Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On August 13, all the current-month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose. IF increased by 0.97%, IH by 0.33%, IC by 1.57%, and IM by 1.63% [1] - On the trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 23,189 lots, IH by 9,330 lots, IC by 27,828 lots, and IM by 55,257 lots. In terms of positions, the total positions of IF increased by 10,150 lots, IH by 6,610 lots, IC by 11,324 lots, and IM by 32,273 lots [2] Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Prices and Fluctuations**: On August 13, the closing prices of various stock index futures and their underlying indexes showed different increases. For example, the CSI 300 index closed at 4,176.58, up 0.79%; IF2508 closed at 4,181.2, up 0.97% [1] - **Basis**: Different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM had different basis values. For example, the basis of IF2508 was 4.62, and that of IF2509 was -5.78 [1] - **Trading Volume and Turnover**: The trading volume and turnover of each contract also varied. For example, the turnover of IF2509 was 929.2 billion yuan, and the trading volume was 74,450 lots [1] - **Position Changes**: The positions of each contract changed. For example, the position of IF2508 decreased by 5,986 lots, while that of IF2509 increased by 11,069 lots [1] 2. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6] 3. Important Drivers - The central bank announced that at the end of July, China's broad - money (M2) balance was 329.94 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8.8%; narrow - money (M1) balance was 111.06 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.6%; currency in circulation (M0) balance was 13.28 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.8%. In the first seven months, the net cash injection was 465.1 billion yuan. In the first seven months, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, and RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan. The cumulative increase in social financing scale in the first seven months was 23.99 trillion yuan, 5.12 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [6] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.76%, and the ChiNext Index rose 3.62%. The A - share trading volume throughout the day was 2.18 trillion yuan, reaching the second - highest level this year. The market volume exceeded 2 trillion yuan, and the Shanghai Composite Index had an eight - day consecutive increase [6] 4. Positions of the Top 20 Members in Futures - The positions of the top 20 members in different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM changed. For example, in IF2508, the long positions decreased by 4,663 lots, and the short positions decreased by 4,513 lots [5]

北京商报讯(记者岳品瑜董晗萱)8月13日，人民银行官网公布2025年7月金融统计数据报告。7月末，广 义货币(M2)余额329.94万亿元，同比增长8.8%。狭义货币(M1)余额111.06万亿元，同比增长5.6%。流通 中货币(M0)余额13.28万亿元，同比增长11.8%。前七个月净投放现金4651亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The broad money supply (M2) increased by 8.8% year-on-year, reaching 329.94 trillion yuan by the end of July [2] - The narrow money supply (M1) grew by 5.6% year-on-year, totaling 111.06 trillion yuan, while the currency in circulation (M0) rose by 11.8% to 13.28 trillion yuan [2] - A net cash injection of 465.1 billion yuan occurred in the first seven months of the year [2] Group 2 - The total RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan in the first seven months, with the RMB loan balance reaching 268.51 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 6.9% [3] - Household loans rose by 680.7 billion yuan, with short-term loans decreasing by 383 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increasing by 1.06 trillion yuan [3] - Corporate loans increased by 11.63 trillion yuan, with short-term loans up by 3.75 trillion yuan and medium to long-term loans up by 6.91 trillion yuan [3] Group 3 - The total RMB deposits increased by 18.44 trillion yuan in the first seven months, with the RMB deposit balance reaching 320.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [4] - Household deposits rose by 9.66 trillion yuan, while non-financial corporate deposits increased by 310.9 billion yuan [5] - Foreign currency deposits reached 1 trillion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 20% [5] Group 4 - The average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB market lending in July was 1.45%, down 0.01 percentage points from the previous month and 0.36 percentage points from the same period last year [6] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 222.44 trillion yuan in July, with an average daily transaction of 9.67 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [6] Group 5 - In July, the cross-border RMB settlement amount under the current account was 1.57 trillion yuan, with direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amounting to 640 billion yuan [6] - The breakdown of the current account settlement included 1.15 trillion yuan for goods trade and 420 billion yuan for service trade and other current items [6]

Core Viewpoint - Despite facing significant pressures and challenges, the financial sector has shown strong performance, supported by effective financial policies implemented in September 2022 and May 2023 [2][3]. Economic Performance - In the first half of 2023, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [3]. - Monetary indicators showed steady growth, with broad money supply increasing by 8.3%, RMB loans growing by 7.1%, and social financing scale rising by 8.9% [3]. Interest Rates and Financial Support - The cost of funds has been decreasing, with the weighted average interbank lending rate falling from 1.86% in January to 1.46% in June, and the pledged repo rate decreasing from 2.16% to 1.5% during the same period [3]. - The structure of policies is improving, with increased credit support for inclusive finance, green finance, and technology innovation finance, all showing loan growth rates higher than the overall loan growth [3]. Market Confidence - The capital market has been recovering, with the Shanghai Composite Index recently surpassing 3,500 points, indicating improved market confidence and expectations [3]. Challenges and Pressures - Despite the positive performance in the financial sector, challenges remain, particularly in the monetary realm where the growth rate of broad money exceeds that of narrow money, indicating potential for increased monetary vitality [4]. - While RMB deposits increased significantly, corporate investment and consumer spending still face considerable pressure [4]. - The social financing scale showed a year-on-year growth of 8.9% by the end of June, largely driven by government bond financing, highlighting the need for effective coordination and utilization of funds [4].

Key Points - The central bank reported that in the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan, and the cumulative social financing scale increased by 22.83 trillion yuan, which is 4.74 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2][13] Monetary Growth - As of the end of June, the broad money (M2) balance was 330.29 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3%. The narrow money (M1) balance was 113.95 trillion yuan, growing by 4.6% year-on-year. The currency in circulation (M0) was 13.18 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 12% [2] RMB Loans - By the end of June, the balance of RMB loans was 268.56 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1%. In the first half of the year, RMB loans increased by 12.92 trillion yuan, with household loans increasing by 1.17 trillion yuan and corporate loans increasing by 11.57 trillion yuan [3] RMB Deposits - The balance of RMB deposits reached 320.17 trillion yuan by the end of June, with a year-on-year growth of 8.3%. In the first half of the year, RMB deposits increased by 17.94 trillion yuan, with household deposits increasing by 10.77 trillion yuan [5] Foreign Currency Loans and Deposits - The balance of foreign currency loans was 560.9 billion USD, showing a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%. In the first half of the year, foreign currency loans increased by 18.8 billion USD. The balance of foreign currency deposits was 1.02 trillion USD, with a year-on-year growth of 21.7% [4][6] Interbank Market Rates - In June, the weighted average interest rate for interbank RMB market lending was 1.46%, lower than the previous month and the same period last year. The weighted average interest rate for pledged bond repurchase was 1.5%, also lower than the previous month and the same period last year [6] Foreign Exchange Reserves - By the end of June, the national foreign exchange reserves stood at 3.32 trillion USD, with the RMB exchange rate at 1 USD to 7.1586 RMB [7] Cross-Border RMB Settlement - In the first half of the year, the cross-border RMB settlement amount under current accounts was 8.3 trillion yuan, with direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amounting to 4.11 trillion yuan [8]

Group 1 - Several banks have introduced new service fees to cope with the pressure on net interest margins, including UHQ Bank and Suzhou Bank, as part of a necessary measure to seek "cost reduction and revenue increase" in a low-interest environment [1] - Local regulatory authorities have implemented prohibitive measures against "fancy" deposit solicitation practices, aiming to maintain competitive order in the deposit market and reduce banks' liability costs [1] - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange have allowed banks in Fujian Province to handle cross-border RMB payment services for Taiwanese residents involved in legal property transactions [1] Group 2 - Qingdao Bank's largest shareholder is set to change as Guoxin Group plans to increase its stake to nearly 19.99%, surpassing Haier Group and Italy's UniCredit, which is expected to positively impact the bank's stock price [3] - The National Financial Regulatory Administration has approved the senior management qualifications of Xu Mingjie and Wu Jiong, indicating a focus on the qualifications of senior management in financial institutions [4] - Tianjin Binhai Rural Commercial Bank has appointed a new Party Secretary, with a focus on improving asset quality and addressing a relatively high non-performing loan ratio of 2.61% [4] Group 3 - Xiamen International Bank has appointed Wang Fei as the new Party Secretary and proposed him as the chairman, while the previous leader Wang Xiaojian has stepped down due to work changes [5] - Guangdong Rural Credit Union is undergoing significant reforms, planning to establish a Rural Commercial Bank to enhance capital strength and improve risk management capabilities, with total assets reaching 4.8 trillion yuan [5]

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank announced a reverse repurchase operation of 202.5 billion yuan for a 7-day term at a fixed rate of 1.40%, with a total bid amount of 202.5 billion yuan and a successful bid amount of 202.5 billion yuan. The net injection for the day was calculated to be 67.5 billion yuan after accounting for 135 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1]. Group 2: Funding Conditions - As the tax period approaches, the overnight pledged repo rate for deposit-taking institutions has risen by nearly 4 basis points to around 1.41%, while the 7-day pledged repo rate has decreased by nearly 4 basis points. In the overseas market, the latest overnight financing rate in the US is 4.28% [3]. Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.67%, showing little change from the previous day [6]. Group 4: Bond Market - The yields on major interbank bonds have mostly declined, with short-term bonds performing slightly better. The 1-year government bond yield is at 1.40%, down by 0.50 basis points, while the 10-year government bond yield is at 1.6425%, down by 0.35 basis points [8]. Group 5: Treasury Futures - Treasury futures closed higher across the board, with the 30-year main contract up by 0.02%, the 10-year main contract up by 0.02%, the 5-year main contract up by 0.04%, and the 2-year main contract up by 0.03% [11]. Group 6: Social Financing and Monetary Supply - Preliminary statistics from the central bank indicate that the incremental social financing scale for the first five months of 2025 reached 18.63 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.83 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year. The total RMB loans increased by 10.68 trillion yuan, and RMB deposits increased by 14.73 trillion yuan. As of the end of May, the broad money (M2) balance was 325.78 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [12].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent financial data released by the People's Bank of China, indicating a significant increase in social financing and loans, alongside a stable growth in broad money supply (M2) despite a slight month-on-month decline [1][2]. Financial Data Summary - In May, the incremental social financing reached 2.29 trillion yuan, an increase of 224.7 billion yuan year-on-year, with new RMB loans amounting to 620 billion yuan [1][3]. - As of the end of May, the year-on-year growth of broad money (M2) was 7.9%, showing a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month but 0.9 percentage points higher than the same period last year [1]. Government and Corporate Debt Impact - The growth in social financing was primarily driven by government and corporate bonds, with net financing from government bonds reaching 1.46 trillion yuan in May [3][4]. - The issuance of new special bonds by local governments hit a record high of 443.2 billion yuan in May, indicating strong demand in key sectors like real estate [3][4]. Loan Demand and Structure - Despite a year-on-year decline in new RMB loans, the total RMB loan balance grew by 7.1% year-on-year, reflecting stable loan demand [5][6]. - In May, corporate sector loans accounted for nearly 530 billion yuan, supported by recent interest rate cuts and favorable external trade conditions [6][7]. Alternative Financing Trends - The increasing issuance of government and corporate bonds has created a substitution effect for loans, with bonds and loans together accounting for nearly 90% of social financing [8][9]. - The shift towards direct financing through bonds is seen as beneficial for high-growth sectors, aligning with the ongoing economic transformation [9]. Deposit and Loan Growth Discrepancies - In May, new RMB deposits surged to 2.18 trillion yuan, contrasting with the decline in new loans, attributed to the diversification of financial institutions' assets and changes in financing structures [11][12]. - The article notes that the growth of deposits and loans may not always align due to various influencing factors, including the rise of wealth management products and market conditions [12][13]. Increase in "Active Money" - The narrow money supply (M1) grew by 2.3% year-on-year, indicating an increase in "active money" which reflects improved market confidence and a potential uptick in economic activities [14][15].

Monetary Growth - As of the end of April, the broad money supply (M2) reached 325.17 trillion yuan, growing by 8% year-on-year [2] - The narrow money supply (M1) stood at 109.14 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [2] - The currency in circulation (M0) amounted to 13.14 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12% [2] Loan and Deposit Statistics - By the end of April, the total RMB loans increased by 1.006 trillion yuan in the first four months, with the total RMB loan balance at 265.7 trillion yuan, up 7.2% year-on-year [3] - The total RMB deposits rose by 1.255 trillion yuan in the first four months, with the RMB deposit balance at 314.78 trillion yuan, also up 8% year-on-year [4] Interbank Market Activity - In April, the average weighted interest rate for interbank RMB lending was 1.73%, down 0.12 percentage points from the previous month and 0.14 percentage points from the same period last year [5] - The total transaction volume in the interbank RMB market reached 176.45 trillion yuan in April, with an average daily transaction of 8.02 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4% [5] Cross-Border RMB Settlement - In April, the cross-border RMB settlement amount under the current account was 1.51 trillion yuan, with direct investment cross-border RMB settlement amounting to 0.72 trillion yuan [6] Social Financing Scale - As of the end of April, the total social financing scale was 424.0 trillion yuan, growing by 8.7% year-on-year [8] - The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 262.27 trillion yuan, increasing by 7.1% year-on-year [8] Incremental Social Financing - In the first four months of 2025, the cumulative increase in social financing was 16.34 trillion yuan, which is 3.61 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [11] - The increase in RMB loans to the real economy was 9.78 trillion yuan, which is 339.7 billion yuan more than the previous year [11]