Core Insights - The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories by 370,000 barrels for the week ending June 6, compared to a decrease of 3.28 million barrels in the previous week [1] - API's Cushing crude oil inventory also saw a decline of 728,000 barrels, contrasting with an increase of 952,000 barrels in the prior week [1] - Gasoline inventories increased by 2.969 million barrels, down from an increase of 4.73 million barrels previously, while distillate inventories rose by 3.712 million barrels, compared to a previous increase of 761,000 barrels [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The EIA weekly report shows that the first week of the driving peak season saw a slump in gasoline apparent demand. The report is bearish, and the market reacted with a decline after its release. If the phenomenon of weak demand in the peak season persists, the rapidly rising refined oil inventory will soon force upstream producers to reduce production [1][9] Summary by Related Catalog Main Data - As of May 30, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 4.304 million barrels to 436.059 million barrels, exceeding the expected decrease of 1 million barrels. Cushing inventories increased by 576,000 barrels, and strategic reserve inventories increased by 509,000 barrels. Gasoline inventories increased by 5.219 million barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 4.23 million barrels, both exceeding expectations [2][3] - U.S. crude oil production increased by 7,000 barrels per day to 13.408 million barrels per day, and net imports increased by 389,000 barrels per day to 2.439 million barrels per day. Crude oil processing volume increased by 670,000 barrels per day to 16.998 million barrels per day [3] - Apparent demand for various oil products decreased: U.S. crude oil terminal apparent demand decreased by 86,000 barrels per day, gasoline apparent demand decreased by 113,500 barrels per day, distillate apparent demand decreased by 92,500 barrels per day, and jet fuel apparent demand decreased by 65,500 barrels per day [3] Report Review - The larger - than - expected decline in U.S. commercial crude oil inventories last week was mainly due to a significant increase in refinery operations. The weekly refinery utilization rate increased by 3.2% to 93.4%, driving an increase in crude oil feedstock volume [4] - In the refined oil segment, fuel demand dropped significantly after the Memorial Day, the start of the traditional demand peak season. Gasoline inventories rose sharply as terminal demand consumption was relatively slow after mid - level nodes such as gas stations stocked up before the holiday, leading to insufficient motivation for further stocking [8]

美国能源信息署（EIA）：美国上周EIA原油库存下降430万桶，彭博用户预计减少220万桶、分析师预 期下降224.920万桶，之前一周减少279.5万桶。 ...

美国至5月30日当周EIA原油库存、库欣原油库存、战略石油储备库存将于十分钟后公布。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the bleak demand outlook for global oil, highlighting the challenges faced by OPEC+ in managing production and the implications for oil prices and market dynamics [12][10]. Group 1: Oil Demand Forecast - Global oil demand is projected to grow by 1.3 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2025 according to OPEC, while the IEA forecasts a more conservative increase of 0.7 million b/d [12]. - The total world oil demand for 2026 is estimated at 106.28 million b/d, reflecting a growth of 1.22% compared to 2025 [8]. Group 2: OPEC+ Production Strategy - OPEC+ has lost some influence over the oil market and is seeking to regain control, particularly in response to non-OPEC+ producers like the U.S. [12]. - The article notes that OPEC+ plans to increase production by 410,000 b/d in July, maintaining the same increase as in previous months, indicating a strategy to recover market share [19]. Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The article highlights significant increases in oil exports from countries like Iran, Kuwait, and the UAE, although the growth rate is showing signs of slowing down [14]. - Iran's production is currently stable at 3.3 to 3.4 million b/d, with potential increases if a deal with the U.S. is reached [14]. Group 4: U.S. Oil Market Insights - U.S. shale oil production is facing a bottleneck, with active drilling rigs at their lowest since January, and profitability hinges on WTI prices remaining above $61 per barrel [19]. - The article indicates that U.S. oil production is currently at 13.401 million b/d, with a slight increase of 0.07% from the previous week [59]. Group 5: Global Oil Inventory Trends - The seasonal inventory build-up period is expected between April and June, with significant increases anticipated due to the lifting of production cuts [28]. - The article suggests that the absolute peak of global oil inventory typically occurs between May and June, which could lead to a critical test for oil prices in the coming months [28]. Group 6: Geopolitical Risks - The article mentions that geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Ukraine conflict, could further complicate the energy supply landscape and impact global oil prices [65].

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is an EIA weekly data report, indicating that peak - season stocking drives demand up but fails to reverse the downward trend [1] Group 2: Main Data - As of May 23, US commercial crude oil inventory was 440.363 million barrels, a week - on - week decrease of 2.795 million barrels, contrary to the expected increase of 0.118 million barrels. Cushing inventory increased by 75 thousand barrels, and strategic reserve inventory increased by 820 thousand barrels [2][3] - Gasoline inventory decreased by 2.441 million barrels, exceeding the expected decrease of 0.5 million barrels, and distillate inventory decreased by 0.724 million barrels, contrary to the expected increase of 0.5 million barrels [2][3] - US crude oil production increased from 13.392 million barrels per day to 13.401 million barrels per day; net imports decreased by 532 thousand barrels per day; processing volume decreased by 162 thousand barrels per day [3] - US crude oil terminal apparent demand (four - week smoothing) increased by 272 thousand barrels per day; gasoline apparent demand (four - week smoothing) increased by 88.5 thousand barrels per day; distillate apparent demand (four - week smoothing) increased by 85.75 thousand barrels per day; jet fuel apparent demand (four - week smoothing) increased by 57.75 thousand barrels per day [3] Group 3: Report Comments - Last week, the unexpected decline in US commercial crude oil inventory was mainly due to reduced net imports. This week, the sluggish US crude oil exports improved, and imports increased week - on - week, leading to the inventory decline. The weekly refinery utilization rate ended a five - week increase, decreasing by 0.5% to 90.2% [4] - The EIA report this week is bullish as both crude oil and refined product inventories are lower than expected, and peak - season stocking is reflected in the implied demand data. However, whether the stocking can remain strong depends on actual terminal demand. The US consumer confidence index has been falling for months [6] - Yesterday, oil prices fell because the US government's appeal allowed a previously blocked tariff policy to continue, and tonight's OPEC + eight - nation meeting may push for accelerated production in July. The EIA weekly data can only briefly slow down the downward trend [6] - Memorial Day on Monday this week is the start of the traditional peak demand season in the US. In the report as of last Friday, fuel demand generally rebounded, showing that mid - tier nodes such as gas stations stocked up in advance, leading to refined product inventories being generally lower than expected [8]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. federal court's ruling against Trump's tariff policy led to a temporary spike in crude oil futures, which later retreated as the government announced plans to appeal the decision [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Crude oil futures initially surged but subsequently fell after the court ruling [1] - Market focus is shifting towards the upcoming OPEC+ meeting scheduled for the weekend [1] Group 2: Inventory Data - The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a decrease of 4.2 million barrels in U.S. crude oil inventories last week [1] - The Energy Information Administration (EIA) data is expected to show a different trend, likely not replicating the same inventory drop [1] - A slight inventory decline at the Cushing delivery hub is anticipated to support West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price levels [1]

Group 1 - The key economic events and data to watch on May 29, 2025, include speeches from the Bank of England Governor Bailey and Federal Reserve officials, as well as various economic indicators from the US and Canada [1] - The Federal Reserve will release the minutes from the May monetary policy meeting at 02:00 [1] - API crude oil inventory data will be published at 04:30, followed by Canada's current account data and US initial jobless claims at 20:30 [1] - The US will also release the revised annualized quarterly GDP growth rate for Q1 at 20:30, along with the April pending home sales index at 22:00 [1] - EIA natural gas and crude oil inventory data will be available at 22:30 and midnight respectively, including strategic petroleum reserve data [1]

Group 1 - The 39th OPEC and non-OPEC oil-producing countries ministerial meeting is scheduled to take place, which may influence global oil supply and pricing dynamics [1] - The U.S. Vice President will deliver a speech at the "Bitcoin 2025" conference, potentially impacting cryptocurrency market sentiment [1] - The Federal Reserve's Williams will participate in a panel discussion at the Bank of Japan's financial research institute meeting, which could provide insights into U.S. monetary policy [1] Group 2 - Australia's April weighted CPI year-on-year data will be released, which is crucial for assessing inflation trends in the region [1] - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its interest rate decision and monetary policy statement, impacting the New Zealand dollar and economic outlook [1] - The final GDP year-on-year figure for France's first quarter will be published, providing insights into the country's economic performance [1] Group 3 - Germany's adjusted unemployment figures for May will be released, including both the number of unemployed and the unemployment rate, which are key indicators of labor market health [1] - The Swiss ZEW investor confidence index for May will be announced, reflecting investor sentiment and expectations for the Swiss economy [1] - The Richmond Fed's manufacturing index for May will be published, offering insights into the manufacturing sector's performance in the U.S. [1] Group 4 - The Federal Reserve will release the minutes from its May monetary policy meeting, which may provide clues about future interest rate decisions [1] - The API crude oil inventory data for the week ending May 23 will be released, which is significant for understanding oil supply trends in the U.S. [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The EIA weekly report is bearish. Crude oil and refined oil inventories unexpectedly increased across the board, crude oil exports continued to weaken, and terminal demand was weak, reducing the possibility of a reversal in crude oil demand [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Main Data - As of May 16, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories were 443.158 million barrels, a week - on - week increase of 1.328 million barrels, contrary to the expected decrease of 1.3 million barrels. Cushing inventories decreased by 457,000 barrels, and strategic reserve inventories increased by 843,000 barrels [2]. - Gasoline inventories increased by 816,000 barrels, contrary to the expected decrease of 500,000 barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 579,000 barrels, contrary to the expected decrease of 1.4 million barrels [2]. - U.S. crude oil production increased by 5,000 barrels per day to 13.392 million barrels per day, and net imports increased by 110,000 barrels per day to 2.582 million barrels per day [3]. - The four - week smoothed terminal apparent demand for U.S. crude oil decreased by 211,000 barrels per day to 19.6245 million barrels per day, gasoline apparent demand decreased by 192,500 barrels per day to 8.81325 million barrels per day, distillate apparent demand decreased by 122,750 barrels per day, and jet fuel apparent demand decreased by 68,500 barrels per day to 1.6865 million barrels per day [3]. 3.2 Report Comment - The unexpected increase in U.S. commercial crude oil inventories last week was mainly due to continued low crude oil exports and increased net imports. The four - week smoothed export volume hit a new low, indicating weakening global crude oil demand [4]. - The weekly refinery utilization rate increased for the fifth consecutive week by 0.5% to 90.7%, suggesting that this year's slightly longer maintenance season may be coming to an end [4]. - U.S. crude oil production has declined recently, mainly affected by falling oil prices. The average new well operating cost of U.S. shale oil companies is $65 per barrel of WTI [4]. - The strong gasoline demand momentum that exceeded the seasonal norm suddenly stopped, leading to an unexpected increase in gasoline inventories. With the approaching Memorial Day, the poor performance of gasoline demand is worrying. Distillate demand hit a 13 - month low, corresponding to the weakening manufacturing PMI [6]. 3.3 Market Impact - The EIA report was bearish. Inventory increases, weakening exports, and weak terminal demand all pointed to a weak oil market. The U.S. EIA report on the night before last contributed to the decline in oil prices, resulting in a negative daily line [8]. - Oil prices opened higher yesterday due to news of Israel's potential attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, but the lack of a realistic basis for such an attack led to a subsequent decline in oil prices [8].