公司方面，据中证报表示，A股相关概念股有海大集团、罗牛山等。 *免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 *风险提示：股市有风险，入市需谨慎 据中证报报道，11月21日，农业农村部部长韩俊主持召开部常务会议。会议要求，要加强生猪产能综合 调控，加快构建供需动态适配、规模结构合理、产业链协同提升的生猪产业高质量发展格局。 要加强生产和市场监测预警，动态调整全国能繁母猪正常保有量目标，提早开展逆周期调节，防止出现 大的波动。要全链条提高生猪产业竞争力，健全现代生猪良种繁育体系，深入开展养殖业节粮行动，优 化生猪屠宰加工布局，积极推动粪肥无害化处理和资源化利用，切实抓好非洲猪瘟等重大动物疫病常态 化防控。要引导大型生猪企业提质增效、稳健发展，支持中小养殖场户发展适度规模养殖。 中证报指出，生猪产业已被明确为"现代化大产业"的重要组成部分，国家支持产业向规模化、标准化、 智能化、现代化发展。我国将用5-10年时间，基本形成产出高效、产品安全、资源节约、环境友好、调 控有效的生猪产业高质量发展新格局。我国生猪养殖产业正从传统养殖向现代化、可持续化转型，通 过"种源、高效、绿色、智能"四大核心方向的协同推进，构建起更加 ...

（文章来源：新华财经） 会议还研究了其他事项。 新华财经北京11月21日电据农业农村部网站21日消息，11月21日，农业农村部部长韩俊主持召开部常务 会议，传达学习全国学习运用"千万工程"经验、推进乡村全面振兴现场会精神，研究贯彻落实工作；审 议并原则通过《关于加强产能综合调控促进生猪产业高质量发展的意见》。 会议要求，要加强生猪产能综合调控，加快构建供需动态适配、规模结构合理、产业链协同提升的生猪 产业高质量发展格局。要加强生产和市场监测预警，动态调整全国能繁母猪正常保有量目标，提早开展 逆周期调节，防止出现大的波动。要全链条提高生猪产业竞争力，健全现代生猪良种繁育体系，深入开 展养殖业节粮行动，优化生猪屠宰加工布局，积极推动粪肥无害化处理和资源化利用，切实抓好非洲猪 瘟等重大动物疫病常态化防控。要引导大型生猪企业提质增效、稳健发展，支持中小养殖场户发展适度 规模养殖。 会议研究了农业农村标准化工作，强调要加快重点和新兴领域标准编制进度，加快健全标准体系，提高 标准供给质量，强化标准应用执行，提升标准化工作效能，以高水平标准实施引领农业高质量发展。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that since 2021, the pig industry has shifted from capital competition to cost competition, focusing on breeding systems, production management, and technological research and development [1][2][3] - The industry is entering a new stage of high-quality development, with policies promoting breeding systems, feed efficiency, digital transformation, and safe slaughtering practices [3][4] - The focus on stabilizing production, prices, and supply is leading to a reasonable scale of production, with expectations of reduced fluctuations in pig prices and an increase in the price stabilization center [3] Group 2 - Companies with cost advantages are expected to achieve stable excess operating profits, as they focus on quality improvement rather than scale growth [4][5] - The current industry phase is characterized by reduced capital expenditures and improved free cash flow, leading to a recovery in balance sheets and net assets [4][5] - Increased and stable free cash flow is likely to enhance shareholder returns through higher dividend rates [5] Group 3 - Recommended companies for investment include Muyuan Foods (牧原股份), Wens Foodstuff Group (温氏股份), and Shennong Group (神农集团), which have strong balance sheets and cost advantages [1][5]

Group 1: General Information - Report date: August 14, 2025 [2] - Report type: Pig Daily Report [1] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Futures: On the 13th, the main 2511 contract of live pigs opened slightly lower and oscillated downward, closing in the red at the end of the session. The highest was 14,240 yuan/ton, the lowest was 13,975 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 14,045 yuan/ton, down 1.33% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index increased by 5,156 lots to 180,560 lots [8] - Spot: On the 13th, the average price of ternary pigs nationwide was 13.75 yuan/kg, up 0.06 yuan/kg from the previous day [8] Market Analysis - Demand side: The utilization rate of pigsty is at a high level. Currently, the enthusiasm for secondary fattening is average, mainly in a wait-and-see state. The terminal demand is weak due to the hot weather, and the orders of slaughtering enterprises are average. The current slaughter progress is fast, and the开工 rate and slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises have increased slightly. On August 13th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 139,000 heads, an increase of 700 heads from the previous day and an increase of 3,500 heads from a week ago [9] - Supply side: According to Yongyi sample data, the planned slaughter volume of sample enterprises in August is 24.72 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 6.6% compared with the actual slaughter volume in July. The slaughter volume is expected to increase significantly. At the beginning of the month, the enthusiasm of farmers for slaughtering is high, and the slaughter progress is fast. The utilization rate of secondary fattening pigsty remains high, and there are still secondary fattening pigs to be released. The slaughter pressure still exists, and the slaughter weight fluctuates slightly [9] Outlook - Spot: In August, the slaughter of farmers increases, and the current enthusiasm for slaughtering is acceptable. At the same time, the demand is in the off-season, and the supply and demand remain relatively loose. The spot price of live pigs may continue to be under pressure [9] - Futures: Currently, the near-month 2509 contract of futures mainly follows the spot and oscillates weakly. In the medium and long term, the supply of live pigs will increase slightly. The 2511 and 2601 contracts belong to the peak demand contracts, and the demand increase is relatively large. The price performance may oscillate strongly. The domestic anti-involution initiative, high-quality development of the pig industry, and increasing environmental protection efforts in some regions are beneficial to the medium and long-term performance of pig prices. Pay attention to the impact of subsequent policies on production capacity [9] Group 3: Industry News - No specific industry news content is provided in the text Group 4: Data Overview - Self-breeding and self-raising profit per head: As of August 7th, the profit per head of self-breeding and self-raising was 119 yuan/head, a week-on-week decrease of 10 yuan/head [14] - Profit per head of purchasing piglets for fattening: As of August 7th, the profit per head of purchasing piglets for fattening was -54 yuan/head, a week-on-week increase of 28 yuan/head [14] - Average sales price of 15kg piglets: In the week of August 7th, the average sales price of 15kg piglets in the market was 516 yuan/head, a decrease of 10 yuan/head from the previous week [14] - Inventory of reproductive sows: As of July this year, the inventory of reproductive sows in sample farms was 1.15 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 0.52% and a year-on-year increase of 6.71% [14] - Planned slaughter volume: The planned slaughter volume of sample enterprises in August is 24.72 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 6.6% compared with the actual slaughter volume in July [14] - Average slaughter weight: As of the week of August 7th, the average slaughter weight of live pigs nationwide was 127.8 kg, a decrease of 0.18 kg from the previous week, a month-on-month decrease of 0.14%, and an increase of 1.6 kg compared with the same period last year, a year-on-year increase of 1.27% [14]

Core Insights - The Chinese pig industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by policy, with a focus on stabilizing production capacity, reducing costs, and enhancing technology by 2025 [1] - The implementation of new regulations for livestock farm registration marks a shift towards standardized and regulated industry oversight, raising entry barriers and accelerating the exit of inefficient production capacity [1][2] Production Capacity and Market Dynamics - The core contradiction in the pig market is the high absolute production capacity versus the lagging structural adjustments, with the breeding sow inventory at 40.43 million heads as of June 2025, exceeding the target of 39 million heads by 3.7% [2] - Despite a slight increase in breeding sow numbers, improvements in breeding technology have raised the average pigs weaned per sow (PSY) from 24 to around 26, complicating the capacity reduction process [2] - The current supply of newborn piglets will influence market supply six months later, with recent data indicating an increase in newborn piglet numbers, suggesting a continued supply surplus until at least the end of 2025 [2] Policy Impact and Industry Response - Initial effects of policies aimed at reducing pig weight and limiting secondary fattening are evident, with the average weight of pigs traded in August at 124.04 kg, down 1.55% from early June [4] - Leading companies like Muyuan Foods are actively reducing slaughter weights, with plans to lower average weights to below 120 kg, which may help stabilize pork prices in the long term [4][7] - The government aims to reduce 1 million breeding sows to optimize supply structure and concentrate the market towards larger, standardized farming enterprises [6] Long-term Industry Outlook - The pig market is currently in a complex phase characterized by slow quantity reduction, rapid efficiency improvements, and evident structural contradictions [8] - Policies to limit secondary fattening and control slaughter weights are expected to stabilize pork prices and improve overall industry profitability [8] - The industry is anticipated to shift from a focus on scale to one emphasizing efficiency, cost, and sustainability, with leading companies likely to strengthen their market positions through technological innovation [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) with a key recommendation for the "platform + ecosystem" service-oriented enterprise Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [3] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation of the pig industry policy, highlighting the importance of high-quality development and the need for cost control and capacity management [4][5][17] - The report suggests that the industry is entering a high-quality development phase, with expectations for improved profit margins and a focus on technology-driven and service-oriented companies [17] - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in leading companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, as well as Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry [17] Summary by Sections 1.1 Pig Industry - Recent pig prices are at 13.72 CNY/kg (down 0.02 CNY/kg MoM), with average slaughter weight slightly decreasing to 127.8 kg (down 0.18 kg MoM) [4][16] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes reducing breeding stock and controlling new capacity, with a focus on improving the entire industry chain's competitiveness [5][16] - The report anticipates further policy measures to stabilize pig prices and control production capacity, recommending Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry as a key player [17] 1.2 Poultry - The report notes a persistent contradiction of "high capacity, weak consumption" in the white feather chicken industry, with a focus on improving return on equity (ROE) [18] - Key recommendations include focusing on leading companies in the integrated supply chain and those with strong breeding capabilities [18] 1.3 Feed - The report highlights positive price trends in aquatic products, with significant year-on-year increases in various fish species [20] - It recommends Haida Group due to its improved management effectiveness and capacity utilization, expecting it to exceed growth expectations [20] 1.4 Pet Industry - Online sales growth in the pet industry has slightly slowed, with notable performance from brands like Guibao and Zhongchong [21][22] - The report suggests that long-term impacts from tariff uncertainties are limited, with leading companies expected to maintain high growth rates [22] 1.5 Agricultural Products - The report discusses uncertainties in soybean imports and the rising prices of natural rubber, with a focus on macroeconomic conditions affecting the agricultural sector [23] 2. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index rose by 2.52% during the week, with the pet food sector performing the best at +5.41% [24]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: August 12, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Conditions - Futures: On the 11th, the main 2511 contract of live pigs opened slightly higher, then冲高回落 and closed down. The highest price was 14,325 yuan/ton, the lowest was 14,115 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 14,140 yuan/ton, unchanged from last Friday. The total open interest of the index increased by 1,951 lots to 177,891 lots [8]. - Spot: On the 11th, the national average price of foreign ternary pigs was 13.72 yuan/kg, down 0.02 yuan/kg from the previous day [8]. Market Analysis - Demand: The utilization rate of pigsty is at a high level. Currently, the enthusiasm for secondary fattening is average, mainly in a wait - and - see state. Due to the hot weather, terminal demand is weak, and slaughterhouse orders are average. The current slaughter progress is fast, and the slaughter rate and volume of slaughterhouses have increased slightly. On August 11, the slaughter volume of sample slaughterhouses was 139,000 heads, an increase of 800 heads from the previous day and 1,800 heads from a week ago [9]. - Supply: According to Yongyi sample data, the planned pig slaughter volume of sample enterprises in August is 24.72 million heads, a 6.6% increase from the actual slaughter volume in July. At the beginning of the month, the slaughter enthusiasm of farmers is high, the slaughter progress is fast, the utilization rate of secondary fattening pigsty remains high, and there is still pressure on slaughter. The slaughter weight fluctuates slightly [9]. Outlook - Spot: In August, the slaughter of farmers increases, and the current slaughter enthusiasm is okay. At the same time, demand is in the off - season, and the supply - demand relationship remains relatively loose. The spot price of live pigs may continue to be under pressure [9]. - Futures: Currently, the near - month 2509 contract follows the spot market and fluctuates weakly. In the long - term, the supply of live pigs will increase slightly. The 2511 and 2601 contracts are in the peak demand season, and the demand increase is relatively large. The price performance may fluctuate strongly. Domestic anti - involution initiatives, high - quality development of the pig industry, and increasing environmental protection efforts are beneficial to the long - term pig price performance. Attention should be paid to the impact of policies on production capacity later [9]. Group 3: Industry News - No specific content provided, only chart information about breeding profit, breeding cost, etc. [12] Group 4: Data Overview - Breeding Profit: As of August 7, the average profit per head of self - breeding and self - raising pigs was 119 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 10 yuan/head; the average profit per head of purchasing piglets for breeding was - 54 yuan/head, a week - on - week increase of 28 yuan/head [14]. - Piglet Price: In the week of August 7, the average market sales price of 15 - kg piglets was 516 yuan/head, a decrease of 10 yuan/head from the previous week [14]. - Sows Inventory: As of July this year, the inventory of reproductive sows in sample farms was 1.15 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 0.52% and a year - on - year increase of 6.71% [14]. - Planned Slaughter Volume: The planned pig slaughter volume of sample enterprises in August is 24.72 million heads, a 6.6% increase from July [14]. - Slaughter Weight: As of the week of August 7, the average slaughter weight of national live pigs was 127.8 kg, a decrease of 0.18 kg from the previous week, a month - on - month decrease of 0.14%, and an increase of 1.6 kg from the same period last year, a year - on - year increase of 1.27% [14]

Report Information - Report Title: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: August 8, 2025 [2] Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core View - In August, the supply of pigs from the breeding side is increasing, and the current enthusiasm for slaughter is fair. Meanwhile, the demand is in the off - season. The supply - demand relationship remains relatively loose, and the spot price of pigs may continue to be under pressure. In the futures market, the near - term 2509 contract is following the decline of the spot price. In the medium - to - long - term for the far - month contracts, the pig supply will increase slightly. The 2511 and 2601 contracts are in the peak demand season, with a relatively large increase in demand, and their price performance may be oscillating upwards. Policies and other factors are favorable for the medium - to - long - term pig price performance, and the impact of later policies on production capacity needs attention [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 7th, the main 2511 contract of live pigs opened slightly lower, then bottomed out, rebounded, and fluctuated higher, closing with a positive line. The highest was 14,170 yuan/ton, the lowest was 13,920 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 14,100 yuan/ton, up 0.82% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index decreased by 1,023 lots to 176,215 lots [7] - **Spot Market**: On the 7th, the average price of三元hogs nationwide was 13.74 yuan/kg, down 0.15 yuan/kg from the previous day [7] - **Demand Side**: The utilization rate of pig pens is at a high level. Currently, the enthusiasm for secondary fattening is average, mainly in a wait - and - see state. Due to the hot weather, the terminal demand is weak, and the orders of slaughtering enterprises are average. The current slaughter progress is fast, and the operating rate and slaughter volume of slaughtering enterprises have increased slightly. On August 7th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises was 139,300 heads, an increase of 3,700 heads from the previous day and 2,300 heads from a week ago [8] - **Supply Side**: In August, the slaughter volume of the breeding side may increase month - on - month. At the beginning of the month, the breeding side has a high enthusiasm for slaughter, and the slaughter progress is fast. The utilization rate of secondary fattening pig pens remains high, and there are still secondary - fattened pigs to be released. The slaughter pressure still exists, and the slaughter weight fluctuates slightly [8] 2. Industry News - As of July 31st, the average profit per self - bred and self - raised pig was 129 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 33 yuan/head; the average profit per pig purchased as a piglet was - 82 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 19 yuan/head [9][11] 3. Data Overview - The average sales price of 15 - kg piglets in the market in the week of July 31st was 527 yuan/head, a decrease of 15 yuan/head from the previous week [17] - The average daily slaughter volume of sample slaughtering enterprises in the week of July 31st was 136,803 heads, a week - on - week increase of 1.99% [17] - As of the end of the second quarter of 2025, the national pig inventory was 424.47 million heads, a year - on - year increase of 2.2% and a month - on - month increase of 7.16 million heads or 1.72%. From the second quarter of last year to the second quarter of this year, the month - on - month changes were 1.7%, 2.8%, 0.11%, - 2.37%, and 1.72% respectively [17] - As of the week of July 31st, the average slaughter weight of national pigs was 127.98 kg, a decrease of 0.5 kg from the previous week and a month - on - month decrease of 0.39% [17]

Group 1: Report Basic Information - Report Title: Pig Daily Report [1] - Report Date: August 07, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Futures: On the 6th, the main 2511 contract of live pigs opened slightly lower, then bottomed out, rebounded, and fluctuated higher, closing with a positive line at the end of the session. The highest was 14,060 yuan/ton, the lowest was 13,820 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 14,010 yuan/ton, up 0.68% from the previous day. The total open interest of the index increased by 3,326 lots to 177,238 lots [8]. - Spot: On the 6th, the average price of ternary pigs outside the country was 13.89 yuan/kg, down 0.04 yuan/kg from the previous day [8]. Market Analysis - Demand Side: The utilization rate of pigsties is at a high level. Currently, the enthusiasm for secondary fattening is average, mainly in a wait - and - see state. Due to the hot weather, terminal demand is weak, slaughterhouse orders are average, and the slaughter rate and volume of slaughterhouses remain low. On August 6th, the slaughter volume of sample slaughterhouses was 135,500 heads, 700 heads less than the previous day and 1,500 heads less than a week ago [9]. - Supply Side: In August, the slaughter volume of the breeding side may increase month - on - month. At the beginning of the month, the enthusiasm for slaughter on the breeding side was relatively high, and the slaughter progress was fast. The utilization rate of secondary fattening pigsties remained high, and there were still secondary fattening pigs to be released, so the slaughter pressure still exists, and the slaughter weight fluctuated slightly [9]. Market Outlook - Spot: In August, with the increase in slaughter on the breeding side and the current good enthusiasm for slaughter, while demand is in the off - season, the supply - demand relationship remains relatively loose, and the spot price of live pigs may continue to be under pressure [9]. - Futures: Currently, the near - month 2509 contract of futures follows the decline of the spot price. In the medium - to - long - term and far - month, the supply of live pigs will increase slightly. The 2511 and 2601 contracts belong to the peak - demand contracts, and the demand increase is relatively large, so the price performance may fluctuate strongly. The domestic anti - involution initiative, high - quality development of the pig industry, and increasing environmental protection efforts in some regions are beneficial to the medium - to - long - term pig price performance. Attention should be paid to the impact of later policies on production capacity [9]. Group 3: Industry News - As of July 31st, the average profit per head of self - breeding and self - fattening was 129 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 33 yuan/head; the average profit per head of purchasing piglets for fattening was - 82 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 19 yuan/head [10][12]. Group 4: Data Overview - On the week of July 31st, the average market sales price of 15kg piglets was 527 yuan/head, 15 yuan/head lower than the previous week [18]. - According to the statistics of Yongyi Consulting, the average daily slaughter volume of sample slaughterhouses on the week of July 31st was 136,803 heads, a week - on - week increase of 1.99% [18]. - As of the end of the second quarter of 2025, the national live pig inventory was 424.47 million heads, a year - on - year increase of 2.2% and a month - on - month increase of 7.16 million heads, an increase of 1.72%. From the second quarter of last year to the second quarter of this year, the month - on - month increase or decrease rates were 1.7%, 2.8%, 0.11%, - 2.37%, and 1.72% respectively [18]. - As of the week of July 31st, the average slaughter weight of national live pigs was 127.98 kg, a decrease of 0.5 kg from the previous week, a week - on - week decrease of 0.39% [18].

Report Information - Report Title: Pig Daily Report [1] - Date: August 5, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - In August, the supply of hogs from the breeding side is increasing, and the current enthusiasm for selling is fair. Meanwhile, demand is in the off - season. The supply - demand situation remains relatively loose, and hog prices may continue to face pressure. In the futures market, the near - month 2509 contract is following the decline of the spot price. In the medium - to - long - term for the far - month contracts, hog supply will increase slightly. The 2511 and 2601 contracts are in the peak demand season, with relatively large demand increases, and their prices may show a volatile upward trend. Policies are also favorable for the medium - to - long - term hog price performance [8]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: On the 4th, the main 2509 hog futures contract opened lower, hit a low, and then rebounded, closing down. The highest price was 13,975 yuan/ton, the lowest was 13,770 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 13,940 yuan/ton, a 0.50% decrease from the previous day. The total open interest of the index decreased by 476 lots to 173,049 lots [7]. - **Spot Market**: On the 4th, the national average price of external ternary hogs was 13.92 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.1 yuan/kg from the previous day [7]. - **Demand Side**: The utilization rate of pigsties is high. Currently, the enthusiasm for secondary fattening is average, with most in a wait - and - see mode. Due to hot weather, terminal demand is weak, and slaughterhouse orders are average. With the continuous recovery of enterprise sales, the开工 rate and slaughter volume of slaughterhouses have slightly increased. On August 4, the slaughter volume of sample slaughterhouses was 137,000 heads, a decrease of 300 heads from the previous day but an increase of 500 heads from a week ago [8]. - **Supply Side**: In August, the sales volume of the breeding side may increase month - on - month. At the beginning of the month, the breeding side has a high enthusiasm for selling, and the sales progress is fast. The utilization rate of secondary fattening pigsties remains high, and there are still secondary - fattened hogs to be released. There is still pressure on sales, and the average weight of hogs for sale fluctuates slightly [8]. 2. Industry News - Not provided in the report 3. Data Overview - **Profit per Head**: As of July 31, the average profit per head for self - breeding and self - raising was 129 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 33 yuan/head; the average profit per head for purchasing piglets for fattening was - 82 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 19 yuan/head [13]. - **Price of 15kg Piglets**: In the week of July 31, the average market sales price of 15kg piglets was 527 yuan/head, a decrease of 15 yuan/head from the previous week [13]. - **Average Slaughter Volume**: In the week of July 31, the average daily slaughter volume of sample slaughterhouses was 136,803 heads, a week - on - week increase of 1.99% [13]. - **National Hog Inventory**: At the end of the second quarter of 2025, the national hog inventory was 424.47 million heads, a year - on - year increase of 2.2% and a quarter - on - quarter increase of 7.16 million heads (1.72%). From the second quarter of last year to the second quarter of this year, the quarter - on - quarter changes were 1.7%, 2.8%, 0.11%, - 2.37%, and 1.72% respectively [13]. - **Average Slaughter Weight**: As of the week of July 31, the average weight of hogs for sale nationwide was 127.98 kg, a decrease of 0.5 kg from the previous week (a 0.39% decrease) [13].