从M1同比增长2.3%来看,意味着活钱增速加快,虽仍处低位,但已显现积极信号,这反映出企业短期交易活 动回暖。不过,东融助贷发现,M1-M2剪刀差仍达5.6个百分点,显示资金活化程度尚未根本改善,实体经济 现金流仍有待进一步疏通。 来看具体贷款数据:5月人民币贷款余额同比增长7.1%,新增贷款6200亿元。信贷余额同比增长 7.1%,增速 环比上月下降 0.1 个百分点。此外,居民消费信贷需求走弱。5月住户短期贷款同比少增420亿元,耐用品 消费出现"政策依赖症"。 近日,中国人民银行发布5月金融数据。2025 年5月末,广义货币(M2)余额325.78万亿元,同比增长7.9%;狭 义货币(M1)余额108.91万亿元,同比增长2.3%。社会融资规模存量为426.16万亿元,同比增长8.7%。东融 助贷了解到,1-5月,社会融资规模增量为18.63万亿元,同比多增3.83万亿元。5月,社会融资规模增量为2.29 万亿元,同比多增2247亿元。 业内人士分析称,当前经济处于新旧动能转换关键期,货币政策与财政政策需从"量"的配合转向"机制"的 融合。不少专家预测,三季度,随着设备更新改造贷款贴息政策全面落地,制造 ...

周五（6 月 13 日），美国三大股指全线收跌，道指跌 1.79%，标普 500 指数跌 1.13%，纳指跌 1.3%。万得美 国科技七巨头指数跌 1.02%，英伟达跌超 2%，脸书跌逾 1%。中概股普遍下跌，文远知行跌近 8%。 新闻精要 | 1. 用中长期规划指导经济社会发展是我们党治国理政 | | --- | | 的一种重要方式 | 2. 国常会：部署中国(上海)自由贸易试验区试点措施 复制推广工作 3. 央行发布 5 月金融数据 国内市场综述 低开低走 弱势整理 周五（6 月 13 日）大盘低开低走，弱势整理。截至收 盘，上证综指收于 3377 点，下跌 0.75%；深成指收于 10122.11 点，下跌 1.1%；科创 50 下跌 0.51%；创业 板指下跌 1.13%，万得全 A 成交额共 15040 亿元，较 前一日有所上升。 行业方面，30 个中信一级行业有 4 个行业收涨，其中 石油石化、国防军工、电力及公用事业涨幅居前，而 综合金融、传媒及纺织服装则跌幅较大。概念方面， 油气开采、天然气及航运精选等指数表现活跃。 海外市场综述 美国三大股指全线收跌，大型科技股普跌 风险提示 1.稳增长力度 ...

张广硕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 zhangguangshuo@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 商 品 研 究 2025 年 6 月 16 日 铁矿石：预期反复，区间震荡 铁矿石基本面数据 | | | | 昨日收盘价(元/吨) | 涨跌(元/吨) | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货 | | | 703. 0 | -1.0 | -0. 14% | | | 12509 | | | 昨日持仓(手) | 持仓变动(手) | | | | | | 695. 640 | -21, 059 | | | | | 昨日价格(元/吨) | 前日价格(元/吨) | 涨跌(元/吨) | | | 进口矿 | 卡粉（65%） | 816. 0 | 817.0 | -1.0 | | | | PB (61.5%) | 719. 0 | 722.0 | -3.0 | | 现货价格 | | 金布巴(61%) | 671.0 | 672. 0 | -1.0 | | | | 超特 (56.5%) | 613. 0 | 616. 0 | -3.0 | | | 国产矿 | 郎 ...

Group 1: Monetary Supply and Credit Conditions - In May, the broad money supply (M2) increased by 7.9% year-on-year, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [2][3] - The narrow money supply (M1) grew by 2.3% year-on-year, with an increase of 0.8 percentage points compared to the end of the previous month [3] - New RMB loans in May amounted to 620 billion yuan, a decrease of 330 billion yuan year-on-year, while the social financing scale increased by 22.894 billion yuan, up by 2.271 billion yuan year-on-year [2][10] Group 2: Economic Activity and Investment - The increase in M1 indicates a significant acceleration in "active money," suggesting a recovery in investment and consumption activities [3][5] - The government bond issuance has accelerated, which is the primary driver for the rapid growth of social financing scale [11] - The total social financing scale at the end of May was 426.16 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [10] Group 3: Loan Dynamics and Sector Performance - Corporate loans increased by 530 billion yuan in May, but this was a decrease of 210 billion yuan year-on-year, indicating a continued impact from local government debt replacement [7][9] - Retail loans showed signs of improvement, although overall demand remains weak, with a year-on-year decrease of 217 billion yuan in residential loans [9] - The issuance of special refinancing bonds has been significant, with over 1.6 trillion yuan issued this year to support debt replacement [7][11]

Financial Overview - In May, the total financial volume in China showed reasonable growth, with the social financing scale maintaining a high growth rate, providing strong support for the real economy [1][7] - The broad money supply (M2) reached approximately 326 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [1] - The stock of social financing was about 426 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.7% [1] Government Bond Issuance - The acceleration of government bond issuance is identified as the primary driver for the rapid growth of social financing [1] - In the first quarter, the net financing scale exceeded 3.8 trillion yuan, with local special bond issuance also showing signs of acceleration, reaching a monthly issuance high for the year [1] Corporate Bond Financing - Corporate bond financing increased, with net financing exceeding 140 billion yuan in May [2] - The overall cost of corporate bond issuance has been declining, encouraging companies to increase bond financing under a low-interest-rate environment [2] M1 Growth and Economic Activity - The growth rate of M1, which includes more liquid forms of money, has significantly accelerated, indicating a recovery in investment and consumption activities [2][4] - Recent financial support measures have effectively boosted market confidence, leading to signs of economic activity recovery [4] Loan Growth and Interest Rates - RMB loans maintained steady growth in May, with average interest rates at historical lows; corporate loans averaged 3.2%, down 50 basis points year-on-year, while personal housing loans averaged 3.1%, down about 55 basis points [5] - The increase in personal mortgage loans is attributed to a recovering real estate market and policies promoting durable goods consumption [5] Future Financial Outlook - Experts anticipate that financial volume growth will remain stable in the coming period, supported by more proactive fiscal policies and a resilient economic development [7] - Historical trends suggest that June typically sees increased economic activity and financing demand [7]

央广网北京6月13日消息（记者唐婧）据中央广播电视总台经济之声《天下财经》报道，央行13日发布 的最新金融数据显示：今年5月份，我国社会融资规模增量为2.29万亿元，同比多增2247亿元；广义货 币（M2）余额同比增长7.9%；狭义货币（M1）余额同比增长2.3%，上升较多，较上月末提升0.8个百 分点；贷款规模保持合理增长，人民币贷款余额同比增长7.1%。专家分析，我国金融总量继续合理增 长，支持实体经济力度保持稳固。 初步统计，今年前五个月，我国社会融资规模增量累计为18.63万亿元，比上年同期多3.83万亿元。5月 份，社会融资规模增量为2.29万亿元，同比多增2247亿元。总体来看，社会融资规模增长较快。中国民 生银行首席经济学家温彬分析，这主要是受到政府债券和企业债券等直接融资的拉动。 温彬说："今年政府债券发行节奏前置，一季度净融资规模超过3.8万亿元，比去年同期增加了2.5万亿 元，特别是用于置换隐性债务的特殊再融资专项债发行较多。进入二季度，在特殊再融资债发行工作继 续推进的同时，随着特别国债启动发行，政府债净融资进度进一步加快。此外，地方新增专项债发行也 出现提速迹象，5月新增专项债规模44 ...

温彬还提到，5月作为季中月份，信贷投放情况同季初月份存在一定相似性，同时在外部不确定性犹存 情况下，有效融资需求尚未实质性转暖。为稳市场、稳预期，5月7日三部门出台一揽子金融支持政策， 包括降准降息、优化并创设结构性货币政策工具等，有利于稳定信用扩张。同时，中美日内瓦经贸会谈 后，外贸环境较前期有所改善，也有助于信贷需求的相对稳定。 "但考虑债贷替换效应以及实体有效需求仍需提振等影响，5月贷款投放同比延续少增。若还原地方债务 置换影响后，5月贷款增速仍在8%左右。"温彬说。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） 中新社北京6月13日电(记者夏宾)中国央行13日发布数据显示，5月末，广义货币(M2)余额325.78万亿元 (人民币，下同)，同比增长7.9%。狭义货币(M1)余额108.91万亿元，同比增长2.3%。今年前5个月净投 放现金3064亿元。 从贷款情况看，5月末，人民币贷款余额266.32万亿元，同比增长7.1%。前5个月，人民币贷款增加 10.68万亿元。分部门看，住户贷款增加5724亿元，其中，短期贷款减少2624亿元，中长期贷款增加 8347亿元；企(事)业单位贷款增加9.8万亿元；非银行业金融机构 ...

最新金融数据出炉。 6月13日，中国人民银行（简称"央行"）发布的最新金融数据显示，5月当月，社融增量2.29万亿元，同比多增2247亿元；新增人民币贷款6200亿元。5月末，广义货 币（M2）同比增7.9%，比上月微降0.1个百分点，比上年同期高0.9个百分点。 权威专家指出，看金融总量数据不能只看绝对量和绝对增速，还要看相对量和相对增速。前些年我国名义经济增速接近10%，社会融资规模、贷款增速也保持略高 于10%的水平，两者基本匹配；近年来宏观经济进入中高速增长阶段，金融总量继续保持8%以上的增速，高出名义经济增速4个百分点左右，金融总量指标超过名 义经济增速的幅度处于历史高位，而且持续的时间比较长。 今年5月7日，央行发布了一揽子金融支持措施，包括降准降息、优化并创设结构性货币政策工具等。上述权威专家表示，上述举措力度非常大，货币政策从出台到 效果显现需要一个过程，各项政策已逐步有效落地。央行也将综合运用多种货币政策工具，保持流动性合理充裕。 政府债与企业债拉动社融增长 在政府债券和企业债券等直接融资的拉动下，5月社会融资规模新增2.29万亿元，同比多增2247亿元。5月末社会融资规模存量同比增长8.7 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported an increase in social financing scale growth under proactive fiscal policy, with a total social financing scale of 426.16 trillion yuan as of May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [4] - The total amount of RMB loans to the real economy reached 262.86 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 7% [4] - The total RMB deposits increased by 14.73 trillion yuan in the first five months, with household deposits rising by 8.3 trillion yuan [2] Group 2 - The broad money supply (M2) stood at 325.78 trillion yuan at the end of May, showing a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) was recorded at 108.91 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [1] - In the first five months, RMB loans increased by 10.68 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 572.4 billion yuan and corporate loans increasing by 9.8 trillion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has released the latest asset-liability statement, indicating a rise in non-financial institution deposits (payment institution reserve funds) to 24,573.54 billion yuan as of April 2025, up by 684.89 billion yuan from March 2025 [1] Group 1: Payment Institution Reserve Funds - As of January 2025, payment institution reserve funds exceeded 30,000 billion yuan, reaching a historical high of 30,909.63 billion yuan, but subsequently fell below 24,000 billion yuan in February and March before rebounding in April and May [2][3] - The current scale of payment institution reserve funds is maintained around 25,000 billion yuan, reflecting a cyclical fluctuation influenced by consumer demand and financial management needs [3][7] Group 2: Regulatory Environment - Since 2017, payment institutions have been required to implement centralized custody of customer reserve funds, with a 100% deposit requirement established from January 14, 2019 [3] - Recent penalties have been imposed on payment institutions for violations related to reserve fund management, highlighting ongoing regulatory scrutiny [4][6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The number of licensed payment institutions has decreased, with 101 licenses revoked, leaving only 170 licensed institutions in the market, indicating a process of industry consolidation [4][7] - Despite the reduction in the number of institutions, the impact on reserve fund fluctuations is expected to be minimal, as over 90% of the reserve funds are concentrated in leading payment institutions [7]