据英国《金融时报》7日报道称，美国政府决定对原本享受关税豁免的进口金条征收关税。1公斤金条是全球最大黄金期货市场"纽约商品交易所"最常见的 交易品，也是瑞士对美黄金出口的主要种类。《金融时报》的这一报道迅速引发了全球黄金市场新的动荡。8日，纽约商品交易所12月交割黄金期货盘中 一度大涨2%，达到每盎司3534.10美元的历史新高，随后涨幅降至1%，为每盎司3489.40美元。 本周，受关税政策影响，已有两家瑞士黄金精炼厂减少或暂停对美国的黄金出口，市场预计，供应减少将在短期推高纽约黄金期货价格。国际金价本周累 计上涨约2.69%。 市场上对于黄金价格趋势的分析各不相同。黄金价格主导因素复杂，包括全球经济波动、美元宽松政策、央行购金等，且各因素此消彼长。中国（香港） 金融衍生品投资研究院院长王红英认为，从中长期看，黄金价格大概率延续上涨趋势，第一目标位为每盎司4000美元，未来甚至可能突破5000美元。但从 技术层面看，价格突破历史新高后可能伴随技术性回调，市场波动将加剧。 8日，上海黄金交易所发布《关于继续做好近期市场风险控制工作的通知》。《通知》指出，近期影响市场不稳定的因素较多，为防范市场波动可能带来 的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The price of gold bars in China has stabilized around 700 CNY per gram since mid-March, with experts suggesting a long-term upward trend despite recent fluctuations [1] Group 1: Current Price Trends - Domestic investment gold bar prices have been hovering around the 700 CNY per gram mark for over four months, having previously exceeded 800 CNY per gram [1] - Last week, gold prices retreated from a high of 3400 USD per ounce, indicating volatility influenced by trade tensions [1] Group 2: Influencing Factors - Trade wars and tariff disputes have significantly impacted gold prices, with prices rising during intense trade conflicts and falling when agreements are reached [1] - Experts predict that ongoing geopolitical, economic, and military tensions between nations will continue to support a long-term increase in gold prices [1]

Core Insights - Gold prices are experiencing volatility, with uncertainty in the market regarding the direction of trends [1] - Traders are facing challenges in determining whether to adopt a bullish or bearish stance [1] - A live session is being conducted by TTPS Trading School to provide insights on market strategies [1] Market Analysis - The current market conditions indicate a struggle between bullish and bearish sentiments among traders [1] - The ongoing fluctuations in gold prices suggest a need for careful positioning by market participants [1] - The live broadcast aims to assist traders in navigating these uncertain market conditions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the long-term bullish outlook for gold, driven by continuous money printing by central banks and the inherent value of gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation [3][21][57]. Group 1: Historical Performance of Gold - From December 1990 to June 2025, gold prices increased from $388 to $3452.60 per ounce, representing a total increase of 789.85% over 34.51 years, with an annualized return of 6.54% [4]. - Gold experienced two significant drawdowns: a maximum drawdown of -39.12% from February 1996 to July 1999 and -44.36% from September 2011 to December 2015 [7][10]. - After each major drawdown, gold prices eventually reached new highs, indicating resilience in the long-term trend [8]. Group 2: Recent Trends in Gold Prices - From July 2015 to June 2025, gold prices rose by 228.76%, continuing an upward trend for 9.5 years [14]. - Since January 2024, gold prices have increased by 66.65%, from $2071.8 to $3452.60 [18]. - In 2024, gold prices rose by 27.39%, and in 2025, they have already increased by 30.81% [21]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The relationship between the US dollar index and gold prices is often negative, with periods of both strong and weak correlation observed [22]. - Key factors affecting gold prices include Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, US debt creditworthiness, economic recession risks, trade wars, geopolitical tensions, and demand for gold in jewelry and industrial applications [24][26][29][30]. - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with notable purchases from countries like Poland and China [41][44]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article discusses the potential impact of US debt ceiling negotiations on market stability and gold prices, highlighting the risks associated with political gridlock [38][40]. - The ongoing trend of central banks accumulating gold is expected to support long-term price increases, as seen in recent data showing significant purchases [41][46]. - The overall sentiment remains bullish for gold, with the expectation that even if short-term fluctuations occur, the long-term upward trajectory will prevail [57].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing a continuous decline, influenced by a rebound in the US dollar and easing trade tensions, raising questions about whether this is a short-term fluctuation or a trend reversal, and whether expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts can provide relief [1] Group 1 - The recent drop in gold prices is attributed to a strengthening US dollar [1] - Easing trade tensions are contributing to the current market dynamics affecting gold prices [1] - There is uncertainty regarding whether the current situation represents a temporary fluctuation or a more significant trend reversal in the gold market [1] Group 2 - The potential impact of Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations on gold prices is being closely monitored [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent drop in gold prices by $100 raises questions about the sustainability of the upward trend in the gold market [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Gold prices have experienced a significant decline, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [1] - The current price drop suggests that the bullish trend in gold may be coming to an end [1] Group 2: Economic Factors - Various economic indicators and geopolitical events are influencing the fluctuations in gold prices [1] - Investors are reassessing their positions in gold as alternative investments become more attractive [1]