Core Insights - Goldman Sachs economists report that by the end of this year, U.S. consumers will bear more than half of the costs associated with President Trump's tariff actions, specifically 55% of the tariff costs [1] - The report indicates that U.S. businesses will absorb 22% of the tariff costs, while foreign exporters will take on 18% through price reductions, and 5% will be avoided [1] - The economists note that due to the time required for price adjustments, U.S. businesses may currently be shouldering a larger share of the costs [1] Economic Impact - Tariffs have already caused a 0.44% increase in core personal consumption expenditure prices in the U.S. this year, with potential inflation rates rising to 3% by December, significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target [1] - Goldman Sachs has revised its expectations regarding the impact of tariffs, previously estimating that U.S. consumers would bear about 22% of the costs as of June, but now projecting this figure to rise to 67% [2] Political Response - The White House spokesperson stated that while U.S. consumers may face a transitional period due to tariffs, the ultimate cost will be borne by foreign exporters [1] - In response to the tariffs, businesses are diversifying and relocating supply chains, including moving production back to the U.S. [1] - President Trump has criticized Goldman Sachs for their previous predictions regarding market reactions and tariffs, asserting that they have been wrong in their assessments [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a rebound in gold and silver prices following a significant drop, with December 2025 gold futures rising by 1.58% to $4035.50 per ounce on October 10 [1] - The U.S. Labor Department is recalling employees to compile the Consumer Price Index report for September, which is expected to be released before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on October 28-29 [1] - The University of Michigan reported a slight decrease in the consumer confidence index for October, with an initial value of 55, compared to 55.1 in September, while economists had anticipated a lower figure of 54.2 [1] Group 2 - The World Gold Council reported record inflows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the third quarter, with September accounting for over 60% of the total inflow, amounting to 145.6 tons valued at over $17.3 billion [2] - In the third quarter, gold ETF holdings increased by 221.7 tons, valued at nearly $26 billion [2] - Silver futures for December delivery also saw an increase, rising by 0.76% to $47.52 per ounce on the same day [3]

根据捷克统计局数据，7月捷克消费者价格同比上涨自6月的2.9%放缓至2.7%，环比下降0.5%。价 格同比上涨放缓主要受食品价格涨幅放缓及燃料价格同比下降的影响。食品和非酒精饮料价格同比上涨 5.2%。燃料价格同比下降8.8%，电力价格下降4%，天然气价格下降7.9%。环比看，商品价格下降 0.2%，服务价格上涨1.4%。 （原标题：2025年7月捷克通胀率放缓至2.7%） ...

新华财经圣保罗10月10日电（记者杨家和）受财政政策不确定性及国会否决关键财政法案影响，当地时 间9日巴西金融市场承压运行。圣保罗证券交易所基准股指Ibovespa当天下跌0.31%，收于141708.19点； 雷亚尔兑美元汇率下挫0.61%，美元收报5.3754雷亚尔。 （文章来源：新华财经） 阿达同时提及，巴西最高法院已确认总统在相关税收政策中的法律权限，为政府在年底前维持财政稳定 提供了"必要保障"。 在宏观经济层面，巴西地理统计局当天公布数据显示，9月全国广义消费者物价指数（IPCA）环比上涨 0.48%，低于市场预期的0.52%。截至9月的12个月累计通胀率为5.17%。 受国内政治与财政因素叠加影响，巴西股市当日盘中虽一度重返143000点，但最终受石油巨头巴西国家 石油公司股价下跌拖累收低。与此同时，受全球市场避险情绪升温及美元走强影响，雷亚尔进一步走 弱。 巴西央行当天上午还举行了4万份美元掉期续作拍卖，用以对冲11月3日到期的合约，维持外汇市场流动 性稳定。 分析人士指出，市场情绪受前一日晚间国会下架政府关于金融交易税（IOF）替代方案的临时法令影 响。该法令原为卢拉政府提出的主要财政平衡措 ...

Core Insights - Sweden's inflation rate for September was reported at 0.9%, a decrease from 1.1% in August, while the core inflation rate fell to 3.1% from 3.2% in August [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - The inflation rate in Sweden decreased to 0.9% in September [1] - Core inflation rate also declined to 3.1% in September [1] Group 2: Analyst Expectations - Analysts do not expect the Swedish central bank to lower policy interest rates again this year [1] - The chief analyst at Nordea Bank predicts that rate cuts may have "come to a halt" [1] - Analysts from Swedbank estimate the likelihood of a rate cut before next summer to be only 30% to 40% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicate a consensus among members to lower the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to between 4% and 4.25% due to signs of economic slowdown and persistent inflation above the 2% target [1] Economic Indicators - Employment growth has shown signs of slowing down, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate and indications of a weakening labor market [1] - Inflation remains slightly above the 2% target, prompting discussions on monetary policy adjustments [1] Economic Growth Forecast - The Federal Reserve has slightly upgraded its economic growth forecasts for the years 2023 to 2028, driven by stronger-than-expected consumer spending and business investment data [1] - Tariff increases are expected to continue exerting upward pressure on inflation this year, with further inflationary impacts anticipated until 2027 when the 2% target may be reached [1]

Core Insights - Malaysia's inflation rate rose to 4.14% in August, driven by continuous increases in food prices [1] Summary by Categories Inflation Data - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August showed a monthly increase of 0.36%, significantly higher than July's increase of 0.02% [1] Contributing Factors - The primary contributors to the inflation rise were the price increases in fish, fruits, and vegetables [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to further cut interest rates due to weaker-than-expected employment data and rising risks in the labor market [1] Group 1: Economic Activity and Labor Market - The Federal Reserve noted a slowdown in economic activity in the first half of the year and a weak labor market, with inflation still slightly above the long-term target of 2% [1] - Following the monetary policy meeting on September 17, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate target range to between 4.00% and 4.25% [1] - This marks the first rate cut in 2025, following three cuts in 2024 [1] Group 2: Inflation and Tariff Impact - There is a divergence of opinions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation [1] - Some officials believe that without considering this year's tariff increases, inflation levels would be close to the target, while others feel that even excluding tariff impacts, the progress towards the 2% target remains slow [1] Group 3: Future Rate Cuts - In the September monetary policy meeting, nearly all voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee supported the 25 basis point rate cut, with only one member opposing the decision [1] - The majority of Federal Reserve officials expect at least two more rate cuts before the end of the year [1]

Core Points - The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicate a consensus among members that economic indicators show a slowdown in job growth and a slight increase in the unemployment rate, suggesting signs of weakness in the labor market [1] - The inflation rate remains slightly above the 2% target, leading nearly all members to agree on a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate target range to between 4% and 4.25% [1] - Due to stronger-than-expected consumer spending and business investment data, the Fed has slightly upgraded its economic growth forecasts for the years 2023 to 2028 [1] - The Fed anticipates that tariff increases will continue to elevate inflation this year and exert further upward pressure on inflation until 2026, with a return to the 2% target expected by 2027 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Brazil's benchmark interest rate is expected to decrease to 12.25% by the end of 2026, while the current rate is projected to remain at 15% for this year [1] Economic Indicators - The GDP growth rate for this year is anticipated to be 2.16%, with a decrease to 1.80% by 2026 [1] - The forecast for the USD to BRL exchange rate remains unchanged at 5.50 BRL for 2025 and 5.60 BRL for 2026 [1] Central Bank's Position - The Central Bank of Brazil emphasizes the need for caution due to uncertainties in the current environment and will continue to assess whether maintaining high interest rates is sufficient to bring inflation back to target levels [1]