银行业 成都银行（601838）2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报点评 2025 年 4 月 30 日 投资要点： 分析师：吴晓彤 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340524070001 电话：0769-22119302 邮箱： wuxiaotong@dgzq.com.cn | 主要数据 2025 年 | 4 月 29 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 17.26 | | 总市值（亿元） | 731.55 | | 总股本(百万股) | 4,238.44 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 4,231.06 | | ROE（TTM） | 16.12% | | 12 月最高价(元) | 17.90 | | 12 月最低价(元) | 12.83 | 股价走势 成都银行 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 买入（维持） 负债成本减轻，资产质量优异 事件：成都银行发布2024年年报和2025年一季报。2024年，成都银行实现营业 收入229.82亿元，同比增长5.89%；归母净利润128.58亿元，同比增长10.17%。 2025年一季度，实现营业收入58.17亿元，同比增长3.17%；归母净利 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Merchants Bank reported a 1Q25 performance with a year-on-year decline in operating income of 7.1% and a slight increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.6%, aligning with expectations [1] Financial Performance - In 1Q25, net interest income increased by 1.4% year-on-year, primarily due to effective control of deposit costs, which supported a rebound in net interest margin [2] - The net interest margin for 1Q25 was 1.60%, with a year-on-year decrease of 8 basis points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29 basis points [2] - Interest-earning asset yield decreased by 50 basis points year-on-year to 3.60%, while the cost of interest-bearing liabilities fell by 42 basis points to 1.93% [2] - The bank maintained a steady expansion of interest-earning assets, which grew by 8.9% year-on-year and 3.5% quarter-on-quarter, with total loans increasing by 6.9% year-on-year [2] Non-Interest Income - Other non-interest income saw a significant decline of 24.9% year-on-year in 1Q25, attributed to a high base in 1Q24 and rising bond rates [3] - Net fee income decreased by 13.2% year-on-year, contributing to an overall decline in non-interest income of 22.2% [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio slightly increased by 6 basis points to 1.44% in 1Q25, while the net non-performing loan generation rate decreased by 20 basis points to 1.32% [3] - The provision coverage ratio fell by 7.46 percentage points to 171.21% [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast remains unchanged, with the A-shares trading at 0.4x P/B for 2025E and 2026E, maintaining a target price of 3.55 yuan, indicating a 17.5% upside [4] - The H-shares are trading at 0.4x P/B for 2025E and 0.3x for 2026E, with a target price of 3.01 HKD, reflecting a 15.3% upside [4]

智通财经记者 | 安震 4月29日晚间，六大国有银行公布了2025年一季度业绩报告，总体情况来看，六大国有银行的营业收入 总和为9，101.84亿元，同比下降1.51%；归母净利润总和为3，444.2亿元，同比下降2.09%。国有大行 普遍出现营收或归母净利润下滑，唯有农业银行营收和净利润均实现增长。 受到银行业绩承压影响，4月30日银行股出现回调，六大国有行股价均出现较大幅度回落。A股工商银 行（601398.SH）、农业银行（601288.SH）、建设银行（601939.SH）跌幅均在3%以上。截至收盘，华 夏银行（600015.SH）跌幅最大，达到8.55%，42家上市银行37家股价下跌，仅浦发银行 （600000.SH）、郑州银行（002936.SZ）、民生银行（600016.SH）、中信银行（601998.SH）上涨， 显示出对于银行一季度业绩的担忧情绪。不过，机构仍然看好银行股后市表现。 营收净利润表现分化 从财务表现来看，六大行营业收入呈现"三升三降"，归母净利润"两升四降"。其中，工商银行实现营业 收入2127.74亿元，同比下降3.22%；归属于母公司股东的净利润841.56亿元，同比下降3 ...

证券研究报告 邮储银行 (1658 HK/601658 CH) 息差边际下行，成本优化显效 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 30 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 国有大型银行 | 邮储银行于 4 月 29 日发布 2025 年一季报，25Q1 归母净利润、营业收入分 别同比-2.6%、-0.1%，1-3 月年化 ROE、ROA 分别同比-1.03pct、-0.06pct 至 11.33%、0.58%。公司五大差异化增长极持续显效，维持 A/H 股增持/ 买入评级。 信贷投放提速，息差边际下行 3 月末总资产、贷款、存款增速分别为+8.3%、+9.8%、+9.2%，较 24 年末 -0.3pct、+0.4pct、-0.3pct。 公司信贷投放提速，一季度贷款新增 4430 亿 元，投放结构中对公/零售/票据分别占比 82%/15%/3%。3 月末公司涉农贷 款余额 2.40 万亿元，普惠小微贷款余额 1.67 万亿元，占客户贷款总额比重 均居国有大行前列。净息差较 24A-16bp 至 1.71%，主要由于资产端仍有压 力 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 30 日 农业银行（601288.SH） 如何理解农行其他非息逆势高增？ 农业银行披露 2025 年一季度报，25Q1 营业收入、PPOP、归母利润同比增速 分别为+0.4%、-0.3%、+2.2%，营收利润均保持正增长。（更多图表见正文） 1、营收利润为何能正增长？上市中大型银行中，一季度营收利润双正增长的银 行不多，农行作为国有大行，营收利润增速延续正增长是难得的表现，核心得 益于其他非息逆势高增长继续对业绩形成正贡献。 2、其他非息逆势为何逆势高增长？一季度债市调整，银行业其他非息普遍承压， 不少银行明显负增长，对营收业绩形成拖累。但是农行其他非息增速不降反升， 25Q1 其他非息增速 45.3%，较 24 年全年增速进一步上行。债市调整情况下， 其他非息逆势高增说明农行可能在一季度利率低点时进行了兑现，一方面实现 了 OCI 浮盈进入投资收益，另一方面减少了债市调整导致的浮亏幅度。24 年末 农行 TPL 投资（以公允价值计量且其变动计入当期损益）余额 0.51 万亿元， OCI 投资（以公允价值计量且其变动计入其他综合收益）余额 3.43 万亿 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown improvement in liability volume and pricing, with a positive growth rate in fee income [2] - The net interest margin decline has narrowed, primarily due to improved liability costs [2] - The company is expected to leverage its wealth management and investment banking advantages in a more active capital market [3] Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company's operating revenue, PPOP, and net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.58%, 4.35%, and 2.22% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.80%, down 7 basis points year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to previous quarters [2] - The company experienced a recovery in fee income growth, which turned positive at 9.38% after a significant decline in the previous year [2] Non-Interest Income - The company reported a 21.5% year-on-year decline in other non-interest income for Q1 2025, impacted by market interest rate adjustments and high base effects [3] - Fee income growth rebounded significantly from a decline of 9.88% in the previous year to a growth of 9.38% in Q1 2025 [30] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at 1.08% in Q1 2025, slightly up from the previous quarter [2] - The provision coverage ratio was 233.42%, down 4.36 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating stable asset quality [2] Financial Data and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve total operating revenue of 214.974 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3% [4] - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 80.092 billion, reflecting a growth of 3.7% [4] - The current stock price is 21.02 yuan, with a target valuation based on the company's financial performance [5]

[Table_Page] 季报点评|国有大型银行Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 工商银行(601398.SH/01398.HK) 存贷同比多增，中收降幅收窄 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Invest] 公司评级 | 买入-A/买入-H | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 7.27 元/5.48 港元 | | 合理价值 | 7.29 元/5.50 港元 | | 前次评级 | 买入/买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-04-30 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -12% 0% 13% 25% 38% 50% 04/24 06/24 08/24 10/24 12/24 02/25 04/25 工商银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | 021-38003646 | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 许洁 | | SAC 执证号：S0260518080004 | | SFC CE No. BNU965 | | 0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Industrial Bank (兴业银行) in Q1 2025 shows a decline in revenue and net profit, reflecting broader challenges in the banking sector, particularly due to reduced income from bond-related financial assets [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total assets reached 10.63 trillion yuan, a 1.17% increase from the previous year [1] - Revenue for Q1 2025 was 55.683 billion yuan, down 3.58% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.796 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.22% compared to the same period last year [1] - Non-interest income fell to 17.961 billion yuan, a decline of 12.42% year-on-year, with investment income down 22.4% [1] Interest Income and Margin - Net interest income remained stable at 37.722 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.29% [1] - Net interest margin was 1.80%, down 2 basis points from 2024 and 7 basis points year-on-year [1][2] - Deposit interest rates decreased, with the deposit rate at 1.79%, down 33 basis points year-on-year [2] Asset Quality - Non-performing loans (NPL) amounted to 62.831 billion yuan, an increase of 1.354 billion yuan from the previous year, with an NPL ratio of 1.08% [3] - The coverage ratio for provisions was 233.42%, indicating a strong buffer against potential losses [3] - The bank has implemented a risk management mechanism to enhance the identification and assessment of key risks across its asset products [3] Loan Growth - Green loans and technology loans grew by 9.37% and 9.90% respectively, outpacing overall loan growth [3]

广发银行表示，为应对低利率环境所带来的挑战，2024年以来在收入端、资产端、负债端、非息端、支 出端等方面持续推动增收提效、降本增效以及风险防控。 具体来看，收入端方面，明确"扩增量、稳息差、拓非息"的总体增收思路。资产端方面，持续调优资产 结构，对公贷款继续提质扩量，突出重点领域金融支持，同时零售贷款保持合理稳健，持续出清风险资 产。 经济观察报记者老盈盈 4月29日，广发银行发布2024年年度报告。截至2024年末，该行总资产达到3.64万亿元；当年实现营业 收入692.4亿元、净利润152.8亿元，同比均有所下降；不良贷款率1.53%，同比下降0.05个百分点；拨备 覆盖率165.60%，同比提升4.7个百分点。 非息端方面，持续强化市场研判并前瞻部署，重点在中间业务规模上提质扩量，金融市场交易能力不断 提升，全年非息收入占比同比提升1.6个百分点。支出端方面，通过强化资源整合，实现源头管控，创 新管理模式，2024年成本收入比同比下降。此外，该行持续严控新发生不良资产，加大风险资产清收处 置力度。 广发银行同时表示，尽管净息差压力与业务结构调整仍需时间消化，但该行通过资产质量夯实、资本实 力增强与战略 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of Postal Savings Bank, with current prices at 5.35 CNY and 4.85 HKD respectively [1][10]. Core Insights - Postal Savings Bank's Q1 2025 report shows stable revenue at 893.6 billion CNY, with a slight year-over-year decline of 0.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is 252.5 billion CNY, down 2.6% year-over-year [2][3]. - The bank's non-interest income has increased its contribution to total revenue, rising to 22.9%, up 4.9 percentage points from the previous year [3][4]. - The bank's loan and interest income growth rates are 9.8% and -3.8% respectively, indicating a shift towards non-interest income sources [3][4]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the bank's net interest margin decreased to 1.71%, down 16 basis points from 2024, primarily due to lower asset yields [6][10]. - Non-interest income grew by 14.8% year-over-year, reaching 205.1 billion CNY, with significant contributions from fees and commissions [7][10]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains low at 0.91%, with a slight increase from the previous year [8][10]. Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 8% and 9.8% year-over-year, respectively, with loans making up 56.5% of interest-earning assets [4][5]. - The bank's deposit growth was robust, with total deposits increasing by 9.2% year-over-year, reflecting strong core funding capabilities [5][10]. Capital Adequacy - The risk-weighted assets (RWA) increased by 6.9% year-over-year, with a decline in capital adequacy ratios, indicating higher capital consumption due to increased lending [9][10]. - The bank's core tier 1 capital ratio stood at 9.21%, down from the previous year, but is expected to improve following a planned capital increase of 130 billion CNY [9][10]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report projects a slight decline in earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027, adjusting the forecast to 0.74, 0.75, and 0.78 CNY respectively [10][11]. - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratios for A-shares and H-shares are estimated at 0.7 and 0.55 respectively for 2025 [10][11].