Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The short - term view for TL2506 is "oscillation", the medium - term view is "oscillation", and the intraday view is "oscillating weakly", with an overall view of "range oscillation" due to the weakened short - term expectation of interest rate cuts [1]. - For the TL, T, TF, and TS varieties, the intraday view is "oscillating weakly", the medium - term view is "oscillation", and the reference view is "range oscillation". Although currently in a high - level consolidation, future macro - policies will be concentrated, giving treasury bond futures upward momentum. In the short term, they will mainly oscillate and consolidate [4]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the TL2506 variety, the short - term, medium - term, and intraday views are "oscillation", "oscillation", and "oscillating weakly" respectively, with a "range oscillation" view. The core logic is the weakened short - term expectation of interest rate cuts [1]. Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - Yesterday, treasury bond futures rebounded comprehensively, with the 30 - year treasury bond futures rising 0.69%. The issuance of ultra - long - term special treasury bonds benefits the 30 - year treasury bond futures. Currently, domestic macro data is good, and the overseas Fed's reserve - reduction cycle has not arrived, so the central bank will remain stable in the short term. After the April Politburo meeting, the time for monetary policy interest rate and reserve - ratio cuts is approaching, and treasury bond futures have upward momentum in the future while mainly oscillating in the short term [4].

财政部拟第一次续发行2025年超长期特别国债(二期)。本次续发行国债为30年期固定利率附息债。竞争 性招标面值总额710亿元，不进行甲类成员追加投标。本次续发行国债票面利率与之前发行的同期国债 相同，为1.88%。本次续发行国债的起息日、兑付安排与之前发行的同期国债相同。自2025年4月25日 开始计息，按半年付息，每年4月25日(节假日顺延，下同)、10月25日支付利息，2055年4月25日偿还本 金并支付最后一次利息。 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the recent Central Political Bureau meeting is to enhance the income of low- and middle-income groups and to significantly develop service consumption to boost economic growth [1][2] - The issuance of special long-term government bonds, including 500 billion yuan for 20-year bonds and 710 billion yuan for 30-year bonds, aims to support consumption and stimulate domestic demand [1][2] - The total social financing scale increased by 15.18 trillion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, which is 2.37 trillion yuan more than the same period last year, indicating a strong financial support for consumption [2] Group 2 - Expanding service consumption is viewed as a systematic project that requires a multi-faceted approach, including demand expansion, supply optimization, and environmental improvement [3] - Policies need to be coordinated across various sectors, including fiscal, financial, and industrial policies, to effectively stimulate consumption [3] - Financial institutions are encouraged to develop tailored financial products to meet the diverse needs of consumers, particularly in new consumption scenarios such as digital and green consumption [6]

近日，2025年超长期特别国债发行"开闸"，两期共计1210亿元债券顺利发行。与此同时，中央金融 机构注资特别国债也启动发行。中央政治局会议强调，"要加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，用好用 足更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策。加快地方政府专项债券、超长期特别国债等发行使 用"。宏观政策加速落地显效，推动我国经济稳中有进、持续向好，更有效应对外部变化的不确定性。 从2024年起连续几年发行超长期特别国债，是党中央作出的一项重大决策部署。2024年我国发行1 万亿元超长期特别国债，其中，7000亿元用于支持国家重大战略和重点领域安全能力建设；3000亿元用 于支持大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新，特别是加大汽车报废更新、家电产品以旧换新补贴力度，拉 动消费效应明显。1万亿元超长期特别国债的发行使用，有力支持了"两重"建设、"两新"工作。 今年我国财政政策进一步加力，明确要"更加积极"，超长期特别国债也更加给力。一方面，资金规 模更大。按照预算安排，今年我国拟发行超长期特别国债1.3万亿元，比上年增加3000亿元，其中， 8000亿元用于更大力度支持"两重"项目，5000亿元用于加力扩围实施"两新"政策。另一方 ...

Primary Market - A total of 19 offshore bonds were issued this week, including 6 offshore RMB bonds, 6 USD bonds, 4 HKD bonds, and 3 EUR bonds, with issuance sizes of 54.2 billion RMB, 615 million USD, 798.8 billion HKD, and 1.9 million EUR respectively [1] - The largest single issuance in the offshore RMB bond market was 1 billion RMB by the Asian Development Bank, while the highest coupon rate was 6.5% issued by Huangshi Chantuo Holdings Group [1] - In the USD bond market, the largest single issuance was 200 million USD by Chengdu Economic Development Investment Group, with the highest coupon rate of 7.0% from two issuers: Fuzhou Digital Economy Investment Group and Emei Mountain Modern Agriculture Development Group [1] Secondary Market - The yield on Chinese offshore USD bonds rose across the board this week, with the Markit iBoxx Chinese USD bond composite index increasing by 0.33% to 240.93 [2] - The real estate USD bond index saw a significant increase of 1.94%, closing at 180.28, while the city investment bond index rose by 0.14% to 148.05 [2] Price Movements - The largest weekly price increase in Chinese offshore bonds was for the MOLAND 8% 12/30/24 bond from Contemporary Land, which rose by 56% to 2.75 [3] - The largest weekly price drop was for the HONGSL 5% 8/19/29 bond from Hongyang Group, which fell by 125.84% to 6.72 [5] Benchmark Spread - The spread between the 10-year benchmark government bonds of China and the US narrowed to 265.35 basis points, a decrease of 3.21 basis points from the previous week [6] Rating Changes - Moody's maintained the "A3" issuer ratings for China Railway Group and China Railway Construction, changing the outlook from "stable" to "negative" on April 24 [9] - Moody's also maintained the "Baal" issuer rating for China Communications Construction Group, adjusting the outlook to "negative" on April 25 [9] Defaults and Extensions - Xinyuan (China) Real Estate's bond "H20 Xinyuan 1" received approval for a 2-year extension, with the new maturity date set for November 13, 2027 [10] - Sunshine City Group failed to make timely payments on its 2020 first phase medium-term notes, with the company unable to raise sufficient funds by the accelerated maturity date [11] Market News - The issuance of the 2025 ultra-long special treasury bonds began on April 24, with a total planned issuance of 1.3 trillion RMB [12] - The first data center holding-type real estate ABS in the country was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, raising a total of 1.6092 billion RMB [13] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 600 billion RMB MLF operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system [14] Overseas News - Some Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of earlier interest rate cuts if economic conditions worsen [15] - Demand for US Treasury bonds from overseas reached a new low, with indirect bidders accounting for only 56.2% of the latest auction [16] Offshore Bond Alerts - Zhengrong Real Estate's proposal to extend the "H20 Zhengrong 2" bond was not approved, leading to a failure to repay interest [17] - Futong Group plans to pay interest on "H21 Futong 1" by April 28, 2025 [18] - The proposal for delisting 18 company bonds from AVIC Industrial was not approved, and the bonds will resume trading [19] - Aoyuan Group announced that three bonds, including "H20 Aoyuan 1," will be suspended from trading starting April 28 [20]

2025年超长期特别国债今起发行 今天，2025年超长期特别国债和中央金融机构注资特别国债开启发行。其中： 2025年超长期特别国债： 20年期500亿元 ，中标利率为1.98%； 30年期710亿元 ，中标利率为1.88%。 2025年中央金融机构注资特别国债： 5年期1650亿元 ，加权中标利率1.45%。 2025年中央金融机构注资特别国债今天发行 按照财政部有关安排，2025年中央金融机构注资特别国债今天启动发行， 发行金额为1650亿元， 发行期限为5年期，从4月25日开始计息，每年支付利 息， 本期国债将在4月29日起上市交易。 记者从财政部了解到，2025年超长期特别国债今天（24日）首次发行， 其中20年期500亿元，30年期710亿元 。根据安排，此次发行将通过财政部政府债 券发行系统进行招标发行， 两种期限的国债将在4月29日起上市交易。 关注" 新华网财经 "视频号 更多财经资讯等你来看 根据预算安排，我国今年拟发行超长期特别国债1.3万亿元，较2024年增加3000亿元。其中，8000亿元用于更大力度支持"两重"项目建设，5000亿元用于 加力扩围实施"两新"政策。今年，支持消费品以旧 ...

"今年超长期特别国债提前发行，既是2024年政策的延续，也体现了更加积极的财政政策'靠前发 力'。"陕西巨丰投资资讯有限责任公司投资顾问总监郭一鸣也告诉记者，今年的超长期特别国债提前发 行能够为全年经济增长目标达成提供有力支持，使财政资金更早投入到"两重""两新"项目中，加速释放 国内投资和消费需求。 数据显示，4月24日发行的20年期、30年期超长期特别国债中标利率分别为1.98%、1.88%，全场倍数分 别为3.11、3.66，边际倍数分别为8.42、3.43。 今年的《政府工作报告》提出，拟发行超长期特别国债1.3万亿元、比上年增加3000亿元。记者注意 到，今年超长期特别国债不仅发行规模更大，而且从发行节奏看，去年的超长期特别国债于2024年5月 17日首发，今年的首发时间也提前了近一个月。 此外，今年将发行的1.3万亿元超长期特别国债，其中8000亿元用于更大力度支持"两重"项目；5000亿 元用于加力扩围实施"两新"政策，其中3000亿元支持消费品以旧换新，比上年增加1500亿元，2000亿元 用于支持设备更新，比上年增加500亿元。 "今年超长期特别国债发行时间较去年提前近一个月，体现了财政政策 ...

Group 1 - The issuance of 2025 ultra-long special government bonds has commenced, with a 20-year term of 50 billion yuan at a winning interest rate of 1.98% and a 30-year term of 71 billion yuan at a winning interest rate of 1.88% [1][4] - The 2025 central financial institution capital injection special government bonds have been issued with a 5-year term of 165 billion yuan and a weighted winning interest rate of 1.45% [2][3] - The total planned issuance of ultra-long special government bonds for this year is 1.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 300 billion yuan compared to 2024, with specific allocations for supporting "two heavy" project constructions and "two new" policy implementations [4] Group 2 - Ultra-long special government bonds are defined by three key terms: ultra-long, special, and government bonds, which are typically bonds with a maturity of over 10 years [5] - The term "special" indicates that the funds raised are designated for specific purposes, requiring dedicated use [5] - Government bonds are issued by the state to raise fiscal funds and are considered the safest investment tool due to their highest credit rating [5]

中诚信国际研究院院长袁海霞分析，根据测算，参考去年"两重""两新"的政策效果，今年1.3万亿元的 超长期特别国债或拉动GDP增长1.7至1.9个百分点。（上证报） ...

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of long-term special government bonds in China, amounting to 1.3 trillion yuan, is aimed at boosting domestic demand and consumption, thereby strengthening the domestic economic cycle [2][3]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Details - This year, China will issue 1.3 trillion yuan in long-term special government bonds, an increase of 300 billion yuan compared to last year [2]. - The first issuance will focus on 20-year and 30-year bonds, starting on April 24 [2]. - Of the total, 800 billion yuan will support "two major" projects, while 500 billion yuan will be allocated to expand the "two new" policies [2]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The early disclosure of bond issuance plans and rapid financing is intended to enhance expectations for economic improvement and stimulate consumption [2]. - In the first quarter, supported by the "two new" and "two major" policies, related consumer goods experienced double-digit growth, indicating progress in expanding domestic demand [2]. Group 3: Role of Government Bonds - Long-term special government bonds will enable more fiscal funds to promote consumption and expand domestic demand, converting private savings into effective demand to support economic growth [3]. - These bonds will also provide greater support for technological innovation and industrial development in "two major" construction projects, laying a solid foundation for high-quality development [3]. Group 4: Market Implications - The issuance of long-term special government bonds will increase the supply of safe assets in the market, alleviating the "asset shortage" issue in a low-interest-rate environment [3]. - China's government bonds, as high-grade securities, have the potential to become significant global safe assets, attracting international investors [3]. - As of April 15, foreign institutions have increased their holdings of Chinese bonds by over 270 billion yuan, reflecting a positive attitude towards the Chinese bond market [3].