不同光伏产品的功率质量比 （数据来源：仁烁光能合作研究论文） 郭晨凯 制图 ◎记者 王玉晴 1月7日，晶科能源宣布，与人工智能+机器人赋能研发创新的平台型企业晶泰科技签署战略合作协议， 双方将共同成立合资公司，推进基于AI技术的高通量钙钛矿叠层太阳能电池合作研发。晶科能源预 计，钙钛矿叠层电池有望在未来三年左右迈向规模化量产，并提到钙钛矿叠层电池"可显著缩减卫星太 阳能翼展开面积""是太空光伏中长期的最优解"。 同日，上海证券报记者从仁烁光能、协鑫光电、纤纳光电等头部"光伏新势力"企业（即专注做钙钛矿光 伏的创业公司）了解到，钙钛矿此前已开启部分太空实验，未来企业有望进一步针对太空场景进行开 发。 钙钛矿叠层电池剑指太空光伏 晶科能源介绍，双方将共建全球首个"AI决策—机器人执行—数据反馈"全闭环钙钛矿-晶硅叠层实验 线，依托晶科能源深厚的光伏研发积淀与晶泰科技在量子物理算法、AI预测模型与大规模机器人自动 化实验等前沿领域的独特优势，重点攻关高效率、高稳定性的钙钛矿叠层太阳能电池。 "此次合作的深远意义在于，它不仅是单一技术的突破，也预示着当AI与自动化机器人取代传统'试错 法'时，整个光伏产业的创新速率与 ...

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Jingtai Technology to establish a joint venture focused on the research and development of AI-enabled high-throughput perovskite tandem solar cells, which are expected to achieve large-scale production in about three years [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Cooperation and Development - The joint venture aims to create the world's first "AI decision-making - robot execution - data feedback" closed-loop experimental line for perovskite-silicon tandem solar cells, leveraging JinkoSolar's photovoltaic research foundation and Jingtai Technology's expertise in quantum physics algorithms and AI predictive models [2]. - The collaboration signifies a breakthrough not only in technology but also in redefining the innovation pace and boundaries of the photovoltaic industry through AI and automation [2]. Group 2: Market Potential and Applications - Perovskite tandem solar cells are expected to significantly reduce the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) by approximately 15% compared to traditional technologies, enhancing system economics [2]. - The lightweight, high-radiation resistance, and flexible characteristics of perovskite tandem solar cells make them particularly suitable for space photovoltaic applications, potentially becoming the optimal solution for long-term space energy needs [2][7]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Research - Several photovoltaic companies, including JinkoSolar, have increased their focus on space photovoltaic applications, highlighting the promising future of perovskite technology in this sector [3]. - Companies like Renshou Energy and Xiexin Photovoltaic have conducted space experiments with perovskite technology, indicating a growing interest in developing applications for space environments [4][5]. Group 4: Technical Advantages and Challenges - Perovskite technology is viewed as a potential leading option for space photovoltaics due to its lightweight, thin, flexible, low-cost, high-efficiency, and radiation-resistant properties [7]. - Key performance indicators for space photovoltaic products include power-to-weight ratio and cost per watt, with perovskite solar cells showing a maximum power-to-weight ratio of 50W/g, significantly higher than traditional silicon and gallium arsenide cells [7]. Group 5: Future Directions and Considerations - The industry acknowledges that while perovskite technology holds great promise for space applications, extensive testing and validation are required before it can be fully realized [9]. - The unique challenges posed by the space environment necessitate advanced manufacturing capabilities and adherence to specific testing and quality standards for perovskite solar cells [9].

①太空光伏犹如电力之于地面AI算力，卫星电池片市场有望实现从百亿级向万亿级别跨越，为相关头部企 业提供一个高附加值、高壁垒的"蓝海"市场；②太空光伏的主流技术路线逐步向P型HJT和钙钛矿叠层技 术演进，对应原材料端将迎来配套升级，这些公司已经率先完成卡位；③太空光伏设备和地面光伏设备存 在显著差异，技术细节对太空级钙钛矿电池至关重要，行业龙头积极布局迎接行业红利期。 前言 《金牌纪要库》是财联社VIP倾力打造的一款高端会议纪要类产品，结合财联社的媒体资源和行业圈层 优势，为投资者提供全面、深入的市场及行业洞察，以及专业分析和解读。 栏目专注于捕捉投资市场 的最新题材机会，通过一线记者的即时报道、资深编辑的专业整理，以及行业资深专家的深度访谈，为 投资者提供前瞻性、独家性、热门性及专业性的市场分析。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth potential of the photovoltaic (PV) industry, particularly in the context of commercial space applications and low Earth orbit satellites, driven by advancements in solar wing technology [1] - The photovoltaic ETF Huaxia (515370) has shown a slight increase of 0.11%, with notable stock performances from companies such as Dongfang Risheng, which rose over 8%, and other related firms like Juhe Materials and Goodwe, which increased by over 7% and 2% respectively [1] - The satellite power system accounts for approximately 20% to 30% of the total manufacturing cost of a satellite, with solar wings representing over 60% of the value, indicating their critical role in satellite energy supply [1] Group 2 - The report from Dongwu Securities suggests that the rapid development of commercial space and low Earth orbit satellites may lead to a significant growth phase for space photovoltaic energy supply, with ground-based high-efficiency perovskite/silicon tandem technology being a key support [1] - The Huaxia photovoltaic ETF tracks the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index, which encompasses upstream, midstream, and downstream companies in the photovoltaic supply chain, including silicon wafers, polysilicon, solar cells, cables, photovoltaic glass, battery components, inverters, photovoltaic brackets, and solar power plants, reflecting the overall performance of the photovoltaic industry [1] - The index has a photovoltaic content of 83.64%, ranking first in the entire market dimension, indicating its comprehensive representation of the industry [1]

Core Insights - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the rapid development of commercial aerospace and low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, indicating that space photovoltaic power supply is optimal and may experience rapid growth, supported by efficient perovskite/silicon tandem technology [1] Group 1: Commercial Aerospace Development - The maturity of reusable rocket technology has significantly reduced launch costs, breaking down economic barriers to entering space. The scarcity of satellite frequency resources is driving countries to accelerate the acquisition of strategic resources, leading to a sustained increase in global spacecraft launches. The number of global spacecraft launches has grown from 237 in 2016 to over 4,300 by 2025, with a CAGR of 34% and an increase of over 50% year-on-year in 2025 [2] Group 2: Photovoltaic Energy in Satellites - Photovoltaics are the only efficient and stable energy source for satellites, with solar wings accounting for approximately 20-30% of the satellite manufacturing cost. Solar wings are critical for spacecraft operation, representing over 60% of the value, with current mainstream gallium arsenide costing around 200,000 to 300,000 per square meter. As the power requirements of satellites increase, the area of solar wings is expected to grow significantly, with SpaceX's Starlink V3 satellite solar wing area increasing by over 10 times compared to earlier versions [3] Group 3: Technology Optimization - Gallium arsenide is the mainstream technology in China, known for its high efficiency and radiation resistance, with component efficiency exceeding 30%. However, its high cost (200,000 to 400,000 yuan per square meter) may limit large-scale satellite constellation deployment. In contrast, foreign companies like SpaceX have lower launch costs, and while silicon can offer lower weight-to-cost ratios, the lower-cost P-type silicon route may be preferred for single satellite costs. Perovskite batteries show promise in terms of lightweight, high energy-to-weight ratio, low cost, and stability, potentially becoming a superior solution for space power supply [4] Group 4: Market Potential and Investment Recommendations - The global deployment of low Earth orbit satellites is entering an explosive phase, with over 100,000 satellites registered globally by the end of 2025. The U.S. leads with approximately 42,000 satellites through Starlink, while China has submitted plans for over 51,000 satellites. Assuming an annual launch of 10,000 satellites, the solar wing market could reach nearly 200 billion. The surge in AI computing demand is pushing computational power to space, leveraging the advantages of solar energy and thermal conditions in near-Earth orbit. If a 10GW space computing system is established, the solar wing market could reach several trillion yuan. Investment recommendations include JunDa Co. (collaborating with Shangyi on satellite perovskite), Mingyang Smart Energy (subsidiary focusing on perovskite and HJT technology), and others in the HJT/perovskite battery sector [5]

Core Insights - The report by Dongwu Securities highlights the significant role of solar wings in satellite power systems, which account for approximately 20-30% of the total manufacturing cost of satellites, with solar wings representing over 60% of the value [1][2] - The global satellite launch volume is projected to increase dramatically, from 237 satellites in 2016 to over 4,300 by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34% [2] - The demand for solar wings is expected to rise due to the increasing power requirements of satellites, with SpaceX's Starlink V3 satellites showing a more than tenfold increase in solar wing area compared to earlier versions [1][2] Industry Trends - The advancement of reusable rocket technology has significantly reduced launch costs, breaking down economic barriers to space access [2] - The global deployment of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites is entering a rapid growth phase, with over 100,000 satellites registered globally, driven by countries seeking to secure strategic orbital and frequency resources [3] - The increasing demand for AI computing power is pushing computational resources into space, leveraging the advantages of solar energy and thermal conditions in near-Earth orbit [3] Technological Developments - Gallium arsenide (GaAs) is the dominant technology in the industry, offering high efficiency and radiation resistance, but its high cost (20-40 million per square meter) may limit large-scale satellite constellations [3] - Alternatives such as perovskite solar cells show promise due to their lightweight, high energy-to-weight ratio, and lower costs, potentially becoming a superior solution for space power [3] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the development of commercial space and LEO satellites will accelerate the growth of space photovoltaic power, with ground-based efficient perovskite and silicon tandem technologies being critical [4] - Recommended companies include Junda Co., Ltd. (002865) for its collaboration in satellite perovskite, and Mingyang Smart Energy (601615) for its focus on perovskite and GaAs technologies [4] - Other companies to watch include Dongfang Risheng (300118), GCL-Poly Energy (and others in the HJT/perovskite battery sector), as well as core equipment manufacturers like Maiwei Co., Ltd. (300751) and Jiejia Weichuang (300724) [4]

更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 1 月 7 日 星期三 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 联系方式：yujunli@greendh.com | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、达利欧称，AI 热潮目前已进入泡沫初期阶段。2025 年美国股市表现显著落后于 | | | | | 非美股市及黄金资产。新任美联储主席大概率会倾向于压低名义利率与实际利率。 | | | | | 这一举措虽会对资产价格形成支撑，但也会进一步吹大泡沫。 | | | | | 2、CME 交易所数据显示，COMEX 白银 2601 合约累计交割量已达 1800 万盎司，已超 | | | | | 过去年 1 月全月的水平（1200 万盎司）。根据目前交割进度估算，预计今年 1 月 | | | | | COMEX 白银交割量可能达到 4000 万盎司左右。 | | | | | 3、AI 的胜负在于谁能把成本压到最低。英 ...

智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，商业航天+低轨卫星加速发展背景下，太空光伏供能最优， 或有望迎来高速发展。载荷升级推动太阳翼用量扩张，大面积、高效率的太阳翼将成商业航天竞备的关 键。低轨卫星锤炼技术+太空算力需求潜力大，太空光伏前景广阔。若后续构建10 GW太空算力系统， 太阳翼市场规模或达数万亿元。钙钛矿电池在轻量化与高能质比、低成本、稳定性等方面具备优势，潜 力十足、有望成为太空供电更优方案。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 科技竞争前沿，商业航天冉冉升起。随着可回收火箭技术的成熟，航天发射成本大幅下降，逐步打破进 入太空的经济壁垒。卫星频轨资源的稀缺性推动各国加速抢占战略资源，全球航天器发射量持续高增。 近10年来全球航天器发射数自2016年237颗增长至2025年超4300颗，CAGR达34%；25年同增超50%。全 球卫星在轨工作数已超万颗，备案数量超10万颗，后续发射数有望进一步井喷。 光伏是卫星唯一高效、长期稳定的能源形式，随功耗增长太阳翼用量提升。卫星电源系统在整星制造成 本中约20-30%，其中太阳翼是航天器在轨运行的能量心脏，材料特殊、可靠性要求极高，约占60%+价 值量，当前主流砷化镓对 ...

证券研究报告·行业研究·电力设备与新能源行业 太空光伏：地外可靠能源，前景星辰大海 电新首席证券分析师 ：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师：郭亚男 执业证书：S0600523070003 guoyn@dwzq.com.cn 目录 证券分析师：徐铖嵘 执业证书：S0600524080007 xucr@dwzq.com.cn 2026年1月6日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 摘要 2 ◆ 科技竞争前沿，商业航天冉冉升起。随着可回收火箭技术的成熟，航天发射成本大幅下降，逐步打破进入太空的经济壁垒。卫 星频轨资源的稀缺性推动各国加速抢占战略资源，全球航天器发射量持续高增。近10年来全球航天器发射数自2016年237颗增 长至2025年超4300颗，CAGR达34%；25年同增超50%。全球卫星在轨工作数已超万颗，备案数量超10万颗，后续发射数有 望进一步井喷。 ◆ 光伏是卫星唯一高效、长期稳定的能源形式，随功耗增长太阳翼用量提升。卫星电源系统在整星制造成本中约20-30%，其中太 阳翼是航天器在轨运行的能量心脏，材料特殊、可靠性要求 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jinlang Technology, has indicated that its products are currently not involved in the space photovoltaic sector but will continue to monitor developments in this area [2] Group 1 - An investor inquired whether the company's products can be used for space photovoltaics [2] - Jinlang Technology responded on the investor interaction platform regarding the inquiry [2]