Group 1 - Goldman Sachs has raised the target values for the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index to 78 points and 4400 points respectively, indicating potential upside of 7% and 15% [1] - Goldman Sachs has maintained a bullish outlook on Chinese assets throughout the year, with the MSCI China Index showing a year-to-date increase of over 12% [1] - The resilience of the Chinese stock market is attributed to factors such as a weaker dollar, strong economic growth, and domestic policy support [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for net southbound capital inflows for the year from $75 billion to $110 billion, driven by capital flowing from the U.S. to China, the growth potential and valuation advantages of H-shares, and the expansion of the investable universe due to new IPOs and "returning" listings [1][2] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs' chief economist, Jan Hatzius, has expressed a strong stance on shorting the dollar and going long on gold, citing that risk assets have already priced in much of the optimism [4] - Hatzius estimates a 45% probability of a U.S. economic recession within the next 12 months, with expectations of increased tariffs in sectors such as pharmaceuticals and semiconductors [4] Group 4 - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve will implement three consecutive rate cuts of 25 basis points, with the first cut now expected in July, a month later than previously anticipated [5] - Concerns have been raised regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, suggesting that if the White House gains the power to dismiss the chair and FOMC members without just cause, the Fed could become the least independent central bank among developed countries [5]

浙商证券认为，与2018年相比，当前A股在微观结构、政策环境、经济内力、流动性和科技创新五大维度下更加乐观，市场或形成"下有支撑，上有压力"新 格局。银河证券指出，当前国内科技产业加速崛起，叠加A股科技行业业绩改善，科技主题具备中长期配置价值，技术进步与业绩兑现有望继续带动产业趋 势向上。 【环球网财经综合报道】尽管外部环境不确定性增加，4月A股市场仍展现出较强韧性。业内人士认为，中国资产重估趋势有望延续，估值优势与经济基本 面将为市场中长期向上提供坚实基础。 国家统计局数据显示，一季度全国规模以上工业企业利润由上年全年同比下降3.3%转为增长0.8%，3月份高技术制造业利润增速达14.3%。中金公司研究显 示，2025年一季度A股盈利同比增长3.5%，非金融企业盈利增速明显触底回升。TMT板块一季度盈利普遍高增长，电子盈利同比增长31.5%，细分光模块/元 器件/半导体一季度盈利实现114%/50%/33%的高增长。 4月A股市场在21个交易日中15个交易日上涨，上证指数单月累计下跌仅1.70%，深证成指下跌5.75%，沪深300下跌3%。4月份A股日均成交金额为1.24万亿 元，交投活跃。中金公司指出，中 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the significant impact of the recent decision by China and the European Parliament to fully lift restrictions on mutual exchanges, which is seen as a positive signal for strengthening dialogue and cooperation between China and Europe [3][5]. - The trade volume between China and Europe reached 5.6 trillion, accounting for nearly one-third of global trade, indicating the importance of this relationship [6]. - If the China-Europe investment agreement is successfully negotiated, bilateral trade could potentially increase significantly, suggesting a shift towards a less US-centric global trade environment [7]. Group 2 - The announcement has generated excitement among investors, with many anticipating an influx of capital into the A-share market, although this enthusiasm may be based on a superficial understanding of the market dynamics [9]. - It is noted that while capital is targeting Chinese assets, it does not necessarily mean a direct influx into A-shares, as the scope of Chinese assets is broad, including Hong Kong stocks and the domestic real estate market [11]. - The article emphasizes that the key to stock market performance is not merely the presence of institutional investors but their sustained and active participation in trading [11][18].

5月7日，金融部门出台了一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期。券商认为，此次政策组合拳力度超预期、 精准务实，不仅在关键时间节点有效稳定市场预期，更为"中国资产"构建起坚实的政策护城河，为实体 经济高质量发展与资本市场稳健运行注入强劲动能。 稳市场意图鲜明 券商认为，此次一揽子政策出台恰逢关键时间窗口，政策组合拳的重要目标在于稳市场、稳预期。 "此次一揽子金融政策紧随中央政治局会议部署之后，揭开了新一批增量政策的序幕。"国盛证券首席经 济学家熊园表示，政策组合拳在力度上、方式上"诚意满满"，既有着眼当下的"真金白银"支持，也有布 局长远的制度安排，释放了政策稳增长的决心，有助于稳信心、稳市场、稳地产、稳消费。 姚佩认为，对股市来说，短期风险偏好的稳定比基本面修复更重要，此刻不必悲观，量比价更重要。过 去10个交易日，A股日均成交额为1.1万亿元，未来一到两周市场若持续放量，将构建更扎实的底部，带 来风险偏好的加强和向上反弹的信心。 一系列金融政策的组合拳，不仅推出快，而且力度超预期；不仅有利于稳市场稳预期，也有利于稳增长 促民生，释放强大政策合力。 粤开证券首席经济学家、研究院院长罗志恒表示，三大金融监管部门宣布的 ...

Policy Measures - On May 7, 2025, the central bank announced ten monetary policy measures to stabilize the market and expectations, including a 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity[2] - The LPR (Loan Prime Rate) was reduced by 10 basis points, while the interest rate for first-time homebuyers on five-year loans decreased from 2.85% to 2.6%[4] - A targeted reserve requirement ratio of 0% was introduced for auto finance and financial leasing companies, marking a historical first in China[6] Structural Tools - The central bank introduced structural monetary tools with a total of at least 1.1 trillion yuan in low-cost loans, targeting sectors such as technology innovation and small enterprises[7] - The interest rates for various structural monetary tools were lowered by 25 basis points, including the re-lending rate for agricultural support, which decreased from 1.75% to 1.5%[4] - An additional 3,000 billion yuan was allocated for technology innovation and technical transformation re-lending, increasing the total from 5,000 billion yuan to 8,000 billion yuan[5] Market Impact - The central bank's proactive measures are expected to cushion "Chinese assets" against external shocks and uncertainties, with a focus on maintaining economic stability amid international trade tensions[8] - The anticipated fiscal stimulus is expected to further support market stability and growth, with a coordinated approach to monetary and fiscal policies[9] - The report expresses optimism for both equity and bond markets, citing regulatory support for asset prices and market expectations[9]

图片来源：界面图库 "平准基金在市场大幅下跌时起到'托底'作用，旨在防止市场恐慌性抛售和过度下跌，从而维护市场的 稳定和投资者信心。如果市场估值过高已经偏离了基本面，且存在明显的泡沫风险，那么平准基金适度 减持可以降低市场风险，避免市场回调时造成更大的损失。但是，需谨慎操作，注意减持的时机和力 度，以防引发市场的过度波动。平准基金'稳'的作用体现在对市场波动的动态调节上，既能在市场低迷 时提供支持，起到'托底'作用，又能在市场过热时进行适当抑制，引导市场预期，防止泡沫风险，确保 资本市场的健康和可持续发展。"他表示。 吴清说，将进一步出台深化科创板、创业板改革措施，在市场层次、投资者保护等增强制度包容性、适 应性。 潘功胜提到，人民银行坚定支持汇金公司在必要时实施对股票市场指数基金的增持，并向其提供充足的 再贷款支持，坚决维护资本市场的平稳运行。 智通财经记者 | 陈靖 孙艺真 杜萌 5月7日，国新办举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽、中国 证券监督管理委员会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。 民生证券指出，国新办金融发布会"既赶早也赶巧"，可以说是为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall operation of the capital market in China has shown stability and progress in 2023, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) committed to maintaining market stability while enhancing market vitality and functionality [1]. Group 1: Support for Market Stability - The CSRC will fully support the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. in playing its role as a stabilizing fund, enhancing market monitoring and risk assessment to respond to external shocks [2]. - A comprehensive "combination punch" of policy, funding, and expectation countermeasures will be implemented to inject more certainty into the market amid global economic uncertainties [10]. Group 2: Reforms and Regulations - New policies to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the ChiNext will be introduced, enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system [3]. - The CSRC will expedite the release of revised regulations on major asset restructuring for listed companies, aiming to strengthen the role of capital markets in mergers and acquisitions [4]. Group 3: Development of Public Funds - An action plan to promote the high-quality development of public funds will be released, focusing on aligning the interests of fund managers with investors and enhancing long-term capital inflow into the market [5]. - Measures will be taken to stabilize fund investment behaviors, including setting clear performance benchmarks for each fund product to ensure alignment with their stated objectives [6]. Group 4: Investor Services and Fund Growth - The CSRC will enhance the capabilities of fund companies to serve investors better, including optimizing investment research and risk management resources [7]. - There will be a focus on expanding equity funds, with regulatory guidance to promote the issuance and sales of equity funds that align with national development goals [7]. Group 5: Market Resilience and Adaptability - A-share listed companies demonstrate strong resilience and adaptability, with nearly 90% of their revenue coming from domestic markets, and a reported 3.6% year-on-year growth in net profits [11]. - Companies have successfully diversified their export markets and improved their competitiveness, with over 350 companies announcing share buybacks since April 7, indicating confidence in their value [12]. Group 6: Regulatory Support and Open Market - The CSRC will continue to provide regulatory support to companies affected by external shocks, including optimizing regulatory arrangements for those significantly impacted by tariffs [13]. - The commission is committed to advancing high-level opening-up of the capital market, including the gradual inclusion of RMB trading counters in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [14].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is expected to achieve stable and healthy development despite external uncertainties, supported by strong government policies and market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Stability - The stability of the stock market is crucial for the overall economic and social landscape, as well as for the interests of millions of investors [1]. - The current trend of economic recovery in China is being reinforced, with adequate policy responses to external shocks, creating a solid foundation for the stable operation of the capital market [1]. Group 2: Confidence Sources - Confidence in the market stems from four main aspects: strong leadership and commitment from the central government, effective implementation of the "1+N" policy system, a clearer "technology narrative" in the A-share market, and relatively low valuation levels compared to global indices [2]. - The A-share market's price-to-earnings ratio is currently at 12.3, which is significantly lower than that of major global indices like the S&P 500, enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets amid global instability [2]. - The overall characteristics of the market are deemed reliable, supported by sound economic development, macro policies, and institutional guarantees, which inject more certainty into the economy and capital market [2].

智通财经5月7日电，在今日上午国新办发布会上，证监会主席吴清表示，中国资产的配置价值和吸引力 都在持续提升。吴清坦言，前行的路上会有风有雨，不管是轻风细雨，还是暴风骤雨，不管是风高浪 急，还是惊涛骇浪，我们都有信心，有条件有能力来实现稳定健康发展。 证监会主席吴清：中国资产的配置价值和吸引力在持续提升 ...

今日上午9时，国新办举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽、中国证券 监督管理委员会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。 吴清：有信心、有条件、有能力实现中国股市的稳定健康发展 吴清表示，前行的路上会有风有雨，不管是轻风细雨，还是暴风骤雨，不管是风高浪急，还是惊涛骇浪，我们都有信 心、有条件、有能力来实现中国股市的稳定健康发展。 吴清：全力支持中央汇金公司发挥类平准基金作用 吴清表示，全力巩固市场回稳向好的势头，动态完善应对各类外部风险攻击的工作预案，全力支持中央汇金公司发挥 类平准基金作用。 吴清：近期出台进一步深化科创板创业板改革的政策举措 百万用户都在看 见证历史！港元，突发！ 美国、以色列，发动大规模空袭！伊朗传出大消息 清晨，集体大涨！两大利好，重磅来袭！ 刚刚！美国六大州，突然出手！贝森特发声，涉及对华关税 暴涨1400%！中东，突发！ 巴菲特，重磅发声！谈关税、AI、投资、现金储备…… 吴清：抓紧发布上市公司重大资产重组管理办法 吴清表示，抓紧发布上市公司重大资产重组管理办法和相关监管指引，更好发挥资本市场并购主渠道作用。 吴清：中国资产的配置 ...