北交所策略专题报告 2025 年 11 月 23 日 北交所打新策略：资产端提质打开打新空间，掘金 2026 年新股机遇 ——北交所策略专题报告 北交所研究团队 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 2025 年新股首日涨幅均值 364%，排队企业高质量关注 2026 年打新机会 从发审会节奏上来看，从发审会节奏上来看，截至 2025 年 11 月 21 日，2025 年 北交所合计过会 35 家企业，合计上市 22 家企业，预计 2026 年新股上市数量或 有提高。从 2025 年三季度末开始，北交所网上发行有效申购户数+冻结资金中 枢整体稳定在 2025 年 7-11 月均值 59.89 万户和 6927.10 亿元左右，2025 年 1-11 月北交所网上发行有效申购户数均值达 56.36 万户，网上冻结资金均值达 6369.05 亿元。从 2025 年北交所新股申购中签率来看，2025 年上市企业中签率整体处于 0.03%左右，三季度后中签率并未进一步下滑。从北交所 100 股资金申购门槛来 看，2025 年 3 季度开始门槛中枢提高。2025 ...

Core Insights - The recent IPO of Danna Biotechnology on the Beijing Stock Exchange has sparked significant market discussion due to its record-high subscription threshold of 8.5141 million yuan, the highest in the exchange's history [1] - The number of online subscription accounts reached 553,200, with total frozen funds amounting to 613.017 billion yuan, yet only the top 13% of accounts were able to secure 100 shares [1] - Despite the high subscription threshold, Danna Biotechnology's maximum subscription amount of 6.156 million yuan is still below the threshold, indicating that even top-tier investors cannot directly obtain a full allocation of shares and must rely on subsequent fractional share distribution [1] - The trend of increasing interest in IPOs on the Beijing Stock Exchange is evident, although the financial barrier for ordinary investors remains high; however, employees of Danna Biotechnology managed to secure 85% of the total shares through a strategic placement plan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The IPO of Danna Biotech on the Beijing Stock Exchange has set a record with a subscription threshold of 8.5141 million yuan, reflecting the increasing popularity and competitiveness of new stock offerings in the market [1][2]. Subscription Details - Danna Biotech's issue price is 17.1 yuan per share, with a total issuance of 8 million shares, of which 720,000 shares are for online issuance and 800,000 shares for strategic placement [2]. - The effective subscription amount reached 35.849 billion shares, with 553,200 accounts participating, resulting in an online subscription multiple of 4,979.02 times [2]. - The total frozen funds for the online subscription amounted to 613.017 billion yuan, indicating high investor interest [2]. Subscription Thresholds - The minimum subscription amount required to secure 100 shares is 8.5141 million yuan, which is the highest threshold recorded on the Beijing Stock Exchange [2][4]. - The maximum subscription amount allowed is 360,000 shares, translating to a top subscription amount of 6.156 million yuan, which is lower than the required threshold [2][4]. Allocation Process - Only the top 13% of accounts by subscription amount (approximately 72,000 out of 553,200) will receive the full allocation of 100 shares, while the remaining 87% will not receive any shares [3][6]. - The allocation will follow a principle of prioritizing accounts based on the amount of funds, with equal amounts being prioritized by time of application [3]. Strategic Placement - Danna Biotech's executives and core employees secured 85% of the strategic placement shares, totaling 680,000 shares, through a special asset management plan [5]. - The strategic placement also includes 120,000 shares allocated to the other strategic investor, China Merchants Securities, which is the lead underwriter for this issuance [5]. Market Implications - The high subscription threshold and competitive nature of the IPO suggest that retail investors with lower capital may find it increasingly difficult to participate in future offerings [5][6]. - The trend of rising subscription thresholds indicates a growing demand for new stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange, which may continue to evolve as more companies seek to go public [4][5].

Core Insights - The popularity of new stock subscriptions on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) has surged since 2025, with a common subscription rate below 0.05%, making it increasingly difficult to obtain shares [1][2] - Strategic placements by institutions have allowed them to secure 20%-30% of new shares in advance, resulting in significant paper profits, with an average increase of 3.58 times for new stocks listed on the BSE since 2025 [1][2] Subscription Trends - The competition for strategic placements has intensified, becoming a battleground for various institutions [2] - The total frozen funds for new stock subscriptions have risen sharply, with 10 new stocks freezing over 600 billion yuan, and some exceeding 700 billion yuan [2] - The average cumulative increase for new stocks listed this year on the BSE is 3.58 times, with some stocks like Xingtong Measurement and Control increasing by as much as 12.82 times [2][3] Institutional Participation - Institutions participating in strategic placements have achieved remarkable returns, with an overall floating return rate of 137% for 22 institutions that had their placements unlocked in 2025 [3][8] - The BSE has seen a shift in participant structure, with major brokerages and private equity funds leading the way, alongside industry-backed investors [6][8] Regulatory Changes - In April 2025, the BSE revised its rules to increase the number of strategic investors and the proportion of shares allocated, aiming to attract more quality investors and enhance market liquidity [4][8] - The latest requirements for participating in strategic placements emphasize the need for investors to have a good market reputation, strong financial capability, and a long-term investment perspective [8][9] Market Dynamics - The strategic placement market has faced scrutiny, with concerns about "pseudo-strategic investments" and institutions without industry backgrounds securing significant shares [6][9] - Experts suggest that the focus should shift from "personal connections" and "average allocations" to "service-oriented" and "competitive allocations" to ensure that strategic placements genuinely support long-term corporate development [9]

Core Insights - The popularity of new stock subscriptions on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) has surged since 2025, with a common subscription success rate below 0.05%, making it increasingly difficult to obtain shares [1][2] - Strategic placements by institutions have allowed them to secure 20%-30% of new shares in advance, resulting in significant paper profits, with an average increase of 3.58 times for new stocks listed since 2025 [1][2] Subscription Trends - The competition for strategic placements has intensified, becoming a battleground for various institutions [2] - The total frozen funds for new stock subscriptions have risen sharply, with 10 stocks freezing over 600 billion yuan, and some exceeding 700 billion yuan [2] - The average cumulative increase for new stocks listed this year on the BSE is 3.58 times, with some stocks like Xingtong Measurement Control seeing increases as high as 12.82 times [2][3] Institutional Participation - Institutions participating in strategic placements have achieved substantial returns, with a floating return rate of 137% and a success rate of 100% for 22 institutions in 2025 [3] - The BSE has revised its rules to allow more strategic investors, increasing the number of participants and the proportion of shares allocated [4] Market Dynamics - The main participants in strategic placements include leading brokerages and private equity funds, with a notable presence of industry-backed investors [6] - Concerns have arisen regarding the legitimacy of some participants, with accusations of "pseudo-strategic investment" and "arbitrage" practices [6] Regulatory Developments - The BSE is continuously optimizing its regulations to ensure that strategic placements align with their intended purpose, emphasizing the need for participants to have a strong market reputation and financial capability [8] - New requirements specify that eligible investors must have a strategic partnership or long-term cooperation vision with the issuer, among other criteria [8] Future Recommendations - Experts suggest that the BSE should shift from "relationship-based" to "service-oriented" placements, focusing on long-term value creation rather than short-term gains [9] - There is a call for reforms in the subscription system to improve the chances of obtaining shares for more investors, potentially adopting practices from other markets [9]

Issuance and Market Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, a total of 15 companies completed their IPOs, raising 4.9 billion yuan, surpassing the total fundraising of 2024[2] - In September, three companies went public, raising 0.92 billion yuan, maintaining an accelerated IPO pace[2] - The average first-day increase for newly listed companies in September was 397%, with the average for Q3 2025 at 339%[2][24] Subscription Trends - The average subscription amount for September reached a record high of 724.8 billion yuan, with the average for Q3 at 130.7 million yuan, significantly higher than the previous quarter's 91.8 million yuan[2][27] - The average subscription amount for the first nine months of 2025 was 607.9 billion yuan, a substantial increase from 36.9 billion yuan in 2023 and 212.9 billion yuan in 2024[27] - The average expected return for top-tier subscriptions in September was 46,000 yuan, with an overall expected return of 340,000 yuan for the first nine months[31] Company Quality and Financial Metrics - The average revenue for newly listed companies in 2024 was 0.89 billion yuan, with an average net profit of 0.13 billion yuan, indicating a significant improvement in financial metrics compared to previous years[35] - The average gross margin for newly listed companies in 2024 was 28%, reflecting an upward trend in company quality[35] Market Dynamics and Risks - The online subscription success rate has decreased to an average of 0.044% in the first nine months of 2025, indicating increasing competition for new shares[27] - Risks include potential changes in IPO review policies and market enthusiasm for new listings[2]

Core Viewpoint - The company Changjiang Energy Technology is set to launch its IPO with an issue price of 5.33 yuan and a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.99 times, aiming to raise a total of 1.60 billion yuan, potentially increasing to 1.84 billion yuan if the overallotment option is fully exercised [1][2] Summary by Category IPO Details - The initial issuance quantity is 30 million shares, with 24 million shares allocated for online subscription and a total share capital of 138 million shares post-issuance [1] - The maximum subscription limit for a single account is 1.425 million shares [1] - The overallotment option allows for an additional 4.5 million shares to be allocated to online investors, increasing the online issuance quantity to 28.5 million shares [1] Fundraising Allocation - The total funds raised will primarily be directed towards the production of 1,500 tons of heavy special materials equipment and 4,500 tons of oil and gas engineering equipment, as well as the construction of a research and development center [1] Financial Performance - The company's projected net profits for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are 40.68 million yuan, 40.85 million yuan, and 49.16 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of 83.76%, 0.42%, and 20.34% [1] - Key financial metrics include total assets of 588.24 million yuan and net assets of 350.36 million yuan for 2024 [1] - The company reported a basic earnings per share of 0.45 yuan for 2024, with a weighted average return on equity of 15.12% [1] R&D Investment - The R&D expenditure for 2024 is 14.53 million yuan, representing 4.63% of the operating revenue [2]

Group 1 - The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) has seen a booming new stock market since 2025, with an average first-day return of 349.98% for new listings, indicating significant profit potential [1] - On September 19, Shichang Co. debuted on the BSE, closing up 271.6% on its first day, continuing the trend of successful new listings this year [1] - The first-day gains for new stocks listed this year have been remarkable, with 14 new stocks seeing first-day increases of over 150%, and some, like Sanxie Electric, achieving a staggering 785.62% increase [1] Group 2 - The enthusiasm for new stock subscriptions has led to record-high subscription funds, with Jinhua New Materials' IPO on September 19 attracting 524,900 subscribers and freezing funds of 851.19 billion yuan [2] - The top 10 stocks with the largest frozen funds on the BSE this year all exceeded 70 billion yuan, indicating intense competition among investors [4] - The introduction of strategic placements by institutional investors has intensified competition, with Jinhua New Materials involving 15 strategic investors and Sanxie Electric involving 16 [4] Group 3 - The BSE continues to receive new IPO applications, with three companies, including Jiumu Chemical, recently accepted, highlighting a robust pipeline of potential new listings [4] - The BSE is maintaining a "high-speed quality" review process, with 21 companies successfully passing the review in the first eight months of 2025, and the time from review to listing averaging 2 to 4 months [5] - Expectations for accelerated new stock issuance in the second half of the year are high, driven by ongoing policy benefits and improved registration efficiency [5]

Core Insights - The recent listing of Shichang Co. on the Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) saw a remarkable first-day increase of 271.6%, continuing the trend of strong performance for new stocks this year [1][2] - In 2025, a total of 14 new stocks have been listed on the BSE, with an average first-day return of 349.98%, indicating significant profit potential for investors [1][3] Company Performance - Shichang Co. specializes in the research, production, and sales of automotive fuel systems, primarily selling to major vehicle manufacturers such as Geely, Chery, and FAW [2] - In 2024, Shichang Co. is projected to achieve revenues of 515 million yuan and a net profit of approximately 69.95 million yuan [2] - Another newly listed company, Sanxie Electric, experienced an even more impressive first-day surge of 785.62%, marking it as one of the top performers on the BSE [2][3] Market Trends - The enthusiasm for new stock subscriptions on the BSE is at an all-time high, with Jin Hua New Materials attracting 524,900 investors and freezing a record 851.19 billion yuan in funds [4] - The increasing number of participants has led to a decline in the winning rate for subscriptions, with recent figures showing rates as low as 0.0179% for some stocks [4] Institutional Interest - More institutional investors are entering the BSE market, seeking strategic allocations in new stocks, which has intensified competition [5] - Recent strategic placements for Jin Hua New Materials and Sanxie Electric involved multiple institutional investors, indicating a growing interest in the BSE [6] Future Prospects - The BSE continues to receive new IPO applications, with three companies recently accepted for listing, indicating a robust pipeline of potential new stocks [7] - The efficiency of the BSE's review process is improving, with a notable decrease in the average time from approval to listing, suggesting a potential acceleration in new stock offerings [8]

Group 1 - Hebei Shichang Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. (Shichang Co.) was listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange on September 19, with an opening price of 48.22 CNY per share and a closing price of 40.50 CNY, marking a 271.56% increase on the first day of trading [1] - The IPO price was set at 10.9 CNY per share, with an earnings ratio of 10.32 times, and the IPO attracted approximately 649.6 billion CNY in frozen funds, resulting in a subscription ratio of 0.025% [1] - Shichang Co. specializes in the research, production, and sales of automotive plastic fuel tank assemblies, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.23% in revenue and 95.50% in net profit from 2022 to 2024 [1] Group 2 - The recent trend in the A-share market shows a strong performance for new stocks, with an average first-day increase of nearly 250% from January to September 14, 2023, and a notable rise in new stock trading enthusiasm following the debut of Changzhou Sanxie Electric Co., which saw a first-day increase of 785% [2] - The average first-day return for new stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange reached approximately 330% in the first eight months of the year, significantly higher than the 230% recorded for the entire previous year [2] - The number of new companies successfully listed has increased, with 21 companies passing the review process by August, and 170 companies currently preparing for IPOs on the Beijing Stock Exchange [4] Group 3 - The IPO of Zhejiang Jinhua New Materials Co., Ltd. attracted 52.49 million participants, with frozen funds exceeding 85.11 billion CNY and a subscription multiple of 1511 times, indicating a high level of investor interest [3] - The average online subscription funds for the first eight months of the year reached 57.87 billion CNY, with a noticeable increase in the average subscription amount compared to previous years [3] - The market is experiencing a trend of increasing competition for new stock subscriptions, with the average winning rate dropping to 0.044% in the first eight months of 2023 [3] Group 4 - The market outlook suggests that with the further improvement of the registration system, new stock issuance will become more market-oriented and regular, providing more opportunities for investors [5] - Optimizations in market regulations and trading rules are expected to enhance the performance of newly listed stocks, supporting the profitability of new stock subscriptions [5]