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 国家统计局:2025年9月份核心CPI同比涨幅持续扩大 PPI同比降幅继续收窄
 Yang Shi Wang· 2025-10-15 01:43
9月份,消费市场运行总体平稳,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.1%,同比下降0.3%,扣除 食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.0%,涨幅连续第5个月扩大。全国统一大市场建设纵深推进,市 场竞争秩序持续优化,工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比继续持平;同比下降2.3%,降幅比上月收 窄0.6个百分点。 央视网消息:国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年9月份CPI和PPI数据。 CPI同比下降0.3%,降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点。CPI同比下降,主要是翘尾影响所致。本月CPI-0.3% 的同比变动中,翘尾影响约为-0.8个百分点,今年价格变动的新影响约为0.5个百分点。分类别看,食品 和能源价格下降。其中,食品价格下降4.4%,降幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点,影响CPI同比下降约0.83个 百分点,是影响CPI同比下降的主要因素。食品中,猪肉、鲜菜、鸡蛋和鲜果价格分别下降17.0%、 13.7%、13.5%和4.2%,合计影响CPI同比下降约0.78个百分点;牛肉和羊肉价格分别上涨4.6%和0.8%, 其中羊肉价格为连续下降44个月后首次转涨。能源价格下降2.7%,影响CPI同比下降约0.2 ...
 国家统计局解读2025年9月份CPI和PPI数据
 Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-10-15 01:42
2025年9月份核心CPI同比涨幅持续扩大 PPI同比降幅继续收窄 ——国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年9月份CPI和PPI数据 CPI同比下降0.3%,降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点。CPI同比下降,主要是翘尾影响所致。本月CPI-0.3% 的同比变动中,翘尾影响约为-0.8个百分点,今年价格变动的新影响约为0.5个百分点。分类别看,食品 和能源价格下降。其中,食品价格下降4.4%,降幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点,影响CPI同比下降约0.83个 百分点,是影响CPI同比下降的主要因素。食品中,猪肉、鲜菜、鸡蛋和鲜果价格分别下降17.0%、 13.7%、13.5%和4.2%,合计影响CPI同比下降约0.78个百分点;牛肉和羊肉价格分别上涨4.6%和0.8%, 其中羊肉价格为连续下降44个月后首次转涨。能源价格下降2.7%,影响CPI同比下降约0.20个百分点。 扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.0%,涨幅连续第5个月扩大,为近19个月以来涨幅首次回到 1%。其中,扣除能源的工业消费品价格上涨1.8%,涨幅连续第5个月扩大。工业消费品中,金饰品和 铂金饰品价格分别上涨42.1%和33.6%,家 ...
 中国9月CPI同比 -0.3%,前值 -0.4%
 Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-15 01:32
中国9月PPI同比 -2.3%,前值 -2.9%。 风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。 ...
 就在刚刚,美联储对外宣布了,美联储鲍尔森表示,如果通胀出现飙升,美联储将不得不采取行动,实现2%通胀率非常重要
 Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 15:37
我问你个问题,你有没有发现,有些话一出来,市场的气氛就不一样了。 那"采取行动"是啥?这玩意不就是加息。美联储今年已经加息到5.25%至5.50%区间(来源美联储利率决议),这是22年来最高水平。高利率意味着借钱 贵、房贷贵、企业融资贵。根据美国抵押贷款银行家协会的数据,30年定息抵押贷款利率9月已经超过7.5%,创下2000年以来新高,这种压力会让消费和投 资都降温。 先别急,我查了下背景。美国官方最常看的通胀指标是核心PCE,来源是美国商务部数据。2023年核心PCE同比一度冲到5%以上,今年虽然慢慢掉下来了, 但根据8月数据也还有3.9%。对,没错,还是离2%很远。而且路透社之前提过,美联储内部多位官员反复强调"通胀回落还不稳"。这说明他们心里也没底。 那为什么2%就这么神?这个目标是1996年左右美联储内部讨论后形成的,后来在2012年正式公开写成政策目标。意思就是既保证货币还算值钱,又让经济 别太冷。太高老百姓花钱心疼,太低企业不敢投钱。你以为他们拍脑袋?不,这可是几十年全球央行的默契。 可问题来了,现在通胀不是已经比高峰低多了吗?我翻了劳工部的CPI数据,2022年6月CPI同比9.1%,2023 ...
 9月物价前瞻:翘尾因素拖累减弱,PPI同比降幅有望收窄
 Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 11:09
9月生猪产能供过于求,猪肉价格持续探底。中金宏观认为,在需求增量疲弱下,"反内卷"产能去化需 要遵循养殖周期,短期供强需弱格局未改,9月猪肉批发价环比继续走弱,同比降幅从25.0%稍微走阔 至26.3%。 能源价格方面,民生银行首经团队指出,9月国内成品油价格未调整,因国际市场油价波动幅度未达 《石油价格管理办法》规定的50元/吨阈值。 国家统计局将于10月15日9时30分公布9月物价数据。 机构认为,9月猪肉价格继续走弱,但核心CPI涨幅持续,当月全国居民消费价格(CPI)同比降幅可能 收窄;翘尾因素拖累减弱,9月全国工业生产者出厂价格(PPI)同比降幅有望收窄。 9月CPI降幅或收窄 机构认为,9月猪肉价格继续走弱,但核心CPI涨幅持续,当月CPI同比降幅可能收窄。 据国家统计局,8月份,全国居民消费价格同比下降0.4%,环比持平。 对9月份CPI同比增速,中金宏观、民生银行首经团队、兴业研究、华泰证券研究所、华创证券研究所 的预测值分别为-0.3%、0%、-0.2%、-0.1%、-0.2%左右。 对9月份PPI同比增速,中金宏观、民生银行首经团队、兴业研究、华泰证券研究所、华创证券研究所的 预测值分别为 ...
 德国9月CPI终值环比增长0.2%
 Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-14 06:11
每经AI快讯,10月14日,德国9月CPI终值环比增长0.2%,预估为增长0.2%,前值为增长0.2%。 ...
 Gold vs Bitcoin: The Ultimate 2025 Debasement Trade
 Anthony Pompliano· 2025-10-13 21:00
 Gold Market Analysis - Gold is seen as a viable alternative to the dollar, especially with the acceleration of de-dollarization driven by sanctions and concerns about US fiscal policy [2] - Mainstream investors are starting to participate in the gold market, with major Wall Street banks recommending gold exposure in portfolios [2] - Central banks are expected to continue buying gold, competing with private investors and driving prices higher [4] - The dollar is expected to lose value, with the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates into rising inflation, further driving demand for gold [4] - China's central bank is divesting from US dollars and treasuries, replacing them with gold reserves to establish an independent monetary system [4] - The debasement trade narrative is taking hold as people recognize the flawed nature of CPI and seek assets that retain value [4][5] - Gold investors have outperformed US stock market investors, especially when pricing stocks in gold [3][4]   Bitcoin vs Gold - Bitcoin is considered a risk asset correlated with the NASDAQ, while gold is seen as a safe haven store of value [8] - There is a risk of money flowing out of Bitcoin ETFs back into gold ETFs and gold stocks [1][8] - Bitcoin treasury companies may face downside risk and potential liquidation of their Bitcoin holdings [9]   US Economic Policy - The Trump administration receives a failing grade (F) on economic policy due to massive government spending and deficits [13] - Tariffs are viewed as taxes that make American industry less competitive [14][15] - The speaker advocates for balanced budgets, debt restructuring, and deregulation to address fundamental economic problems [21][22][25]
 Opening Bell: October 13, 2025
 CNBC Television· 2025-10-13 14:11
the appointment of a new CEO over at the NASDAQ. It's Exelon celebrating its company's 25th anniversary. And it does look like we are opening calmer and higher across the board, relief perhaps to some after the worst selloff on Friday for the S&P and the NASDAQ since liberation day early April.And there's the opening bell. You know, we so mentioned, Jim, that we are still in the middle of a government shutdown. I didn't see any movement toward trying to fix this or reopen the government over the weekend as  ...
 "The Fed's got a much more difficult degree of landing... Inflation's much more difficult."
 Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-13 00:30
I'm a little bit more concerned about the direction of inflation to be honest with you than I am employment. The Fed's got a much more difficult degree of landing because believe it or not, the Fed gets a weekly update of the ADP estimate. Most people don't understand that.So, the Fed's not flying blind when it comes to the labor market, right. Inflation's a little bit more difficult. They're probably going to be talking to the MIT Harvard billion uh prices project.and to get an idea of what's going on. The ...