截至10月8日，全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust持仓较上日增加1.43吨，当前持仓量为1014.58吨。 资讯编辑：王芳琴 021-66896877 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 ...

9月29日，伦敦金现货价格盘中一度触及3819.81美元/盎司历史新高，突破3800美元/盎司关口。贵金属 市场全线飘红，伦敦银现货价格同样刷新历史新高，A股贵金属板块午后拉升。 机构人士认为，在美联储降息等因素的支撑下，金价中长期仍具上涨空间。瑞银财富管理投资总监办公 室（CIO）预测，到2026年年中，金价或达到3900美元/盎司。 ● 本报记者 葛瑶 本轮金价上行原因何在？中信建投宏观首席分析师周君芝认为，8月底以来，黄金打破今年5月之后的震 荡格局，出现趋势性上行行情，金融投资参与者或是本轮资金的主要来源。金融投资的市场参与者主要 包括黄金ETF投资者、全球央行以及期货的非商业多头持仓。 她表示，回溯2025年上半年黄金投资需求，二季度投资需求出现边际放缓，或是5月之后价格出现调整 的主要原因。进入下半年，黄金ETF投资在5月出现单月流出之后，6至8月连续三个月实现流入，总持 仓量持续反弹。同时，二季度，各经济体央行的购金需求保持在健康水平，达到166吨；而全球金饰消 费量同期则录得两位数跌幅。因此，机构认为，当前金价上涨主要由金融投资推动，而非私人消费或实 物投资。 从数据来看，9月以来黄金ETF的 ...

与之相反，珠宝需求对价格极为敏感，金价上涨会导致珠宝需求减少。同样出人意料的是，珠宝需求增加反而可能是金价的"利空信号"， 因为只有当金价下跌时，珠宝需求才会回升。 周一，现货黄金价格再创历史新高，触及3830美元关口，今年迄今已累计飙升逾45%。 黄金ETF和金价的每周波动 这一结论与布鲁金斯学会（The Brookings Institution）学者罗宾·布鲁克斯（Robin Brooks）的观点不谋而合。罗宾·布鲁克斯在X平台上发 文称，"市场并非在交易美元贬值，而是在交易各类法定货币相对黄金的普遍贬值"，这是"全球债务危机的信号"。 随着黄金价格再度刷新历史高位，一家头部银行指出，当前市场中有两股"主动买盘力量"是推动金价飙升的关键：各国央行与交易所交易 基金（ETF）。 在谈及黄金上涨的核心动力时，德意志银行的迈克尔·薛认为，"并非所有需求都具有同等影响力"。他指出，来自各国央行的官方需求对 价格不敏感——过去三年，央行每年新增黄金需求400至500吨，而这一增长恰好与金价大幅上涨同期出现。 德意志银行周一发布的报告显示，ETF对黄金定价的影响力，较过去三年提升了50%。这一数据也为该行9月17日 ...

Core Viewpoint - As of September 15, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its holdings by 2.01 tons, bringing the total holdings to 976.81 tons [1] Group 1 - SPDR Gold Trust is recognized as the largest gold ETF globally [1] - The increase in holdings indicates a positive trend in investor interest in gold [1] - Current total holdings of SPDR Gold Trust stand at 976.81 tons [1]

Group 1 - As of September 12, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, saw a decrease in holdings by 3.15 tons [1] - The current holding amount for SPDR Gold Trust is 974.80 tons [1]

Core Viewpoint - As of September 10, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its holdings by 0.28 tons, bringing the total holdings to 979.96 tons [1] Group 1 - SPDR Gold Trust is currently the largest gold ETF globally [1] - The increase in holdings indicates a positive trend in gold investment [1] - The current total holdings of SPDR Gold Trust stand at 979.96 tons [1]

Group 1 - U.S. gold mining stocks rose in pre-market trading following the release of non-farm payroll data, with gold reaching a historic high [1] - SPDR Gold ETF increased by 0.9%, indicating strong investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - Harmony Gold surged by 5.7%, Barrick Gold and Newmont Mining both rose by 1.9%, reflecting positive market sentiment towards gold mining companies [1]

Group 1: Market Trends - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is driving up precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver [1] - The COMEX silver has reached a new high for the year, while London gold is approaching its annual peak, indicating a strong technical breakout [1] - The core PCE index in the U.S. has risen for three consecutive months, suggesting persistent inflationary pressures, which is fueling market speculation for a rate cut in September [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch in the precious metals sector include Xingye Silver, Shengda Resources, Zijin Mining, and Shandong Gold, which are expected to benefit from rising gold and silver prices [1] - The gold stock ETF has shown a significant increase, with a 44.43% rise in net value over the past year, indicating strong performance in the gold sector [5] Group 3: ETF Performance - The gold stock ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 16.59% since its inception, with a historical one-year profit probability of 100% [5] - The ETF has a Sharpe ratio of 1.51, ranking it in the top 33% of comparable funds, indicating higher returns for the same level of risk [5] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Stock Index, which includes 50 major companies involved in gold mining, refining, and sales [5][6] Group 4: Index Composition - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong and Shanghai Gold Industry Stock Index account for 66.52% of the index, with Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold being the largest components [6][8] - The performance of individual stocks within the index shows significant gains, with Zijin Mining up 4.25% and Shandong Gold up 5.94% [8]

Core Viewpoint - Gold futures experienced a slight increase, reversing earlier losses, driven by concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following President Trump's attempt to dismiss a Fed governor [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Gold futures for August delivery rose by 0.5%, closing at $3,404.60 per ounce, marking the highest closing price since August 8 [2] - Silver futures for August delivery increased by 0.3%, closing at $38.689 per ounce [2] Group 2: Influencing Factors - Two main factors driving the recent rise in gold prices include signals from Fed Chair Jerome Powell regarding a potential rate cut in September and Trump's actions raising concerns about the Fed's independence [1] - Ongoing geopolitical risks, such as increased attacks on Russian energy infrastructure by Ukraine, and unresolved trade tensions are expected to maintain a solid risk premium in gold prices [1] Group 3: Investment Products - Related exchange-traded funds (ETFs) include SPDR Gold ETF (GLD.US), VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX.US), VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), iShares Silver ETF (SLV), and GlobalX Silver Miners ETF (SIVR) [2]

Group 1 - The recent comments by Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference have sparked market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September, leading to a rebound in U.S. stocks close to historical highs [1] - Investors are discussing effective ways to protect returns ahead of Nvidia's earnings report, employment and inflation data, and the Fed's interest rate decision [1] - There is a notable absence of buying call options on the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), which is typically a common hedging tool for investors [1] Group 2 - In the current market environment, vanilla put options or put spreads on the S&P 500 index are considered more reliable hedging tools, with a steep volatility skew helping to lower the cost of put spreads [2] - JPMorgan strategists have suggested a binary trading strategy betting on a decline of over 5% in the S&P 500 index by year-end, alongside a 0.2% rise in 10-year Treasury yields [2] - The high cost of VIX call options compared to S&P 500 put options is attributed to the rising volatility of VIX options relative to the low actual volatility of the S&P 500 [2] Group 3 - The steepness of the VIX futures term structure leads to higher holding costs, making call options less reliable and harder to realize profits [3] - Recent fund flows have shifted towards bullish funds, with over $2.5 billion flowing into leveraged VIX ETPs since April, while over $1 billion has exited inverse VIX funds [3] - The daily rebalancing of these products exacerbates the steepness of the term structure by selling short-term VIX futures and buying long-term contracts [3] Group 4 - Leveraged VIX ETPs may amplify volatility, as they buy futures during volatility spikes and sell during declines, potentially leading to significant futures sell-offs during market downturns [4] - Historical performance shows that S&P 500 put options outperformed VIX call options during low volatility sell-offs, indicating a preference for simpler hedging strategies [4] Group 5 - The upcoming Nvidia earnings report is a key event before the September Fed meeting, with options markets indicating a potential 5.8% volatility post-report, consistent with the average volatility over the past eight quarters [5] - Nvidia is considered a crucial stock in the market, and any failure to validate the current AI-driven bull market could lead to significant shifts in market sentiment [5]