Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Positive (Maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the continuous expansion of underlying demand for green electricity, highlighting the positive outlook for downstream operation and monitoring equipment [3][5] - The construction of a systematic green electricity trading market in China, centered around carbon markets, green electricity trading markets, and green certificate trading markets, is crucial for addressing the pricing of environmental value in electricity [5][10] - The decoupling of carbon markets from green electricity and green certificates indicates that the expansion of carbon markets will not impact the demand for green electricity [24][38] Summary by Sections Section 1: Carbon Market and Green Electricity Market - The national carbon market, initiated in 2021, currently includes only four industries, with a slow expansion rate [22] - The report outlines the relationship between carbon markets, green electricity trading markets, and green certificate trading markets, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive approach to promote green electricity consumption [13][18] Section 2: Demand Side Analysis - Domestic policies and international recognition are driving the gradual expansion of demand for green electricity and green certificates [5][6] - Key domestic policies include mandatory renewable energy consumption assessments for local governments and encouragement for high-energy-consuming enterprises to consume green electricity [38][45] Section 3: Supply Side Analysis - The introduction of Document No. 136 is expected to reduce the supply of green certificates, improving the current oversupply situation [5][6] - The report suggests that the price of green certificates is likely to rise as supply decreases, moving away from the current low price levels [5][6] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on carbon detection companies and green electricity operation companies, particularly biomass power generation enterprises, as they are expected to benefit from rising green certificate prices [6][5] - The report highlights the potential for offshore wind power projects to generate additional revenue through CCER trading, especially with the recognition of CCER by the EU's CBAM [6][37] Section 5: Policy Implications - The introduction of long-term power purchase agreements for renewable energy projects is expected to stabilize demand and profitability for new energy enterprises [6][5] - The report discusses the implications of various policies on the renewable energy market, including the impact of the CBAM and other international policies on domestic green electricity consumption [6][38]

2025 年 06 月 22 日 环保及公用事业 5 月用电量数据发布，虚拟电厂建设加 速推进 本周专题：虚拟电厂推进加速，商业模式进一步清晰 6 月 4 日，国家发改委与国家能源局发布《关于组织开展新型电力系 统建设第一批试点工作的通知》，通知提出要围绕构网型技术、系统 友好型新能源电站、智能微电网、算力与电力协同、虚拟电厂、大规 模高比例新能源外送、新一代煤电等七个方向开展试点工作。这是继 4 月"357 号文"发布后又一国家层面加快虚拟电厂发展的文件。地 方层面看，上海、陕西等地相继发布相关政策，虚拟电厂建设加速推 进。357 号文的发布，从明确准入条件、健全电能量市场机制、完善 辅助服务市场机制和优化需求响应机制四个方面，为虚拟电厂参与电 力市场提供了清晰的路径和规范。建议关注虚拟电厂/功率预测相关 标的，国能日新、朗新集团、东方电子、恒实科技、国网信通、协鑫 能科、合康新能等；以及受益于数据中心放量的绿电标的，同力日升 等。 行情回顾： 6 月 9 日-6 月 20 日上证指数下跌 0.75%，创业板指下跌 1.45%，公用 事业指数下跌 0.87%，跑输上证综指 0.12pct,环保指数下跌 3. ...

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the 350 MW compressed air energy storage green power station in Tiaonan City, Jilin Province, marks a significant step towards energy security and green low-carbon transformation in China [1][5]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project is the first compressed air energy storage green power station in high-cold regions of China and the first of its kind in Jilin Province [1]. - It utilizes a self-developed "China Energy Construction Compressed Air Energy Storage System Solution" with an initial investment of approximately 4.3 billion yuan [3]. - The project will feature a 350 MW compressed air energy storage unit with a storage capacity of 1,400 MWh, capable of storing energy for 7 hours and releasing it for 4 hours, with an expected annual operation of 330 days and a maximum annual power generation of about 462 million kWh [3]. Group 2: Technological and Environmental Aspects - The project employs an efficient and environmentally friendly non-reburning compressed air energy storage technology, including the construction of artificial caverns as gas storage facilities [3]. - It will be complemented by wind power and deep geothermal energy systems, with its single-unit capacity, storage scale, and conversion efficiency being at the world-leading level [3]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - The project is a landmark achievement in supporting national energy security strategies and promoting green low-carbon development in Jilin Province and Baicheng City [5]. - Its implementation is expected to significantly enhance Tiaonan City's regulation capacity in the new power system and improve energy security levels, while also driving the development of the industrial chain [5]. - As a large-scale compressed air energy storage demonstration project, it will greatly improve the absorption capacity of renewable energy in western Jilin Province and enhance the flexibility and stability of the provincial power grid [7].

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" for energy is crucial for achieving carbon peak goals and accelerating the construction of a new energy system, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive approach to energy planning and development [1] Group 1: Trends in Energy Development - Trend 1: The transition to green and low-carbon energy is advancing, with clean energy taking a leading role. The investment in non-fossil energy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" accounted for one-third of global investments, and during the "15th Five-Year Plan," installed capacity for wind and solar energy is expected to exceed 1.2 billion kilowatts [2] - Trend 2: Hydrogen and energy storage are becoming critical supports. The development of green hydrogen production technology is progressing rapidly, and the cost of renewable energy electrolysis for hydrogen production is decreasing [3] - Trend 3: The construction of a new power system is essential to address the challenges of renewable energy consumption. The new power system will enhance the flexibility and stability of the energy supply, focusing on improving grid infrastructure and integrating various energy sources [4] - Trend 4: The energy internet is taking shape, with continuous improvements in digitalization and intelligence. The integration of advanced information and communication technologies with energy systems will optimize energy production, transmission, and consumption [5][6] Group 2: Energy Security and Global Competition - The "15th Five-Year Plan" will see a blend of energy security and global competition, with a focus on self-sufficiency and resilience in energy supply. Domestic shale gas production is expected to exceed 50 billion cubic meters, and strategic mineral reserves will be extended to a six-month guarantee period [7] - Internationally, the shift towards carbon neutrality is reshaping global energy rules, moving from project-based cooperation to competition across the entire industry chain. This includes leading the establishment of international standards for green hydrogen and energy storage [7]

Core Viewpoint - The energy storage industry is transitioning from isolated breakthroughs to ecosystem collaboration, with leading companies forming strategic partnerships to accelerate commercialization and reshape competitive dynamics in the sector [1]. Joint Ventures: Deep Binding and Resource Sharing - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) and CATL have established a joint venture for lithium-ion battery energy storage systems, with CNPC holding 60% and CATL 40% of the equity [2]. - Zhongxin Innovation and local state-owned enterprises have formed a joint venture in Hebei with a registered capital of 4 billion yuan, focusing on energy storage projects [3]. Strategic Cooperation: Technological Complementarity and Market Expansion - CRRC Zhuzhou Institute and CATL signed a framework cooperation agreement to collaborate on energy storage solutions and market development [4]. - Haibo Sichuang and CATL have entered a strategic partnership to promote high-quality development in the energy storage industry, focusing on technology and market synergy [5][6]. - Haibo Sichuang has also partnered with General Technology and its subsidiaries to enhance project management and technical innovation in the energy sector [7]. - Collaborations with Huachidong Energy and other firms aim to integrate electrochemical and flywheel energy storage technologies [8][9]. International Collaborations and Market Expansion - BYD Energy signed a storage order agreement with Grenergy for a total of 6.5 GWh for a project in Chile, marking a significant supply deal in Latin America [13]. - Dual cooperation agreements with international firms like Jindal Group from India and Interface from Malaysia signify strategic expansions into South Asia and Southeast Asia [12][11]. - Multiple partnerships during ESIE2025, including with Europower in Turkey, aim to enhance market presence in Europe and Asia [18]. Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The energy storage sector is witnessing a transformation characterized by deep collaborations among companies, moving from product-centric competition to ecosystem-based strategies [43]. - The total signed orders during ESIE2025 exceeded 20 GWh, indicating a robust growth trajectory and a collective exploration of new energy systems [43].

Core Viewpoint - The construction of China's first national offshore wind power research and testing base in Fujian is a significant step towards advancing the offshore wind power industry, enhancing technological innovation, and integrating the industry chain [1][2]. Group 1: Offshore Wind Power Research Base - The offshore wind power research and testing base in Fujian is a major project under the national "14th Five-Year Plan," capable of testing the world's largest capacity wind turbines and longest blades [1]. - The base will facilitate research on large-capacity offshore wind turbine equipment and grid-friendly wind power integration technologies, contributing to international cutting-edge technology research [1]. Group 2: Industry Development and Innovation - The establishment of the offshore wind power testing base will provide comprehensive services for equipment manufacturers, research institutions, and operators, promoting a complete industrial ecosystem and accelerating product development [2]. - Fujian has a theoretical offshore wind power potential exceeding 120 million kilowatts, with installed capacity reaching 3.818 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, and has maintained the highest wind power utilization hours in the country for 12 consecutive years [1]. Group 3: Clean Energy Transition - The State Grid Fujian Electric Power Company has proposed a high-quality development blueprint focusing on clean energy, aiming to lead in clean development, safety, stability, and efficiency [2]. - In 2024, clean energy generation capacity and generation volume in Fujian are projected to account for 65.5% and 52.7% respectively [6].

Group 1: Virtual Power Plants - The development of virtual power plants (VPPs) is supported by recent government policies aimed at enhancing their scale and operational capabilities, with a target of achieving a regulation capacity of over 20 million kilowatts by 2027 and 50 million kilowatts by 2030 [3][28][31] - VPPs utilize modern information communication and system integration technologies to aggregate distributed energy resources, providing essential services such as peak shaving, frequency regulation, and backup power, thereby enhancing grid stability and facilitating renewable energy consumption [24][20][39] - The market for VPPs is expected to grow as they transition from invitation-based models to market-driven operations, allowing for participation in various electricity markets and increasing profitability [39][46] Group 2: Wind Power Industry - The bidding prices for domestic wind turbines have stabilized and begun to recover, with the average bidding price reaching 1,590 yuan/kW in March 2025, a 4.1% increase from December 2024 [52] - China's onshore wind power generation cost has significantly decreased, with the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) dropping to 0.019 USD/kWh in 2023, a 67% reduction since 2017, making it competitive against coal [49][51] - The wind power industry is experiencing a trend towards larger turbine sizes and innovative materials, with advancements in tower height and blade length contributing to further cost reductions and efficiency improvements [54][55]

"今年度夏期间，预计全国用电负荷还将快速增长，最高负荷同比增长超过1亿千瓦，电力保供面临一定 压力。"国家能源局综合司副司长张星日前表示，综合研判，今年迎峰度夏期间，全国电力供应总体有 保障，局部地区高峰时段可能存在电力供应紧张情况。如出现极端、灾害性天气，电力供应紧张情况可 能进一步加剧。 中电联有关负责人也表达了同样的观点。"我们预测，今年夏季全国统调最高用电负荷比2024年增加约1 亿千瓦。如果今夏气温再创历年新高，则最高用电负荷在15.7亿千瓦左右。" 随着全国气温攀升，各地陆续进入迎峰度夏电力保供关键期。面对迎峰度夏期间电力供应的严峻考验， 从煤炭稳定供应到清洁能源发力保供，从电网工程建设到负荷侧精准管理，各地各部门正全方位发力。 电网侧提升供电能力 电网侧同样动作频频。夏季高温天气将带动用电负荷快速增长，为此，国家电网加快推进迎峰度夏重点 电网工程建设。 "今年的高温日数预计比常年偏多。"国网湖南电力新闻发言人朱军飞介绍，近日，国网湖南电力用电负 荷持续攀升，为保障电力供应，国网湖南电力全速推进12项重点工程建设，新增变电容量1100万千伏 安。特别是通过优化施工管理、升级配套电网及开展全链条测试 ...

Group 1: Overview of Public Utility Index Performance - The Shenwan Public Utility Index has outperformed the CSI 300 Index, with a decline of 0.68% year-to-date as of June 16, 2023, which is 0.87 percentage points better than the CSI 300 Index, ranking 19th among 31 Shenwan industries [2][9] - Among the sub-sectors of the Shenwan Public Utility Index, four sectors have increased, including Heat Service (+8.44%), Comprehensive Electric Service (+2.98%), Thermal Power (+2.24%), and Hydropower (+0.86%), while three sectors have decreased, including Photovoltaic Power (-6.02%), Gas (-4.29%), and Wind Power (-2.21%) [2][12] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Shenwan Public Utility Index is approximately 18.42 times, which is below the historical average of 26.61 times over the past decade, placing it at the 13th percentile historically [2][13] Group 2: Coal Power Sector Insights - The establishment of a capacity price mechanism for coal power will facilitate the recovery of fixed costs for compliant coal power units, which are essential for supporting the electricity system during the green transition [2][21] - The average price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) has decreased by 7% year-on-year, averaging 685 RMB/ton as of June 13, 2023, which is expected to enhance the performance of coal power companies [2][28] - Companies such as Huadian International (600027) and Guodian Power (600795) are recommended for attention due to their potential benefits from the capacity price mechanism and declining coal prices [2][21] Group 3: Renewable Energy Development - The Chinese government is actively promoting renewable energy through various policies, aiming to enhance the capacity for renewable energy consumption by constructing smart microgrid projects and shared energy storage stations [2][37] - The installed capacity of wind power is projected to grow from 184 GW at the end of 2018 to 521 GW by the end of 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 19%, while solar power capacity is expected to increase from 174 GW to 887 GW, with a CAGR of 31% [2][41] - Companies such as Three Gorges Energy (600905) and Longyuan Power (001289) are highlighted as key players in the renewable energy sector [2][21] Group 4: Hydropower Sector Developments - The installed capacity of hydropower in China is expected to grow from 370 million kW at the end of 2020 to 436 million kW by the end of 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 4% [2][39] - Hydropower companies are increasingly focusing on cash dividends, with nine out of eleven listed hydropower companies planning to return profits to shareholders through cash dividends in 2024 [2][21] - Recommended companies in the hydropower sector include Yangtze Power (600900), Huaneng Hydropower (600025), and Sichuan Investment Energy (600674) [2][21]

Core Insights - The 2025 SNEC exhibition showcased advancements in energy solutions, particularly by Shenzhen Kelu Electronics Co., Ltd, which introduced the Midea Industrial Storage Aqua-EM and other energy management systems [1] - The company aims to provide comprehensive energy solutions across various applications, including independent storage power stations and virtual power plant market arbitrage [1] - Recent policy changes in China are shifting the energy storage industry from a "policy-supported" model to a "market-driven" approach, enhancing the role of energy storage [1][2] Company Developments - Kelu Electronics, in collaboration with Midea Group, has developed a power trading platform that integrates a three-dimensional forecasting system for energy trading and ancillary services [2] - The platform aims to enhance trading efficiency and accuracy, addressing the declining profitability of commercial energy storage [2] - The EMS (Energy Management System) is highlighted as a critical component for optimizing energy storage operations, enabling proactive decision-making based on real-time data [3][4] Industry Trends - The recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the goal of achieving nationwide coverage of the electricity spot market by the end of 2025, which will elevate the importance of energy storage [2] - The transition of energy storage from a secondary role to a core regulatory resource reflects broader changes in the energy market dynamics [2] - The integration of hardware and software solutions in energy management is seen as essential for maximizing efficiency and profitability in energy usage [3][4]