Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.14%, the S&P 500 up 0.79%, and the Nasdaq up 1.38% [1] - Major tech stocks saw collective gains, with Tesla rising over 3%, Amazon and Facebook up over 2%, and Google and Nvidia nearly 2% [3] Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor stocks generally rose, with Micron Technology increasing over 10%, TSMC up nearly 3%, and ASML up over 2% [3] - Notable price movements included Micron at $248.55 (+10.21%), Tesla at $483.37 (+3.45%), and Amazon at $226.76 (+2.48%) [4] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.97%, with individual stocks like BOSS Zhipin up over 5% and XPeng Motors and Hesai Technology nearly 3% [3] Trump Media Technology Group - Trump Media Technology Group's stock surged over 40% following the announcement of a merger agreement with TAE Technologies, expected to complete by mid-2026 [5] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil futures rose by 0.38% to $56.15 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 0.23% to $59.82 per barrel [5] - COMEX gold futures fell by 0.23% to $4363.9 per ounce, and silver futures dropped by 2.17% to $65.45 per ounce [5] Cryptocurrency Market - Major cryptocurrencies experienced declines, with Bitcoin dropping below $85,000, currently at $85,340, reflecting a 0.84% decrease [6] - The total market saw over 160,000 liquidations in the past 24 hours [5] Inflation Data - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November rose by 2.7% year-on-year, down from 3% in September, with food prices up 2.6% and energy prices up 4.2% [7] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 2.6% year-on-year [7] Federal Reserve Outlook - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 26.6%, with a 73.4% chance of maintaining current rates [8] - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 46.8% [8]

RT 林晚晚的猫 (@linwanwan823)【CZ年终AMA十大问答】BNB股东年终大会刚刚结束。听完CZ的年终AMA，晚晚我选了10条问答总结👇划重点：预测市场，稳定币大战2.0还没开始1.被特赦后什么感受？CZ："心理上有一种vindication（平反）的感觉，终于自由了。"但实际生活没变。他还是每天在家工作，每天锻炼30-45分钟，这习惯是从监狱带出来的。2. CZ每天在干嘛？四件事：• Giggle Academy——他的"宠物项目"，完全免费的教育平台，60人团队，已服务9万名儿童• YZ Labs——100亿美金生态基金，2025年投了近70个项目，审核超过1000个• BNB生态——不再做技术，主要mentor年轻创业者 •给政府当顾问——跟十几个国家高层聊监管框架，包括巴基斯坦、阿联酋等不过这最后一项占用时间远超他预期。3. 2025最骄傲的数字？• Giggle Academy：9万学生，比很多大学都大• BNB链：交易量年增长600%，日活用户240万• Binance：2亿用户• 加密行业：财富渗透率可能还不到1%他补充：加密货币的市值还能涨几个数量级。4.为什么同时投多个预测市场 ...

It's brokers' turn for crypto clarity in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's series of staff statements meant to reveal its current thinking on how to treat the digital assets space, in this case touching on brokers' "physical possession" of assets and separately posing some questions about so-called alternative trading systems (ATSs) for crypto. One of the two latest releases this week deals with custody of customers' crypto securities at regulated broker-dealers, advising the firms on how to ...

划重点 ① AI 正在从"数字助理"进化为"自主执行集群"。2026 年将见证 AI 从"对话工具"向"多智能体系 统（Multi-Agent）"的跨越。a16z 预言屏幕时代即将终结，Agent 原生基建将重定义云端速度， 开启企业运营杠杆的历史性飞跃。 ② 科技正在溢出屏幕，"比特"开始全面接管"原子"。电气化、材料科学与 AI 融合而成的"电子 工业堆栈"将成为物理世界运行的底层逻辑。通过软件定义制造与 AI 自动化，美国有望迎来工 厂复兴的黄金时代。 ③ SaaS 正经历从"被动记录"到"主动推理"的范式转移，个性化服务将实现从"为所有人优 化"到"为每个人定制"的飞跃。加密货币将化身为互联网的基础结算层，稳定币与 RWA 将重构 金融底层；而预防性医疗将开启长效变现的新蓝海。 RockFlow 本文共2810字， 阅读需约10分钟 想进群看深度投研？现在就行动！ 点赞＋推荐＋评论本文，截图发给 Fafa（微信：rockflowfafa），马上开通 RockFlow 社群资格。 额外福利：年度 AI 报告合集，先到先得。 在美股市场，预见趋势的能力往往决定了 Alpha 的成色。作为硅谷风投界的"定海 ...

从本周整体表现来看，加密货币普遍承压。比特币下跌约8%，以太坊下跌15%，Solana和XRP均下跌 12%。FXGT认为，比特币短期可能在86000至92000美元区间震荡。由于市场波动性较大，近期价格剧 烈波动属于正常现象，交易者频繁进行获利了结，加剧了短线抛压。年末仓位调整和税务因素仍将对市 场情绪产生影响，短暂拉升往往迅速被抛售。 尽管尚不能明确指出底部，但市场已接近"最大痛点"，短期内比特币处于明显超卖状态。投资者可关注 支撑区的潜在反弹机会，但需保持谨慎，避免追涨杀跌。市场需要新的催化因素才能打破当前震荡格 局，其中可能包括大型期权到期事件或宏观资金流动的变化。 12月18日，本周比特币价格跌破86000美元低位，引发市场对底部的讨论。FXGT认为，尽管还不能断 言比特币已经触底，但目前市场显然处于超卖状态，短期反弹空间有限。周三早盘，比特币曾出现短暂 拉升，但随后迅速回落至周低85500美元，形成所谓"巴特·辛普森形态"，即价格快速上冲、短暂横盘后 迅速下跌，图形酷似知名卡通角色的头部。这一走势显示出短线投机情绪仍然活跃，但缺乏持续支撑力 量。 比特币与股市的联动表现仍然复杂。FXGT观察到，当 ...

来源：财经默Mo 来源：财经默Mo 作者记：访谈拍摄完成已经过去近仨月，正片的内容一拖再拖反复打磨，刚开始是诚惶诚恐，不敢轻易 发出，后来觉得实在精彩，不能辜负但总的知无不言。最后落入茧房：不舍得发布。"丑媳妇早晚见公 婆"，希望不要因此给嘉宾带来争议和困扰，比起流量，这是我们更为看重的。而后，钱的品格，钱的 精神，是这个时代值得思考的事。祝君观赏愉快，略有所得。#但斌 #财经 #财经默Mo #访谈 #白酒 #加 密货币 责任编辑：江钰涵 作者记：访谈拍摄完成已经过去近仨月，正片的内容一拖再拖反复打磨，刚开始是诚惶诚恐，不敢轻易 发出，后来觉得实在精彩，不能辜负但总的知无不言。最后落入茧房：不舍得发布。"丑媳妇早晚见公 婆"，希望不要因此给嘉宾带来争议和困扰，比起流量，这是我们更为看重的。而后，钱的品格，钱的 精神，是这个时代值得思考的事。祝君观赏愉快，略有所得。#但斌 #财经 #财经默Mo #访谈 #白酒 #加 密货币 责任编辑：江钰涵 ...

Group 1 - Daiwa has set a target price of HKD 18.8 for OSL Group (00836) and maintains a "Buy" rating, identifying OSL as its preferred cryptocurrency company in Hong Kong [1] - HashKey (03887) is set to list on December 17, raising HKD 1.6 billion through its IPO, which is faster than expected by major banks [1] - The IPO pricing for HashKey is approximately 13 times the projected revenue for 2026, aligning closely with OSL's current trading valuation [1] Group 2 - Despite the recent weakness in the cryptocurrency market and declining trading volumes globally, investor confidence in HashKey and OSL may remain low in the short term [1] - However, there is an optimistic outlook for the cryptocurrency industry in Q1 2026, driven by the potential approval of the first stablecoin license in Hong Kong and improved liquidity in the U.S. market due to a shift in Federal Reserve policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa has set a target price of HKD 18.8 for OSL Group (00836) and maintains a "Buy" rating, identifying OSL as its preferred cryptocurrency company in Hong Kong [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - OSL is compared to HashKey (03887), which is set to list on December 17 and has raised HKD 1.6 billion through its IPO, with its listing progress exceeding market expectations [1] - HashKey's IPO pricing is based on a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 13 times the expected revenue for 2026, which aligns closely with OSL's current trading valuation [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Despite the recent weakness in the cryptocurrency market and a continuous decline in global exchange trading volumes, investor confidence in HashKey and OSL may remain low in the short term [1] - However, Daiwa holds an optimistic view on the cryptocurrency industry's prospects for Q1 2026, driven by the anticipated approval of the first stablecoin license in Hong Kong and improvements in U.S. market liquidity due to a shift in Federal Reserve policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase is undergoing its largest transformation to reposition itself as a mainstream trading and financial platform, expanding beyond cryptocurrency into broader retail investment areas [1] Group 1: New Product Launches - Coinbase announced the launch of significant new products aimed at creating a "one-stop financial app," expanding its offerings to include stocks, advanced trading tools, and prediction markets [1] - The company is also increasing its investment in its on-chain ecosystem and providing new tools for enterprises, developers, and automated finance [1] - The CEO, Brian Armstrong, aims to make the platform a place where users can trade "everything," including stocks and tokenized traditional assets [1][4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The prediction market space is becoming crowded, with competitors like DraftKings acquiring their own exchanges and FanDuel collaborating with CME [2] - Armstrong highlighted the appeal of prediction markets not just for trading but for insights into public sentiment and future developments [2] Group 3: Tokenization Strategy - Coinbase is launching Coinbase Tokenize, a technology stack aimed at supporting the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) [3] - The ultimate goal is to democratize access to tokenized stocks and unlock new market structures, including more robust futures markets linked to stocks [4] Group 4: Broader Financial System Integration - Armstrong emphasized that cryptocurrency is not a niche category but part of an upgrade cycle for the financial system, suggesting that all major asset classes will eventually transition to on-chain [6] - Coinbase is positioning itself as a central platform in this transformation, with signals from major asset management firms indicating a desire to move funds on-chain [6] Group 5: Retention and Diversification Strategy - The overarching strategy for Coinbase is to retain its large crypto-native audience while diversifying across asset classes, even as cryptocurrency trading volumes cool and trading revenues compress [7]

Core Insights - Coinbase stock is currently trading within a support zone of $237.90 to $262.94, where it has historically rebounded, achieving an average peak return of 38.7% after four instances of buying interest at this level [2] Financial Performance - Coinbase's Q3 2025 results showed strong revenue and profits, enhancing its financial position [4] - The company reported a revenue growth of 48.6% over the last twelve months (LTM) and an average growth of 23.3% over the past three years [10] - The free cash flow margin is approximately 25.8%, and the operating margin is 27.0% LTM [10] Market Conditions and Strategic Moves - The strategic entry into tokenized stocks and prediction markets starting December 17 aims to diversify revenue beyond volatile spot trading [4] - Analyst consensus leans towards a "Buy" rating, indicating considerable upside potential despite recent downgrades and revenue concerns for Q4 [4] Valuation and Risks - Coinbase stock trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of 30.1, reflecting varied valuation indicators [10] - The stock is susceptible to sharp sell-offs, having previously declined 91% during the Inflation Shock, highlighting its vulnerability during market upheavals [6]