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2025年7月国内金融数据概览
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 02:40
Group 1 - As of the end of July, the broad money supply (M2) reached 329.94 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 111.06 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - The cash in circulation (M0) amounted to 13.28 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.8% [1] Group 2 - In the first seven months, the total social financing increased by 23.99 trillion yuan, which is 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 12.31 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 694 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2] - The net financing of government bonds reached 8.9 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.88 trillion yuan year-on-year [2] Group 3 - By the end of July, the total social financing stock was 431.26 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [3] - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 264.79 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [3] - The balance of government bonds grew by 21.9% year-on-year, reaching 89.99 trillion yuan [3] Group 4 - The balance of RMB loans as of the end of July was 268.51 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [4] - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 680.7 billion yuan [4] - Loans to enterprises increased by 11.63 trillion yuan during the same period [4] Group 5 - The balance of RMB deposits reached 320.67 trillion yuan by the end of July, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [5] - In the first seven months, RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan, with household deposits rising by 9.66 trillion yuan [5] - Non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 310.9 billion yuan during this period [5] Group 6 - In July, the weighted average interbank lending rate was 1.45%, down 0.36 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The weighted average repo rate was 1.46%, also down 0.36 percentage points compared to the previous year [6] Group 7 - The one-year loan market quoted rate was 3.00% as of July 21, down 0.1 percentage points from the end of last year [7] - The five-year loan market quoted rate was 3.50%, also down 0.1 percentage points compared to the end of last year [7] Group 8 - By the end of July, the CFETS RMB exchange rate index was 96.76, down 4.64% from the end of last year [8] - The RMB to USD exchange rate was 7.1494, appreciating by 0.55% compared to the end of last year [8] - The RMB to Euro exchange rate depreciated by 8.13% compared to the end of last year [8]
期指:新高过后,震荡走势
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-14 02:06
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On August 13, all the current-month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose. IF increased by 0.97%, IH by 0.33%, IC by 1.57%, and IM by 1.63% [1] - On the trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 23,189 lots, IH by 9,330 lots, IC by 27,828 lots, and IM by 55,257 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF increased by 10,150 lots, IH by 6,610 lots, IC by 11,324 lots, and IM by 32,273 lots [2] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Prices and Fluctuations**: On August 13, the closing prices of various stock index futures and their underlying indexes showed different increases. For example, the CSI 300 index closed at 4,176.58, up 0.79%; IF2508 closed at 4,181.2, up 0.97% [1] - **Basis**: Different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM had different basis values. For example, the basis of IF2508 was 4.62, and that of IF2509 was -5.78 [1] - **Trading Volume and Turnover**: The trading volume and turnover of each contract also varied. For example, the turnover of IF2509 was 929.2 billion yuan, and the trading volume was 74,450 lots [1] - **Position Changes**: The positions of each contract changed. For example, the position of IF2508 decreased by 5,986 lots, while that of IF2509 increased by 11,069 lots [1] 2. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] 3. Important Drivers - The central bank announced that at the end of July, China's broad - money (M2) balance was 329.94 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.8%; narrow - money (M1) balance was 111.06 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.6%; currency in circulation (M0) balance was 13.28 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.8%. In the first seven months, the net cash injection was 465.1 billion yuan. In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, and RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan. The cumulative increase in social financing scale in the first seven months was 23.99 trillion yuan, 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [6] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.76%, and the ChiNext Index rose 3.62%. The A - share trading volume throughout the day was 2.18 trillion yuan, reaching the second - highest level this year. The market volume exceeded 2 trillion yuan, and the Shanghai Composite Index had an eight - day consecutive increase [6] 4. Positions of the Top 20 Members in Futures - The positions of the top 20 members in different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM changed. For example, in IF2508, the long positions decreased by 4,663 lots, and the short positions decreased by 4,513 lots [5]
7月末社会融资规模、广义货币增速均保持较高水平 信贷供给总体充裕 有效满足实体经济融资需求
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained a moderately loose monetary policy, supporting the real economy through high levels of social financing and broad money (M2) growth as of the end of July [1] Group 1: Credit Growth - In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, with a loan balance of 268.51 trillion yuan at the end of July, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [2] - The fluctuations in credit data during June and July are attributed to financial institutions' half-year reporting and the settlement period for enterprises, as well as the significant impact of local government debt swaps on loan data [2][3] - The impact of debt resolution and risk mitigation factors on current loan growth exceeds 1 percentage point, with local government debt swaps affecting loans by approximately 2.6 trillion yuan since last November [3] Group 2: Loan Interest Rates - Loan interest rates have remained low, with new corporate loan rates around 3.2% and new personal housing loan rates at approximately 3.1%, both down by about 45 and 30 basis points year-on-year, respectively [4] - The decline in financing costs reflects adequate monetary and credit conditions, indicating that the real economy's financing needs are being met [4] Group 3: Monetary Aggregates - As of the end of July, M2 stood at 329.94 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8% year-on-year, while M1 was 111.06 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [7] - The narrowing gap between M1 and M2 indicates improved liquidity and efficiency in fund circulation, aligning with the recovery of economic activities [7] Group 4: Economic Outlook - The cumulative social financing scale for the first seven months reached 23.99 trillion yuan, exceeding the previous year's figure by 5.12 trillion yuan, with a total stock of 431.26 trillion yuan at the end of July, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% [7] - The macroeconomic indicators have performed better than expected in the first half of the year, supporting the reasonable growth of monetary credit and meeting the effective financing needs of the real economy [7]
人民银行:7月末广义货币余额329.94万亿元,同比增长8.8%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-13 09:52
北京商报讯(记者岳品瑜董晗萱)8月13日,人民银行官网公布2025年7月金融统计数据报告。7月末,广 义货币(M2)余额329.94万亿元,同比增长8.8%。狭义货币(M1)余额111.06万亿元,同比增长5.6%。流通 中货币(M0)余额13.28万亿元,同比增长11.8%。前七个月净投放现金4651亿元。 ...
央行,最新发布!
中国基金报· 2025-08-13 09:21
Group 1 - The broad money supply (M2) increased by 8.8% year-on-year, reaching 329.94 trillion yuan by the end of July [2] - The narrow money supply (M1) grew by 5.6% year-on-year, totaling 111.06 trillion yuan, while the currency in circulation (M0) rose by 11.8% to 13.28 trillion yuan [2] - A net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan occurred in the first seven months of the year [2] Group 2 - The total RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan in the first seven months, with the RMB loan balance reaching 268.51 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [3] - Household loans rose by 680.7 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 383 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [3] - Corporate loans increased by 11.63 trillion yuan, with short-term loans up by 3.75 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans up by 6.91 trillion yuan [3] Group 3 - The total RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan in the first seven months, with the RMB deposit balance reaching 320.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [4] - Household deposits rose by 9.66 trillion yuan, while non-financial corporate deposits increased by 310.9 billion yuan [5] - Foreign currency deposits reached 1 trillion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 20% [5] Group 4 - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB market lending in July was 1.45%, down 0.01 percentage points from the previous month and 0.36 percentage points from the same period last year [6] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 222.44 trillion yuan in July, with an average daily transaction of 9.67 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [6] Group 5 - In July, the cross-border RMB settlement amount under the current account was 1.57 trillion yuan, with direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amounting to 640 billion yuan [6] - The breakdown of the current account settlement included 1.15 trillion yuan for goods trade and 420 billion yuan for service trade and other current items [6]
赵锡军:广义货币增速大于狭义货币,货币活力的提升空间很大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 04:55
Core Viewpoint - Despite facing significant pressures and challenges, the financial sector has shown strong performance, supported by effective financial policies implemented in September 2022 and May 2023 [2][3]. Economic Performance - In the first half of 2023, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [3]. - Monetary indicators showed steady growth, with broad money supply increasing by 8.3%, RMB loans growing by 7.1%, and social financing scale rising by 8.9% [3]. Interest Rates and Financial Support - The cost of funds has been decreasing, with the weighted average interbank lending rate falling from 1.86% in January to 1.46% in June, and the pledged repo rate decreasing from 2.16% to 1.5% during the same period [3]. - The structure of policies is improving, with increased credit support for inclusive finance, green finance, and technology innovation finance, all showing loan growth rates higher than the overall loan growth [3]. Market Confidence - The capital market has been recovering, with the Shanghai Composite Index recently surpassing 3,500 points, indicating improved market confidence and expectations [3]. Challenges and Pressures - Despite the positive performance in the financial sector, challenges remain, particularly in the monetary realm where the growth rate of broad money exceeds that of narrow money, indicating potential for increased monetary vitality [4]. - While RMB deposits increased significantly, corporate investment and consumer spending still face considerable pressure [4]. - The social financing scale showed a year-on-year growth of 8.9% by the end of June, largely driven by government bond financing, highlighting the need for effective coordination and utilization of funds [4].
2025年6月国内金融数据概览
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 02:27
Monetary Supply and Financing - As of the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) reached 330.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.3% [1] - The total social financing scale increased by 22.83 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - By the end of June, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [3] Loan and Deposit Growth - In the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 1.17 trillion yuan and corporate loans increasing by 11.57 trillion yuan [4] - RMB deposits grew by 17.94 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with household deposits increasing by 10.77 trillion yuan [5] Interest Rates and Currency Exchange - The weighted average interbank lending rate in June was 1.46%, down 0.41 percentage points from the same period last year [6] - The loan market quotation rate decreased compared to the end of last year, with the one-year rate at 3.00% and the five-year rate at 3.50% [7] - The CFETS RMB exchange rate index fell by 6.03% compared to the end of last year, while the RMB appreciated against the USD but depreciated against the EUR and JPY [8]
上半年人民币贷款增加12.92万亿元 呈现总量增长、结构优化特征
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-07-14 16:17
Core Insights - The People's Bank of China reported that by the end of June 2025, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9% [1] - The broad money (M2) balance reached 330.29 trillion yuan, growing by 8.3% year-on-year [1] - The balance of RMB loans stood at 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] Financial Support for the Real Economy - The financial system's credit support for the real economy remained at a high level, with RMB loans increasing by 12.92 trillion yuan in the first half of the year [2] - Corporate loans accounted for 89.5% of the total new loans, with an increase of 11.57 trillion yuan, marking a 6.6 percentage point rise compared to the previous year [2] - The structure of loans continued to optimize, with significant increases in loans to manufacturing and infrastructure sectors [2] Loan Growth in Key Areas - Loans in the "Five Major Areas" showed total growth and expanded coverage, with a balance of 103.3 trillion yuan, up 14% year-on-year [3] - Technology loans reached a balance of 43.3 trillion yuan, growing by 12% year-on-year, with technology-related enterprises receiving 22.5 trillion yuan [3] - Green, inclusive, pension, and digital loans also saw significant year-on-year growth rates of 27.4%, 11.2%, 38%, and 9.5% respectively [3] Social Financing and Money Supply - The cumulative increase in social financing for the first half of 2025 was 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [4] - Government bond net financing reached 7.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.32 trillion yuan year-on-year, with local government bonds contributing significantly [4] - The M2 balance grew by 8.3%, which is 2.1 percentage points higher than the previous year [4][5] Factors Influencing Financial Growth - Increased government bond issuance and financial institutions' bond investments contributed to the rise in money supply [5] - The stable growth of credit also supported money supply expansion, alongside a recovery in corporate deposits [5] - Overall, the financial data for the first half of the year indicates a reasonable growth in social financing and money supply, aligning with economic growth and price level expectations [5]
新华财经晚报:上半年我国货物贸易进出口同比增长2.9%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 15:03
Key Points - The People's Bank of China reported that as of the end of June, the broad money supply (M2) reached 330.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.3% [1] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 113.95 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [1] - The currency in circulation (M0) was 13.18 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 12% [1] - The net cash injection in the first half of the year amounted to 363.3 billion yuan [1] - The total social financing scale increased by 22.83 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1] - As of the end of June, the total social financing stock was 430.22 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.9% [1] - The balance of RMB loans reached 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] - The balance of RMB deposits was 320.17 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3% [1] Trade and Economic Relations - The General Administration of Customs reported that China's total goods trade import and export value for the first half of the year was 21.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2] - Exports accounted for 13 trillion yuan, growing by 7.2%, while imports were 8.79 trillion yuan, showing a decline of 2.7% [2] - In June, all categories of trade (imports, exports, and total trade) achieved positive year-on-year growth, with accelerating growth rates [2] - The Deputy Director of the General Administration of Customs emphasized the importance of dialogue and cooperation in Sino-U.S. economic relations, advocating for a fair and open global trade system [2] Corporate Actions - The State Administration for Market Regulation approved the acquisition of shares in Ansi Technology by New Thinking Technology with additional restrictive conditions due to potential competition concerns in the optical software and EDA software markets [3] - The approval includes obligations for the parties involved to divest certain business segments related to optical solutions and power analysis software [3] Healthcare Sector - The National Healthcare Security Administration released a report indicating that by the end of 2024, approximately 1.327 billion people will be covered by basic medical insurance in China, maintaining a coverage rate of over 95% [3] - The total income of the national basic medical insurance fund for 2024 is projected to be 34,913.37 billion yuan, with total expenditures of 29,764.03 billion yuan [3]
刚刚发布,22.83万亿元
中国基金报· 2025-07-14 07:31
Key Points - The central bank reported that in the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan, and the cumulative social financing scale increased by 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2][13] Monetary Growth - As of the end of June, the broad money (M2) balance was 330.29 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3%. The narrow money (M1) balance was 113.95 trillion yuan, growing by 4.6% year-on-year. The currency in circulation (M0) was 13.18 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 12% [2] RMB Loans - By the end of June, the balance of RMB loans was 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1%. In the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan, with household loans increasing by 1.17 trillion yuan and corporate loans increasing by 11.57 trillion yuan [3] RMB Deposits - The balance of RMB deposits reached 320.17 trillion yuan by the end of June, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3%. In the first half of the year, RMB deposits increased by 17.94 trillion yuan, with household deposits increasing by 10.77 trillion yuan [5] Foreign Currency Loans and Deposits - The balance of foreign currency loans was 560.9 billion USD, showing a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%. In the first half of the year, foreign currency loans increased by 18.8 billion USD. The balance of foreign currency deposits was 1.02 trillion USD, with a year-on-year growth of 21.7% [4][6] Interbank Market Rates - In June, the weighted average interest rate for interbank RMB market lending was 1.46%, lower than the previous month and the same period last year. The weighted average interest rate for pledged bond repurchase was 1.5%, also lower than the previous month and the same period last year [6] Foreign Exchange Reserves - By the end of June, the national foreign exchange reserves stood at 3.32 trillion USD, with the RMB exchange rate at 1 USD to 7.1586 RMB [7] Cross-Border RMB Settlement - In the first half of the year, the cross-border RMB settlement amount under current accounts was 8.3 trillion yuan, with direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amounting to 4.11 trillion yuan [8]