Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - For the IH2509 variety, the short - term outlook is oscillatory, the medium - term outlook is upward, the intraday view is oscillatory and bullish, and the overall view is upward, supported by positive policy expectations [1]. - For the IF, IH, IC, and IM varieties, the intraday view is oscillatory and bullish, the medium - term view is upward. The stock market trading volume remains at a high level, and investor sentiment is positive. Although there is a need for profit - taking and technical consolidation, policy support is strong, and continuous capital inflows are beneficial for valuation repair. In the short term, the stock index is mainly oscillatory and bullish [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the IH2509 variety, the short - term is oscillatory, the medium - term is upward, the intraday is oscillatory and bullish, and the overall view is upward, with the core logic being strong support from positive policy expectations [1]. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The intraday view of IF, IH, IC, and IM is oscillatory and bullish, and the medium - term view is upward. The trading volume of the three major stock markets (Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing) was 2640.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 168.5 billion yuan from the previous day. The trading volume is still high, and investor sentiment is positive. There is a need for profit - taking and technical consolidation. Policy support is strong, and continuous capital inflows are conducive to valuation repair. In the short term, the stock index is mainly oscillatory and bullish [5].

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，周二（8月19日）纽约尾盘，标普500股指期货最终下跌0.52%，道指期货涨0.08%，纳斯 达克100股指期货跌1.36%。罗素2000股指期货跌0.72%。 ...

Core Views - Trump and Zelensky reported a good atmosphere in their talks; Trump also spoke with Putin, and both sides supported direct negotiations between the Russian and Ukrainian delegations. Li Qiang stated that effective measures will be taken to consolidate the stabilization and recovery of the real estate market, cultivate and expand service consumption, and increase efforts to expand effective investment. The People's Bank of China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy and strengthen financial support for technology and consumption. The market is strong, and it is recommended to use the T+0 feature of stock index futures, maintain positions, closely monitor market trends, lock in positions when a downward trend appears based on technical analysis, earn profits during the period of rising market sentiment, and stabilize profits when the trend is unfavorable [1]. - Considering the absolute levels, the yield of 30-year old bonds has risen to 2.15%, and the yield of newly issued 30-year local bonds has adjusted to over 2.32%, which is sufficient to cover the lowered liability costs of insurance funds, helping to attract insurance fund allocation. Meanwhile, there is a demand for corrective movement in the technical analysis of the equity market. The bond market may experience a slight recovery due to the "return to loose" liquidity conditions and a slight decline in equity market sentiment [2]. Strategy Recommendations - For stock index futures, it is recommended to go long on dips [1]. - For treasury bond futures, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines [3]. Market Review Stock Index Futures - The main contract futures of CSI 300 rose 0.82%, SSE 50 rose 0.08%, CSI 500 rose 1.28%, and CSI 1000 rose 1.58% [5]. Treasury Bond Futures - The 10-year main contract fell 0.29%, the 5-year main contract fell 0.21%, the 30-year main contract fell 1.33%, and the 2-year main contract fell 0.04% [6]. Technical Analysis Stock Index Futures - The RSI indicator shows that the market is approaching a short-term high [5]. Treasury Bond Futures - The KDJ indicator shows that the T contract may rebound [6]. Futures Data | Date | Futures Type | Closing Price (Yuan/Contract) | Change (%) | Trading Volume (Lots) | Open Interest (Lots) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-08-18 | CSI 300 Continuous | 4,237.80 | 0.82 | 99,705 | 168,841 | | 2025-08-18 | SSE 50 Continuous | 2,848.40 | 0.08 | 52,884 | 74,907 | | 2025-08-18 | CSI 500 Continuous | 6,608.00 | 1.28 | 83,689 | 129,184 | | 2025-08-18 | CSI 1000 Continuous | 7,184.40 | 1.58 | 187,694 | 220,587 | | 2025-08-18 | 10-Year Treasury Bond Continuous | 108.02 | -0.29 | 90,469 | 107,322 | | 2025-08-18 | 5-Year Treasury Bond Continuous | 105.46 | -0.21 | 70,226 | 86,134 | | 2025-08-18 | 30-Year Treasury Bond Continuous | 116.09 | -1.33 | 141,981 | 61,613 | | 2025-08-18 | 2-Year Treasury Bond Continuous | 102.30 | -0.04 | 46,079 | 61,412 | [7]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Report's Core View - The overall view on stock index futures is bullish. For the IH2509 contract, the short - term view is consolidation, the medium - term view is upward, and the intraday view is consolidation with a slight upward bias, with an overall upward outlook due to strong support from positive policy expectations [1]. - For IF, IH, IC, and IM, the intraday view is consolidation with a slight upward bias, and the medium - term view is upward. The stock index is expected to be mainly consolidation with a slight upward bias in the short term as the risk appetite in the stock market continues to recover [5]. Summary by Related Catalogs 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 - For the IH2509 contract, short - term: consolidation; medium - term: upward; intraday: consolidation with a slight upward bias; overall view: upward. The core logic is that positive policy expectations provide strong support [1]. 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 - Yesterday, all stock indexes showed a trend of rising and then falling, closing higher after a volatile day. The total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2809.1 billion yuan, an increase of 536.3 billion yuan from the previous day. The trading volume has been above 2 trillion yuan for many days, and the margin trading balance has also risen above 2 trillion yuan, indicating optimistic market sentiment and a continuous increase in investors' risk appetite [5]. - From the policy perspective, positive policy expectations strongly support the stock index. Anti - involution and consumption - promotion policies promote a moderate recovery of the price index from both supply and demand sides, repair corporate profits, and drive a positive cycle in the "residential consumption - corporate profit - employee salary" chain, increasing the expectation of an improving macro - economic fundamentals [5]. - From the industry perspective, the booming development of AI technology strengthens the logic of "domestic substitution" in technology. The phased easing of tariff issues is beneficial to enhancing the competitiveness of China's industrial chain, promoting scientific and technological innovation and technological progress [5]. - From the capital perspective, patient capital such as social security and insurance funds continues to enter the market, margin trading funds enter the market more quickly, and the non - bank deposit data in July increased significantly year - on - year, indicating a loose capital situation and continuous capital inflow into the stock market [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Yields**: On August 18, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.334%, 4.737%, 3.447% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.033 (Italy) to 0.041 (UK), weekly changes from - 0.004 (Japan) to 0.173 (UK), monthly changes from - 0.126 (Switzerland) to 0.155 (France), and annual changes from - 0.274 (Japan) to 0.760 (UK) [2]. - **2 - Year Treasury Yields**: On August 18, 2025, the 2 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.740%, 3.959%, 1.956% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.024 (Australia) to 0.070 (US), weekly changes from - 0.200 (US) to 0.186 (Italy), monthly changes from - 0.703 (Italy) to 0.553 (Japan), and annual changes showed various trends [2]. - **Exchange Rates**: On August 18, 2025, the US dollar - to - emerging - economy currency exchange rates such as South African rand, Brazilian real, etc. had different values. The latest changes ranged from - 0.69% (Russian ruble) to 0.65% (South African rand), weekly changes from - 2.35% (South African rand) to 0.38% (South Korean won), monthly changes from - 8.22% (Thai baht) to 0.77% (South Korean won), and annual changes also varied [2]. - **Stock Indices**: On August 18, 2025, major global stock indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, etc. had different closing values. The latest changes ranged from - 0.50% (Mexican index) to 0.21% (Nasdaq), weekly changes from - 0.18% (UK index) to 8.70% (Spanish index), monthly changes from 8.78% (Mexican index) to 44.46% (Spanish index), and annual changes also showed different trends [2]. - **Credit Bond Indices**: The latest changes in credit bond indices ranged from - 0.08% to 0.08%, weekly changes from - 0.06% to 0.56%, monthly changes from - 0.13% to 2.43%, and annual changes from 4.84% to 15.88% [2][3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 were 3728.03, 4239.41, 2838.87, 2606.20, and 6668.17 respectively, with daily changes of 0.85%, 0.88%, 0.21%, 2.84%, and 1.52% [4]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 13.54, 11.56, 31.94, 27.34, and 20.08 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.08, 0.04, 0.37, 0.00, and - 0.04 [4]. - **Risk Premium**: The 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate of S&P 500 and German DAX were - 0.68 and 2.22 respectively, with环比 changes of - 0.02 and 0.04 [4]. - **Fund Flows**: The latest values of fund flows in A - shares, main board, SME board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 were 78.73, - 179.13, N/A, 216.70, and 110.91 respectively, and the 5 - day average values were - 306.54, - 333.88, N/A, 26.76, and 51.22 [4]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, SME board, and ChiNext were 27641.63, 6353.66, 1621.58, 5485.68, and 8295.86 respectively, with环比 changes of 5195.51, 1166.79, 199.53, 1082.87, and 1773.47 [4]. - **Main Contract Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC were - 1.61, 9.53, and - 60.17 respectively, with basis ratios of - 0.04%, 0.34%, and - 0.90% [4] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - **Closing Prices**: The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.015, 105.455, 107.865, and 105.380 respectively, with daily changes of 0.00% [5]. - **Funding Rates**: The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M were 1.5037%, 1.5030%, and 1.5490% respectively, with daily changes of 1.00 BP, 1.00 BP, and 0.00 BP [5]

Market Performance - On August 18, the S&P 500 futures declined by 0.04% [1] - The Dow futures fell by 0.08% [1] - The Nasdaq 100 futures decreased by 0.04% [1] - The Russell 2000 futures increased by 0.37% [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report Although economic data weakened in July, market expectations for policy intensification have increased. The market is focusing on the semi - annual reports of listed companies, with positive net profit growth in the four broad - based indices. Some companies' improved fundamentals support the stock market, but the potential drag from unreported companies' profit declines should be watched. A - shares with reasonable valuations are attracting foreign capital inflows. The strategy suggests light - position buying on dips [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - **Futures Contracts**: All main and secondary contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM showed price increases. For example, the IF main contract (2509) rose 34.6 to 4237.8 [2]. - **Futures Spreads**: All spreads between different contracts showed increases. For instance, the IF - IH monthly contract spread rose 26.4 to 1389.4 [2]. - **Futures Net Positions**: The net positions of the top 20 in IF, IH, and IM increased, while that of IC decreased slightly [2]. - **Futures Basis**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC main contracts decreased, while that of IM increased [2]. 3.2 Market Data - **Spot Prices**: All major spot indices (CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000) rose. The CSI 300 rose 37.1 to 4239.41 [2]. - **Market Turnover and Margin Trading**: A - share trading volume remained at a high level, and the margin trading balance increased slightly [2]. - **Market Sentiment Indicators**: North - bound trading was active, and the proportion of rising stocks decreased. The Shibor rate increased [2]. 3.3 Industry News - **Economic Data**: In July 2025, fixed - asset investment, real - estate investment, and social retail sales growth slowed down compared to previous values. However, inflation data showed improvement, and the M2 - M1 gap continued to narrow [2]. - **Stock Market Performance**: A - share major indices closed higher, with over 4000 stocks rising. Communication, comprehensive, and computer sectors strengthened, while real - estate and oil sectors declined [2]. 3.4 Upcoming Key Data - August 20th, 9:00: China's one - year and five - year LPR quotes - August 21st, 15:00 - 16:30: France, Germany, Eurozone, and UK's August SPGI manufacturing, service, and composite PMI preliminary values; 21:45: US August SPGI manufacturing, service, and composite PMI preliminary values - August 22nd, 22:00: Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the provided content. The report mainly offers data on global asset market performance, including bond yields, exchange - rates, stock indices, and futures trading data. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: On August 15, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.319%, 4.696%, 3.467% respectively. The latest changes, weekly changes, monthly changes, and annual changes varied among different countries. For example, the US had a latest change of 0.033, a weekly change of 0.035, a monthly change of - 0.099, and an annual change of 0.375 [3]. - **2 - year Treasury Yields of Major Economies**: The 2 - year Treasury yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. on August 15, 2025, were 3.927%, 1.970%, 0.822% respectively. Similar to the 10 - year yields, the changes in different time - frames differed across countries [3]. - **Exchange Rates of the US Dollar Against Major Emerging Economies' Currencies**: On August 15, 2025, the exchange rates against South Africa's ZAR, Brazil, Russia, etc. were presented, along with their latest, weekly, monthly, and annual changes. For instance, against South Africa's ZAR, the latest change was - 0.29%, the weekly change was - 0.61%, the monthly change was - 4.12%, and the annual change was not provided in the context [3]. - **Stock Indices of Major Economies**: Stock indices such as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, France CAC, etc. had their closing prices on August 15, 2025, and their latest, weekly, monthly, and annual changes. For example, the Dow Jones closed at 6449.800, with a latest change of - 0.29%, a weekly change of 0.94%, a monthly change of 2.43%, and an annual change of 24.05% [3]. - **Credit Bond Indices**: The indices of emerging economies' investment - grade and high - yield credit bonds, US investment - grade and high - yield credit bonds, and euro - zone investment - grade and high - yield credit bonds had their latest, weekly, monthly, and annual changes. For example, the emerging economies' investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of - 0.10%, a weekly change of 0.19%, a monthly change of 1.48%, and an annual change of 5.08% [3][4]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices and percentage changes of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 were provided. For example, the A - share closed at 3696.77 with a 0.83% increase [5]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) and their环比 changes of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and Germany DAX were presented. For example, the PE (TTM) of CSI 300 was 13.46 with a 0.04环比 change [5]. - **Risk Premium**: The risk premiums (1/PE - 10 - year interest rate) and their环比 changes of S&P 500 and Germany DAX were given. For example, the risk premium of S&P 500 was - 0.66 with a - 0.02环比 change [5]. - **Fund Flow**: The latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flows in A - shares, the main board, small and medium - sized enterprise board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 were provided. For example, the latest fund flow in A - shares was 931.56, and the 5 - day average was - 217.38 [5]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes and环比 changes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small and medium - sized board, and ChiNext were presented. For example, the latest trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 22446.12 with a - 345.97环比 change [5]. - **Main Contract Basis and Spread**: The basis and spread of IF, IH, and IC were provided. For example, the basis of IF was 7.05 with a 0.17% spread [5]. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices and percentage changes of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were presented. For example, T00 closed at 108.295 with a - 0.10% change [6]. - The money market interest rates (R001, R007, SHIBOR - 3M) and their daily changes (BP) were provided. For example, R001 was 1.4391% with a - 3.00 BP daily change [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, the four stock index futures varieties showed a continuous upward trend, with relatively large increases in CSI 1000 and CSI 500. The basis of the four stock index futures varieties remained in the futures discount mode, and the discount depth improved. The A - share market continued to break through and reach a new high, with small - cap growth styles relatively dominant, and sectors such as communication, electronics, and power equipment leading the way, while the banking sector declined significantly. There was a certain market rotation, and in the long run, industries supported by national policies will maintain an upward - trending oscillation [3]. - In July, external demand remained resilient beyond expectations, but domestic demand - related indicators declined. Extreme weather and investment decline dragged down industrial production, and the growth rate of the service production index also slightly declined. Investment growth in July dropped significantly, especially in manufacturing and real estate development. Social retail growth declined in July due to the gap in subsidy funds and the overdraft of subsequent consumption by the "618 Shopping Festival". It is expected that Sino - US economic and trade relations will remain in a phased stable state, and exports in the second half of the year are expected to maintain strong resilience [4][5]. - Next week, the stock index will continue to rise with oscillations in an environment of high trading volume and rapid sector rotation. To break through the integer mark and the previous bull - market high of 3731, both the weight and technology sectors need to work together [5]. 3. Summary by Related Contents Market Performance - Last week, the four stock index futures varieties showed a continuous upward trend. The basis of the futures - spot of the main contracts of stock index futures was 13.52 for IH, 7.05 for IF, - 37.57 for IC, and - 31.3 for IM. The A - share market continued to break through and reach a new high, with small - cap growth styles relatively dominant. Only the banking sector closed down, and there was a certain market rotation [3]. Macroeconomic Situation - In July, external demand remained resilient, but domestic demand - related indicators declined. Extreme weather and investment decline dragged down industrial production, and the growth rate of the service production index also slightly declined. Investment growth dropped significantly, especially in manufacturing and real estate development. Social retail growth declined due to the gap in subsidy funds and the overdraft of subsequent consumption by the "618 Shopping Festival". It is expected that exports in the second half of the year will maintain strong resilience [4][5]. Market Outlook - Next week, the stock index will continue to rise with oscillations in an environment of high trading volume and rapid sector rotation. To break through the integer mark and the previous bull - market high of 3731, both the weight and technology sectors need to work together [5].

Group 1 - The S&P 500 futures declined by 0.34% at the end of trading on Friday, August 15 [1] - The Dow futures increased slightly by 0.03% [1] - The Nasdaq 100 futures fell by 0.53% [1] - The Russell 2000 futures dropped by 0.67% [1]