央视网消息：中共中央政治局4月25日召开会议指出，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，以高质量发展的确定性应对外部环境急剧变化 的不确定性。2025年以来，我国就业形势保持总体稳定。锚定"全年城镇新增就业1200万人以上"的任务目标，我国加强就业公共服务，加力重 点领域、重点行业、城乡基层和中小微企业岗位挖潜扩容，加大就业岗位开发力度，支持重点群体就业创业。 眼下，正是高校毕业生求职旺季。"2025年全国城市联合招聘春季专场"第五批特色活动在各地持续举行。 在北京，人社部门把招聘会场开到了商圈里，设置了新质生产力专区、金融专区、跨区域协同专区等多个特色服务专区。像这样的公共就业服 务活动，近期北京还要举行350场，推送就业岗位10万多个。 针对2025年高校毕业生规模创新高、结构性就业矛盾突出等新情况新特点，自3月起，全国城市联合招聘春季专场连续推出1万多场招聘活动， 超过35万家用人单位提供岗位信息697万个，参与求职毕业生近742万人次。 在哈尔滨的高校毕业生大型招聘会上，"技能工坊"实景展示区首次亮相。9家技工院校和高端制造企业把燃烧测控柜、6轴复合协作视觉识别机 器人等设备带到现场，让求职者以实操替代 ...

2. 政策跟踪： 加快建成具有全球影响力的科技创新高地 2.1 中央政治局会议："坚定不移办好自己的事" 中共中央政治局4月25日召开会议，分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作。会议对外部风险高度警惕，对 内强调"办好自己的事"，并将"稳就业"放在更加突出位置。针对当前国际形势，政治局会议将其上升为"国 际经贸斗争"，与"反腐败斗争"措辞一致。在外部高度不确定性环境下，会议更加关注内部的高质量发展， 强调"坚定不移办好自己的事"，"着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期"。 未来，政策的灵活性和超常规性将兼备，会议提出"根据形势变化及时推出增量储备政策，加强超常规 逆周期调节"。因当前美国政策的高度不确定性，我国经济表现的可预测性也有所下降。再结合政治局会 议"要强化底线思维，充分备足预案"的表述，预计后续政策高度关注经济数据的边际变化，在数据波动加大 的时间段再度加码，保证经济增长的稳定性。 贾东旭 高级宏观分析师 侯倩楠 宏观分析师 联系人： 贾东旭 政策跟踪 政治局会议要求对既定政策的快速落实，明确提出"加紧实施"，"既定政策早出台早见效"。首先，政治 局会议敦促既定政策落地，预计两会相关政策后续落实速度将进一步 ...

◎白丽斐 记者 李苑 就业是最基本的民生。近期，人力资源社会保障部等多部门推出新一轮稳就业政策"组合拳"，包括扩容 就业空间、突出保障重点群体就业、加大职业技能培训力度等。 开栏语 中共中央政治局会议指出，"着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期"。近期，国新办就稳就业稳经济推 动高质量发展政策措施有关情况举行新闻发布会，多部门透露正在密集部署一系列增量政策。即日起， 上海证券报推出"稳经济增量政策"系列报道，从就业、外贸、投资、工业、消费等多维度跟踪解析政策 落地情况和实效。 市场人士表示，此次政策"组合拳"通过"短期纾困+长期转型"双轨并行，既解决企业现金流压力，又引 导资源向新质生产力领域聚集，有利于以产业带就业、以就业促产业，为保障和改善民生、激发企业内 生动力提供有力支撑。 加大岗位释放力度 围绕新质生产力发展、消费新热点打造、重点工程项目实施、基本民生服务提供等重点领域，央地出台 激励政策，加大岗位释放力度。 ■"稳经济增量政策"系列报道 高校毕业生等青年群体是稳就业的重中之重。2025届全国普通高校毕业生规模预计达1222万人，同比增 加43万人。人力资源社会保障部、教育部、财政部日前联合印发的《关 ...

近日，稳就业稳经济政策工具箱再次"上新"，一套支持就业、稳定外贸发展、促进消费、积极扩大有效 投资、营造稳定发展良好环境的"组合拳"，与去年9月一揽子增量政策、中央经济工作会议和全国两会 部署任务形成接续，将进一步放大政策组合效应、叠加效应、乘数效应，有力促进我国经济持续回升向 好。 就业是最大的民生工程、民心工程、根基工程，是社会稳定的重要保障。今年一季度，我国就业形势保 持总体平稳，全国城镇新增就业308万人，同比多增加5万人，快于时序进度。先进制造业、数字经济、 银发经济等领域，正在创造较多就业机会。 然而，一些挑战也不能忽视。2025届高校毕业生规模预计达1222万人，6月份即将迎来就业高峰，还有 大量农村转移劳动力需要就业，就业总量存在压力是一个客观事实。外贸承压，对我国出口企业及相关 就业岗位带来冲击；传统产业数字化转型和智能化升级，导致部分低技能岗位减少；新兴产业虽然人才 需求强劲，但培养规模有限，难以满足需求。这种结构性矛盾表现为部分毕业生难以找到心仪工作，而 许多企业又面临"招工难"困境。 我国是人口大国，正处在转变发展方式、优化经济结构、转换增长动力的攻关期，稳就业稳经济的压力 始终存在。 ...

Group 1: Private Economy Promotion Law - The Private Economy Promotion Law, effective from May 20, is China's first foundational law specifically addressing the development of the private economy, consisting of 9 chapters and 78 articles [2] - The law emphasizes the equal legal status of the private economy and aims to promote its healthy development, ensuring fair competition and improved investment and financing environments [2][3] - It addresses key concerns of private enterprises by establishing systems for fair competition, innovation support, and legal protections [2][3] Group 2: Market Access Barrier Cleanup - The National Development and Reform Commission, along with the Ministry of Commerce and the State Administration for Market Regulation, initiated a campaign to clear market access barriers, aiming to create a unified national market [4] - The focus is on rectifying unreasonable regulations and practices that violate market access requirements, including local regulations that hinder competition [4][5] - This six-month action is part of implementing a new negative list for market access, promoting a stable and transparent environment for private enterprises [4][5] Group 3: Employment and Economic Stability Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission announced five measures to stabilize employment and the economy, including support for employment, foreign trade stability, and effective investment expansion [6][7] - These measures are designed to enhance policy implementation efficiency and ensure that benefits reach businesses and the public [6][7] - The focus is on actionable policies that can support economic recovery and maintain social stability amid external challenges [6][7] Group 4: Manufacturing PMI Decline - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.0% in April, indicating a contraction after two months of expansion, with significant declines in new orders and export orders [8] - The decline is attributed to seasonal factors and a slowdown in external demand due to changing trade environments [8] - Analysts suggest that proactive macroeconomic policies are needed to bolster investment and consumer spending to stabilize the economy [8] Group 5: U.S. Economic Performance - The U.S. GDP contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, marking the worst quarterly performance since 2022, primarily due to increased imports and reduced government spending [9] - This contraction has raised concerns about the impact of tariff policies on business and consumer confidence, leading to downward revisions of economic forecasts [9] - The economic downturn poses challenges for the current U.S. administration, affecting its credibility and public support [9] Group 6: U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Agreement - The U.S. and Ukraine signed an agreement to establish a joint investment fund, with both countries holding equal shares and management rights [10][11] - The agreement allows Ukraine to retain ownership and control over its mineral resources, addressing a key concern for Ukraine [11] - While the agreement does not explicitly mention U.S. security guarantees, it signals continued military support for Ukraine amid ongoing conflict [11] Group 7: U.S. Auto Tariff Policy Adjustments - The U.S. government announced adjustments to auto tariffs, including exemptions for imported auto parts and a small rebate for domestic manufacturers [12] - These changes come in response to widespread opposition to previous tariff policies, which could negatively impact consumer interests [12] - Despite these adjustments, uncertainties surrounding tariff policies continue to pose challenges for the automotive industry and consumer sentiment [12]

Core Viewpoint - Employment stability is crucial for economic stability and social harmony, prompting the government to implement policies aimed at stabilizing employment and promoting high-quality economic development [1][2]. Group 1: Employment Policies and Measures - The government has introduced several measures to stabilize employment and the economy, building on previous policies from September 2022 and the Central Economic Work Conference [1][2]. - In 2024, the target for new urban employment is set at 12.56 million, with an average urban survey unemployment rate of 5.1% [2]. - The total number of migrant workers has increased by 2.2 million year-on-year, with 33.05 million people from poverty alleviation programs engaged in work [2]. Group 2: Employment Challenges and Structural Issues - Despite the positive employment outlook, challenges such as "difficulty in hiring" and "employment difficulties" persist, indicating structural employment issues [2][3]. - There is a need for timely adjustments to employment policies and the introduction of reserve policies to optimize the employment environment [2][4]. Group 3: Labor Market Dynamics - Workers often rely on existing job experiences and skills, leading to a lag in recognizing new job opportunities in emerging industries, which exacerbates structural unemployment [3]. - Companies tend to stick to traditional business practices, which can hinder investment and job creation, necessitating support for businesses to adapt and expand [3][4]. Group 4: Policy Recommendations - The government should implement proactive reserve policies and enhance unemployment insurance to stabilize market expectations and alleviate employment market fluctuations [4]. - Strengthening financial support and services for businesses can help mitigate the pressures of transformation and recruitment [3][4].

Group 1: Market Overview - In 2025, gold purchases are becoming a preferred investment choice for residents in Beijing amid negative consumption growth [2][4] - Beijing's retail sales of consumer goods decreased by 3.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with gold and jewelry consumption showing a significant increase of 29% [2][4] - In March 2025, gold and jewelry consumption reached 78.7 billion yuan, ranking just below automotive and communication equipment categories [2] Group 2: Gold Price Trends - The price of gold has been on the rise, with a 28.2% increase in the closing price of Au9999 gold in 2024 and a further 27.8% increase in 2025 [2][6] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has been highlighted due to geopolitical uncertainties and economic instability, leading to increased investment in gold bars and coins [6] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - There is a notable divergence in gold consumption trends, with gold jewelry consumption declining by 26.85% in Q1 2025, while gold bars and coins saw a growth of 29.81% [6] - The overall consumer spending in Beijing has been affected by various factors, including insufficient effective demand and intense market competition [4][10] Group 4: Economic Context - The overall economic environment in Beijing has shown signs of slowing recovery, with the first quarter of 2025 reflecting a decline in various consumer sectors, particularly in the restaurant and hospitality industries [8][10] - Employment in the service sector has also been impacted, with a decrease in the number of employees in key industries such as catering and information technology [9][10]

习近平：要坚定不移办好自己的事，坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放，多措并举稳就业、稳企业、稳市 场、稳预期，有效稳住经济基本盘 中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平30日上午在上海主持召开部分省区市"十五五"时期经 济社会发展座谈会并发表重要讲话。习近平指出，谋划"十五五"时期经济社会发展，要前瞻性把握国际 形势发展变化对我国的影响，因势利导对经济布局进行调整优化。要坚定不移办好自己的事，坚定不移 扩大高水平对外开放，多措并举稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，有效稳住经济基本盘，加快构建新 发展格局，全面推动高质量发展。要更加注重统筹发展和安全，通盘考虑内外部风险挑战，健全国家安 全体系，增强维护安全能力，以高效能治理促进高质量发展和高水平安全良性互动，以新安全格局保障 新发展格局。 ...

报告类型 股指日评 日期 2025 年 4 月 30 日 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(宏观国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与后市展望 1.1 行情回顾： 4 月 29 日，万得全 A 缩量上涨，低开上涨后震荡运行，收涨 0.20%，超 6 成 个股飘红。指数现货方面，沪深 300、上证 50、中证 500、中证 1000 低开上涨后 震荡回落，尾盘有所回升，前二者收跌 0.17%、0.22%，后二者分别上涨 0.12%、 0.45%，中小盘股更为强势。指数期货方面，IH 主力合约表现弱于现货，收跌 0.26%， IF、IC、IM 主力合约表现强于现货，IF 收跌 ...

广州日报评论员张冬梅 说到稳经济，总不免与可预期、确定性、韧性、安全这些词相关联。揆诸当下，稳经济说到底就是要坚 定不移办好自己的事，以高质量发展的确定性应对外部环境急剧变化的不确定性。确定性、稳定性来自 哪？精准度高、含金量足、获得感强的政策措施，无疑是重要方面。 打好"组合拳"，打开新天地。相信随着若干举措有力实施、既定政策落地见效，持续巩固"稳"的基 础、"进"的动能、"好"的态势，必将推动中国经济巨轮乘风破浪、稳健前行！ 稳在"精准"。政策要"解渴"、出成效，就要方向准、路子对。就业、外贸、消费，这些领域不仅承压较 大，同时各方主体"体感"强烈、影响面广。若干举措直面重点领域、突出问题，有的放矢、精准施策。 镜头再聚焦，一业一策、一企一策，对企业加大扩岗支持，降低外贸企业内销成本，保障中小企业合理 融资需求……企业"细胞"活力旺盛，经济才能"身强体健"。稳住企业就稳住了市场、稳住了经济，必将 催生高质量发展的化学反应。 （文章来源：广州日报） 稳在"务实"。政策实不实，不仅看力度，还看节奏。先说前者，无论是加大真金白银支持力度，还是设 立新型政策性金融工具，抑或是制定实施充电设施"倍增"行动，纵观若干 ...