Group 1 - In July, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 2.8 percentage points compared to June, marking two consecutive months of narrowing [1][6] - High-tech manufacturing profits shifted from a 0.9% decline in June to an 18.9% increase in July, significantly boosting the overall profit growth rate of industrial enterprises [1][6] - From August 1 to 24, the retail sales of new energy vehicles in the passenger car market reached 727,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 6% and a month-on-month increase of 7%, with a cumulative retail of 7.182 million units in 2023, up 27% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The 10-year government bond yield rose to 1.7625%, with a net withdrawal of 236.1 billion yuan in the central bank's open market operations [2][9] - The manufacturing PMI for August in both the US and Eurozone rebounded above the critical point, indicating a potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September [2][9] - The real estate market continues to adjust, with second-hand housing prices in first-tier cities declining month-on-month, prompting the government to enhance macro policy effectiveness [2][9] Group 3 - The palm oil production in Malaysia is expected to increase by 3.03% from the same period last month, while exports are projected to rise significantly [3][25] - The dual-fuel market is experiencing a mixed trend, with iron and coke prices showing fluctuations amid stable demand and increasing inventory levels [3][23] Group 4 - The upcoming Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit will take place from August 31 to September 1, 2025, in Tianjin, where member states will sign the "Tianjin Declaration" and approve the "10-Year Development Strategy of the SCO" [5]

Core Viewpoint - Japan's 10-year government bond yield reached 1.625% on August 27, marking the highest level since October 2008, influenced by multiple factors including U.S. Federal Reserve developments and market expectations for interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan [1]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Bond Yield - The rise in Japan's 10-year government bond yield is attributed to the announcement by U.S. President Trump on August 25 regarding the dismissal of Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook, which led to an increase in U.S. long-term bond yields [1]. - The market anticipates that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates, contributing to the selling of Japanese government bonds and the subsequent increase in yields [1]. Group 2: Central Bank Policy - The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at around 0.5% during its monetary policy meeting on July 31, despite the rising expectations for a rate hike [1].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Japan's 10-year government bond yield reached a new high of 1.625% on August 27, the highest level since October 2008 [1] - The rise in Japan's 10-year government bond yield is influenced by multiple factors, including the announcement by U.S. President Trump regarding the dismissal of Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook, which led to an increase in U.S. long-term bond yields [1] - The market anticipates that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates, contributing to the selling of Japanese government bonds and the subsequent rise in yields [2] Group 2 - The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at around 0.5% during its monetary policy meeting on July 31, indicating a cautious approach despite rising yields [2]

Gold - Following a dovish speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, discussions about interest rate cuts remain active, with Morgan Stanley predicting no rate changes until March next year, and a total of six cuts by the end of next year, bringing rates down to the 2.75%-3.0% range [1] - Trump's dismissal of Fed Governor Cook raises concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, while Powell's dovish comments increase the likelihood of rate cuts, both factors are favorable for gold prices [1] - Gold prices rose from $3320 to a peak of $3394, with a warning of potential short-term pullbacks, focusing on the $3372 support level [1] Oil - The U.S. government has increased tariffs on goods from India from 25% to 50% in response to India's continued purchase of Russian oil, with Indian oil companies stating that their purchases depend on pricing [2] - Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy facilities have forced Russian refineries to halt operations, leading to an increase in oil exports by 200,000 barrels per day from western ports in August [2] - Oil prices have been on a downward trend since September 2023, with a critical support level at $64.50 not being reclaimed, and current resistance at $63.50 and support at $62.30 [2] Dollar Index - Rising expectations for interest rate cuts have led to a decline in short-term U.S. Treasury yields, while long-term yields are increasing due to inflation expectations and economic uncertainty, which may steepen the yield curve [3] - Concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence could lead to sustained steepening of Treasury yields, with warnings that loosening monetary policy before inflation is under control may prompt investors to sell U.S. Treasuries [3] - The dollar index has shown volatile movements recently, with a focus on the resistance level at 98.80; failure to break this level may lead to continued fluctuations or declines [3] Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 index has been in a downward adjustment since last week, with ongoing adjustments not yet concluded, focusing on support at the 42000 level and resistance at 42650 for a potential return to an upward trend [5] Copper - After a significant drop in copper prices at the end of July, the bullish trend has paused, with prices maintaining low levels and struggling to break the $4.50 resistance, suggesting a trading range between $4.32 and $4.50 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The yield on Japan's 20-year government bonds has increased by 1.5 basis points to 2.65% [1] Group 1 - The rise in yield indicates a potential shift in investor sentiment towards long-term government debt in Japan [1]

（文章来源：央视新闻） 8月27日，日本国内债券市场上，作为长期利率重要指标的10年期新发国债收益率上升至1.625%，为 2008年10月以来的高点。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，8月27日，日本10年期国债收益率升至1.625%，创2008年10月以来最高。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The report comprehensively presents the performance of global asset markets on August 25, 2025, including the yields of 10 - year and 2 - year government bonds of major economies, exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies, stock indices of major economies, stock index futures trading data, government bond futures trading data, and money market conditions [2][3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **Government Bond Yields**: - **10 - year government bonds**: Yields and their changes (latest, weekly, monthly, and yearly) of 10 - year government bonds in major economies such as the US, UK, France, etc. are presented. For example, the US 10 - year government bond yield on August 25, 2025, was 4.276, with a latest change of 0.021, a weekly change of - 0.058, a monthly change of - 0.136, and a yearly change of 0.362 [2] - **2 - year government bonds**: Yields and their changes of 2 - year government bonds in major economies like the US, UK, Germany, etc. are provided. For instance, the US 2 - year government bond yield on August 25, 2025, was 3.790, with a latest change of 0.050, a weekly change of 0.050, a monthly change of 0.070, and a yearly change of - 0.140 [2] - **Exchange Rates**: - **US dollar against emerging - economy currencies**: Exchange rates and their percentage changes of the US dollar against currencies of emerging economies such as Brazil, Russia, South Africa, etc. are shown. For example, the US dollar - Brazilian real exchange rate on August 25, 2025, was 5.412, with a latest change of - 0.26%, a weekly change of - 0.45%, a monthly change of - 3.17%, and a yearly change of - 1.31% [2] - **Renminbi**: Exchange rates and their percentage changes of on - shore RMB, off - shore RMB, RMB central parity rate, and RMB 12 - month NDF are presented. For example, the on - shore RMB exchange rate on August 25, 2025, was 7.154, with a latest change of - 0.19%, a weekly change of - 0.44%, a monthly change of - 0.35%, and a yearly change of - 0.29% [2] - **Stock Indices**: - **Major economies**: Stock indices and their percentage changes of major economies such as the US (S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq), UK, France, etc. are given. For example, the S&P 500 index on August 25, 2025, was 6439.320, with a latest change of - 0.43%, a weekly change of - 0.15%, a monthly change of 0.78%, and a yearly change of 16.17% [2] - **Emerging economies**: Stock indices and their percentage changes of emerging economies such as Russia, Japan, Hong Kong, etc. are provided. For example, the Hang Seng Index on August 25, 2025, was 25829.910, with a latest change of 1.94%, a weekly change of 2.59%, a monthly change of 1.05%, and a yearly change of 50.97% [2] - **Credit Bond Indices**: - Yields and their percentage changes of investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices in the US, eurozone, and emerging economies are presented. For example, the US investment - grade credit bond index on August 25, 2025, was 3463.860, with a latest change of - 0.08%, a weekly change of 0.37%, a monthly change of 1.36%, and a yearly change of 4.30% [2] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: Closing prices and percentage changes of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 are provided. For example, the closing price of A - shares was 3883.56, with a percentage change of 1.51% [3] - **Valuation**: PE(TTM) and their环比 changes of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX are presented. For example, the PE(TTM) of CSI 300 was 13.97, with a环比 change of 0.00 [3] - **Risk Premium**: 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate and their环比 changes of S&P 500 and German DAX are given. For example, the 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 was - 0.62, with a环比 change of - 0.01 [3] - **Fund Flow**: Latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flows in A - shares, main board, SME board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 are provided. For example, the latest value of A - share fund flow was - 177.24, and the 5 - day average value was - 340.99 [3] - **Trading Volume**: Latest values and环比 changes of trading volumes in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, SME board, and ChiNext are presented. For example, the latest trading volume of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 31411.37, with a环比 change of 5944.27 [3] - **Main Contract Premium/Discount**: Basis and percentage basis of IF, IH, and IC are given. For example, the basis of IF was 5.38, with a percentage basis of 0.12% [3] Government Bond Futures Trading Data - Closing prices and percentage changes of government bond futures T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 are provided. For example, the closing price of T00 was 108.145, with a percentage change of 0.00% [4] - **Money Market**: - **Funding Rates**: R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M and their daily changes (in basis points) are presented. For example, R001 was 1.3901%, with a daily change of - 9.00 basis points [4] - **Big - Category Asset Morning Report**: Values and percentage changes of big - category assets on August 25, 2025, are provided. For example, the value was 1602.450, with a latest change of 0.31% [7]

Report Information - Report Title: Precious Metals Weekly Report (Gold and Silver) [1] - Date: August 26, 2025 [1] - Author: Wang Wenhu [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Fed Chair Powell's remarks on potential policy adjustment due to weak employment supply - demand, along with Trump's pressure, have raised the expectation of a Fed rate cut in September. Global central banks' continuous gold purchases may lead to an upward - trending precious metals market. It is recommended that investors go long on dips [2][3] Summary by Related Catalogs Macroeconomic Data and Central Bank Policies - US: The PPI annual rate and core CPI annual rate in July increased. The 8 - month one - and five - year inflation expectations were 4.9% and 3.9%, higher than expected. The outstanding public debt was $3.72 trillion, up $96.8 billion from last week. The Treasury plans to raise cash reserves to $850 billion by the end of September and issue over $1 trillion in bonds in Q3. The Fed's reserve balance decreased, while the Treasury's cash account increased. The Fed's discount and seasonal loans to commercial banks changed, and the overnight reverse repurchase agreement scale decreased [7][11][17] - Europe: The ECB paused rate cuts in July, keeping the deposit mechanism rate at 2%. The eurozone and German August manufacturing PMIs were higher than expected. The ECB may cut rates at most once before the end of 2025 [2] - UK: The Bank of England cut the key rate by 25 basis points to 4.0% in August, continued to reduce £100 billion in government bonds from October 2024 to September 2025, and may slow down the balance - sheet reduction. It may cut rates at most once before the end of 2025 [2] - Japan: The July consumer price index CPI (CPI) annual rate in Japan (Tokyo) was 3.1% (3.1%), in line with expectations but lower than the previous value. The Q2 GDP quarterly rate was 0.3%, higher than expected. There is an expectation of a rate hike before the end of 2025, possibly as early as October [3] Market Performance - Bond Market: US short -, medium -, and long - term Treasury yields weakened. Medium - and long - term inflation - protected Treasury yields declined. The spread between long - and short - term Treasury yields widened. The spread between US and German (Japanese) medium - and long - term Treasury yields decreased [21][25][28][51] - Stock Market: Not mentioned in the report - Commodity Market: Gold: COMEX gold non - commercial long - to - short ratio decreased, ETF holdings decreased, total inventory of COMEX and SHFE gold decreased. Gold futures and spot spreads were at a relatively low level, and the basis was also at a low level. Silver: COMEX silver non - commercial long - to - short ratio increased, ETF holdings increased, total inventory of COMEX, SHFE, and SGE silver increased. Silver futures and spot spreads and basis were within a reasonable range [60][79][83] - Foreign Exchange Market: The euro - to - dollar exchange rate increased, and the dollar - to - RMB exchange rate decreased [54] Investment Strategies - Precious Metals: For gold, investors are advised to go long on dips, with attention to support and resistance levels. For gold spreads, investors can consider short - term, light - position long - entry opportunities for gold futures spreads and basis. For silver, it is recommended to wait and see for most spread arbitrage opportunities [3][68][72] - Others: Investors can consider short - term, light - position long - entry opportunities for "gold - to - silver ratio", "gold - to - oil ratio", and "gold - to - copper ratio" [97][100]

Group 1 - The yield on French 10-year government bonds increased by 9.3 basis points, reaching a daily high of 3.511%, approaching the peak of 3.631% from March 6 [1] - The yield on Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 6.9 basis points, reported at 3.595% [1] - The yield on Spanish 10-year government bonds also increased by 6.9 basis points, reaching 3.370% [1] Group 2 - The yield on Greek 10-year government bonds rose by 7.8 basis points, reported at 3.447% [1] - The yield on French 30-year government bonds increased by 8.5 basis points, reaching 4.393%, nearing the peak of 4.522% from November 16, 2011 [1] - The yield on French 2-year government bonds rose by 4.0 basis points, stabilizing near the daily high [1]