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能源化工纸浆周度报告-20250928
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-28 09:13
国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0002332 日期:2025年9月28日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年9月25日,中国纸浆常熟港库存45.2万吨,较上周期下降5.6万吨,环比下降11.0%。本周常熟港库存呈现去库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年9月25日,中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存142.5万吨,较上周下降0.7万吨,环比下降0.5%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现去库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年9月25日,中国纸浆高栏港库存4.1万吨,较上周下降0.8万吨,环比下降16.3%。本周期高栏港库存呈现去库的趋势。 ...
能源化工纸浆周度报告-20250921
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-21 06:47
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core View of the Report - The pulp market is expected to remain in a volatile pattern in the short - term. High port inventories, slow de - stocking, and weak demand prevent significant price increases, while firm foreign offers, cost support, and potential pre - National Day restocking limit the downside [99][100] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry News - As of September 18, 2025, the pulp inventory at Changshu Port was 508,000 tons, up 44,000 tons (9.5% YoY); at Qingdao Port, it was 1,432,000 tons, up 14,000 tons (1.0% YoY); at Gaolan Port, it was 49,000 tons, down 9,000 tons (15.5% YoY). The total inventory of major ports was 2,112,000 tons, up 50,000 tons (2.4% YoY) [5][6] - Chile's Arauco company's September coniferous pulp Silver Star quoted price remained at $700/ton, broadleaf pulp Star increased to $540/ton, and natural pulp Venus remained at $590/ton [6] - Chenming Group's Shouguang Base No. 8 plant with an annual output of 800,000 tons of high - grade coated paper started operation. Sichuan Xianhe New Materials plans to add 200,000 tons/year of household paper production capacity [7] 3.2 Market Data - **Basis and Spread**: On September 19, 2025, the basis of Silver Star was 632 yuan/ton, down 4.24% MoM; the basis of Russian Needle was 182 yuan/ton, up 1.11% MoM; the Silver Star - Russian Needle spread was 450 yuan/ton, down 6.25% MoM [18] - **Monthly Spread**: On September 19, 2025, the 11 - 01 monthly spread was - 298 yuan/ton, down 3.47% MoM; the 01 - 05 monthly spread was - 18 yuan/ton, down 80.00% MoM [24] 3.3 Fundamental Data - **Price**: The needle - broadleaf spread narrowed. The import profit of coniferous and broadleaf pulp decreased. The price of pulp futures first rose and then fell. The price of broadleaf pulp showed a narrow - range upward trend [28][34] - **Supply**: The wood chip purchase price in East China was generally stable, with some increases. The supply of domestic chemical mechanical pulp and broadleaf pulp decreased. In July, the European port inventory decreased slightly, and the global pulp out - bound volume increased seasonally. In July, the export of coniferous and broadleaf pulp from Canada, Finland, Chile, the US, Brazil, Indonesia, Uruguay, etc. changed [45][54][60] - **Demand**: The demand for downstream base paper was weak. The white cardboard market was relatively better, the offset paper market was bearish, and the household paper market was weak. In August, the retail sales of terminal demand areas for pulp increased seasonally [99][84] - **Inventory**: The total inventory of major ports was at a medium level this year, showing a narrow - range accumulation trend. The warehouse receipt quantity decreased slightly [96][87]
能源化工纸浆周度报告-20250914
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-14 06:58
国泰君安期货·能源化工 纸浆周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0002332 日期:2025年9月14日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1.【常熟港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年9月11日,中国纸浆常熟港库存46.4万吨,较上周期下降1.8万吨,环比下降3.7%。本周常熟港库存呈现去库走势。 2.【青岛港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年9月11日,中国青岛港港内及港外仓库纸浆库存141.8万吨,较上周上涨0.3万吨,环比上涨0.2%。本周期青岛港库存周期内 呈现累库的走势。 3.【高栏港纸浆库存统计】截至2025年9月11日,中国纸浆高栏港库存5.8万吨,较上周下降0.5万吨,环比下降7.9%。本周期高栏港库存呈现去库的趋势。 CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情数据 02 基本面数据 03 本周观点总结 04 行业资讯 行情走势 基差与月差 现货价格 供给 库存 需求 本周观点总结 4 ...
能源化工纸浆周度报告-20250831
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-31 09:06
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The short - term pulp market may continue the low - level oscillation pattern. Spot prices are suppressed by high inventory and have limited room for rebound. Later, attention should be paid to port inventory, seasonal demand during the "Golden September and Silver October", terminal demand orders, and the capital trend in the market under the support of rising broadleaf prices. Although Suzano's price increase and marginal improvement in demand inject rebound momentum, high inventory and delivery risks still restrict the upside space. The valuation of the futures market is neutral and slightly low. The recommended strategies are to try long positions on far - month contracts on dips [88]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Industry News - Shandong Sun Paper plans to invest up to 1.53 billion yuan in a 700,000 - ton high - grade packaging paper project at its Yandian plant in Shandong, with a construction period of 18 months. It also announced a 600,000 - ton bleached chemical pulp project with a total investment of up to 3.51 billion yuan [5]. - As of August 28, 2025, the inventory of pulp in major Chinese ports showed a downward trend. The inventory in Changshu Port was 515,000 tons, down 15,000 tons (2.8% MoM); in Qingdao Port, it was 1.39 million tons, down 10,000 tons (0.7% MoM); in Gaolan Port, it was 52,000 tons, down 10,000 tons (16.1% MoM). The total inventory of major ports was 2.084 million tons, down 48,000 tons (2.3% MoM) [5]. 3.2 Market Data 3.2.1 Market Trends - On August 29, 2025, the basis of Silver Star was 682 yuan/ton, down 1.45% MoM and up 251.55% YoY; the Silver Star - Russian Needle spread was 82 yuan/ton, up 95.24% MoM and 139.81% YoY [12]. - The 11 - 01 month spread was - 326 yuan/ton, down 27.34% MoM; the 01 - 05 month spread was - 20 yuan/ton, down 200% MoM [17]. 3.3 Fundamental Data 3.3.1 Price - The prices of imported coniferous pulp in the spot market declined slightly. The prices of Silver Star, Cariboo, Northern Wood, Lion Brand, and Russian Needle all decreased compared to the previous period. The prices of imported broadleaf pulp showed a mixed trend, with some regions showing a slight increase due to cost pressure, while others were weak due to limited acceptance from downstream paper mills [29][34]. - The import profits of coniferous and broadleaf pulp decreased. The import profit of Silver Star was - 159 yuan/ton on August 29, 2025, down 92.32% MoM and 1082.86% YoY [27]. 3.3.2 Supply - The supply of domestic chemimechanical pulp increased this week. The weekly output of domestic chemimechanical pulp was 872,000 tons on August 28, 2025, up 3.81% MoM [44]. - In June 2025, the inventory in European ports increased YoY and MoM, and the global pulp outbound volume increased seasonally MoM but was lower YoY. In May, the W20 pulp inventory increased significantly [48][52]. - In June, the export volume of coniferous pulp from Canada, Chile, Finland, and the United States to China increased MoM but was still at a low level YoY. In July, the export volume of Chilean coniferous pulp to China increased significantly. In June, the export volume of broadleaf pulp from Brazil and Indonesia to China decreased slightly MoM but was at a high level YoY. In July, the export volume of Brazilian broadleaf pulp to China remained at a high level YoY, while that of Uruguay decreased significantly MoM [55][57]. - In July 2025, the total import volume of Chinese pulp decreased. The import volume of coniferous pulp decreased by 4.64% MoM, and that of broadleaf pulp decreased by 5.84% MoM [61]. 3.3.3 Demand - The domestic offset paper market was in a supply - demand game, with light trading. The production of large - scale factories was basically stable, but the industry's profitability was poor, and there were situations of paper machine conversion and shutdown for maintenance. The downstream consumption was flat, and the purchasing was mainly for replenishment [64]. - The copperplate paper market was sluggish. Factories maintained stable production, but demand continued to decline due to various factors. The consumption of base paper by downstream users was slow, and the market was in a stalemate [67]. - The white cardboard market was stable. Both supply and demand increased, and large - scale manufacturers achieved a balance between production and sales. Some paper mills planned to raise prices in September [70]. - The living paper market was in a flat consolidation. The terminal demand did not improve significantly, and the industry's operating rate remained at a low level. The price of raw pulp had limited support for the price of living paper [73]. - In July, the retail sales in the pulp terminal demand areas weakened seasonally MoM. The retail sales of cultural office supplies and daily necessities increased significantly YoY, while the retail sales of books and magazines and the production of dairy products decreased YoY [76]. 3.3.4 Inventory - As of August 29, 2025, the total warehouse receipt quantity of pulp was 247,400 tons, with 229,200 tons in warehouses and 18,200 tons in factories, down 1.79% and 0% MoM respectively, and down 48.45% and 38.46% YoY respectively [78]. - The total inventory of the five major ports (Qingdao, Changshu, Gaolan, Tianjin, and Rizhao) was 2.084 million tons on August 29, 2025, down 2.25% MoM and up 12.71% YoY [85].
纸浆数据日报-20250710
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-10 06:25
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided. 2. Core View of the Report In the off - season of demand and with high inventory, pulp is expected to fluctuate at a low level [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Data - On July 9, 2025, the futures price of SP2601 was 5318, with a daily - on - daily increase of 0.45% and a weekly - on - weekly increase of 0.64%. The spot price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5900, with no daily or weekly change [1]. - The futures price of SP2507 was 5070, with a daily increase of 0.76% and a weekly increase of 0.44%. The spot price of coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5120, with no change [1]. - The outer - disk quotation of Chilean Silver Star was 720 dollars, a month - on - month decrease of 2.70%, and its import cost was 5884, a month - on - month decrease of 2.68% [1]. Fundamental Data - In May 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 72.2 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.75%, and the import volume of broad - leaf pulp was 129.3 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.84% [1]. - The pulp shipment volume to China in May increased by 3.3% month - on - month [1]. Supply - Chilean Arauco announced a new round of July wood pulp outer - disk quotations. The face value of coniferous pulp Silver Star (no new offer after completed transactions), the face value of natural pulp Venus was 590 dollars per ton, and the net price of Uruguayan broad - leaf pulp New Star was 500 dollars per ton (no quantity for Chilean Star). The supply side showed an increase in quantity and a decrease in price [1]. Demand - This week, the output of major finished paper increased slightly, but the price of finished paper remained low, providing weak support for pulp [2]. Inventory - As of July 3, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 221.3 tons, an increase of 5.0 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month increase of 2.3%, showing a trend of inventory accumulation [2].
纸浆数据日报-20250707
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 05:44
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - In the off - season of demand and with high inventory, pulp prices are expected to fluctuate at a low level [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Pulp Price Data - On July 4, 2025, the futures prices of SP2601, SP2507, and SP2509 decreased by 0.49%, 0.51%, and 0.51% respectively compared to the previous day, and SP2507 and SP2509 decreased by 0.98% and 0.55% respectively compared to the previous week. The spot prices of coniferous pulp Silver Star, Russian Needle, and broad - leaf pulp Goldfish were 5900, 5120, and 4020 respectively, with week - on - week changes of 0.00%, 0.00%, and - 0.74% [1] - The foreign - market quotes of Chilean Silver Star, Chilean Star, and Chilean Venus were 720, 560, and 620 dollars respectively, with monthly changes of - 2.70%, 0.00%, and 0.00%. The import costs were 5884, 4587, and 5073 yuan respectively, with monthly changes of - 2.68%, 0.00%, and 0.00% [1] Pulp Fundamental Data - In May 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 72.2 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.75%, and the import volume of broad - leaf pulp was 129.3 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.84%. The pulp shipment volume to China in April 2025 was 1353 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 30.80% [1] - On July 3, 2025, the domestic production of broad - leaf pulp was 20.5 million tons, and that of chemimechanical pulp was 20.1 million tons. The pulp port inventory was 221.3 million tons, and the delivery - warehouse inventory was 24.60 million tons. The production of main finished paper products such as double - offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard showed different trends [1] Pulp Valuation Data - On July 4, 2025, the basis of Russian Needle was 52, with a quantile level of 0.959; the basis of Silver Star was 832. The import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 16, with a quantile level of 0.649; the import profit of broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was - 567, with a quantile level of 0.187 [1] Supply, Demand, and Inventory - Supply: On June 20, Arauco lowered the order price of radiata pine (coniferous pulp) in June by 20 dollars/ton to 720 dollars/ton. The shipment volume to China in May increased by 3.3% month - on - month. The supply increased while the price decreased [1] - Demand: The production of main finished paper products increased slightly this week, but the prices of finished paper products remained low, providing weak support for pulp [1] - Inventory: As of July 3, 2025, the inventory of China's mainstream pulp ports was 221.3 million tons, an increase of 5.0 million tons from the previous period, a month - on - month increase of 2.3%, showing a trend of inventory accumulation [1]
纸浆数据日报-20250704
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 07:21
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - In the off - season of demand and with high inventory, pulp prices are expected to fluctuate at a low level [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures and Spot Prices - On July 3, 2025, SP2601 was priced at 5306, up 0.42% day - on - day and 0.80% week - on - week; SP2507 was 5048, up 0.76% day - on - day and down 0.24% week - on - week; SP2509 was 5094, up 0.43% day - on - day and 0.55% week - on - week [1] - Spot prices: coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5900, unchanged day - on - day and down 0.84% week - on - week; coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5120, unchanged; broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4020, unchanged day - on - day and down 0.74% week - on - week [1] Outer - disk Quotes and Import Costs - Outer - disk quotes (in dollars): Chilean Silver Star was 720, down 2.70% month - on - month; Chilean Star was 560, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 620, unchanged [1] - Import costs: Chilean Silver Star was 5884, down 2.68% month - on - month; Chilean Star was 4587, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 5073, unchanged [1] Supply - In May 2025, coniferous pulp imports were 72.2 tons, down 4.75% month - on - month; broadleaf pulp imports were 129.3 tons, up 7.84% month - on - month [1] - The pulp shipment volume to China was 1353, down 30.80% month - on - month [1] - On June 20, Arauco cut the order price of radiata pine (coniferous pulp) for June by $20/ton to $720/ton, and the shipment volume to China in May increased by 3.3% month - on - month [1] Inventory - As of June 26, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 216.3 tons, a decrease of 4.5 tons from the previous period, down 2.0% [1] - The delivery warehouse inventory was 24.60 tons [1] Demand - This week, the production of major finished papers decreased, and the prices of finished papers remained low, providing weak support for pulp [1] Valuation - On July 3, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 26, at the 0.756 quantile; the Silver Star basis was 806, at the 0.951 quantile [1] - The import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 16, at the 0.65 quantile; the import profit of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was - 567, at the 0.187 quantile [1]
纸浆数据日报-20250703
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-03 08:02
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - In the off - season of demand and with high inventory, pulp is expected to fluctuate at a low level [1] Group 3: Summary According to Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On July 2, 2025, SP2601 was 5284 with a daily increase of 1.30% and a year - on - year decrease of 0.30%; SP2507 was 5048 with a daily increase of 0.76% and a year - on - year decrease of 0.24%; SP2509 was 5072 with a daily increase of 0.92% and a year - on - year increase of 0.04% [1] - **Spot Prices**: On July 2, 2025, the spot price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5900 with no daily change and a year - on - year decrease of 0.84%; the spot price of coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5120 with no daily and year - on - year change; the spot price of broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was 4020 with no daily change and a year - on - year decrease of 0.74% [1] - **Outer - disk Quotes**: In July 2025, the outer - disk quote of Chilean Silver Star was 720, a month - on - month decrease of 2.70%; the outer - disk quote of Chilean Star was 560 with no change; the outer - disk quote of Chilean Venus was 620 with no change [1] - **Import Costs**: In July 2025, the import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5884, a month - on - month decrease of 2.68%; the import cost of Chilean Star was 4587 with no change; the import cost of Chilean Venus was 5073 with no change [1] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Import Volume**: In May 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 72.2 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.75%; the import volume of broad - leaf pulp was 129.3 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.84% [1] - **Shipment Volume to China**: In April 2025, the pulp shipment volume to China was 1353, a month - on - month decrease of 30.80% [1] - **Domestic Production**: For broad - leaf pulp, the domestic production on June 26, 2025, was 20.6 tons; for chemimechanical pulp, it was 20.3 tons [1] - **Inventory**: As of June 26, 2025, the pulp port inventory was 216.3 tons, the delivery warehouse inventory was 24.60 tons, the double - offset paper inventory was 20.40 tons, and the copper - plate paper inventory was 7.60 tons [1] - **Finished Paper Production**: On June 26, 2025, the production of double - offset paper was 20.40 tons, copper - plate paper was 7.60 tons, tissue paper was 28.00 tons, and white cardboard was 30.30 tons [1] Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On July 2, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 48 with a quantile level of 0.797; the Silver Star basis was 828 with a quantile level of 0.959 [1] - **Import Profit**: On July 2, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 16 with a quantile level of 0.65; the import profit of broad - leaf pulp Goldfish was - 567 with a quantile level of 0.186 [1] Supply, Demand, and Inventory Analysis - **Supply**: On June 20, 2025, Arauco decided to lower the order price of radiata pine (coniferous pulp) in June by 20 dollars per ton to 720 dollars per ton. The shipment volume to China in May increased by 3.3% month - on - month, showing an increase in supply volume and a decrease in price [1] - **Demand**: In the current week, the production of major finished papers decreased. The prices of finished papers remained low, providing weak support for pulp [1] - **Inventory**: As of June 26, 2025, the inventory of mainstream Chinese pulp ports was 216.3 tons, a decrease of 4.5 tons from the previous period and a 2.0% month - on - month decrease, showing a de - stocking trend [1]
纸浆数据日报-20250630
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 06:09
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Pulp is expected to run weakly, and it is recommended to conduct a 11 - 1 reverse spread strategy [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures and Spot Prices - **Futures Prices**: On June 27, 2025, SP2601 was 5264 with a week - on - week decrease of 0.68% and a day - on - week decrease of 0.04%; SP2507 was 5060 with no day - on - day change and a week - on - week decrease of 3.62%; SP2509 was 5066 with a day - on - day decrease of 0.08% and a week - on - week decrease of 3.58% [1]. - **Spot Prices**: On June 27, 2025, the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5950 with no day - on - day change and a week - on - week decrease of 1.65%; Russian Needle was 5120 with no day - on - day change and a week - on - week decrease of 2.48%; broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4050 with no day - on - day change and a week - on - week decrease of 1.22% [1]. 3.2 Outer - Disk Quotes and Import Costs - **Outer - Disk Quotes (USD)**: In June 2025, the outer - disk quote of Chilean Silver Star was 720, a month - on - month decrease of 2.70%; Chilean Star was 560 with no change; Chilean Venus was 620 with no change [1]. - **Import Costs**: The import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5884, a month - on - month decrease of 2.68%; Chilean Star was 4587 with no change; Chilean Venus was 5073 with no change [1]. 3.3 Supply - Side Data - **Imports**: In May 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 72.2 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.75%; the import volume of broadleaf pulp was 129.3 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.84%. The pulp shipment volume to China was 1353 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 30.80% [1]. - **Domestic Production**: The domestic production of broadleaf pulp on June 26, 2025, was 20.6 tons; the domestic production of chemimechanical pulp was 20.3 tons [1]. 3.4 Inventory Data - **Port Inventory**: As of June 26, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 216.3 tons, a decrease of 4.5 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month decrease of 2.0% [1]. - **Delivery Warehouse Inventory**: On June 26, 2025, the delivery warehouse inventory was 24.60 tons [1]. 3.5 Demand - Side Data - **Finished - Paper Production**: In the week of June 27, 2025, the production of offset paper was 20.40 tons; copperplate paper was 7.60 tons; tissue paper was 28.00 tons; white cardboard was 30.30 tons. The production of major finished papers decreased, and the prices of finished papers remained low, providing weak support for pulp [1]. 3.6 Valuation Data - **Basis**: On June 27, 2025, the Russian Needle basis was 54 with a quantile level of 0.809; the Silver Star basis was 884 with a quantile level of 0.975 [1]. - **Import Profits**: On June 27, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 66 with a quantile level of 0.739; the import profit of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was - 537 with a quantile level of 0.189 [1].
纸浆数据日报-20250625
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 04:16
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The pulp market shows a narrow inventory accumulation trend. After the suspension of needle pulp warehousing, it is recommended to conduct a 11 - 1 reverse spread strategy [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Data - On June 24, 2025, SP2601 futures price was 5350, down 2.27% day - on - day and up 2.33% week - on - week; SP2507 was 5130, down 2.25% day - on - day and 1.72% week - on - week; SP2509 was 5136, down 2.69% day - on - day and 1.50% week - on - week [1] - Spot prices: coniferous pulp Silver Star was 6000, down 0.83% day - on - day and week - on - week; Russian Needle was 5150, down 2.83% day - on - day and 1.90% week - on - week; broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4050, down 1.22% day - on - day and week - on - week [1] - Outer - disk quotes: Chilean Silver Star was 740 dollars, unchanged; Chilean Star was 560 dollars, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 620 dollars, unchanged. Import costs were also unchanged [1] Fundamental Data Supply - In April 2025, coniferous pulp imports were 75.8 tons, down 5.01% month - on - month; broadleaf pulp imports were 119.9 tons, down 18.44% month - on - month. The pulp shipment volume to China was 1353 tons, down 30.80% [1] - Domestic production: broadleaf pulp production on June 19, 2025 was 20.9 tons; chemimechanical pulp was 19.9 tons [1] Inventory - As of June 19, 2025, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 220.8 tons, up 2.3 tons from the previous period, a 1.1% increase [1] - Delivery warehouse inventory on June 19, 2025 was 23.53 tons [1] Demand - Output of finished paper decreased this week. Double - offset paper output was 19.50 tons; coated paper was 7.70 tons; toilet paper was 27.40 tons; white cardboard was 29.50 tons [1] Valuation Data - On June 24, 2025, the basis of Russian Needle was 14, with a quantile level of 0.739; the basis of Silver Star was 864, with a quantile level of 0.972 [1] - Import profit: coniferous pulp Silver Star was - 46, with a quantile level of 0.53; broadleaf pulp Goldfish was - 537, with a quantile level of 0.188 [1] Supply and Demand Situation - Supply side: Chilean Arauco announced the June 2025 wood pulp outer - disk prices. Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 740 dollars/ton (face price), unchanged; broadleaf pulp had no supply in June, and partial supply was expected to resume in July (limited quantity); natural pulp Venus was 620 dollars/ton (face price), unchanged [1] - Demand side: The output of major finished paper decreased this week, and the prices of finished paper remained low, providing weak support for pulp [1]