TPG、SEQUOIA等向马斯克的XAI投资2.5亿美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of strategic asset allocation for families to optimize their wealth management and investment returns [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The current market environment presents both challenges and opportunities for investors, particularly in the context of rising interest rates and inflation [1] - Diversification across various asset classes is highlighted as a key strategy to mitigate risks and enhance returns [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Specific companies within the financial services sector are noted for their innovative approaches to asset management, which could provide competitive advantages [1] - The article discusses the performance metrics of leading firms, indicating a trend towards increased profitability and market share in the asset management space [1]

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作者 | 深鹏 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 谁也没有想到，友谊的小船说翻就翻！ 如果换成普通人，估计无人在意，但两人，偏偏是这个世界上最牛的两个人，一个全世界最有权的人 --美国总统特朗普，一个是全世界最有钱 的人--特斯拉老板马斯克。 因为公开打嘴炮，特斯拉股价单日暴跌 14%，市值一夜蒸发1525亿美元，跌破1万亿美元市值。 这两个一直占据全球政治、经济、科技，以及八卦版面的人物，毫无疑问给足了流量，博主们自然是喜欢得不得了。 不过，作为正经且严肃的财经作者，咱们今天可不是来说两人之间的八卦，而是要探讨一个重要的投资问题： 特斯拉，能抄底吗？ 过山车 01 从去年下半年到现在，美股 7姐妹中，真的没有哪一家公司的股价走势，如特斯拉这般波动。 涨的时候，一个月就可以轻轻松松翻倍；跌的时候，一个月又没了一半。上落都是几千亿美金，折合人民币数万亿，等于不止一个茅台了。 走势堪称过山车，跌宕起伏之余，心脏承受力小一点，恐怕都无法应对。 不过，也必须承认， 这种高波动也带来了不少交易机会， 包括做多和做空，如果是风格激进的投资者，采用衍生品工具做交易，方向又对的 话，收益率相信非 ...

Group 1 - The European Central Bank (ECB) indicates that uncertainty in trade policies will negatively impact investment and exports [1]

潜台词：都投了些啥破公司？ "王总，之前跟您团队的李总交流，让我受益匪浅，今天特地带了我们团队核心成员向您请教。希望您 能不吝赐教，从资本的角度给我们一些宝贵的发展建议。" 王总是某投资机构的合伙人，以下是某公司创始人跟他的对话： "王总，久仰久仰，我知道您公司在我们这个行业堪称"掘金高手"，您的投资眼光之独到，投资水平之 高超，我们都是有所耳闻的。今天能见到您真是万分荣幸，感谢您能给这样宝贵的机会向您学习。" 潜台词：啥都不懂还来给我指点江山？ "王总，您对行业的理解和技术的理解真的不同于一般的基金合伙人，我也大大小小见了上百家投资机 构了，聊了不少合伙人级别的，论前瞻性和深刻性，您都是独树一帜的，比他们高出太多太多了！真 的，我讲这个话绝对不是恭维，我真没想到还有这么专业的投资人，能对我们的技术理解这么到位的！ 真令我意外！" 潜台词：呸，车轱辘话说来说去，听了几百遍了。 "王总，您太让我惊喜和刮目相看了，您抛出的这些问题都非常核心，一看就知道您是行家，真的，太 多投资人来尽调问的问题都非常小儿科和形式化，我都懒得见了。真的很少有人能像您一样对整个产业 有自上而下的深刻的洞见。我从来没有跟投资机构的合伙人 ...

Group 1: Business Insights - The essence of business is to acquire barriers [7] - A useful ancient rule in business involves finding a simple principle and strictly adhering to it [8] - Successful businesses can make decisions easily, while struggling businesses face significant difficulties in decision-making [11] Group 2: Work and Personal Conduct - Understanding the limitations of one's own intellect is crucial for effective problem-solving [18] - The importance of simplicity in thought and seriousness in action is emphasized [20] - Avoiding the temptation to conform to the average is essential for achieving exceptional results [22][23] Group 3: Investment Philosophy - The essence of investment is to seek mispriced opportunities [31] - The principle of investing in great companies at fair prices is reiterated multiple times [29] - The focus should be on long-term value rather than short-term gains [41] Group 4: Cognitive Models - Common sense is often misunderstood and is actually quite rare [39] - Self-deception is a significant barrier to personal growth and success [40] - The importance of maintaining integrity and honesty in one's actions is highlighted [49]

英国财政大臣：英国面临两个选择——投资还是衰退。 ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of cognitive models in understanding business and investment, highlighting Charlie Munger's unique thinking system that integrates principles from various hard sciences [1][3][57] - Munger's "toolbox" of 50 maxims is presented as essential for developing a robust understanding of human nature and systemic rules, which can help avoid foolish decisions [2][3][57] - The article suggests that true competitive advantage lies in building an "immunity system" against stupidity and using common sense to interpret the complexities of the world [3][4][57] Group 2 - Munger's insights on business include the necessity of identifying simple truths and adhering strictly to them, as well as the importance of recognizing when to withdraw from unfavorable situations [7][8][12] - The article discusses the significance of understanding the quality of businesses over the capabilities of their managers, advocating for a focus on the inherent strengths of companies [13][28] - It highlights the value of effective decision-making processes within successful companies, contrasting them with those that struggle to make sound choices [12][13] Group 3 - The article addresses the importance of recognizing one's cognitive limitations and the need for continuous self-reflection and adaptation in both personal and professional contexts [21][22][24] - Munger's principles encourage simplicity in thought and action, advocating for a focus on straightforward solutions rather than overcomplicating issues [25][28] - The text underscores the necessity of maintaining a strong reputation and the long-term benefits of integrity in business practices [48][57]

显微镜下的中国经济（2025 年第 20 期） 频率：每周 目前看，5 月供给形势可能仍较为稳定，需求方面出口和消费相对较好，房地 产投资继续拖累投资整体形势。 定期报告 相关报告 1、《央国企动态系列报告之 40 ——并购重组新规出台，央企 上市公司加速新兴产业布局和 "两非""两资"资产剥离》 2025-06-03 2、《美国国内政治加剧对外政 策动荡———国际时政周评》 2025-06-02 3、《PPI 或进一步下探——宏 观与大类资产周报》2025-06-02 张一平 S1090513080007 zhangyiping@cmschina.com.cn 张静静 S1090522050003 zhangjingjing@cmschina.com.cn 证券研究报告 | 宏观定期报告 2025 年 06 月 03 日 如何看待 5 月宏观经济形势 正文目录 | 1、开工率 | | --- | | 2、产能利用率…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ...