EV, industrial) | | | U.S. Centric: Driven almost entirely by the | US driven, but relatively more globally diverse: US | | Regional Anchor | North American power market. | demand (DC driven) + Asi ...

记者丨曹恩惠 编辑丨朱益民 骆一帆 2月24日马年春节过后的首个交易日里，燃气轮机概念表现活跃，联德股份、东方电气、杰瑞股份、应 流股份股价大涨，盘中均创下新高。 25日开盘，A股三大指数高开。工业机械股盘初一度冲高，柯莱特30cm涨停，德恩精工、永利股份 20cm涨停，新锦动力涨近16%，联德股份续创新高，年内已累计涨超80%。但截至发稿，板块个股涨幅 有所回落。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | | 卓郎智能 | 3.32 | 8.14% | | 安达智能 | 203.00 | 7.24% | | 开山股份 | 20.88 | 6.69% | | 联德股份 | 67.87 | 6.06% | | 科新机电 | 16.69 | 5.83% | | 克莱特 | 34.16 | 5.86% | | 中捷资源 | 3.42 | 5.23% | | 汉钟精机 | 27.69 | 4.37% | | 美心量申 | 19.82 | 4.43% | | 隆华科技 | 11.92 | 4.29% | | 华宏科技 | 17.00 | 4.04% | 数据截至25日9:39 拥有 ...

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday outlined a simple framework to make sense of the current market, as the threat of artificial intelligence disruption looms over industries from software to commercial real estate. "We want companies that make things and do stuff that we can understand. We want to avoid stuff we can't or don't comprehend, because if you can't get your head around it, then it's probably the kind of stock that Anthropic ... can wreck with a simple press release," Cramer said on "Mad Money," referen ...

证券研究报告 电力设备与新能源 2025 年全球气电回顾与展望：增长远 超年初预期，2026 年有望再创辉煌 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 24 日│中国内地 动态点评 2025 回顾:美国领跑全球燃机需求增长，供电方案呈多元化趋势 根据 McCoy,4Q25 全球燃机新签订单 34GW，同/环比+134%/+42%，创十 年以来单季度新高（>10MW 口径，下同）。2025 全年全球燃机新签订单 合计 100GW，同比+75%，增速同比加快 42pct。全球燃机需求共振，2025 全年美国市场以 159%的同比增速领跑全球，订单占比 44%；非美市场亦实 现了 40%的订单同比增速，其中亚洲、中东等区域订单占比 22%、17%。 分企业看，三大主机厂商订单高增下有所分化。我们估算 GEV、西门子能 源、MHI 2025 年新增燃机订单 30、36、24GW，同比+48%、+197%、+51%， 2025 年市占率为 30%、36%、24%，同比-5、+15、-3pct，得益于均衡的 市场布局和完备的产品矩阵，西门子能源 2025 年实现了市占率大幅增长。 数据中心订单需求持续高增，推动订单销售均价提升。以 ...