Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the computer industry [1][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in AI, particularly with the release of xAI's Grok 4, which claims to be the world's strongest AI model, achieving a training volume 100 times greater than its predecessor Grok 2 [3][60]. - Domestic AI chip companies are entering a concentrated IPO phase, with notable advancements in the domestic AI ecosystem, including the launch of Huawei's Ascend AI Cloud based on CloudMatrix 384 [3][4]. - The easing of EDA and H20 bans by the US is expected to accelerate the differentiation within the server industry, while the domestic market continues to push for localization and replacement of foreign systems [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - From January to May 2025, the software industry revenue reached 5.58 trillion yuan, growing by 11.2% year-on-year, with profit totaling 672.1 billion yuan, a 12.8% increase [13][14]. - The IC design sector showed the highest growth at 15.2%, while cloud and big data services also experienced significant growth [19][20]. AI Developments - The AI sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with Grok 4 outperforming other leading models in various assessments [60][65]. - Meta has initiated a talent acquisition strategy to bolster its AI capabilities, following setbacks with its Llama 4 model [74]. Localization Trends - The report notes that the domestic AI chip industry is moving towards a concentrated IPO phase, with significant developments in the domestic software ecosystem, including the number of applications for Huawei's Harmony OS surpassing 2,500 [3][4][19]. - The easing of US technology bans is seen as a catalyst for further domestic advancements and localization efforts [3][4]. Computing Power - The upcoming release of NVIDIA's next-generation AI server chip, GB300, is anticipated to enhance capital expenditures and chip procurement among major tech firms [4]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has launched initiatives to promote the construction of a unified national computing power service market [4].

证券代码：600410 证券简称：华胜天成 公告编号：2025-020 北京华胜天成科技股份有限公司 2025年半年度业绩预盈公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 北京华胜天成科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）本期业绩预告的具体适用情形：净利润实现扭亏 为盈。 ● 公司预计 2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为 12,000万元人民币到18,000万元人民币， 与上年同期相比将实现扭亏为盈。 ● 公司预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为-6,500万元人民币 到-9,500万元人民币。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025年 6 月 30 日。 （二）业绩预告情况 1.经财务部门初步测算，预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为12,000万元人民币到 18,000万元人民币，与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将实现扭亏为盈。 2.预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常 ...

Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Keda Technology Co., Ltd. anticipates a net loss for the first half of 2025, with projected losses ranging from 180 million to 240 million yuan, compared to a loss of approximately 258.94 million yuan in the same period last year [2][4]. Group 1: Performance Forecast - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025 [3]. - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between -240 million and -180 million yuan, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -242 million and -182 million yuan [2][5]. Group 2: Previous Year’s Performance - In the same period last year, the total profit was -259.11 million yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -258.94 million yuan and a net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of -266.82 million yuan [7]. - The earnings per share for the previous year were -0.5148 yuan [8]. Group 3: Reasons for Expected Loss - The main business has been affected by the macroeconomic environment, leading to a short-term demand decline from traditional domestic customers, with significant project implementations expected in the second half of the year [9]. - Some overseas projects have faced delays due to regional issues, although overseas business revenue has increased by over 100% compared to the same period last year [9]. - The company continues to invest heavily in research and development in artificial intelligence and domestic production, maintaining rigid expenditure despite optimizing certain business operations and personnel in the second quarter [9]. Group 4: Non-Operating and Accounting Impact - Non-operating gains and losses have not significantly impacted the company's current performance [10]. - Accounting treatments have not had a major effect on the company's current performance [10].

证券代码：600410 证券简称：华胜天成 公告编号：2025-020 北京华胜天成科技股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、本期业绩预告情况 利润为 12,000 万元人民币到 18,000 万元人民币，与上年同期（法定披露数据） 相比，将实现扭亏为盈。 润为-6,500 万元人民币到-9,500 万元人民币。 （二）每股收益：-0.23 元人民币。 三、本期业绩预盈的主要原因 （一）主营业务影响。 报告期内，公司大力发展人工智能和国产化业务，实现营业收入稳步增长； 公司持续加强降本增效和业务聚焦，不断提升运营效率，期间费用同比降低。 （二）非经营性损益的影响。 报告期内，归属于母公司的非经常性损益金额预计约 20,000 万元人民币到 司投资的泰凌微电子（上海）股份有限公司（证券代码：688591）本期末股票价 格较期初大幅上升，导致公司确认的公允价值变动损益较上年同期大幅上涨。 四、风险提示 本次业绩预告是公司财务部门基于自身专业判断作出的初步测算，未经注册 会计师审计,且注册 ...

华胜天成：预计上半年净利润1.2亿元-1.8亿元 同比扭亏 智通财经7月14日电，华胜天成(600410.SH)发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计归属于母公司所有者的净 利润为1.2亿元至1.8亿元，同比实现扭亏为盈。报告期内，公司大力发展人工智能和国产化业务，实现 营业收入稳步增长；公司持续加强降本增效和业务聚焦，不断提升运营效率，期间费用同比降低。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Beijing Zhuoyue Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. has successfully entered the "Beijing Advanced Safety Emergency Equipment Promotion Directory (2025 Edition)" with its self-developed emergency firefighting drone system, marking a significant advancement in high-rise firefighting technology in China [1][9]. Group 1: Company Overview - Zhuoyue Intelligent is recognized as a national-level "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprise, focusing on the research and development of unmanned systems and the establishment of an innovative ecosystem [6]. - The company’s core team originates from Beihang University, and its founder is a pioneer in tethered drones in China [6]. Group 2: Product and Technology - The selected product is a tethered drone solution specifically designed for firefighting in high-rise buildings, addressing the challenges of extinguishing fires in structures over 100 meters tall [9]. - The solution emphasizes "unmanned, intelligent, clustered, and domestically produced" technology, effectively covering firefighting scenarios in high-rise buildings and overcoming traditional firefighting limitations [9][16]. - The TS-X12 tethered drone features an autonomous "flight brain" that supports automatic takeoff, precise landing, and fire source identification, enhancing its application in high-rise and chemical fire scenarios [16]. Group 3: Industry Significance - The inclusion in the promotion directory signifies a key step in China's modernization of emergency rescue systems and highlights the strategic value of domestic intelligent equipment in national security [1][4]. - The directory aims to enhance the modernization of safety emergency equipment and promote high-quality industrial development, reflecting its strategic importance [4]. - Zhuoyue Intelligent's advancements contribute to the national strategy of developing a low-altitude economy and signify a shift towards systematic and practical development in emergency response technologies [17].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the Chinese stock market and various sectors including automotive, agriculture machinery, food and beverage, innovative pharmaceuticals, building materials, military, computing, communication equipment, semiconductors, and consumer electronics. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Sentiment and Performance**: The market is experiencing strong sentiment with daily average trading volume in the A-share market maintaining above 1.4 trillion yuan, and financing inflows exceeding 20 billion yuan weekly. This is indicative of a positive market environment [2][4]. - **Global Economic Context**: The current market highs are supported by global fiscal and monetary easing, particularly in the U.S., which is expected to benefit global stock markets. The passage of the Debt Ceiling Act has increased the U.S. debt limit by approximately 4 trillion dollars, reinforcing the trend of fiscal expansion [1][6]. - **Domestic Economic Recovery**: China is in a recovery phase, as indicated by PMI data, with policies aimed at reducing internal competition and promoting industrial consolidation. This is expected to improve profitability for leading companies in various sectors [1][4][7]. - **Investment Strategy**: The recommended investment strategy focuses on three main themes: leading companies, domestic production, and globalization. Key sectors to watch include automotive, agriculture machinery, food and beverage, innovative pharmaceuticals, and building materials [1][5]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Sector-Specific Opportunities**: There are significant opportunities in sectors benefiting from the "two new and two heavy" policies, such as military, computing, communication equipment, and semiconductors. Additionally, industries that have undergone extreme supply adjustments, like snacks, beer, soft drinks, and advertising, are expected to see profit recovery [3][5][7]. - **Impact of Policy Changes**: The implementation of anti-involution policies and industrial consolidation is leading to a more favorable environment for leading companies, which are expected to achieve higher profit concentration and operational efficiency [7]. - **Long-Term Market Outlook**: The long-term outlook remains positive, with expectations of continued upward movement in the market, driven by ongoing fiscal and monetary support, as well as domestic economic recovery [4][6].

Core Viewpoint - The company suggests to continue increasing positions in the computer industry, emphasizing the marginal changes in AI applications and the domestic innovation (信创) sector [2]. Group 1: Computer Industry Outlook - The current holdings in the computer industry are at a low level, with expectations for improvement in sector prosperity driven by demand and innovation [2]. - The release of semi-annual report forecasts, the continuous rise of overseas markets, and the release of policy dividends are expected to enhance market risk appetite [2]. - Key focus areas for investment include AI, financial technology, and domestic innovation [2]. Group 2: AI Applications - AI applications are anticipated to experience an upward trend in prosperity, with large models entering a new round of intensive iteration [2]. - Notable releases include xAI's flagship model Grok-4 on July 10 and 月之暗面's Kimi K2 model on July 11, both of which are expected to accelerate the penetration of AI applications [2]. - Future releases of models such as GPT-5, DS V4, and DS R2 are expected to further enhance the certainty of prosperity in AI applications [2]. Group 3: Domestic Innovation Sector - The domestic innovation sector has experienced a transition from expected improvement to a decline in expectations due to changes in bidding rhythms since Q3 2024 [2]. - Current market attention is low, but with government budgets being implemented, the certainty of order fulfillment is high [2]. - Considering the semi-annual report expectations of related companies, this period is seen as an excellent opportunity for bottom-fishing and increasing positions [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [3][10]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a rare player in the domestic CPU and NPU market, with a projected net profit of 0.92 to 1.04 billion yuan for 1H25, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 70% [1]. - The AI subsidiary has secured multiple orders and is compatible with various domestic GPUs, enhancing its market position [1]. - The investment in Yizhi Electronics aims to strengthen the AI industry chain, with the company expected to hold a 10% stake post-investment [2]. - The upcoming TF9000 series from Yizhi Electronics is anticipated to be a high-performance, cost-effective chip for AI computing, which aligns with the company's strategic goals [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue is expected to grow from 30 billion yuan in 2025 to 36 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected at 2.1 billion yuan in 2025 and 3.3 billion yuan in 2027 [3][5]. - The report forecasts a significant increase in earnings per share, from 0.39 yuan in 2024 to 1.32 yuan in 2027, reflecting strong growth potential [5][8]. - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to decrease from 78 in 2024 to 23 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [5][8].

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年07月10日 [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle]20250710 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 周啸宇 S0630519030001 zhouxiaoy@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.CPI同比转正，PPI仍待"反内卷"发力——国内观察：2025年6月通胀数据 ➢ 2.行业供需弱平衡，关注AI与国产化机会—电子行业2025年中期投资策略 ➢ 1.国家发改委：今年经济体量有望达到140万亿元左右 ➢ 2.市场监管总局召开企业公平竞争座谈会 ➢ 3.国办印发《关于进一步加大稳就业政策支持力度的通知》 | 1. 重点推荐 | | 3 | | --- | --- | --- | | ...