Summary of the Conference Call on Greater China Technology Hardware Industry Overview - **Industry**: Greater China Technology Hardware - **Date**: August 18, 2025 - **Analysts Involved**: Sharon Shih, Howard Kao, Duan Liu, Yang Liu, Eddy Wang, CFA Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Performance**: The industry view is rated as "In-Line" by Morgan Stanley, indicating expectations of performance in line with the broader market benchmark [2][46]. - **Hon Hai (Foxconn)**: - Price target set at NT$250, with a current rating of "Overweight" [5]. - Monthly shipment data shows significant growth, with August 2025 shipments reaching 3,000 units, representing a 69% supply share [8]. - Revenue projections indicate a steady increase across product segments, with a notable rise in cloud and networking revenues [9]. - **FII (Foxconn Industrial Internet)**: - Price target set at Rmb52.50, with a strong revenue guidance for Q3 2025, expecting over 15% YoY growth in Telecom & Networking Equipment and over 100% YoY growth in Cloud Equipment [10][11]. - Cloud server revenue is projected to contribute over 75% of total server revenue, indicating a strong market position [10]. Additional Important Information - **Shipment Estimates**: - Hon Hai's GB200/300 rack output for 2025 has been raised by approximately 4,000 to a total of 34,000 units [14]. - The notebook build estimate for Q3 2025 has been increased by 6% to 33.6 million units, reflecting a slight quarter-over-quarter increase [24]. - **Valuation Methodology**: - Hon Hai's valuation is based on a residual income model with a cost of equity of 8.5%, a medium-term growth rate of 13%, and a terminal growth rate of 3% [25]. - FII's valuation is derived from a multi-stage residual income model, with a medium-term growth rate of 16% and a terminal growth rate of 5% [26]. - **Risks**: - Upside risks include better-than-expected iPhone sell-through and faster progress in AI server business [27]. - Downside risks involve geopolitical developments and lower-than-expected demand in 5G and data centers [27]. Conclusion The conference call highlighted a positive outlook for the Greater China Technology Hardware sector, particularly for key players like Hon Hai and FII, with significant growth projections and strategic insights into market dynamics. The analysts emphasized the importance of monitoring shipment data and revenue contributions from emerging technologies such as cloud computing and AI.

新华财经柏林8月19日电（记者褚怡）当许多国家已经着手部署更先进的5G标准、甚至测试6G应用时， 德国却在"下一代通信"的赛道上步履沉重：速度提升有限，延迟依旧偏高，覆盖存在空白，投资更显乏 力。从"欧洲经济火车头"到"5G落后生"，德国的数字化雄心正遭遇意想不到的阻碍。 "网络建设未达预期" "快不起来"，也"广不起来" 对工业界来说，延迟不是"几毫秒的小事"。菲策克说，只有在实时移动通信支撑下，自动驾驶才具备经 济可行性。例如，谷歌旗下自动驾驶汽车子公司"出行新方式"依赖大量车载传感器和算力，模式昂贵且 难以规模化。要让自动驾驶真正普及，需要依靠低延迟网络，由中央系统远程协调和控制多辆车。 德国汽车工业协会总经理马库斯·博利希列出一串对"毫秒级响应"高度敏感的场景：卡车编队行驶，即 多辆卡车通过无线网络保持紧密队列，前车动作能毫秒级传递给后车，路口智能协同以及远程泊车等。 只要网络延迟过高，这些功能就难以稳定运行，试点常常"跑不起来"。 如果说高延迟让德国的5G"快不起来"，那么覆盖难题则让它"广不起来"。根据德国联邦网络局的最新数 据，全德仍有约2.1%的国土是完全没有4G或5G信号的"白色区域"，另有 ...

Core Insights - Germany is struggling with its 5G deployment, facing issues such as limited speed improvements, high latency, and coverage gaps, which hinder its digital ambitions [1][3][4] Network Construction - Major telecom operators in Germany, including Deutsche Telekom, Vodafone, O2, and 1&1, spent approximately €6.6 billion to acquire 5G frequency bands in 2019, aiming to reduce network latency to below 10 milliseconds [1] - Six years later, average latency remains high, with Deutsche Telekom at 23 milliseconds and Vodafone and O2 at around 29 milliseconds, far exceeding the 10 milliseconds target set by the 3GPP [1][2] Latency and Real-Time Applications - High latency is a significant barrier for industries relying on real-time communication, such as autonomous driving, which requires low-latency networks for effective operation [2] - Scenarios like truck platooning and remote parking are highly sensitive to latency, making them difficult to implement under current network conditions [2] Coverage Issues - Approximately 2.1% of Germany's territory lacks any 4G or 5G signal, with an additional 14% classified as "gray areas" with partial coverage, primarily in rural and mountainous regions [3] - Coverage problems persist even in major cities like Berlin and Munich, indicating a widespread issue [3] Investment and Regulatory Challenges - The lack of investment and commitment is identified as a core issue, as reducing latency below 10 milliseconds requires significant infrastructure upgrades and increased base station density [3] - The slow approval process for new mobile base stations in Germany is a major obstacle, with complaints from telecom executives about the lengthy procedures compared to other countries [3][4] Conclusion - The consensus among analysts is that Germany's 5G challenges stem not from a lack of technology but from insufficient investment and a need for a more proactive approach to network development [4]

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown strong momentum, with all three major indices closing higher, and the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high of 3745.94 points, surpassing the previous record of 3731.69 points set in 2021 [3][4] - The total market capitalization of A-share companies has exceeded 100 trillion yuan for the first time, reflecting market expansion and a trend of wealth shifting towards equity assets [4] Trading Activity - On August 18, the total trading volume in the A-share market reached 2.81 trillion yuan, an increase of 536.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, indicating heightened trading enthusiasm [4][5] - Over 4000 stocks rose, with a significant number of stocks hitting the daily limit, showcasing a strong profit-making effect in the market [4][5] Sector Performance - The technology growth sector and financial heavyweight stocks have driven the market upward, with notable performances in communication equipment, small metals, and consumer electronics, all rising over 3% [5] - The communication equipment sector rose by 3.38%, benefiting from ongoing 5G construction and technological innovations, while the cultural media sector surged by 5.88% due to strong box office performance during the summer [5] Future Outlook - Analysts from Morgan Stanley and Minsheng Jianyin Fund suggest that the A-share market may continue to trend upward in August, driven by improving cash flow in Q2 corporate earnings and sustained inflow of incremental capital [6][7] - The focus is on technology growth, Chinese manufacturing, and new consumption as key areas for investment, with expectations of continued market interest in high-quality companies [6][7]

Financial Performance - The company's total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 735 million yuan, an increase of 6.25% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.77 million yuan, a significant decrease of 94.07% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 365 million yuan, down 6.22% year-on-year, with a net profit of -5.89 million yuan, a decline of 121.57% [1] Key Financial Metrics - Gross margin was 20.34%, down 19.66% year-on-year, while net margin fell to 0.24%, a decrease of 94.42% [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 30.07 million yuan, accounting for 4.09% of revenue, an increase of 33.03% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share dropped to 0.00 yuan, a decline of 94.06% compared to the previous year [1] Accounts Receivable and Cash Flow - Accounts receivable increased by 53.57% year-on-year, raising concerns about cash flow [1][22] - Operating cash flow per share decreased by 53.7% to 0.07 yuan [1] - The net cash increase from operating activities dropped by 53.7%, attributed to significant advance payments received in the previous period [9] Investment and Financing Activities - The company invested 100 million yuan in Wuhan Guangju Microelectronics Co., leading to an 8.77% decrease in cash funds [3][17] - Cash dividends paid amounted to 47.83 million yuan, contributing to a 41.67% reduction in cash outflows for dividends [18] - The net cash flow from investment activities saw a drastic decline of 174.2% due to the aforementioned investment payment [9] Operational Insights - The company reported a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.18%, indicating weak capital returns [19] - The business model relies heavily on research and development, necessitating careful examination of underlying drivers [21] - The company is actively pursuing new product development in 5G and 6G technologies, with ongoing orders and production [23]

Investment Overview - The company, Zhejiang Sunshine Lighting Electric Group Co., Ltd., is participating as a limited partner in the investment of Qingdao Ruili Fuchang Venture Capital Partnership (Limited Partnership) with an investment amount of 15 million yuan, representing a 28.7908% share in the fund [2][3] - The fund primarily focuses on investments in the semiconductor industry chain, including upstream sectors such as semiconductors, sensors, optoelectronics, and materials, as well as downstream applications in 5G, IoT, industrial intelligence, and new infrastructure related to low-altitude economy [2][3][12] Fund Details - The fund aims to raise a total of 52.1 million yuan and plans to introduce 18 investors [3] - The fund is managed by Wuhan Borui Zhiliang Private Fund Management Co., Ltd., which has a registered capital of 10 million yuan and was established on October 12, 2020 [4][5][8] - The fund has been registered with the China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association, with a registration code of SBAT55 [2][8] Company’s Strategic Intent - This investment is part of the company's long-term strategic exploration to enhance investment returns and expand its industrial investment layout [3][19] - The company aims to leverage the resources and advantages of professional institutions in the investment field while controlling risks to achieve medium to long-term investment returns [19] Financial Implications - The investment will be funded from the company's own resources and will not affect its normal production and operational activities [19] - The company emphasizes that this investment does not constitute a related party transaction or a significant asset restructuring as defined by relevant regulations [4][19]

Market Potential - The structural advantages of China's super-large market are accelerating, with the number of registered business entities reaching 189 million by the end of 2024, a 3.1% increase from the end of 2023, indicating strong economic resilience and potential [3] - The number of private enterprises has grown from 10.857 million in 2012 to 56.707 million by January 2025, a 5.2-fold increase, with private enterprises now accounting for over 92% of national high-tech enterprises [3][4] - The index for the development of small and medium-sized enterprises reached 89.5 in Q1 2025, the highest since 2020, driven by further relaxation of market access restrictions [4] Consumption Data - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, with domestic demand contributing 68.8% to economic growth [6] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 24.5458 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 5.0% increase year-on-year, with 19 provinces exceeding the national average growth rate [6] - Online retail sales have maintained the world's highest position for 12 consecutive years, with a total of 15.5 trillion yuan in 2024, a 31% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [6] Logistics and Supply Chain - The total social logistics volume reached 360.6 trillion yuan in 2024, a 5.8% increase year-on-year, with logistics costs as a percentage of GDP decreasing from 18% in 2012 to 14.4% in 2023 [7][8] - The government aims to reduce the logistics cost-to-GDP ratio to around 13.5% by 2027, indicating ongoing efforts to enhance logistics efficiency [8] Energy Market - The volume of market-based electricity transactions increased from 1.1 trillion kWh in 2016 to 6.2 trillion kWh in 2024, with the proportion of market transactions in total electricity consumption rising from 17% to 63% [9] Fair Competition - The implementation of the Fair Competition Review Regulations in August 2024 has led to a decrease in identified issues by 2.78 percentage points year-on-year, enhancing the competitive market environment [11] - In the first half of the year, market regulators investigated 11 cases of monopoly agreements and abuse of market dominance, imposing fines totaling 632 million yuan [11] Consumer Environment - In 2024, market regulators handled 39.239 million consumer complaints, with 18.625 million being complaints, resulting in economic losses of 5.16 billion yuan being recovered for consumers [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhejiang Sunshine Lighting Electric Group Co., Ltd., is participating as a limited partner in the investment of Qingdao Ruili Fuchang Venture Capital Partnership (Limited Partnership), focusing on the semiconductor industry chain and related sectors [1][2]. Investment Overview - The company is investing 15 million yuan, which represents a 28.7908% share in the Qingdao Ruili Fund, which aims to raise a total of 52.1 million yuan from 18 investors [2][10]. - The fund will primarily invest in the semiconductor industry chain, including upstream sectors like semiconductors, sensors, optoelectronics, and materials, as well as downstream applications such as 5G, IoT, industrial intelligence, and new infrastructure in the low-altitude economy [1][6]. Partner and Fund Details - The fund's general partners include individuals and companies with no existing relationships with the company or its major shareholders, ensuring no conflicts of interest [3][5]. - The fund has a duration of 7 years, with provisions for extension if necessary [6]. Financial Management and Investment Strategy - The fund will operate under independent accounting and will be audited annually by a qualified institution [6]. - The investment management will be handled by the general partners, who will also oversee the valuation and reporting of investments to limited partners [6][10]. Impact on the Company - This investment is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company's investment returns and expand its industrial investment layout, leveraging the expertise of professional institutions [10]. - The funding for this investment comes from the company's own resources and will not affect its normal operational activities [10].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [4]. Core Insights - Liquid cooling technology is a crucial solution for addressing the heat dissipation challenges faced by data centers, especially with the increasing power density driven by AI and 5G applications [4][5]. - The report highlights that AI servers have power ratings between 2000-3000W, significantly higher than traditional servers, which operate at 300W-1000W, thus intensifying the cooling requirements [5]. - The main cooling method currently in use is the cold plate liquid cooling system, which utilizes water and ethylene glycol as cooling mediums, accounting for approximately 70% of the liquid cooling market [5]. - Immersion cooling is noted for its superior heat dissipation efficiency and potential for growth, with single-phase immersion cooling being the predominant choice among major companies like Alibaba and Tencent [5]. - Fluorinated liquids are identified as the optimal medium for immersion cooling, with a market potential estimated at around 10 billion [5]. Summary by Sections Liquid Cooling Technology - Cold plate liquid cooling is the leading technology, with single-phase systems being suitable for medium to low power servers, while dual-phase systems are emerging for high power density applications [5]. - Immersion cooling, both single-phase and dual-phase, is gaining traction due to its efficiency in high power density scenarios [5]. Market Potential - The report predicts that by 2025, the global data center installation capacity could reach 114.3GW, with a potential annual increase of 16.6GW from 2024 to 2030 [5]. - With a projected liquid cooling penetration rate of 60% and immersion cooling at 40%, there is an anticipated demand for 40,000 tons of fluorinated liquids, translating to a market opportunity of approximately 10 billion [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the production of fluorinated liquids, such as Dongyangguang, Juhua, Yonghe, and others, as well as those producing silicone oil like Runhe Materials and Xin'an [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Siwei Control (603508), reported stable growth in new orders for the first half of 2025, supported by a sufficient backlog of orders [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company’s three main business segments—control systems, railway security, and high-speed rail operation monitoring—are undergoing equipment upgrades, which significantly supports the continuous growth of the company's performance [1] - The railway clients are accelerating the integration of new technologies such as 5G, big data, and artificial intelligence with railway applications, providing new development opportunities and broader market space for related equipment manufacturers [1]