| 数据指标 | 项目类别 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF主力合约（2603） | | 4716.8 IH主力合约（2603） 3083.0 | +4.2↑ IF次主力合约（2602） -9.4↓ IH次主力合约（2602） | 4719.4 3082.8 | +3.2↑ -9.0↓ | | IC主力合约（2603） | | 8448.8 | +112.2↑ IC次主力合约（2602） | 8448.2 | +103.2↑ | | IM主力合约（2603） | | 8338.0 | +93.6↑ IM次主力合约（2602） | 8345.4 | +83.0↑ | | IF-IH当月合约价差 | 期货盘面 | 1636.6 | +12.0↑ IC-IF当月合约价差 | 3728.8 | +102.6↑ | | IM-IC当月合约价差 | | -102.8 | -20.6↓ IC-IH当月合约价差 | 5365.4 | +114.6↑ | | IM-IF当月合约价差 | | 3626.0 | +82.0↑ ...

◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 震荡整理 | 假期前股市风险偏好较为谨慎 | 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2026 年 2 月 12 日） 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡整理 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均窄幅震荡整理。沪深京三市成交额 20010 亿元，较上日缩量 1237 亿元。临 近假期，出于对假期现金需求以及假期不确定性风险的考虑，当前股市资金交投意愿 ...

股指期货全景日报 2026/2/11 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | IF主力合约（2603） IH主力合约（2603） | 4714.8 3091.4 | -5.8↓ IF次主力合约（2602） +2.6↑ IH次主力合约（2602） | 4716.2 3091.6 | -7.8↓ +3.8↑ | | | IC主力合约（2603） | 8336.4 | +36.0↑ IC次主力合约（2602） | 8342.4 | +28.4↑ | | | IM主力合约（2603） | 8241.0 | +1.2↑ IM次主力合约（2602） | 8260.2 | -1.4↓ | | 期货盘面 | IF-IH当月合约价差 | 1624.6 | -10.8↓ IC-IF当月合约价差 | 3626.2 | +45.4↑ | | | IM-IC当月合约价差 | -82.2 | -27.8↓ IC-IH当月合约价差 | 5250.8 | +34.6↑ | | | IM-IF当月合约价差 | 3544 ...

◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 震荡整理 | 股市风险偏好谨慎乐观 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 宝城期货股指期货早报（2026 年 2 月 11 日） 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 期货研究报告 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡整理 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均窄幅震荡整理。沪深京三市成交额 21247 亿元，较上日缩量 1454 亿元。随 着白银止跌反弹，市场情绪有所回暖，股指运行逻辑回归自身基本面。不过 ...

- The report discusses the performance of the four major stock index futures contracts (IF, IC, IM, IH) over the past week, highlighting that IH had the highest increase of 0.90%, while IC experienced the largest decline of -0.08%[3][11] - The average trading volume of the contracts showed mixed performance, with IC increasing the most by 2.72%, and IH decreasing the most by -16.58%[3][11] - The average open interest of all four contracts declined, with IF showing the largest decrease of -11.61%, and IM the smallest decrease of -0.69%[3][11] - The annualized basis rates for the current contracts of IF, IC, IM, and IH were -2.13%, -4.76%, -8.13%, and -0.44%, respectively, as of last Friday's close[3][11] - The inter-month spread rates for IF, IC, IM, and IH contracts were at the 3.10%, 0.60%, 11.80%, and 31.30% percentiles of their historical distributions since 2019, with IM and IH at normal levels and IF and IC at relatively low levels[4][12] - Dividend forecasts for the next year indicate that the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, SSE 50 Index, and CSI 1000 Index will impact index points by 81.23, 90.90, 72.77, and 68.78, respectively[4][12] - The report provides a formula for calculating forward and reverse arbitrage returns in index futures trading, considering factors such as transaction costs, margin ratios, and risk-free rates[46] - The dividend estimation method involves using historical dividend patterns and EPS data to predict future dividend points, with specific formulas provided for calculating the impact on index points[48][52]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short term, it is expected that stock index futures will fluctuate strongly before the Spring Festival, accumulating strength for further upward movement [6] - In the long run, in the context of low - interest rates and an "asset shortage", domestic market funds are generally abundant, and the economy is in the process of bottom - building. The medium - to - long - term upward trend of stock indices is expected to continue [6] - The strategy is to continue to hold long positions in stock indices for the medium - to - long - term [6] 3. Summary by Related Catalog 3.1 Macro - financial Market Review - The central bank conducted 113 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday at an operating rate of 1.40%. With 75 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net investment on the day was 38 billion yuan [4] - This week, 405.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, and 500 billion yuan of 182 - day repurchase - style reverse repurchases will also mature on Friday [4] 3.2 Interest Rate Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change from Previous Value (bp) | | --- | --- | --- | | DRO01 | 1.27 | - 0.24 | | DR007 | 1.54 | 7.68 | | GC001 | 1.57 | 28.50 | | GC007 | 1.66 | 6.00 | | SHBOR 3M | 1.58 | 0.00 | | LPR 5 - year | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 1 - year Treasury Bond | 1.31 | - 0.50 | | 5 - year Treasury Bond | 1.55 | - 0.75 | | 10 - year Treasury Bond | 1.79 | - 0.85 | | 10 - year US Treasury Bond | 1.00 | 0.00 | [4] 3.3 Stock Index Market - Yesterday, the CSI 300 rose 1.63% to 4719.1, the SSE 50 rose 1.45% to 3081.8, the CSI 500 rose 2.02% to 8311.3, and the CSI 1000 rose 2.26% to 8233.8 [5] - The trading volume of the Shanghai - Shenzhen - Beijing stock markets reached 2.27 trillion yuan, an increase of 106.7 billion yuan from the previous trading day. Most industry sectors rose, with only the mining and gas sectors falling [5] 3.4 Stock Index Futures Market | Variety | Closing Price | Change from Previous Day (%) | Volume Change (%) | Open Interest Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 300 | 4719 | 1.63 | - | - | | IF Current Month | 4723 | 1.8 | - 23.3 | - 1.9 | | SSE 50 | 3082 | 1.45 | - | - | | IH Current Month | 3084 | 1.5 | - 25.8 | - 5.2 | | CSI 500 | 8311 | 2.02 | - | - | | IC Current Month | 8322 | 2.2 | - 31.3 | - 3.7 | | CSI 1000 | 8234 | 2.26 | - | - | | IM Current Month | 8256 | 29 | - 23.0 | - 4.2 | [5] 3.5 Stock Index Futures Premium and Discount | Variety | Current Month Contract | Next Month Contract | Current Quarter Contract | Next Quarter Contract | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IF Premium/Discount | - 2.49% | - 0.43% | 1.66% | 2.86% | | IH Premium/Discount | - 1.96% | - 0.67% | 0.25% | 1.80% | | IC Premium/Discount | - 4.28% | - 0.04% | 3.25% | 4.29% | | IM Premium/Discount | - 8.96% | 0.13% | 5.82% | 6.89% | [7]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货股指期货早报（2026 年 2 月 10 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 震荡整理 | 股市风险偏好谨慎乐观 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 参考观点：震荡整理 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均震荡上涨。沪深京三市成交额 22702 亿元，较上日放量 1067 亿元。随着白 银止跌反弹，市场情绪有所回暖，股指运行逻辑回归自身基本面。政策面利好预期以及增量资金持续 净流入股市的趋势保持不变，构成股指中长期上行的核心逻辑。不过短期内宏观经济指标有所走弱， "弱现实"压力上升，加上临近长假资金面趋向谨慎，预计股指上行动能有所不足。总的来说，短期 内股市风险谨慎乐观，股指以区间震荡整理为主。 （仅供 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses various trading strategies for different commodities, indicating a general market outlook of "wait and see" for many sectors, with specific short-term strategies for some products like hot-rolled steel and eggs [5][10]. - The report categorizes commodities into different segments, providing insights into their trading strategies, with a focus on domestic and foreign market trends [10]. - The overall sentiment in the market appears cautious, with many commodities rated at two stars, suggesting moderate interest or potential [10]. Group 2 - Specific commodities such as rebar, iron ore, and stainless steel are noted as having a "wait and see" approach, indicating uncertainty in their price movements [10]. - Short-term strategies are highlighted for certain products, including a short position on hot-rolled steel and eggs, reflecting a more aggressive trading stance in these areas [10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring market trends and adjusting strategies accordingly, as indicated by the varying ratings across different commodities [10].

宝城期货股指期货早报（2026 年 2 月 9 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2603 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 震荡整理 | 股市风险偏好谨慎乐观 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 日内观点：偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：震荡整理 核心逻辑：上周五各股指均震荡小幅回调。沪深京三市成交额 21635 亿元，较上日缩量 308 亿元。 白银剧烈波动扰动市场情绪，资金止盈离场的意愿上升，股市成交量能持续缩量。短期内宏观经济指 标有所走弱，"弱现实"压 ...

期货开户入口 2017 + 价差及量能说明 2026年2月6日 LPG 氧化铝 燧油 in = r 19 Fift 玉米 日期 安阳 群由 日在 EUR 35,000 21 25 HT 47 日 : 10 tzi+ 1944 班牙 7 19 IF lllumma 超足 日常 ືອສ A 1950 特 le Ha 图书馆 红枣 BB ST + F IFF 22 41 NA E BALL 日中 修日 日报 10 童仓变化统计 市场分析 研究员 田猛 从业资格证号:F3020809 投资咨询资格:Z0013442 本产品数据与信息均来源于公开资料,我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性 不做任何保证。我们力求内容客观、公正、观点及内容仅供参考,不构成所 述品种的买卖出价。任何表示过去或历史业绩的信息均不代表未来的业绩, 交易者据此作出的任何投资决策及交易行为与本公司无关。交易者应综合考 虑自身风险承受能力,依据自己的独立思考做出投资决策,自行承担投资决 策风险和交易结果。本报告版权仅为我公司所有,未经书面许可,任何机构 和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。 风险揭示:期市有风险 入市需谨慎。本文观点仅供参考,不作为入市 ...