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Why economists are skeptical of November's CPI data
CNBC Television· 2025-12-18 20:10
Stocks. Look at that. They are higher across the board.We had some cooler than expected inflation data, but there is growing skepticism over how reliable the CPI numbers may really be. Steve Leeman joining us now with more on this story, which is going to get some attention, Steve, because, you know, questioning the data is like a thing. >> It is, but not for political reasons, for methodological reasons.Brian, to use a very large television word, stocks, as you say, they're loving this much cooler than inf ...
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-12-18 19:24
An update on the $BTC chart.Great CPI news, some upwards momentum, and then, again, a harsh correction.It's clear that the $88K level is the ultimate one, and that's what the markets need to break up in order to be getting some momentum.It's also quite clear that the BoJ event is the crucial one this week.Nasdaq is strongly up for the day, Gold is unbothered, and yet, $BTC corrects down again as all the crypto fellas are feared for the rate hike everybody knows about. ...
X @Cassandra Unchained
Cassandra Unchained· 2025-12-18 18:10
For those that do not know, Nick is the Fed Whisperer. True story. And "totally inexcusable" is a euphemism for what the Bureau of Labor Statistics did in calculating CPI.Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos):From @fcastofthemonth"This is totally inexcusable. The BLS just assumed rent/OER were zero for October. I am sure they have a good technical explanation for this, but the only way you get a two-month average for rent of 0.06% and OER at 0.135% is assuming October was zero. ...
BREAKING: Inflation cooled more than expected in November, delayed data shows
MSNBC· 2025-12-18 16:33
New data this morning from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows inflation unexpectedly cooled in November. Let's bring in the co-anchor of CNBC Squawkbox and the New York Times columnist Andrew Ross Sorc. And Andrew, let's talk about the numbers and how maybe the the sort of disappointing jobless rate going up may have actually cooled other things off in the economy.So I I think we have to look I don't want to say with too much skepticism, but I think we have to look at this particular number with skepticis ...
Sharp Pullback in November Inflation Likely Won’t Move the Needle for the Fed
Barrons· 2025-12-18 15:17
Investors cheered the news that inflation dramatically slumped in November, but economists caution that this dip may not last. Thursday's CPI report was unusually noisy, due in large part to the fact that the BLS did not publish much of the October price data after staff were unable to collect and process information retroactively. The missing data included the headline and core monthly and annual percentage changes in the index, making it difficult to draw firm conclusions. After headline CPI readings incr ...
November consumer prices rose at a 2.7% annual rate, lower than expected, delayed data shows
CNBC Television· 2025-12-18 14:48
Now the number of the morning the CPI >> oh maybe coming in a little bit better than expected 2.7% a little light here I'm not calling I'm just reading the headlines here year-over-year 27 x food and energy core 26 so 410 off that is a very good number here um and it really I I have not looked at the internals I'll look at them now but it suggests that the internals are good as well uh let's see year-over-year over the last 12 months there is no monthtomonth But some guys will be able to calculate seasonall ...
Stock futures jump after lighter-than-expected CPI
Youtube· 2025-12-18 14:29
Let's begin with this market reaction to CPI shelter uh carrying an awful lot of water which is kind of a consensus view Jim going into 26. >> Yes, you got to go with what Lenar is saying too. Giant home builder uh dovetales with this.You go to you go to Gemini uh you put in Lenar uh you put in home prices LAR and you'll see uh way back all the way back to 2019 before there was inflation you know but this is the 40% inflation in housing David. Yeah. >> Done.Okay. See you then you look at CarMax you look at ...
X @CoinDesk
CoinDesk· 2025-12-18 14:27
📊 MARKETS: U.S. inflation data surprises, with CPI higher by just 2.7% in November@btcjvs reports:https://t.co/tuuBEEVK0n ...
CPI comes in at 2.7% year over year
Youtube· 2025-12-18 14:19
Yeah. Uh here we go. We got Java is just coming straight across here falling to 224 in the week of December 13th from 237.Uh that was revised up from 236. So not a big deal. Uh let's see.4-week average rising to 217 because remember we had that big low number from Thanksgiving. So that was a seasonal problem I think. Continued claim rising to 1.897% in the week of December 6th.Um that's below consensus and it is up from 1.83% the prior week but still not at 1.9%. Now the number of the morning the CPI >> oh ...
Tariffs are showing up in core goods within CPI, says Brookings' Wendy Edelberg
CNBC Television· 2025-12-18 14:16
Let's bring in our panel. Joining us now, Brookings Institution Economic Studies senior fellow Wendy Edelberg and American Institute for Economic Research Monetary Economics Managing Director Lydia Mashburn Newman. Welcome to you both.Uh Wendy, I mean, I know you haven't kind of been able to dig into the guts of this report, but it seems like a pretty benign reading. Uh how do you feel about it. Yeah, it's frustrating because they haven't even posted the information that I would need to to really um parse a ...