金价逼近历史高位 专家：突破3500美元/盎司最高水平的可能性较大 金十数据6月3日讯，中国（香港）金融衍生品投资研究院院长王红英表示，此次黄金价格上涨主要受多 方面因素推动。王红英预期，由于推动黄金价格上涨的利好因素多为结构性支撑因素，黄金在近期表现 强势是大概率事件。就目前黄金价格走势来看，距离前期3500美元/盎司的历史最高价已不远。从技术 上分析，价格延续并接近甚至突破3500美元/盎司最高水平的可能性较大。 （国是直通车） ...

现货黄金突破3300美元/盎司，日内涨0.33%。 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent trend in gold prices, highlighting two consecutive reversal signals on the daily chart [1] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring price breakout levels to capture significant market movements and profits [1]

Group 1 - The international gold market experienced significant volatility on May 29, with spot gold prices dropping over 1% to $3252.19 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures fell by 1.40% to $3276 per ounce [1][2] - Domestic gold jewelry prices in China also declined in response to international market fluctuations, with major brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang seeing prices drop to around 1000 yuan per gram [3][4] - The recent drop in gold prices is attributed to a easing of geopolitical tensions, which reduced the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [4][5] Group 2 - Recent gold price movements have shown a range between a high of $3400 and a low of $3120, indicating a downward shift in both the high and low points compared to previous levels [5] - Analysts suggest that if gold prices do not fall below the $3120 mark, there may be a potential for a rebound in the second half of the year, contingent on fundamental market conditions [5] - A recent U.S. court ruling has blocked President Trump's tariff policy, which may have implications for the broader economic environment and consequently affect gold prices [5][6]

美联储会议纪要公布后，现货黄金短线波动不大，现报3296.79美元/盎司。 ...

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced significant volatility and entered a correction phase in late May 2025, with spot gold falling below $3,300 per ounce, marking a 1.4% decline in a single day and approximately 6% down from the historical high of $3,509.9 in April [1] Group 1: Downward Driving Factors - Decrease in safe-haven demand due to progress in US-China and EU-US tariff negotiations and easing Middle East tensions, leading to a shift of funds from gold to risk assets like US stocks [1] - Strengthening US dollar with the index rising above 99.6, marking the largest weekly gain since March 2023, and a reduction in market expectations for interest rate cuts from 53 basis points to 47 basis points, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold [3] - Technical selling pressure intensified after gold prices fell below the key psychological level of $3,300, triggering stop-loss orders in program trading, with a 12% weekly decrease in COMEX gold futures open interest and a 35% drop in speculative long positions [3] Group 2: Market Chain Reactions - Divergence in consumption and investment, with domestic gold jewelry prices dropping to 987 yuan per gram, over 100 yuan lower than the April peak, while A-share gold stocks experienced a single-day decline of over 3% [4] - Global largest gold ETF (SPDR Gold Trust) increased holdings by 28 tons, indicating long-term investment interest, while short-term trading funds accelerated withdrawals, with COMEX gold put options reaching a historical high [5] Group 3: Future Trend Assessment - Short-term risks include potential declines to the $3,135 range if the $3,280 support level is breached, with extreme scenarios testing the $3,000 mark, and increased market volatility expected ahead of the Federal Reserve's June rate decision and the US core PCE index release [7] - Long-term support logic includes a 170% year-on-year increase in global central bank gold purchases in Q1 2025 and the introduction of gold weight in BRICS countries' settlement mechanisms providing structural support [8] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Prioritize purchasing from Shenzhen Shui Bei wholesale market or promotional brand products, avoiding high-premium gold jewelry with processing fees exceeding 200 yuan per gram [9] - Ordinary investors are advised to gradually build positions in gold ETFs or bank accumulation gold, maintaining a portfolio allocation of 5%-10% of household assets, while leveraged traders should be cautious of liquidity risks in US debt markets [10] Group 5: Technical Focus Points - Key support levels identified at $3,280 (EMA20 period moving average) and $3,135 (Fibonacci 50% retracement level), with resistance levels at $3,342 (May 27 opening price) and $3,365 (downward trend line resistance) [11]

黄金价格连续下跌，美元反弹、贸易缓和，是短期波动还是趋势反转？美联储降息预期能否拯救？ 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

5月27日下午，现货黄金跌破3300美元/盎司，日内跌1.45%。 国内黄金现货也出现下跌。 今年以来，黄金总是重复以两种方式登上热搜：大涨与大跌。 尤其进入5月，这种趋势更为明显，屡创历史新高的金价开启了波动更为剧烈的过山车模式。过去两周 内，国际金价逐渐跌破每盎司3500美元、3400美元和3300美元关口。曾经一夜之间靠黄金"赚翻"的投资 者，经此震荡纷纷感叹"亏麻了"。 中国(香港)金融衍生品投资研究院院长王红英告诉记者，近期黄金出现巨大震荡行情，主要源于影响黄 金价格的利多与利空因素之间的结构性矛盾，以及市场情绪的放大作用。 "黄金价格受到国际经济形势变化、主要货币走势、地缘政治摩擦等多重因素影响，短期内多重因素的 博弈导致黄金价格经历了暴涨暴跌的剧烈波动。"王红英说道。 花旗在研报中明确表示，此轮金价从最高点下调的核心原因在于全球关税谈判取得突破性进展。报告强 调："此前推动金价上涨的关键因素——关税担忧正在明显缓解，这直接导致黄金市场进入阶段性盘 整。" 招商期货金融衍生品主管徐世伟从交易角度对记者进一步分析，金价站上高位后，震荡较大属于正常现 象，直接原因在于大资金涌入造成了更大波动性。 世界 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have led to increased caution among institutional and individual investors regarding gold asset allocation, particularly with a notable outflow from gold ETFs [1][5][6] Price Fluctuations - Gold prices experienced a rebound after a decline from May 7 to May 19, with the London spot gold price reaching a high of $3345.4 per ounce on May 22, marking a 3.31% increase from May 20 to 22 [2][3] - The previous two weeks saw a significant drop of 5.88%, with prices falling to a low of $3120.2 per ounce [2][3] Investor Sentiment - There is a growing cautious attitude among investors towards gold, as evidenced by a shift from net inflows to net outflows in gold ETFs since April 22, with a notable outflow of 31 billion yuan from nine out of thirteen ETFs from May 1 to 22 [6][7] - The market sentiment has shifted towards a more bearish outlook, with increased short positions in gold and a decrease in long positions [6][7] Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term demand for gold remains strong due to ongoing global economic uncertainties, inflation expectations, and central bank policies [4][8] - Analysts suggest that the fundamental logic supporting gold as an investment has not changed, and long-term capital continues to flow into gold-related assets [8] Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Recent geopolitical risks, including the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and tensions in the Middle East, have provided support for gold prices [3][4] - The potential for a "global capital flow transformation" has been noted, as investors shift from traditional safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar and bonds to gold [3][4]

黄金价格创下超过一个月来的最大周度涨幅，美股黄金股上涨，SPDR黄金ETF上涨1.9%。 ...