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高利率是诱饵! 俄罗斯熊猫债利率再高也别碰, 两大致命风险会坑惨你
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 13:13
声明丨本文内容均引用权威资料结合个人观点进行撰写,文末已标注文献来源及截图,请知悉 高利率是诱饵! 对于俄罗斯抛出的熊猫债,无论其利率再高也千万别碰。 这背后潜藏着两大致命风险,一旦陷进去,最终的结局可能会让你血本无归,被坑得惨不忍睹。 这绝非危言耸听,而是一场关乎无数普通人钱袋子的金融博弈,稍有不慎,便会跌入万劫不复的深渊。 夜幕下的金融市场,总是充满了各种诱惑与陷阱。 就在2025年9月,一则消息搅动了无数投资者的心弦:俄罗斯,这个身处国际制裁的国家,计划在中国发行人民币计价的债券,也就是我们常说 的"熊猫债"。 消息一出,市场上最引人注目的,莫过于其可能开出的极高预期收益率。 这笔收益,被一些人形容为"撒旦的蜜糖",甜美得令人难以抗拒。 在当前全球普遍低利率的环境下,如此高的回报率无疑像一块巨大的磁石,吸引着逐利的资本。更有人从宏大叙事的角度,将其解读为深化中 俄战略合作的金融支持,甚至是推动人民币国际化的重要一步。 然而,甜蜜的表象之下,往往是致命的毒药。你以为这只是专业机构之间的资本游戏,与在银行存钱、购买理财的普通人无关? 这种想法大错特错。事实上,危险可能正在以一种你完全意想不到的方式,悄悄逼近 ...
又一个炼油厂被炸,多地汽油限购:俄罗斯博主担忧再来个1917
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-27 10:14
必须要佩服俄罗斯工程师们的努力,虽然乌克兰无人机不断将俄罗斯炼油厂炸停产,但俄罗斯工程师们依然能通过自己的努力恢复生产,只是,在缺乏理想 零备件和技术支持的情况下,俄罗斯工程师们的修复速度远远比不上乌克兰的破坏速度,而且,乌克兰的远程无人机产量还在不断增加,"火烈鸟"等威力更 大的巡航导弹也尚未投入使用。 事实已经证明,虽然俄罗斯的地方官员们不承认乌克兰无人机击中炼油厂和油库,只会说拦截了多少乌克兰无人机、被击落的无人机碎片引发火灾,云云, 但俄罗斯各地的油荒却在以肉眼可见的速度蔓延,在很多地区,人们排队加油,却最多只能加20升,甚至边境地区的俄罗斯人被迫开车去哈萨克斯坦等邻国 加油。 特朗普对俄罗斯的二级制裁并不怎么成功,至少是尚未看到发挥效用,印度依然在继续购买俄罗斯石油,欧尔班则直接拒绝了特朗普的要求,在这种情况 下,乌克兰只能继续动手"直接制裁"俄罗斯能源业。 最新一次攻击的目标是位于克拉斯诺达尔边疆区的阿菲普斯基炼油厂,无人机击中了AT-22/4常压蒸馏装置,该装置作用是将原油分离为气体、汽油、煤 油、柴油馏分及重质燃料油以供后续加工,在2013年升级后,年处理能力达300万吨。 一些俄罗斯军事博主 ...
二级制裁中印,美欧未达成一致
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-22 22:37
报道称,特朗普曾多次指责欧洲国家购买俄能源。他18日在同英国首相斯塔默会晤后表示,愿意加大对俄经济压力。尽管多数欧洲国家自俄乌冲 突后停止了直接购买俄石油,但匈牙利、斯洛伐克等国仍在进口俄石油。欧洲国家还从印度和土耳其等国进口柴油,后者将俄石油加工成燃料。 报道还提到,欧盟已宣布将从明年起禁止进口由俄石油提炼的石油产品,欧盟委员会还提议在2027年1月1日前禁止进口俄液化天然气,比原计划 提前一年。 RT称,欧盟若对印度等征收关税将导致欧洲经济形势进一步恶化并损失惨重,因此欧盟并不急于在该问题上听从美国。此外,欧盟也不想就此疏 远印度,而美国当前对印度的相关举动甚至推翻了过去20年来其对印度奉行的整体政策。美国"政治新闻网"此前称,尽管美国施压欧盟加快摆脱 俄能源,但欧盟不太可能在2027年前完全实现目标。主要原因在于匈牙利、斯洛伐克不支持对俄制裁并继续从俄进口能源。 【环球时报驻俄罗斯特派记者 肖新新 环球时报驻美国特约记者 李致】今日俄罗斯电视台(RT)网站22日称,欧盟和美国未能就对中印购买俄罗 斯石油实施二级制裁达成一致。 针对美国要求欧盟对印度、中国征收100%关税一事,欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩21日 ...
中方发火,几乎断供欧盟稀土,冯德莱恩认怂,拒绝美对华制裁要求
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 12:45
早在8月,美国总统特朗普就威胁对中国实施"二级制裁",理由是中国和印度购买俄石油,为俄罗斯提供了用于俄乌冲突的资金,因此只 要阻止中印购买俄油,就能迫使俄罗斯认真谈判。 不过自始至终美国都只对印度采取了措施,并没有对中国下手,但前不久事态发展有了新的变化,美国鼓动欧盟和"七国集团(G7)"参 与对华"二级制裁",要求对中国商品加征100%关税。 «——【·中国反制与欧盟战略转向·】——» 2025年夏秋之交,一场围绕稀土资源的博弈在大国间悄然展开。美国试图拉拢欧盟对华实施"二级制裁",要求对中国商品加征100%关 税,理由是中国通过购买俄罗斯石油"资助俄乌冲突"。这一要求触及中国核心利益,引发中方强烈反制。 9月22日,欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩在接受比利时媒体专访时明确表示,欧盟将自主决定关税政策,拒绝加入美国的对华制裁联盟。这一 立场转变背后,是中国通过稀土出口管制施加的战略压力,以及欧盟对自身产业安全的深刻考量。 «——【·前言·】——» 自2022年俄乌冲突爆发以来,美国始终试图通过经济手段削弱俄罗斯的战争潜力。其核心策略之一,是切断俄罗斯的能源收入来源。为 此,美国不仅对俄实施多轮制裁,还施压中国和印度 ...
特朗普通告全球,对普京耐心正耗尽,28国统一战线,先搞崩俄经济
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 10:21
在近日的电话会议中,贝森特表示,七国集团成员国应和美国一道,对从俄罗斯购买石油的国家征收关税。用他的原话说,美国希望G7"能在这一关键时刻 一道采取果断行动"。其实在上个月,贝森特已发出过类似的信号,他宣称美国已准备好加大对俄制裁力度,但希望欧洲国家跟进美国的行动。这样看来情 况已经很清楚了,特朗普政府希望团结欧美28国的力量,通过共同对俄罗斯的贸易合作伙伴设置二级关税,来打垮俄罗斯的能源出口,进一步摧毁俄罗斯经 济。那么,假设欧洲真的跟着美国干,一同搞二级制裁,对俄罗斯而言意味着什么呢? 最近,美国总统特朗普接受采访时表示,他对俄罗斯总统普京的耐心正在耗尽,而且"耗尽得很快"。特朗普强调,虽然自己和普京长期保持着良好关系,但 对普京未能结束战争感到失望,而美国需要"采取极其强硬的措施"。他的这番话,再次向外界显示出特朗普政府对莫斯科的失望,也暗示着接下来特朗普政 府可能重新加速转向对俄施压,通过发起新一轮制裁,迫使俄罗斯重回谈判桌。至于特朗普具体打算怎么做,美国财政部长贝森特透露了"天机"。 必须承认,假如欧美28个国家铁了心联合动手,对所有购买俄罗斯能源的国家和公司进行二级制裁,那么确实会对俄罗斯经济造成 ...
德媒:欧盟拒绝美国对中印征100%关税提议!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 08:24
Group 1 - The G7 finance ministers held an emergency video meeting where the US proposed imposing punitive tariffs of up to 100% on goods from China and India to pressure Russia, but the EU rejected this idea [1][3] - The EU is currently negotiating a free trade agreement with India, making the imposition of tariffs counterproductive to their interests [1][3] - The proposed 100% tariffs could lead to a doubling of prices for essential goods, significantly impacting the cost of living in Europe amid already high inflation [3][10] Group 2 - The EU's traditional approach to trade is to follow WTO rules and implement gradual measures, making the proposed drastic tariffs inconsistent with their usual practices [6][10] - There is a lack of consensus among EU member states regarding the imposition of tariffs, particularly from countries still reliant on Russian energy [6][10] - The EU is considering a new mechanism targeting individuals and entities that help Russia evade sanctions, which could be more flexible and focused than broad tariffs [8][10] Group 3 - The US aims to replace Russia as Europe's main energy supplier, increasing its LNG exports while pressuring Europe to buy American gas [3][11] - The EU's response to the US proposal reflects a pragmatic approach, prioritizing its economic stability and avoiding self-harm while still seeking to support Ukraine [10][11] - The EU is exploring targeted sanctions on the Russian oil export chain rather than broad tariffs, aiming for precision in their measures [10]
俄罗斯石油再次大降,中国石油为什么坚持不买?背后原因实属无奈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 12:41
Group 1 - The article discusses the significant price drop of Russian oil due to Western sanctions and the shift in export strategies towards Asia, particularly China and India [2][4] - Following the sanctions, Russia's oil exports to China reached a record 107 million tons in 2023, accounting for nearly 20% of China's total imports [2][6] - However, by 2025, the situation changed with a 10% decrease in Russian oil exports to China in the first seven months, driven by low oil prices and increased U.S. pressure on buyers [6][8] Group 2 - The discount of Urals crude oil against Brent benchmark expanded to over $20 per barrel, indicating the urgency of Russian exporters to maintain market share [4][10] - Despite the low prices, logistical and payment issues, along with U.S. sanctions, have made it difficult for Chinese buyers to increase imports significantly [10][12] - China's oil reserves are nearing capacity, limiting the ability to import more Russian oil, while domestic demand growth has slowed [12][14] Group 3 - The article highlights that while Russia's economy relies heavily on energy exports, the dependence on China has become a vulnerability, especially with the ongoing geopolitical tensions [14] - China's energy strategy is shifting towards diversification, reducing reliance on Russian oil, while increasing imports from other suppliers [12][14] - The future of Russian oil exports remains uncertain, as the balance between U.S. sanctions and China's energy needs continues to evolve [14]
中国反制生效之前,欧盟干脆对华强硬到底,不准备给自己留退路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 22:38
Core Viewpoint - The EU is intensifying its sanctions against Russia by targeting countries that engage in energy trade with Russia, indicating a commitment to increase pressure amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict [1][2] Group 1: EU's Sanction Strategy - The EU plans to expand sanctions to include secondary sanctions against countries trading with Russia, reflecting a shift in its approach to the geopolitical landscape [1] - The EU has previously implemented multiple rounds of sanctions focused on Russia's energy revenues and has strengthened anti-circumvention clauses, paving the way for exploring secondary sanctions [2][4] - The EU's decision to coordinate with the US on secondary sanctions highlights its desire to play a more active role in international discourse, rather than remaining a passive observer [2][6] Group 2: Challenges and Internal Dynamics - The implementation of the EU's ambitious sanctions plan faces significant hurdles, including the need for unanimous agreement among member states and the capacity of industries to absorb the impact [4][11] - Slovakia's Prime Minister has publicly stated conditions for supporting new sanctions, emphasizing the need for solutions that balance industrial development and energy prices [4][11] - The complexity of the energy market, including price fluctuations and long-term contracts, poses additional challenges for enforcing sanctions against third countries [7][11] Group 3: US-EU Coordination - There is a notable divergence in the approach between the EU and the US, with the EU moving quickly to implement secondary sanctions while the US remains cautious, focusing on urging the EU to phase out Russian oil and gas by 2028 [6][12] - The US has not prioritized punishing China for purchasing Russian oil, which adds uncertainty to the EU's plans for secondary sanctions [6][12] Group 4: China's Response and Trade Dynamics - China has adopted a more targeted approach in its trade responses, such as imposing temporary anti-dumping duties on EU pork products, which could significantly impact the European pork industry [8][10] - The EU's trade tensions with China have escalated beyond single product disputes to broader trade friction, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [10][11] Group 5: Economic Considerations and Strategic Choices - The EU must weigh the potential economic costs of secondary sanctions against the benefits, particularly in light of China's possible retaliatory measures in key sectors [11][17] - The EU's strategy should involve a more nuanced approach, focusing on high-evidence cases for sanctions while avoiding broader trade disruptions [14][18] - A more pragmatic internal assessment is necessary for the EU to align its energy transition goals with its sanctions strategy, ensuring cost stability and reducing the risk of economic backlash [16][17]
特朗普威胁话音刚落,为了对付中国,欧盟计划迈出危险一步?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 12:19
欧盟的反应,虽然在特朗普的压力下显得尤为复杂和微妙。自俄乌冲突爆发以来,欧盟在能源问题上的 立场就变得极为敏感。虽然欧盟在2022年就已提出逐步停止进口俄罗斯原油的计划,并且部分成员国已 开始减少对俄罗斯能源的依赖,但问题并非如此简单。完整内容查看视频 这一立场显然不是空口无凭,而是深思熟虑的战略威胁。特朗普在演讲中多次提到"二级制裁",指的是 美国将对那些依然从俄罗斯购买能源的国家——包括印度和中国——采取经济制裁。 事实上,特朗普政府早在2023年便通过对印度加征50%关税的手段,开始对俄罗斯能源买家施加压力。 而如今,随着俄乌冲突的持续和能源市场的变化,特朗普试图进一步将这种压力扩展到全球范围,尤其 是针对中国的能源购买行为。 ...
好家伙!美国又逼G7:对华加税,最高100%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 08:46
【文/观察者网 柳白】坑盟友这事儿,特朗普政府从来不含糊。 被曝施压欧盟对中印加税后,英国《金融时报》9月11日援引四位消息人士的话称,美国又将向G7国家 施压,要求对购买俄罗斯石油的中国和印度大幅加征关税,企图借此逼迫俄罗斯与乌克兰开展和平谈 判。 当地时间12日,G7国家财政部长将召开视频会议讨论美国提出的新一轮措施提案,这是特朗普推动俄 乌停火努力的一部分。 特朗普本周已敦促欧盟对中国和印度加征最高达100%的关税,现在把施压范围扩大到了G7盟友。 担任G7轮值主席国的加拿大表示,12日的会议是"在与美国磋商后召开的"。 加拿大方面称,会议将"讨论进一步措施,以增加对俄罗斯的压力并限制其战争机器的能力"。 一位不愿意透露姓名的加拿大政府官员表示,会议讨论内容将包括"对继续资助俄罗斯战争机器的国家 征收关税"的提议。 6月17日,加拿大艾伯塔省,G7峰会持续举行。视觉中国 美财政部一名发言人炒作称,中印购买俄罗斯石油,是在为俄罗斯"战争机器提供资金" "本周早些时候,我们已向欧盟盟友明确表示,若他们真心希望结束发生在自家'后院'的这场战争,就 需要与我们并肩行动,实施具有实效的关税,一旦冲突结束,这些关税 ...