Group 1 - On June 18, the total net inflow of industry-themed ETFs reached 1.042 billion yuan, with the total market size of 3.52 trillion yuan across 1,119 stock ETFs [1] - Notably, 14 stock ETFs had net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with the top performers being the Hang Seng Technology ETF and the Dividend Low Volatility ETF, each attracting over 300 million yuan [1] - The net inflow for ETFs tracking the Hong Kong Technology Index was 520 million yuan, while those tracking the Dividend and Non-Bank Financial Indexes saw inflows of 440 million yuan and 410 million yuan, respectively [1] Group 2 - Over the past five days, net inflows into the Sci-Tech 50 Index products exceeded 3.8 billion yuan, and the Hang Seng Technology Index products saw inflows over 2.7 billion yuan [2] - On June 18, the Huaxia Fund's Credit Bond ETF and Sci-Tech 50 ETF had net inflows of 2.923 billion yuan and 274 million yuan, respectively, with their latest sizes being 17.165 billion yuan and 81.987 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - On June 18, broad-based ETFs experienced slight outflows, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [3] - The low interest rate environment and weak economic recovery are seen as favorable for dividend strategies, with strong dividend capabilities from state-owned enterprises [3] - The performance of sectors such as precious metals and innovative pharmaceuticals is expected to remain relatively strong, despite potential inflationary pressures from increased tariffs [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant inflow of funds into industry-themed ETFs, with a total net inflow of 1.042 billion yuan on June 18, indicating strong investor interest in specific sectors [1]. Fund Inflows - On June 18, the total scale of 1,119 stock ETFs in the market reached 3.52 trillion yuan, with 14 ETFs experiencing net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [1]. - The top performers included: - Hang Seng Technology ETF with a net inflow of 340 million yuan [2]. - Dividend Low Volatility ETF with a net inflow of 318 million yuan [2]. - Sci-Tech 50 ETF with a net inflow of 274 million yuan [2]. - Multiple broker and financial technology ETFs also saw inflows exceeding 150 million yuan [1][2]. Recent Trends - Over the past five days, the inflow into the Sci-Tech 50 index products exceeded 3.8 billion yuan, while the inflow into the Hang Seng Technology index products surpassed 2.7 billion yuan [3]. - Leading fund companies continue to see substantial inflows, with Huaxia Fund's credit bond ETF and Sci-Tech 50 ETF recording net inflows of 2.923 billion yuan and 274 million yuan respectively on June 18 [3]. Market Outlook - The article notes a slight outflow from broad-based ETFs on June 18, indicating potential market volatility [4]. - The low interest rate environment and weak economic recovery are seen as favorable for dividend strategies, with strong dividend capabilities from central state-owned enterprises [4]. - The article also mentions that sectors like precious metals and innovative pharmaceuticals are performing relatively well, with expectations that tariff impacts on A-shares will diminish over time [4].

Group 1 - The current financial asset allocation in Chinese households shows that cash and savings account for over 50%, significantly higher than the OECD average of about 33% [1] - The recent decline in one-year deposit rates below 1% and various monetary easing measures indicate a push towards "deposit migration" and investment in quality equities [1] - There is a strong preference for dividend assets among various funds, including risk-averse capital, income-focused investors, insurance funds, and state-owned enterprises, which are continuously buying into dividend assets [1] Group 2 - Dividend assets are primarily concentrated in industries with abundant cash flow, such as banking, coal, public utilities, and transportation, which consistently yield cash dividends [2] - The cumulative dividend payout of the CSI Dividend Index constituents is expected to exceed 920 billion yuan in 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 36.25%, indicating a commitment to returning profits to shareholders [2] - The CSI Dividend ETF (515080) has distributed dividends 13 times since its inception, with a dividend of 0.15 yuan per ten shares on the upcoming distribution date, reflecting a dividend rate of 0.99% [2] Group 3 - The CSI Dividend Index has demonstrated a 10-year annualized return of 5.63%, outperforming major indices like the CSI 300 and 10-year government bonds, showcasing the power of dividend compounding [3] - The "National Nine Articles" policy encourages listed companies to enhance dividend payouts, particularly state-owned enterprises, which will systematically strengthen the "blood supply" of dividend assets [2] - Long-term funds such as insurance and pension funds favor high-dividend assets, providing additional support for the CSI Dividend ETF [2]

Core Viewpoint - Financial ETF (510230) announced a dividend distribution of 4.83%, with a payout of 0.668 yuan per 10 fund shares, indicating a strong performance and attractiveness for investors seeking high dividend yields [1][8]. Group 1: Fund Details - The fund is named Guotai Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Financial ETF, with a main code of 510230, and was established on March 31, 2011 [2]. - The fund is managed by Guotai Fund Management Co., Ltd. and custodied by Bank of China [2]. - The dividend distribution is based on the fund's net asset value of 1.3838 yuan per share as of the distribution benchmark date of June 13, 2025 [2][8]. Group 2: Market Context - The Financial ETF tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Financial Index, with nearly 60% of its holdings in the banking sector, around 20% in securities, and about 20% in insurance, making it a quality target for financial sector exposure [4]. - In the current asset scarcity environment, high dividend assets are favored, with stable earnings in the banking sector providing a significant advantage compared to other industries [5]. - The market for securities stocks is experiencing a revival, supported by increased liquidity and investor enthusiasm, leading to substantial revenue growth for brokerage firms [6]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The "Central Enterprise Valuation Restructuring" initiative is expected to attract more long-term capital into the financial sector, enhancing the valuation potential of financial central enterprises [7]. - Investors can consider Financial ETF (510230) for exposure to banking, insurance, and securities sectors, capitalizing on the potential for valuation restructuring [7].

2025 年 6 月 18 日 N 型下半场，认准方向，无惧颠簸 ---2025 年股指期货半年度行情展望 毛磊 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0011222 maolei@gtht.com 报告导读： 货 研 究 所 我们的观点：我们 2025 年年报中 N 字型走势的判断，目前看主要的调整阶段已经出现。下半年，N 字型后半段将持续演绎。 当然，后半段并非单边反弹，内外宏观因素的反复与利多的脉冲式效应，将带来行情走出蛇年"蛇型"的震荡上行走势。但 即使面对重重扰动，方向已明，无惧颠簸。 国 泰 君 安 期 二 我们的逻辑：今年，外部扰动一度带来了宏观预期与股指悲观情绪的大幅宣泄，但外生性的扰动犹如压力测试，给出了小概 率黑天鹅事件下中国经济的下限以及股指的下限。后期出现更大程度黑天鹅的难度无疑更为困难，反而提升了最悲观投资者 的入市信心。后期来看，经济与贸易博弈的反复性，宏观预期仍会出现波动，对股市的传导仍不可避免。但基本面环境的不 确定性强化政策托底与稳市场，也带来看空资金翻多的潜在空间。利率下行环境下，结合资本市场制度优化均提升股市配置 价值，有望持续带来增量资金。最终股指或依靠估值抬升，震荡上行。风格方面，成 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement from Xingzheng Global Fund indicates the distribution of cash dividends for its Xingzheng Global Dividend Mixed Securities Investment Fund, marking its second dividend payout since inception [1][2]. Fund Performance and Strategy - The fund was established on June 18, 2024, and the total dividend amount for this payout is 929 million yuan, with A-class shares receiving 0.03029 yuan per share and C-class shares receiving 0.02753 yuan per share [1][2]. - As of May 30, 2025, the A-class shares have achieved a cumulative net value growth rate of 10.41%, outperforming the benchmark by 7.93 percentage points [2]. - The fund's maximum drawdown since inception is -5.77%, which is better than the benchmark's -11.77% [2]. - Fund manager Zhang Xiaofeng employs a "core + satellite" strategy, focusing on mainstream dividend indices while actively selecting stocks, and also investing in small and mid-cap stocks for excess return opportunities [2]. Research and Development Focus - Xingzheng Global Fund emphasizes enhancing its research capabilities, with over 41% of its team dedicated to investment research, covering key sectors such as TMT, cyclical, consumer, and manufacturing [3]. - The fund's stock investment management capability ranks 6th out of 64 in the industry over the past decade, with a return rate of 83.25% [3]. - Zhang Xiaofeng highlights the importance of internal research support in identifying value traps in dividend investing, which relies heavily on individual stock and industry research [3].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a surge in dividend asset allocation, with the first Hong Kong Stock Connect low-volatility dividend ETF (520550) achieving ten consecutive days of gains and a year-to-date share increase of 119% [2][4] - The S&P Hong Kong Stock Connect Low Volatility Dividend Index has shown strong resilience, with a cumulative increase of 24.85% over the past year, significantly outperforming the CSI Dividend Index (-0.26%) and the CSI Low Volatility Dividend Index (12.53%) [3][4] - Southbound capital has been a significant driver of this trend, with net inflows exceeding HKD 630 billion this year, accounting for over 80% of the total for 2024 [4][5] Market Dynamics - The low-interest-rate environment and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts have enhanced the appeal of Hong Kong dividend ETFs, which offer a dividend yield of 7.13% and low volatility [4][5] - Institutional investors are increasingly optimizing their dividend strategies, with the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Low Volatility Index yielding 8.1%, well above the 10-year government bond yield [5][6] - The demand for dividend assets is expected to grow as long-term capital, such as insurance and social security funds, enters the market, driven by favorable policies and a shift towards long-term value creation [7][8] Investment Strategies - Fund companies are enhancing dividend product designs to improve investor experience, such as the low-cost structure and monthly dividend mechanisms of the Hong Kong low-volatility dividend ETF [5][6] - Long-term investment in high-dividend stocks is supported by the stability of companies' earnings and their willingness to distribute dividends, particularly in sectors like banking, utilities, and mature industries [6][7] - The trend of insurance capital acquiring Hong Kong stocks is expected to continue, with over 90% of new investments directed towards this market, indicating a strong preference for dividend stocks [7][8]

Market Overview and Key Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw gains last week, with the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rising by 4.43% and the Hang Seng Index increasing by 0.75% [1] - The healthcare and materials sectors led the gains, while consumer and information technology sectors lagged [1] - There was a shift in capital flow, with passive foreign capital turning into inflows, and significant net inflows from southbound trading [1] Central State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) Buyback and Dividend Trends - As of June 12, 2023, 65 central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) implemented buybacks totaling 8.672 billion yuan, while 53 companies saw shareholder increases amounting to 7.39 billion yuan, leading to a combined total of 16.062 billion yuan [2] - The dividend yield for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index stands at 8.17%, significantly higher than the 5.62% yield of the CSI Dividend Index, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.62 and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.77 [2] - The total return of the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index has reached 116% since early 2021, outperforming the Hang Seng Total Return Index by 113% [2] Investment Opportunities in High Dividend Strategies - The current low interest rate environment and weak economic recovery favor dividend strategies, with strong dividend willingness and capability among central SOEs [2] - The Huaan Hong Kong Stock Connect Central SOE Dividend ETF tracks the Hang Seng China Enterprises Dividend Index, reflecting the performance of high-dividend securities listed in Hong Kong with central SOEs as major shareholders [2] ETF Performance and Characteristics - The Huaan Hong Kong Stock Connect Central SOE Dividend ETF (513920) is the first ETF in the market combining the attributes of Hong Kong stocks, central SOEs, and high dividends [3] - The fund has a net asset value of 1.4995 and a scale of 3.242 billion yuan, with a weekly trading volume of 1.041 billion yuan [4] Sector-Specific Dividend Yields - Notable companies with high dividend yields include: - COSCO Shipping Holdings (4.5% yield, industrial sector) [5] - Orient Overseas International (4.5% yield, industrial sector) [5] - New China Life Insurance (3.5% yield, financial sector) [5] - China National Petroleum (3.1% yield, energy sector) [5]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a volatile upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.35% to 3388.73 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.41% to 10163.55 points, and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.66% to 2057.32 points. The North Star 50 Index surged by 1.84% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and North exchanges reached 12,438 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 2,600 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Financial Sector Performance - The financial sector saw a collective rise, with notable gains in banks such as Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Jiangsu Bank, which both reached new highs [3] - The People's Bank of China reported an increase in social financing scale by 2.29 trillion yuan in May, with new RMB loans amounting to 620 billion yuan [3] - The broad money supply grew by 7.9% year-on-year, 0.9 percentage points higher than the same period last year [3] Stablecoin Concept Surge - The stablecoin sector experienced a significant rise, with companies like Tianyang Technology and Sifang Precision hitting the 20% limit up, and Lakala increasing by over 15% [5] - Recent legislative progress in the U.S. and Hong Kong regarding stablecoins has bolstered market sentiment, with Hong Kong becoming the first jurisdiction to implement comprehensive regulation for fiat-backed stablecoins [7] Oil Sector Performance - The oil sector continued its upward momentum, with Tongyuan Petroleum hitting the 20% limit up and Keli Co. rising over 19% [9] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between Israel and Iran, have led to increased oil prices, with WTI crude oil futures reaching as high as $77 per barrel [11] - Analysts predict that if conflicts escalate, oil prices could potentially rise above $90 per barrel, influenced by supply disruptions in critical regions [11]

行业走势图 化债对信贷影响或减弱，资金延续活化 ——行业点评报告 2025 年 06 月 16 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 银行 沪深300 相关研究报告 《本轮存款降息的成因与影响—银行 0520 下 调 存 款 挂 牌 利 率 点 评 》 -2025.5.23 《低基数下的大行存贷增速差改善— 4 月 央 行 信 贷 收 支 表 要 点 解 读 》 -2025.5.15 《存款读数改善，政府债提速支撑社 融—4 月金融数据点评》-2025.5.14 刘呈祥（分析师） 丁黄石（分析师） liuchengxiang@kysec.cn dinghuangshi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524040004 需求端及政策影响信贷读数，化债对信贷替代未来或减弱 5 月人民币贷款新增 6200 亿元，同比少增 3300 亿元，余额同比增速 7.1%，较 4 月下降 0.1pct。Q1 开门红过后，4、5 月信贷数据延续放缓，需求端及政策面 均影响读数。需求层面，信贷仍以短贷冲量为主，人民币中长 ...