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7月外储变动受多重因素影响 官方黄金储备九连增
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 17:10
Group 1 - As of the end of July, China's gold reserves reached 73.96 million ounces, marking an increase of 60,000 ounces month-on-month, with official gold reserves rising for nine consecutive months [2][5] - By the end of July, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $32,922 billion, a decrease of $25.2 billion from the end of June, representing a decline of 0.76% [1][3] - The decline in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index, which increased by 3.39% in July, reversing a five-month downward trend [3][4] Group 2 - The increase in gold reserves is seen as a strategic move to optimize the international reserve structure, with a current gold reserve proportion of 7.0%, significantly below the global average of around 15% [5][6] - The World Gold Council reported that central banks globally purchased a net 166 tons of gold in the second quarter, a decrease of 21% year-on-year, but still above the five-year average [6] - Analysts predict that gold prices will continue to rise, with estimates suggesting potential prices of $3,400 per ounce in the next three months and $3,500 per ounce over the next year [5][6]
央行连续9个月增持黄金背后
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-07 15:55
Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $32,922 billion, a decrease of $25.2 billion from June, marking a decline of 0.76% [1] - The decline in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index and fluctuations in global financial asset prices, despite the reserves remaining above $3.2 trillion for 20 consecutive months [1][5] - The current level of foreign exchange reserves is considered adequate, providing support for maintaining the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable equilibrium [1][4] Group 2: Gold Reserves - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the ninth consecutive month, reaching 7,396 million ounces (approximately 2,300.41 tons) by the end of July, with a month-on-month increase of 6,000 ounces [2][8] - The gold reserve value increased by $1 billion to $24,398.5 billion, accounting for 7.41% of the total foreign exchange reserves, which is still below the global average of around 15% [2][8] - The central bank's strategy to increase gold reserves is driven by the need to optimize international reserve structure and enhance the credibility of the sovereign currency amid geopolitical uncertainties [8][10] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Despite facing risks and challenges, China's macroeconomic policies are prepared to adapt flexibly, with an emphasis on maintaining stable economic growth through proactive fiscal and monetary policies [6] - The central bank's continued accumulation of gold is seen as a strategic move to diversify international reserves and respond to changes in the global economic landscape [10][11] - A recent survey indicated that over 90% of central banks expect to increase their gold holdings in the next 12 months, reflecting a growing trend towards gold as a reserve asset [11]
人民银行黄金储备“九连增”
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-07 15:39
Core Viewpoint - As of the end of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves decreased to $329.22 billion, a decline of $25.2 billion or 0.76% from the end of June 2025, influenced by various macroeconomic factors and currency fluctuations [1][2][3] Foreign Exchange Reserves - The decline in foreign exchange reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index, which increased by 3.2% due to expectations of high inflation and strong economic data, leading to depreciation of non-US currencies [2][3] - Despite the decrease, the long-term outlook for China's foreign exchange reserves remains stable due to the country's strong economic fundamentals and resilience [2][3] Gold Reserves - As of the end of July 2025, China's gold reserves reached 73.96 million ounces (approximately 2300.41 tons), marking an increase of 60,000 ounces (about 1.86 tons) and continuing a trend of nine consecutive months of growth [4][5] - The increase in gold reserves is seen as a strategic move to optimize the international reserve structure, with gold accounting for 7% of total reserves, significantly lower than the global average of around 15% [4][5] Economic Context - China's exports showed an unexpected growth of 8% in July, supported by product structure optimization and diversification of trade partners, despite external pressures [3] - The domestic economy is expected to maintain a stable growth trajectory, bolstered by supportive fiscal and monetary policies, which will help sustain the balance of international payments and stabilize foreign exchange reserves [3]
外汇储备连续20个月超3.2万亿美元 黄金储备九连涨
Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $32,922 billion, a decrease of $252 billion from June, marking a decline of 0.76% [1] - The decline in reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index and fluctuations in global financial asset prices, despite the reserves remaining above $3.2 trillion for 20 consecutive months [1][3] - Analysts indicate that the current level of foreign reserves is adequate to support the stability of the RMB exchange rate and to mitigate potential external shocks [1][3] Group 2: Gold Reserves - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the ninth consecutive month, reaching 7,396 million ounces (approximately 2,300.41 tons) as of the end of July, with a month-on-month increase of 6,000 ounces [2][6] - The gold reserves now amount to $24,398.5 billion, representing 7.41% of the foreign exchange reserves, which is still below the global average of around 15% [2][6] - The increase in gold reserves is seen as a strategic move to diversify international reserves and enhance the credibility of the RMB in the context of a shifting international monetary system [2][6][8] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Despite facing risks and challenges, macroeconomic policies in China are prepared to adapt, with a focus on proactive fiscal and moderate monetary policies to support economic stability [5] - The central government emphasizes the need for sustained policy efforts to maintain overall balance in international payments and stabilize foreign exchange reserves [5] - The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and trade tensions are expected to drive continued demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, influencing central banks' strategies globally [7][8]
人民银行黄金“九连增” 还会继续增持吗
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-07 14:53
新一期外储数据出炉。国家外汇管理局统计数据显示,截至2025年7月末,我国外汇储备规模为32922亿美元,较6月末下降252亿美元,降幅为0.76%。 值得一提的是,人民银行7月末黄金储备报7396万盎司(约2300.41吨),环比增加6万盎司(约1.86吨),已是连续第9个月增持黄金。 资产价格方面,同样受美联储降息推迟影响,以美元标价的已对冲全球债券指数下跌0.1%,对外储形成拖累。温彬认为,在美国与各方关税协议陆续落 地、美股科技板块财报亮眼等因素驱动下,美国股指创下新高,对外储形成支撑。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青同样指出,按不同标准测算,当前我国略高于3万亿美元的外储规模都处于适度充裕水平。综合考虑各方面因素,未来外储规 模有望保持基本稳定。在外部环境波动加大的背景下,适度充裕的外储规模将为保持人民币汇率处于合理均衡水平提供重要支撑,也能成为抵御各类潜在外 部冲击的压舱石。 今年7月,我国出口顶住外部压力,通过优化产品结构、贸易伙伴多元化、拓展外贸新动能等方式实现了8%的超预期增长。国内经济在财政、货币、产业、 民生等政策支持下稳健运行。温彬称,下半年,我国经济依然面临不少风险挑战,国内宏观经济将在 ...
32922亿美元!外汇局最新发布
Core Viewpoint - As of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves decreased to $329.22 billion, a decline of $25.2 billion or 0.76% from the end of June 2025, influenced by macroeconomic data and monetary policy from major economies [1] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $329.22 billion as of July 2025, down from $331.74 billion in June 2025 [2] - The decline in reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index and fluctuations in global financial asset prices [1][2] - The current level of reserves is considered to be at a moderately sufficient level, providing support for the stability of the RMB exchange rate [1] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The National Foreign Exchange Administration stated that China's economic fundamentals remain strong, with long-term positive trends expected to support the stability of foreign exchange reserves [1] - The domestic economy is expected to continue its stable growth due to supportive fiscal, monetary, and industrial policies [1] Group 3: Gold Reserves - As of the end of July 2025, China's gold reserves increased to 7.396 million ounces, marking the ninth consecutive month of gold accumulation by the central bank [1][2] - The increase in gold reserves is seen as a strategy to enhance the credibility of the sovereign currency and support the internationalization of the RMB [3]
【新华解读】7月外储规模保持基本稳定 黄金储备实现“九连增”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 14:02
Group 1: Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of the end of July, China's foreign exchange reserves decreased by $25.2 billion to $329.22 billion, marking a decline of 0.76% and ending a six-month growth streak [1][3][4] - The decline is attributed to the appreciation of the US dollar and the depreciation of non-US currencies, which resulted in a negative valuation effect on reserves [3][4] - The US dollar index rose by 3.2% in July, while major non-US currencies like the yen, euro, and pound depreciated by 4.5%, 3.2%, and 3.8% respectively [3][4] Group 2: Gold Reserves - As of the end of July, China's gold reserves increased by 60,000 ounces to 73.96 million ounces, marking the ninth consecutive month of net increases [1][6] - The gold reserves' value rose by approximately $1.1 billion to $244 billion, representing 7.41% of the total foreign exchange reserves, the highest in three months [6][8] - Despite the increase, the central bank's gold purchases have remained low, averaging 60,000 to 70,000 ounces per month, which is seen as a rational choice given the current high gold prices [6][8]
中国银行山东省分行:以现金管理服务 赋能实体经济高质量发展
Core Insights - Shandong Bank emphasizes cash management as a crucial service for the real economy, managing nearly 100 billion yuan in cash management business and serving over 2,500 corporate clients as of the end of July [1] Group 1: Service Development - Shandong Bank is actively supporting the construction of treasury systems for provincial state-owned enterprises, having developed tailored service plans for nearly 20 state-owned enterprises, enhancing their cash management capabilities [2] - The bank has established a dedicated service team to respond to enterprise needs around the clock, facilitating the treasury management goals of visibility, control, flexibility, and effective use of funds [2] Group 2: Cross-Border Operations - Leveraging its global presence, Shandong Bank has provided global cash management services to over 70 enterprises venturing abroad, implementing a comprehensive strategy that includes physical cash pools and cross-border cash management [2] - The bank has successfully managed over 300 overseas accounts for enterprises, ensuring global visibility, cross-border adjustability, and risk control [2] Group 3: RMB Internationalization - Shandong Bank is advancing the internationalization of the RMB by integrating the CIPS system for a major Chinese Fortune 500 company, facilitating seamless cross-border payment processing and receiving widespread client recognition [3] Group 4: Customized Solutions - The bank has developed over 20 customized regulatory solutions for various industries, ensuring the safety of funds in sectors such as public welfare and tourism [4] - Tailored funding supervision plans have been implemented for key projects in tourism and renewable energy, safeguarding the financial operations of significant projects [4] Group 5: Future Focus - Shandong Bank aims to deepen its "cash management+" service model, focusing on new productive forces to provide smarter and safer financial management solutions for the real economy [4]
人民银行黄金“九连增”,还会继续增持吗
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-07 12:00
Core Viewpoint - As of the end of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $329.22 billion, reflecting a decrease of $25.2 billion or 0.76% from the end of June 2025. The People's Bank of China has continued to increase its gold reserves for the ninth consecutive month, reaching 7.396 million ounces (approximately 2300.41 tons) [1][4][6]. Foreign Exchange Reserves - The foreign exchange reserves decreased due to a combination of factors including the rise of the US dollar index, which increased by 3.2% in July, and fluctuations in global financial asset prices [4][5]. - The reserves are considered to be at a moderately sufficient level, with expectations for stability in the future despite external volatility [5][6]. Gold Reserves - The People's Bank of China reported an increase of 60,000 ounces (approximately 1.86 tons) in gold reserves, marking the ninth consecutive month of growth since November 2024 [6][7]. - The current gold reserves account for 7.0% of China's official international reserve assets, which is significantly lower than the global average of around 15% [6][7]. - Analysts suggest that the ongoing increase in gold reserves is driven by the need to optimize the international reserve structure and to enhance the credibility of the sovereign currency, which supports the gradual internationalization of the Renminbi [7].
外汇储备连续20个月超3.2万亿美元,黄金储备九连涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 11:45
Foreign Exchange Reserves - As of July 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at $32,922 billion, a decrease of $252 billion from June, marking a decline of 0.76% [1] - The decline in reserves is attributed to the rise in the US dollar index and fluctuations in global financial asset prices, with the dollar index increasing by 3.2% to 100.0, the highest since late May [3][4] - Despite the decrease, China's foreign exchange reserves remain above $3.2 trillion, providing a solid foundation for maintaining the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable equilibrium [3][4] Gold Reserves - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the ninth consecutive month, reaching 7,396 million ounces (approximately 2,300.41 tons), with a month-on-month increase of 6,000 ounces [2][6] - The total value of gold reserves rose by $10 billion to $243.985 billion, representing 7.41% of the total foreign exchange reserves, which is still below the global average of around 15% [2][6] - The increase in gold reserves is driven by the need to optimize international reserve structure and enhance the credibility of the sovereign currency, especially in light of geopolitical uncertainties and the weakening confidence in the dollar system [6][7] Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic policies in China are prepared to adapt flexibly to ongoing risks and challenges, with a focus on maintaining stable economic growth supported by proactive fiscal and monetary policies [5] - The central bank's strategy includes a steady increase in gold reserves while managing costs and diversifying international reserves to mitigate market risks and geopolitical uncertainties [7][8] - A recent survey indicated that over 90% of central banks expect to increase their gold holdings in the next 12 months, reflecting a growing trend towards gold as a safe-haven asset [8]