美联储降息预期
Search documents
什么情况?黄金、白银、美股期货,刚刚全线下跌!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 13:41
Market Overview - Multiple asset prices have declined due to various uncertainties, with spot gold dropping over 1% and silver falling more than 3% [1][9] - As of the latest update, gold traded below $4900 per ounce and silver fell to a low of $73 per ounce [1][9] U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stock index futures are collectively down, with the Nasdaq 100 futures falling nearly 1% [4][12] - Gold and tech stocks in the U.S. are weakening, with Harmony Gold down over 4%, and major tech companies like AMD, Intel, and Broadcom down over 1% [6][14] Economic Indicators - The expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut has weakened, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in March now at 7.8%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is at 92.2% [6][14] - The UK labor market is showing signs of weakness, with the unemployment rate rising to 5.2% in Q4 2025, the highest level in nearly five years, and total unemployment increasing to approximately 1.883 million, a year-on-year rise of 281,000 [6][14] Geopolitical Developments - Ongoing negotiations between Russia, Ukraine, and the U.S. are taking place in Geneva, with uncertain outcomes [7][15] - Iran and the U.S. have concluded their second round of negotiations, discussing nuclear issues and sanctions, with Iran expressing a willingness to continue talks [7][15]
金银价格,下行压力加剧
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 13:03
截至发稿,现货方面,现货黄金一度失守4900美元/盎司关口,最新价报4941.04美元/盎司,日内下跌 1.00%;现货白银在日内多次震荡,最新价报75.06美元/盎司,日内下跌2.04%;期货方面,COMEX黄 金报4958.3美元/盎司,日内下跌1.74%;COMEX白银报74.93美元/盎司,日内下跌3.89%。 | 黄金/美元 [] Q | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | XAU | | | | | 持仓 日増 -100%-4979 芯于 | | | | | 5120.78 2.60% 卖1 4941.33 | 0 | | | | 买1 4940.75 | 0 | | | | 时 价 111 | | | | | 20:28 4941.86J | O | | | | 20:28 4942.591 | 0 | | | | 20:28 4941.97J 成交量 0 分时量:0- 现量: -- | 0 | | | | 20:28 4941.31J | 0 | | | | 7 | | | | | MACD ▼ DIF:2.545 ↓ DEA:2.580 ↓ M :- 0.07 ...
黄金白银价格,集体下跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 11:26
转自:央视网微信公号 在美联储降息预期有所降温的背景下,黄金在5000美元/盎司的关键心理关口遭遇阻力,叠加部分投资者获利了结,加剧了贵金属价格的 下行压力。 | < 财富 | | 白银/美元 | | 8 [1 Q | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | XAG | | | | | | 72.98 | 今井 76.55 最高 | | 76.91 最低 | | 72.81 | | | -4.75% -3.64 | 总手 | -- 持仓 | -- 日增 | | | | | 结算 | 昨结 76.62 | | | | 曲家 | | | 分时 五日 | | 周K | 目K | 更多, | 103 | | | 80.43 | | | 4.97% 卖1 | 73.00 | | 0 | | | | | 派 | 72.96 | | O | | | | | | 分时成交 | | | | 16.62 ANA | | | 13:32 | 72.891 | | 0 | | | | | 13:32 | 72.884 | | 0 | | | | | 13:32 | ...
新年第一天,黄金、白银价格,集体下跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 11:25
截至北京时间17日12时30分,伦敦现货黄金价格报4956.77美元/盎司,下跌0.72%; 现货白银价格报75.325美元/盎司,下跌1.64%; 集体下跌 当地时间17日,全球多个主要市场因传统节日休市,贵金属市场交投清淡。在美联储降息预期有所降温 的背景下,黄金在5000美元/盎司的关键心理关口遭遇阻力,叠加部分投资者获利了结,加剧了贵金属 价格的下行压力。 纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期价报每盎司4971.60美元,跌幅为1.48%。 3月交割的白银期价报每盎司75.505美元,跌幅为3.15%。 责编丨毛佳莉 审核丨程云 来源 | 人民网 编辑 | 黄馨映 ...
美元指数连续两日收高:美联储降息预期遭质疑,对冲基金削减空头头寸
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 11:25
智通财经APP注意到,美元连续第二个交易日小幅走高,并未理会市场定价所暗示的美联储今年约三次降息的预期。Bloomberg美元现货指数上涨0.1%,尽 管日元走强约0.4%,但由于该货币篮子中其他货币的下跌,维持了该指数的高位。 期权市场显示,对美元的短期看跌情绪有所缓解,所谓的近端风险逆转指标处于近一个月来负值程度最低的水平。 Brown Brothers Harriman全球市场策略主管埃利亚斯.哈达德表示,"联邦基金利率的降息押注看起来有些过度,这为短期内推升美元的重新定价留下了空 间,"他提到了具有韧性的增长以及停留在美联储2%目标之上的核心通胀。 包括首席外汇分析师延斯.纳维格.佩德森在内的丹麦银行分析师写道,强于预期的1月就业报告削弱了春季进行额外"保险式降息"的理由。他们仍预计美联储 将在6月和9月降息,随后将利率维持在3.00%-3.25%的区间直至2027年。 随着美伊核谈判新一轮临近,地缘政治风险再次成为关注焦点。 由于美国市场周一休市,且在美联储会议纪要和周五个人消费支出(PCE)数据公布前基本没有重要议程,投资者在缺乏明确宏观催化剂的情况下有空间进行 头寸调整。 据熟悉交易情况的汇率交 ...
黄金、白银,盘中跳水!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing downward pressure due to reduced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and profit-taking by investors, with gold facing resistance at the psychological level of $5000 per ounce [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On February 17, spot silver dropped over 4%, reaching a low of $73.06 per ounce, while spot gold fell over 1%, hitting a low of $4922 per ounce [1] - As of 12:30 PM Beijing time on February 17, the London spot gold price was reported at $4956.77 per ounce, down 0.72%, and the spot silver price was at $75.325 per ounce, down 1.64% [1] - The New York Mercantile Exchange's April gold futures price was reported at $4971.60 per ounce, with a decline of 1.48%, while March silver futures were at $75.505 per ounce, down 3.15% [1] Group 2: Broader Market Impact - The U.S. stock market also experienced a downturn, with the Nasdaq 100 index futures dropping over 0.70% [1]
黄金、白银,集体大跌!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 09:58
国际贵金属价格突然跳水 大年初一 截至2月17日17时18分 现货黄金报4920.092美元/盎司 日内跌1.42% 现货白银报74.62美元/盎司 日内跌2.56% | < W | 伦敦金现 | | | | Q | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | 4920.092 "F4" | | | 4990.794 总量 | | 0 | | -70.702 | -1.42% - | | 4991.895 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 5000.850 | | 0 | 外 盘 | 0 | | 最低价 | 4857.960 | 增 仓 | 0 | 内 盘 | 0 | | 分时 | 五日 | 目K | 周K | 申名 | (0) | | 造加 | | | 均价:0.000 | | | | 5123.628 | | | | 2.66% 卖一 4920.350 | | | | | | | 买一 4920.092 | | | | | | | 17:18 4920.770 17:18 4920.320 | 0 0 | | ...
黄金、白银盘中大幅跳水,发生了什么?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-17 08:53
2月17日,现货黄金、白银价格盘中突然大幅跳水,白银一度暴跌约5%,随后跌幅收窄;现货黄金跌破 4900美元/盎司,截至发稿报4920.07美元/盎司。 美国总统特朗普16日对媒体说,他将"间接"参与美国和伊朗谈判。他还表示,伊朗是"强硬的谈判者", 但认为对方"希望达成协议",因为伊朗不愿承担谈判失败的后果。据悉,美方的谈判团队由美国总统特 朗普的特使威特科夫和女婿库什纳带领。 本月6日,伊朗和美国代表在阿曼首都马斯喀特举行间接谈判。双方同意继续谈判,但在核心问题上仍 然分歧严重。 每日经济新闻综合央视新闻、公开消息 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 当地时间17日,全球多个主要市场因传统节日休市,贵金属市场交投清淡。在美联储降息预期有所降温 的背景下,黄金在5000美元/盎司的关键心理关口遭遇阻力,叠加部分投资者获利了结,加剧了贵金属 价格的下行压力。 与此同时,美股三大指数期货也全线跳水。纳指跌0.53%,日经225指数跌0.42%,富时中国A50期货指 数跌超0.7%。 据央视新闻,伊朗外长阿拉格齐率领的伊朗代表团当地时间16日抵达瑞士日内瓦,当地时间17日将与美 国代表团举行新一轮间接谈判。阿拉格齐16日 ...
黄金、白银价格,集体下跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 08:49
现货白银价格报75.325美元/盎司,下跌1.64%; 纽约商品交易所4月交割的黄金期价报每盎司4971.60美元,跌幅为1.48%。 3月交割的白银期价报每盎司75.505美元,跌幅为3.15%。 来源:中国证券报-中证网 当地时间17日,全球多个主要市场因传统节日休市,贵金属市场交投清淡。在美联储降息预期有所降温 的背景下,黄金在5000美元/盎司的关键心理关口遭遇阻力,叠加部分投资者获利了结,加剧了贵金属 价格的下行压力。 截至北京时间17日12时30分,伦敦现货黄金价格报4956.77美元/盎司,下跌0.72%; ...
机构:美元持续小幅攀升 无视市场对美联储约三次降息的预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-17 08:31
Core Viewpoint - The US dollar has experienced a slight increase for the second consecutive trading day, disregarding market expectations of approximately three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The options market indicates a reduction in bearish sentiment towards the dollar, with the front-end risk reversal indicator dropping to its lowest negative level in nearly a month [1] - The currency market currently anticipates that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by about 64 basis points by the end of the year [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Some strategists believe that the expectation of three rate cuts may be excessive, as it could exceed what is supported by economic data, posing a risk for a rebound in the dollar [1] - Elias Haddad, the global head of market strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, suggests that the expectations for Fed rate cuts appear to be overstated, providing room for a short-term strengthening of the dollar [1] - He notes that economic growth remains robust and inflation levels continue to stay above the Fed's 2% target [1]